Consumer & retail
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Buy: 61 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+15% vs 200-day) scores 82 and lifts it; Plays in (48%) scores 48 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | ABNB | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 48% | 48 | 40 | 19.2 |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 56 | 30 | 16.8 |
| Trend | +15% vs 200-day | 82 | 30 | 24.6 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | ABNB | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 48% | 48 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +11% · 39 analysts | 44 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.0 · buy | 50 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 37.7× | 29 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 26.7× | 15 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 1.42 | 49 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 7.5× | 21 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Price to book | 12.7× | 13 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | +33% | 62 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +14% | 50 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Profit margin | 20% | 67 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Return on equity | 35% | 88 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Debt to equity | 0.32× | 64 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 56 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +15% vs 200-day | 82 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +39% | 72 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 3/10 · moderate | 70 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on ABNBThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about ABNB now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
ABNB −7.6%, the S&P 500 −0.8% that session; −1.8% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ABNB was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ABNB starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.8%. The 33 other Consumer & retail stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on ABNB went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2020. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.2% | Exit below $162.95 (−1.6%) | 28% 46/162 | −4.4% / −4.3% | −54.9% / −60.7% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | IN | Apr 10, 2026 +28.4% | Exit below $159.37 (−3.7%) | 11% 4/38 | −15.8% / +0.1% | −74.6% / −60.2% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $164.33 (−0.8%) | 29% 32/109 | −6.7% / +1.7% | −51.8% / −60.2% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −0.2% | Enter above $172.02 (+3.9%) | 35% 7/20 | +6.2% / −0.3% | −16.0% / −55.8% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Apr 17, 2026 +17.0% | Exit below $150.89 (−8.9%) | 15% 4/27 | −10.2% / +2.0% | −55.3% / −60.2% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Jun 26, 2026 +13.8% | Exit below $153.85 (−7.1%) | 12% 3/25 | −10.7% / −1.8% | −51.8% / −55.8% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Apr 30, 2026 +18.0% | Exit below $144.77 (−12.6%) | 19% 3/16 | −6.6% / −0.9% | −54.0% / −60.2% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Apr 8, 2026 +26.0% | Exit below $144.52 (−12.7%) | 12% 6/50 | −9.6% / −0.4% | −61.9% / −60.2% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Apr 14, 2026 +23.7% | Not on one close | 15% 2/13 | −11.6% / −0.4% | −67.0% / −60.2% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Apr 28, 2026 +19.1% | Exit below $144.52 (−12.7%) | 10% 3/30 | −5.2% / −0.7% | −50.4% / −60.2% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 −0.4% | Enter above $202.05 (+22.0%) | 33% 14/42 | −13.0% / −1.0% | −63.6% / −60.2% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +3.1% | Exit below $161.90 (−2.2%) | 26% 50/192 | −2.9% / −4.3% | −47.8% / −62.0% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −9.6% | Enter above $178.73 (+7.9%) | 40% 23/58 | +9.3% / +3.8% | −47.4% / −60.2% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Apr 15, 2026 +20.4% | Not on one close | 6% 1/16 | −15.3% / +0.0% | −65.2% / −53.4% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 +2.3% | Enter above $188.96 (+14.1%) | 22% 9/40 | −12.5% / +2.0% | −67.7% / −60.2% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 +10.7% | Enter above $176.89 (+6.8%) | 22% 8/36 | −17.5% / −2.5% | −75.2% / −60.2% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −2.4% | Enter above $168.57 (+1.8%) | 49% 19/39 | +4.6% / +0.5% | −48.0% / −62.0% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −3.0% | Not on one close | 44% 37/84 | −7.1% / +0.5% | −64.4% / −62.0% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +1.3% | Exit below $138.07 (−16.6%) | 42% 62/149 | +6.4% / +3.1% | −50.0% / −62.0% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −1.6% | Enter above $174.40 (+5.3%) | 37% 22/59 | −8.0% / +0.4% | −64.7% / −62.0% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +3.1% | Exit below $155.38 (−6.2%) | 42% 53/126 | +8.4% / +1.8% | −40.0% / −62.0% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −2.4% | Not on one close | 38% 13/34 | −2.3% / −1.6% | −38.8% / −62.0% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $180.91 (+9.3%) | 32% 16/50 | −5.2% / −3.1% | −43.3% / −60.7% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.2% | Exit below $159.24 (−3.8%) | 29% 25/85 | −12.2% / +2.0% | −69.6% / −62.0% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −3.0% | Enter above $190.04 (+14.8%) | 32% 21/66 | −5.6% / −3.1% | −49.3% / −60.7% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −9.6% | Enter above $166.08 (+0.3%) | 40% 25/62 | +1.3% / +3.8% | −43.1% / −60.2% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $176.00 (+6.3%) | 34% 15/44 | −1.9% / +1.7% | −45.4% / −60.2% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 +5.5% | Enter above $173.31 (+4.7%) | 21% 7/34 | −16.3% / +1.7% | −74.1% / −60.2% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −9.0% | Not on one close | 58% 21/36 | +20.8% / +2.8% | −19.8% / −60.2% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Nov 6, 2024 +17.5% | Not on one close | 100% 4/4 | +7.3% / −3.1% | −2.2% / −60.7% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $170.53 (+3.0%) | 32% 13/40 | −9.9% / +0.5% | −60.9% / −62.0% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $193.45 (+16.8%) | 33% 10/30 | −0.5% / −1.5% | −35.1% / −60.7% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $193.45 (+16.8%) | 33% 8/24 | −3.3% / −1.5% | −44.8% / −60.7% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −2.4% | Enter above $190.50 (+15.0%) | 23% 5/22 | −3.2% / +1.7% | −44.6% / −60.2% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 +18.2% | Enter above $169.60 (+2.4%) | 29% 7/24 | −8.2% / +0.5% | −50.9% / −62.0% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $175.20 (+5.8%) | 34% 13/38 | −7.2% / −4.3% | −34.8% / −62.0% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −9.0% | Enter above $172.00 (+3.9%) | 40% 21/52 | +2.7% / +2.0% | −36.9% / −62.0% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $170.65 (+3.1%) | 43% 21/49 | +2.6% / −1.5% | −46.2% / −62.0% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.2% | Exit below $152.40 (−8.0%) | 37% 19/51 | −1.3% / +0.5% | −52.8% / −62.0% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Jul 28, 2026 +8.1% | Exit below $146.97 (−11.2%) | 34% 17/50 | −10.5% / +0.3% | −65.9% / −62.0% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $173.02 (+4.5%) | 29% 22/75 | +3.9% / −1.2% | −49.4% / −62.0% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −10.2% | Not on one close | 30% 13/44 | −5.4% / +0.5% | −33.7% / −62.0% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jul 9, 2026 +12.7% | Not on one close | 41% 13/32 | +0.3% / −4.3% | −24.3% / −62.0% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.4% | Exit below $158.66 (−4.2%) | 37% 69/189 | +7.1% / +1.7% | −42.9% / −62.0% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 20, 2026 +14.2% | Not on one close | 62% 5/8 | +5.7% / +1.9% | −12.3% / −60.2% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2026 +15.7% | Exit below $131.21 (−20.8%) | 50% 5/10 | +3.7% / −0.9% | −25.6% / −55.8% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +31.1% | Not on one close | 50% 7/14 | +1.8% / −0.9% | −38.4% / −55.8% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −9.6% | Exit below $145.90 (−11.9%) | 40% 2/5 | +3.3% / −0.9% | −25.6% / −55.8% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −7.0% | Not on one close | 16% 9/56 | −13.2% / +1.4% | −73.9% / −60.2% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +3.1% | Enter above $180.97 (+9.3%) | 33% 2/6 | −2.1% / +0.3% | −31.0% / −55.8% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | IN | Jun 18, 2026 +16.3% | Exit below $159.96 (−3.4%) | 12% 5/43 | −18.2% / +2.0% | −77.1% / −60.2% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +0.9% | Exit below $148.17 (−10.5%) | 35% 40/115 | +1.2% / −3.1% | −58.5% / −60.7% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.9% | Exit below $162.99 (−1.6%) | 31% 60/195 | −2.7% / −3.1% | −46.2% / −60.7% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.2% | Exit below $118.38 (−28.5%) | 40% 34/85 | +0.4% / −3.0% | −64.5% / −60.7% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Oct 31, 2025 +30.9% | Not on one close | 40% 2/5 | +9.1% / +19.5% | −32.8% / −37.2% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −7.6% | Enter above $167.86 (+1.4%) | 31% 51/162 | −0.4% / +0.5% | −24.5% / −62.0% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $138.67 (−16.3%) | 40% 26/65 | +5.0% / +1.7% | −53.5% / −60.2% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above $182.76 (+10.4%) | 33% 16/48 | −2.2% / +1.7% | −43.4% / −60.2% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +3.1% | Enter above $154.16 (−6.9%) | 33% 10/30 | −6.3% / −0.9% | −47.8% / −55.8% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +31.1% | Not on one close | 60% 6/10 | +16.2% / +7.8% | −21.5% / −37.2% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +31.1% | Not on one close | 55% 6/11 | +9.9% / −0.9% | −25.6% / −55.8% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $161.00 (−2.8%) | 42% 33/79 | +10.9% / +3.8% | −51.3% / −60.2% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 +5.2% | Not on one close | 85% 11/13 | +15.8% / +1.9% | −55.8% / −62.0% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 25, 2026 +5.2% | Not on one close | 56% 36/64 | −0.1% / −0.4% | −21.0% / −60.2% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 +1.9% | Buy $144.52–$160.39 (−3.1%) | 56% 44/78 | −1.7% / −0.4% | −46.8% / −60.2% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.9% | Buy below $150.01 (−9.4%) | 62% 37/60 | +10.5% / +2.0% | −32.0% / −62.0% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 11, 2026 −2.7% | Not on one close | 57% 27/47 | +6.8% / +1.8% | −36.2% / −62.0% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.3% | Not on one close | 60% 42/70 | −1.0% / +3.1% | −46.6% / −62.0% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Sep 9, 2026 −2.4% | Not