Metals & mining

OceanaGold (OGC)

C$38.52 −2.1% on the day·+17.2% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell20 / 100

Sell: 20 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (32%) scores 32 and lifts it; Off the high (−33% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	OGC	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	32%	32	40	12.8
Off the high	−33% from its 1-year high	0	30	0.0
Trend	−8% vs 200-day	24	30	7.2

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for OGC

Factor	OGC	Points	What it is
Plays in	32%	32	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+55% · 11 analysts · capped: below 200-day	50	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.6 · buy	68	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	7.4×	96	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	7.6×	92	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	0.09	99	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	2.4×	65	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	2.4×	65	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	1.1%	33	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+102%	81	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+50%	85	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	35%	89	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	37%	89	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.02×	91	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−33% from its 1-year high	0	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	−8% vs 200-day	24	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+17%	52	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	6/10 · high	40	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on OGC

32 of the 100 plays hold OGC right now.
The trend-following and breakout plays mostly say out.
It closed 8% below its 200-day average and 33% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads high: it moves about 2.1× its index and fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$59.76, 55% above the close (11 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in32 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple0.92×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−8%). Higher than on 30% of days since 2008. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about OGC now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn OGC: right 14 of 36 · Out since Jul 31, 2024 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn OGC: right 78 of 224 · Out since Sep 24, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn OGC: right 13 of 31 · In since May 31, 2024 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn OGC: right 120 of 170 · Out since Jul 22, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn OGC: right 24 of 42 · Out since Aug 13, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn OGC: right 62 of 115 · In since Sep 22, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn OGC: right 23 of 38 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

OGC, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved OGC lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Tue Sep 22+3.4% against the S&P/TSX1.2× a normal day

OGC +4.3%, the S&P/TSX +0.9% that session; −1.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on OGC was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for OGC starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.9%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.5% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.

Wed Sep 9+3.5% against the S&P/TSX1.1× a normal day

OGC +2.9%, the S&P/TSX −0.6% that session; −2.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on OGC was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for OGC starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.6%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Thu Sep 3+3.7% against the S&P/TSX1.2× a normal day

OGC +5.2%, the S&P/TSX +1.5% that session; +4.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on OGC was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for OGC starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.5%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +2.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on OGC

