Oct 13 close Sign in

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Riot Platforms (RIOT)

Your signal

Sell12 / 100

Sell: 12 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (19%) scores 19 and lifts it; Off the high (−42% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightRIOTPointsWeightAdds
Plays in19%19407.6
Off the high−42% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−14% vs 200-day15304.5
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for RIOT
FactorRIOTPointsWhat it is
Plays in19%19The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+87% · 22 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.4 · strong buy80The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/Eloss expected0Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales9.3×17Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book2.9×53Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+25%70Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin−196%2Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity−60%4Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.00×97Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high−42% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−14% vs 200-day15How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−23%14The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure8/10 · very high20The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on RIOT

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in19 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureVery high8 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.86×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−14%). Higher than on 38% of days since 2017. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about RIOT now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

RIOT, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved RIOT lately

Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 3+12.4% against the S&P 5002.2× a normal day

RIOT +13.4%, the S&P 500 +1.1% that session; +13.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on RIOT was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for RIOT starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.1%.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on RIOT

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on RIOT went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2016. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $19.52 (+17.1%)26% 75/288+39.0% / +17.9%−79.1% / −98.3%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $21.95 (+31.6%)28% 15/53+20.0% / +19.3%−88.0% / −98.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $20.49 (+22.9%)31% 43/140+77.6% / +18.4%−67.3% / −98.3%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $49.93 (+199.5%)20% 8/40+41.6% / +19.4%−73.3% / −98.3%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $21.16 (+26.9%)19% 8/42+11.3% / +20.7%−93.2% / −98.3%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $21.16 (+26.9%)20% 9/46+33.0% / +19.3%−84.1% / −98.3%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINApr 30, 2026 −3.3%Exit below $19.46 (+16.8%)33% 8/24+14.7% / +17.7%−93.4% / −98.3%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −13.7%Enter above $19.51 (+17.0%)20% 14/71+23.3% / +18.3%−88.1% / −98.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINMay 6, 2026 −29.7%Not on one close31% 5/16+11.1% / +18.3%−94.8% / −98.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −13.7%Enter above $19.51 (+17.0%)20% 10/49+32.1% / +19.9%−82.7% / −98.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Enter above $23.07 (+38.4%)44% 30/68+44.6% / +19.0%−81.5% / −98.3%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −22.1%Enter above $17.04 (+2.2%)23% 92/396+31.9% / +18.0%−71.4% / −98.3%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −13.7%Enter above $29.23 (+75.3%)48% 40/83+74.2% / +22.8%−78.5% / −98.3%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINJul 2, 2025 +36.6%Not on one close40% 4/10+23.3% / +18.0%−90.2% / −98.3%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −15.0%Enter above $36.25 (+117.4%)35% 20/57+41.4% / +17.3%−88.0% / −98.3%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Not on one close32% 19/60+40.3% / +17.7%−83.2% / −98.3%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $20.06 (+20.3%)46% 30/65+44.6% / +18.8%−78.9% / −98.3%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −13.7%Not on one close47% 76/163+44.1% / +18.8%−73.0% / −98.3%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $31.12 (+86.7%)34% 101/297+25.9% / +19.1%−83.4% / −98.3%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −1.0%Enter above $25.39 (+52.3%)46% 45/97+66.1% / +20.0%−74.4% / −98.3%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $19.91 (+19.4%)37% 83/223+17.9% / +19.0%−89.2% / −98.3%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 −24.1%Not on one close39% 27/70+40.6% / +18.8%−70.8% / −98.3%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $32.56 (+95.3%)40% 30/75+54.0% / +18.7%−83.0% / −98.3%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $17.56 (+5.3%)39% 72/187+30.2% / +18.8%−88.5% / −98.3%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $29.22 (+75.3%)35% 35/101+50.9% / +18.7%−88.2% / −98.3%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −6.3%Not on one close37% 