on one close | 86% 25/29 | +24.2% / +0.9% | −29.3% / −62.0% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Sep 27, 2021 −5.0% | Sell above $349.30 (+111.0%) | – | −0.4% / −0.4% | −60.2% / −60.2% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Sep 25, 2026 +5.2% | Not on one close | 67% 4/6 | +5.1% / +3.8% | −8.1% / −60.2% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +3.1% | Exit below $161.81 (−2.3%) | 47% 37/79 | −10.3% / −4.3% | −71.3% / −62.0% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +3.2% | Not on one close | 56% 55/98 | −0.8% / −4.3% | −46.7% / −62.0% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Buy below $165.58 (0.0%) | 56% 279/497 | +0.9% / +3.0% | −50.1% / −62.0% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Sep 10, 2026 −1.2% | Sell above $167.10 (+0.9%) | 65% 15/23 | +12.2% / −0.4% | −25.8% / −60.2% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 +5.2% | Exit below $162.62 (−1.8%) | 39% 101/260 | +3.5% / −3.1% | −49.1% / −60.7% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +3.1% | Sell above $163.89 (−1.0%) | 62% 23/37 | +2.8% / −1.5% | −57.4% / −62.0% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 +5.5% | Not on one close | 24% 48/198 | −7.1% / +2.0% | −58.5% / −62.0% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Not on one close | 36% 24/66 | −7.3% / +0.5% | −64.1% / −62.0% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Feb 13, 2026 +36.4% | Not on one close | 69% 9/13 | +8.9% / +1.9% | −56.5% / −62.0% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 37% 15/41 | −0.7% / +1.2% | −33.5% / −55.8% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $166.56 (+0.6%) | 29% 51/175 | −6.2% / −1.5% | −73.0% / −62.0% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +3.2% | Exit below $144.83 (−12.5%) | 35% 34/96 | +1.7% / +2.0% | −64.6% / −62.0% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.4% | Exit below $165.58 (0.0%) | 37% 53/143 | −1.2% / +0.5% | −53.8% / −62.0% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Jul 24, 2026 +17.3% | Not on one close | 25% 8/32 | −4.0% / −0.5% | −42.1% / −55.8% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 +5.5% | Not on one close | 37% 84/228 | −6.1% / +3.9% | −54.6% / −60.2% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 +15.7% | Not on one close | 42% 10/24 | −4.7% / +0.3% | −61.0% / −62.0% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Jul 8, 2026 +15.8% | Not on one close | 25% 8/32 | −9.7% / +3.2% | −66.6% / −62.0% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 3, 2026 +9.9% | Not on one close | 50% 7/14 | +6.2% / −0.5% | −9.9% / −62.0% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +18.0% | Buys Oct 30 | 73% 8/11 | +11.1% / +3.0% | −44.3% / −62.0% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 28, 2026 +19.1% | Not on one close | 58% 7/12 | +6.2% / −3.1% | −40.8% / −60.7% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 4, 2026 +19.2% | Window opens Oct 16 | 42% 5/12 | +2.3% / −3.1% | −45.1% / −60.7% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +21.9% | Buys Dec 23 | 25% 3/12 | +1.7% / +3.0% | −12.0% / −62.0% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +0.9% | Buys Oct 29 | 46% 65/140 | −4.1% / +3.0% | −33.4% / −62.0% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +3.1% | Sells Jun 30 | 67% 2/3 | +6.8% / +3.0% | −31.2% / −62.0% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −9.0% | Buys Nov 24 | 49% 56/114 | +2.9% / +3.0% | −18.5% / −62.0% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +93.7% | Not on one close | 75% 3/4 | +16.5% / +3.1% | −37.2% / −62.0% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +1.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 304/609 | +6.6% / +3.0% | −53.2% / −62.0% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −1.2% | Buys Oct 27 | 54% 51/94 | +6.6% / +3.0% | −15.2% / −62.0% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +1.9% | Sells Oct 16 | 53% 76/144 | +1.9% / +3.0% | −47.6% / −62.0% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Dec 10, 2020 | Always in | – | +2.3% | −62.0% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Travel Services · Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays, experiences, and services worldwide. The company's marketplace connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces, experiences, and services. It also offers gift cards. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $99.1B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $13.2B | Total sales. The market values it at 7.5× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 37.7× | Buyers pay $38 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 26.7× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 12.7× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 20.4% | Keeps 20¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +13.6% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Earnings growth | +33.4% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 34.5% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $3.2B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $8.2B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $2.5B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $12.1B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.30× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 30.7× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $183.23 | 11% above the close, from 39 analysts (range $135.00 to $220.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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