Oct 13 close Sign in

Metals & mining

Osisko Gold Royalties (OR)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell26 / 100

Sell: 26 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Trend (−4% vs 200-day) scores 32 and lifts it; Off the high (−24% from its 1-year high) scores 19 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightORPointsWeightAdds
Plays in27%274010.8
Off the high−24% from its 1-year high19305.7
Trend−4% vs 200-day32309.6
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for OR
FactorORPointsWhat it is
Plays in27%27The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+29% · 7 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.2 · buy41The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E23.5×53Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E24.8×19Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales17.7×8Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book4.3×37Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield0.7%22Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+92%79Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+62%89Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin78%99Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity20%69Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.15×78Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−24% from its 1-year high19How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−4% vs 200-day32How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−6%26The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on OR

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in27 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.96×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−4%). Higher than on 33% of days since 2015. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about OR now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved OR lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 28−3.3% against the S&P/TSX1.6× a normal day

OR −4.2%, the S&P/TSX −0.9% that session; −2.0% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on OR was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for OR starts Oct 3, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.9%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved −4.2% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Tue Sep 22+3.4% against the S&P/TSX1.7× a normal day

OR +4.3%, the S&P/TSX +0.9% that session; −2.9% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on OR was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for OR starts Oct 3, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.9%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.5% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Thu Sep 17+3.4% against the S&P/TSX1.6× a normal day

OR +4.5%, the S&P/TSX +1.1% that session; +1.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on OR was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for OR starts Oct 3, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.1%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.6% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on OR