38/104+7.6% / +22.8%−95.7% / −98.3%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $31.57 (+89.4%)41% 30/74+56.5% / +18.4%−79.8% / −98.3%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −13.7%Enter above $37.34 (+124.0%)35% 17/48+25.1% / +18.4%−90.7% / −98.3%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTJun 5, 2026 −32.4%Not on one close34% 31/90+26.6% / +16.3%−78.8% / −98.3%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 −24.6%Not on one close37% 11/30−1.3% / +18.7%−49.8% / −98.3%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −10.1%Enter above $25.39 (+52.3%)52% 25/48+57.8% / +18.8%−79.4% / −98.3%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $25.39 (+52.3%)44% 21/48+30.5% / +17.4%−80.3% / −98.3%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 −24.6%Enter above $25.39 (+52.3%)50% 16/32+58.7% / +17.4%−77.6% / −98.3%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $31.96 (+91.7%)39% 15/38+32.5% / +18.4%−57.8% / −98.3%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 1, 2026 −30.4%Not on one close48% 21/44+34.0% / +18.8%−88.5% / −98.3%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $23.48 (+40.9%)40% 28/70+30.5% / +18.0%−67.5% / −98.3%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $27.05 (+62.3%)44% 42/96+45.0% / +19.2%−67.5% / −98.3%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $24.93 (+49.5%)47% 44/94+60.8% / +19.4%−66.6% / −98.3%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $20.10 (+20.6%)49% 39/80+37.1% / +18.8%−80.7% / −98.3%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −15.0%Enter above $21.11 (+26.6%)37% 94/253+27.9% / +19.1%−90.2% / −98.3%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $21.44 (+28.6%)32% 50/155+55.0% / +18.8%−80.5% / −98.3%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −29.0%Not on one close27% 30/110−10.1% / +18.8%−83.9% / −98.3%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −15.4%Not on one close48% 21/44+17.0% / +18.0%−47.8% / −98.3%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −29.0%Enter above $16.98 (+1.9%)35% 109/310+52.3% / +19.0%−87.1% / −98.3%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJun 23, 2025 +79.8%Not on one close44% 7/16+8.6% / +21.0%−33.1% / −98.3%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +47.5%Exit below $20.51 (+23.0%)50% 4/8+22.6% / +18.0%−90.5% / −98.3%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Flips at next check43% 3/7+21.0% / +18.0%−94.4% / −98.3%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $22.81 (+36.8%)67% 6/9+27.3% / +18.0%−90.5% / −98.3%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 1, 2025 +51.1%Not on one close25% 4/16+5.4% / +19.4%−24.9% / −98.3%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −17.4%Enter above $27.26 (+63.5%)38% 3/8+11.4% / +20.4%−52.2% / −98.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $22.85 (+37.1%)18% 9/50+17.5% / +21.0%−89.4% / −98.3%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −22.1%Enter above $24.81 (+48.8%)36% 69/192+20.4% / +18.7%−93.7% / −98.3%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $18.74 (+12.4%)31% 109/350+47.5% / +18.7%−77.8% / −98.3%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $44.43 (+166.6%)43% 62/144+29.9% / +18.1%−93.4% / −98.3%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +47.5%Not on one close57% 4/7+16.3% / +12.0%−94.6% / −95.8%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −27.5%Enter above $28.64 (+71.8%)35% 83/240+28.3% / +18.8%−69.5% / −98.3%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $60.71 (+264.2%)49% 47/96+42.8% / +18.4%−77.7% / −98.3%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $32.87 (+97.2%)41% 30/74+55.2% / +18.4%−83.2% / −98.3%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Exit below $19.78 (+18.7%)42% 16/38+23.5% / +18.0%−91.0% / −98.3%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Flips at next check67% 4/6+33.7% / +22.9%−84.7% / −95.8%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Not on one close67% 8/12+1.7% / +18.0%−77.9% / −98.3%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Enter above $27.10 (+62.6%)44% 52/119+82.5% / +22.8%−66.6% / −98.3%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINJul 20, 2026 −16.2%Not on one close60% 15/25−3.0% / +18.9%−95.9% / −98.3%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Sell above $16.72 (+0.3%)63% 62/99−9.3% / +18.3%−67.9% / −98.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Sell above $18.93 (+13.6%)63% 86/137+2.7% / +18.3%−77.3% / −98.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −1.0%Sell above $20.64 (+23.8%)60% 44/73−9.2% / +19.2%−93.2% / −98.3%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Not on one close58% 39/67+4.8% / +19.1%−95.2% / −98.3%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −20.4%Enter above $17.22 (+3.3%)60% 81/134+6.3% / +19.1%−94.5% / −98.3%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJul 7, 2026 −21.3%Not on one close54% 19/35−8.4% / +19.2%−96.3% / −98.3%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINJul 14, 2023 −12.8%Sell above $47.14 (+182.8%)75% 12/16−4.1% / +18.3%−96.6% / −98.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTNov 24, 2025 +20.1%Not on one close69% 22/32+4.8% / +22.8%−37.4% / −98.3%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −19.1%Enter above $18.79 (+12.7%)46% 71/156−7.7% / +18.0%−94.9% / −98.3%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −20.4%Enter above $17.14 (+2.8%)56% 113/202+7.4% / +18.0%−97.2% / −98.3%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Buy below $16.67 (0.0%)57% 556/970+4.4% / +20.5%−87.1% / −98.3%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −21.1%Not on one close50% 12/24−5.5% / +18.3%−74.3% / −98.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −27.5%Enter above $16.09 (−3.5%)37% 187/503+32.8% / +18.7%−75.1% / −98.3%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Buy below $20.56 (+23.3%)54% 28/52−14.2% / +18.8%−97.7% / −98.3%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −22.1%Not on one close27% 82/307+54.0% / +19.2%−79.7% / −98.3%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Not on one close42% 42/99+61.5% / +18.8%−74.9% / −98.3%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTJan 15, 2026 +0.6%Enter above $41.51 (+149.0%)50% 12/24−14.5% / +18.9%−93.7% / −98.3%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTApr 4, 2017 +378.1%Enter above $28.33 (+69.9%)–+2.6% / +18.2%0.0% / −98.3%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −22.9%Enter above $19.04 (+14.2%)26% 74/283+31.5% / +19.9%−93.8% / −98.3%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −15.0%Enter above $43.41 (+160.4%)36% 65/179+37.7% / +19.2%−80.7% / −98.3%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −29.0%Not on one close32% 88/277+11.7% / +18.8%−85.0% / −98.3%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINMay 6, 2026 −29.7%Not on one close30% 12/40+17.6% / +17.3%−92.1% / −98.3%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −22.1%Not on one close34% 138/404+13.2% / +17.1%−86.6% / −98.3%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINAug 25, 2026 −21.7%Not on one close54% 33/61+4.8% / +18.9%−92.5% / −98.3%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTNov 20, 2025 +30.4%Enter above $17.17 (+3.0%)52% 22/42+40.4% / +19.1%−86.5% / −98.3%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −22.4%Not on one close36% 5/14−1.0% / +18.8%−28.0% / −98.3%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −3.3%Buys Oct 3067% 14/21+32.5% / +20.5%−90.4% / −98.3%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 +0.6%Enter above $21.06 (+26.3%)60% 12/20+30.7% / +18.7%−90.6% / −98.3%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 29, 2026 +4.3%Window opens Oct 1660% 12/20+26.4% / +18.7%−91.0% / −98.3%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +12.7%Buys Dec 2350% 10/20+5.5% / +20.5%−30.3% / −98.3%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −13.7%Buys Oct 2950% 126/252+16.0% / +20.5%−76.0% / −98.3%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −17.3%Sells Jun 3020% 1/5+3.6% / +20.5%−75.0% / −98.3%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −23.5%Buys Nov 2449% 95/194+5.0% / +20.5%−36.0% / −98.3%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +391.7%Not on one close33% 2/6+5.7% / +17.7%−97.5% / −98.3%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 +1.2%Sells Oct 1649% 543/1099−12.8% / +20.5%−96.5% / −98.3%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −18.1%Buys Oct 2751% 84/166+4.5% / +20.5%−42.4% / −98.3%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −15.5%Sells Oct 1648% 125/260+1.1% / +20.5%−96.9% / −98.3%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINMar 31, 2016Always in–+20.2%−98.3%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureVery high8 of 10 points
  • Market swings3/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It moves about 2.4× its index.
  • It fell about 2.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020

RIOT−57%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jun 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2025

RIOT−82%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta2.37Moves about 2.4× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture495%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 495% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+98%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−42%
  • Debt to equity0.65×
  • Interest cover−26.5×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Capital Markets · Riot Platforms, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a Bitcoin mining company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Bitcoin Mining and Engineering. The company offers comprehensive and critical infrastructure for bitcoin mining and data center services at its facilities.

Size and valuation
Market cap$6.3BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$675MTotal sales. The market values it at 9.3× sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Price to book2.9×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−196.3%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth+24.5%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Return on equity−60.4%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−$719MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equity$1.3BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$878MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$471MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.65×Moderate.
Interest cover−26.5×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$31.2087% above the close, from 22 analysts (range $22.00 to $42.00).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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