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on OR went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2014. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$49.36 (+0.7%)27% 95/354−2.3% / +11.4%−68.8% / −58.4%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINAug 21, 2026 −1.0%Exit below C$46.90 (−4.3%)39% 20/51+5.2% / +13.0%−46.9% / −58.4%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Exit below C$48.84 (−0.4%)21% 45/217−1.5% / +11.6%−63.2% / −58.4%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTMay 14, 2026 −6.4%Not on one close14% 15/110+2.0% / +13.6%−41.7% / −58.4%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMay 15, 2026 −1.7%Enter above C$73.11 (+49.1%)24% 8/34+2.2% / +13.0%−49.6% / −58.4%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMay 1, 2026 −1.3%Enter above C$55.10 (+12.4%)25% 11/44+4.6% / +13.4%−38.5% / −58.4%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.5%Enter above C$50.86 (+3.7%)32% 7/22+9.2% / +13.4%−39.7% / −58.4%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −3.3%Enter above C$51.00 (+4.0%)12% 13/112+1.6% / +12.8%−53.6% / −58.4%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTJun 12, 2026 +4.1%Enter above C$167.03 (+240.7%)38% 6/16+5.9% / +12.8%−44.1% / −58.4%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −3.3%Enter above C$51.00 (+4.0%)11% 7/66−1.0% / +13.1%−57.2% / −58.4%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Enter above C$53.28 (+8.7%)45% 32/71+8.9% / +10.6%−47.3% / −58.4%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$49.52 (+1.0%)26% 118/456−0.6% / +11.4%−61.9% / −58.4%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −0.6%Enter above C$62.15 (+26.8%)36% 48/132+6.2% / +12.1%−50.3% / −58.4%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINAug 25, 2026 −8.7%Not on one close11% 3/27−1.5% / +13.6%−64.8% / −58.4%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +1.0%Enter above C$50.30 (+2.6%)35% 24/69+6.7% / +10.4%−30.9% / −58.4%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINAug 19, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$46.32 (−5.5%)36% 21/59+8.1% / +10.7%−38.6% / −58.4%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$52.25 (+6.6%)37% 32/87+2.2% / +10.7%−54.0% / −59.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +1.6%Not on one close42% 68/163−0.3% / +10.7%−61.2% / −59.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.5%Enter above C$51.97 (+6.0%)36% 111/311+4.5% / +11.0%−59.1% / −59.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$53.00 (+8.1%)37% 41/111+3.8% / +10.2%−67.8% / −59.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$51.60 (+5.2%)42% 111/263+7.0% / +11.7%−40.1% / −59.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −0.6%Not on one close25% 21/83−7.1% / +9.8%−66.1% / −58.4%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Enter above C$50.88 (+3.8%)25% 29/117+1.3% / +11.3%−61.3% / −58.4%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Enter above C$51.06 (+4.1%)37% 51/137+0.9% / +10.7%−73.9% / −59.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$57.57 (+17.4%)32% 37/117+5.0% / +11.3%−59.7% / −58.4%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINJul 22, 2026 +18.3%Not on one close37% 47/127+4.7% / +12.1%−45.9% / −58.4%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINAug 7, 2026 +6.6%Not on one close24% 25/103+2.9% / +11.6%−59.9% / −58.4%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINAug 21, 2026 −1.0%Exit below C$40.42 (−17.6%)33% 19/57+4.6% / +11.6%−38.9% / −58.4%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −3.0%Not on one close28% 31/112−0.9% / +12.6%−39.8% / −58.4%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 21, 2025 +3.4%Not on one close17% 1/6+1.3% / +11.3%−15.2% / −58.4%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINAug 5, 2026 +8.7%Exit below C$47.42 (−3.3%)35% 23/65+2.6% / +10.7%−77.1% / −59.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −0.6%Enter above C$54.14 (+10.4%)28% 23/81−3.7% / +10.3%−58.0% / −58.4%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −0.6%Enter above C$54.14 (+10.4%)24% 15/62−2.7% / +10.3%−59.7% / −58.4%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMar 13, 2026 −11.0%Enter above C$53.68 (+9.5%)34% 17/50+1.7% / +11.6%−31.1% / −58.4%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Not on one close37% 23/62+2.8% / +10.7%−51.3% / −59.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −0.7%Enter above C$52.84 (+7.8%)35% 28/80+2.0% / +11.4%−26.7% / −58.4%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −0.7%Enter above C$52.58 (+7.2%)34% 38/112+1.2% / +11.0%−49.3% / −59.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$52.79 (+7.7%)38% 39/102+2.2% / +10.9%−57.0% / −59.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$52.08 (+6.2%)36% 36/99+1.6% / +10.7%−60.4% / −59.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.5%Enter above C$53.53 (+9.2%)37% 23/63+3.6% / +11.0%−57.6% / −59.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$50.63 (+3.3%)25% 44/173+1.1% / +10.6%−64.7% / −58.4%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −4.0%Not on one close32% 33/102+1.1% / +10.7%−30.6% / −59.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 14, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close33% 22/66−0.8% / +11.4%−36.3% / −58.4%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Exit below C$48.17 (−1.8%)37% 136/366+0.8% / +11.1%−58.2% / −59.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −0.7%Not on one close30% 6/20+1.8% / +12.3%−8.1% / −58.4%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.5%Enter above C$46.34 (−5.5%)25% 6/24+1.6% / +13.5%−63.0% / −58.4%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −4.0%Flips at next check36% 8/22+6.3% / +13.5%−60.2% / −58.4%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 +17.9%Enter above C$51.52 (+5.1%)20% 4/20+0.1% / +13.5%−51.6% / −58.4%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINSep 18, 2026 −4.4%Exit below C$47.15 (−3.8%)22% 18/81+0.3% / +11.2%−54.5% / −58.4%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −7.1%Enter above C$61.65 (+25.7%)14% 2/14+1.2% / +13.8%−48.5% / −58.4%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$50.25 (+2.5%)27% 20/73+2.6% / +10.6%−44.0% / −58.4%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −4.9%Enter above C$50.96 (+3.9%)33% 83/249−0.8% / +11.3%−56.9% / −58.4%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Exit below C$48.58 (−0.9%)31% 130/417−1.3% / +11.3%−62.5% / −58.4%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −0.7%Enter above C$62.16 (+26.8%)39% 64/164+1.7% / +10.7%−57.3% / −58.4%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINNov 30, 2022 +200.6%Not on one close33% 3/9+10.1% / +15.6%−57.4% / −57.4%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −4.0%Enter above C$52.34 (+6.8%)29% 88/302+1.1% / +10.7%−46.6% / −59.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$75.47 (+53.9%)48% 64/134+11.0% / +11.6%−35.1% / −58.4%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −0.2%Enter above C$50.96 (+3.9%)26% 29/112+2.3% / +11.6%−57.3% / −58.4%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.5%Enter above C$46.96 (−4.2%)34% 15/44+3.3% / +13.5%−54.5% / −58.4%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −4.0%Flips at next check47% 8/17+13.7% / +16.5%−39.4% / −57.4%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −4.0%Not on one close46% 13/28+8.9% / +13.5%−48.3% / −58.4%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$54.83 (+11.8%)30% 56/186+3.8% / +12.1%−56.7% / −58.4%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −5.5%Not on one close60% 12/20+8.0% / +10.9%−51.3% / −59.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 6, 2026 −6.8%Not on one close62% 91/146+4.8% / +12.8%−21.4% / −58.4%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 6, 2026 −6.8%Not on one close56% 98/174+1.5% / +12.8%−35.6% / −58.4%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJun 15, 2026 −2.7%Buy below C$46.82 (−4.5%)70% 73/104+11.5% / +11.0%−54.4% / −59.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 16, 2026 −0.9%Not on one close67% 64/95+11.0% / +10.7%−52.8% / −59.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Not on one close62% 94/151+8.6% / +11.0%−46.9% / −59.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINMay 1, 2026 −1.3%Not on one close51% 20/39+4.9% / +12.5%−47.2% / −59.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINSep 24, 2015 +266.1%Sell above C$123.26 (+151.4%)–+12.8% / +12.8%−58.4% / −58.4%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMar 23, 2026 +4.5%Not on one close43% 6/14+1.3% / +12.1%−22.2% / −58.4%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Not on one close49% 89/181+9.0% / +11.4%−47.5% / −58.4%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Not on one close57% 136/237+13.6% / +11.4%−50.5% / −58.4%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Buy below C$49.03 (0.0%)55% 522/941+3.6% / +11.8%−49.3% / −59.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTApr 17, 2026 −15.8%Not on one close50% 23/46+1.6% / +12.8%−46.2% / −58.4%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −1.3%Exit below C$47.55 (−3.0%)36% 205/565+2.1% / +11.3%−62.0% / −58.4%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +0.5%Sell above C$49.78 (+1.5%)63% 50/79+11.6% / +10.6%−41.3% / −58.4%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$49.03 (+0.0%)27% 116/425−2.3% / +11.0%−65.1% / −59.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.5%Not on one close38% 42/111+2.4% / +10.7%−54.5% / −59.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −4.0%Not on one close58% 14/24+5.9% / +10.9%−37.7% / −59.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINApr 10, 2025 +62.3%Exit below C$38.88 (−20.7%)25% 13/51+3.8% / +13.9%−44.6% / −58.4%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −3.3%Enter above C$49.99 (+2.0%)30% 113/381−1.5% / +10.1%−66.7% / −59.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$53.96 (+10.0%)31% 59/189+0.8% / +11.0%−58.1% / −59.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$49.03 (+0.0%)33% 119/359−7.5% / +10.7%−78.8% / −59.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −0.2%Not on one close29% 15/51+3.3% / +13.7%−53.8% / −58.4%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 −3.2%Not on one close41% 183/441+8.0% / +10.5%−44.2% / −58.4%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$49.98 (+1.9%)58% 49/84+8.2% / +12.3%−53.7% / −59.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +1.2%Not on one close23% 13/56−8.4% / +11.8%−67.3% / −59.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTMay 28, 2026 −0.5%Not on one close45% 10/22+0.9% / +10.7%−18.8% / −59.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −1.6%Buys Oct 3070% 16/23+13.9% / +11.8%−47.7% / −59.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Window opens Apr 172% 18/25+14.4% / +11.3%−49.0% / −58.4%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −7.3%Window opens Oct 1665% 15/23+14.7% / +11.3%−47.7% / −58.4%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +0.7%Buys Dec 2358% 14/24+5.6% / +11.8%−5.6% / −59.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −0.2%Buys Oct 2954% 152/284+8.6% / +11.8%−25.6% / −59.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +0.5%Sells Jun 3067% 4/6+8.5% / +11.8%−18.1% / −59.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −4.9%Buys Nov 2453% 112/212+4.7% / +11.8%−12.8% / −59.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +211.5%Not on one close50% 5/10+9.3% / +10.9%−46.0% / −59.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 616/1237+1.0% / +11.8%−72.7% / −59.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −0.9%Buys Oct 2755% 104/188+3.0% / +11.8%−12.4% / −59.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Sells Oct 1651% 149/293+3.2% / +11.8%−50.4% / −59.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINDec 5, 2014Always in–+11.8%−59.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings2/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It moves about 1.7× its index.
  • It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020

OR−48%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2022

OR−21%
TSX−14%
  • Beta1.67Moves about 1.7× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture89%In months the TSX fell, this fell 89% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+87%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−24%
  • Debt to equity0.15×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.4×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover54.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Gold · OR Royalties Inc. acquires and manages precious metal and other royalties, streams, and other interests in Canada and internationally. It also owns options on offtake; royalty/stream financings; and exclusive rights to participate in future royalty/stream financings on various projects. The company's primary asset is a 3-5% net smelter return royalty on the Canadian Malartic complex located in Canada. In addition, it is involved in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mining properties.

Size and valuation
Market capC$9.2BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$363MTotal sales.
P/E ratio23.5×Buyers pay C$23 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E24.8×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book4.3×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin78.0%Keeps 78¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+62.0%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+92.4%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity20.4%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−$170MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equity$1.4BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$219MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$75.6MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.15×Comfortable.
Interest cover54.9×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$63.2729% above the close, from 7 analysts (range C$47.83 to C$84.72).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield0.74%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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