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following5 of 30 in Breakouts & channels1 of 15 in Momentum9 of 17 in Mean reversion6 of 15 in Volume & money flow5 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on OGC went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2007. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$39.11 (+1.5%)	25% 136/544	+3.9% / +10.7%	−87.2% / −95.6%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Aug 14, 2026 −2.8%	Exit below C$37.91 (−1.6%)	24% 27/111	+7.5% / +18.6%	−88.5% / −80.9%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$39.28 (+2.0%)	20% 68/343	+3.7% / +9.2%	−93.0% / −95.2%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	May 15, 2026 −10.0%	Not on one close	15% 22/150	+1.3% / +24.0%	−82.6% / −77.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	May 22, 2026 −3.0%	Enter above C$78.89 (+104.8%)	29% 15/52	+13.7% / +15.3%	−69.9% / −87.6%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	May 22, 2026 −3.0%	Enter above C$44.60 (+15.8%)	32% 19/60	+13.7% / +24.0%	−65.5% / −77.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 +8.7%	Enter above C$41.91 (+8.8%)	24% 10/42	+7.0% / +18.0%	−88.3% / −82.7%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −5.5%	Enter above C$42.09 (+9.3%)	10% 18/188	+3.6% / +18.8%	−91.8% / −80.9%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 +8.7%	Not on one close	30% 9/30	+10.8% / +18.8%	−82.1% / −80.9%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −5.5%	Enter above C$42.09 (+9.3%)	10% 11/112	+0.9% / +21.1%	−92.2% / −77.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −0.1%	Enter above C$45.68 (+18.6%)	39% 45/115	+10.9% / +9.2%	−84.1% / −95.6%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above C$39.51 (+2.6%)	25% 166/672	+3.2% / +10.8%	−86.1% / −95.6%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −5.5%	Enter above C$50.03 (+29.9%)	33% 71/216	−1.3% / +13.8%	−88.3% / −91.3%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Mar 14, 2024 +378.8%	Not on one close	8% 3/39	+0.1% / +25.6%	−92.1% / −77.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$44.82 (+16.3%)	28% 35/126	+6.1% / +10.6%	−89.5% / −94.2%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Aug 17, 2026 −5.4%	Exit below C$37.22 (−3.4%)	26% 31/119	+11.3% / +10.1%	−86.0% / −95.6%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$41.79 (+8.5%)	33% 47/142	+2.6% / +10.2%	−87.7% / −95.6%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −4.3%	Not on one close	32% 90/278	+4.0% / +10.2%	−90.1% / −95.6%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −7.1%	Enter above C$39.28 (+2.0%)	33% 162/484	+9.7% / +9.4%	−85.4% / −95.6%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −2.6%	Enter above C$43.78 (+13.7%)	39% 69/176	+11.8% / +10.0%	−84.2% / −95.6%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below C$36.73 (−4.6%)	39% 152/393	+8.3% / +9.1%	−79.5% / −95.6%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −2.8%	Not on one close	29% 36/126	+3.3% / +10.2%	−77.2% / −95.6%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$44.45 (+15.4%)	29% 44/153	+9.5% / +10.6%	−86.2% / −95.6%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −4.3%	Enter above C$40.10 (+4.1%)	32% 100/310	−2.0% / +10.5%	−87.6% / −95.6%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −4.3%	Enter above C$61.45 (+59.5%)	29% 57/197	+9.6% / +10.6%	−89.9% / −95.6%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 −10.3%	Not on one close	37% 75/205	+6.0% / +13.8%	−73.0% / −91.3%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$43.32 (+12.5%)	28% 45/158	+7.9% / +9.2%	−89.6% / −95.2%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +2.2%	Enter above C$41.64 (+8.1%)	29% 29/101	+7.8% / +9.2%	−87.1% / −95.2%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −4.3%	Not on one close	32% 64/200	−3.8% / +16.2%	−89.0% / −86.9%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2024 +285.9%	Not on one close	39% 14/36	+2.7% / +10.6%	−23.4% / −95.6%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Aug 5, 2026 +2.6%	Exit below C$36.62 (−4.9%)	34% 35/103	+7.1% / +10.2%	−89.8% / −95.6%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$43.88 (+13.9%)	30% 35/118	+0.3% / +9.9%	−81.0% / −95.6%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$43.88 (+13.9%)	32% 23/72	+8.2% / +9.9%	−66.7% / −95.6%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Mar 13, 2026 −18.1%	Enter above C$44.44 (+15.4%)	35% 26/74	+4.4% / +9.2%	−50.0% / −95.2%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$40.05 (+4.0%)	33% 32/98	+4.1% / +10.2%	−75.5% / −95.6%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$42.83 (+11.2%)	30% 39/128	+2.8% / +10.8%	−76.5% / −95.6%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −1.3%	Enter above C$41.14 (+6.8%)	34% 60/178	+7.6% / +9.9%	−62.8% / −95.6%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$41.87 (+8.7%)	32% 54/168	−0.4% / +10.5%	−80.8% / −95.6%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$41.75 (+8.4%)	28% 48/170	−1.2% / +10.2%	−92.4% / −95.6%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −2.6%	Enter above C$40.57 (+5.3%)	35% 78/224	+7.3% / +9.3%	−86.8% / −95.6%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$40.18 (+4.3%)	24% 76/316	−0.6% / +10.1%	−94.3% / −95.6%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −7.6%	Not on one close	25% 42/170	−5.4% / +10.2%	−76.5% / −95.6%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Aug 27, 2025 +62.2%	Enter above C$46.19 (+19.9%)	35% 39/110	+2.9% / +10.8%	−35.7% / −95.6%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above C$40.63 (+5.5%)	35% 201/570	−1.4% / +9.3%	−90.1% / −95.6%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Feb 19, 2025 +197.7%	Enter above C$41.14 (+6.8%)	50% 10/20	+4.5% / +12.8%	−31.4% / −91.4%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	May 31, 2024 +319.2%	Exit below C$32.21 (−16.4%)	32% 12/37	+11.5% / +25.0%	−82.0% / −77.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	May 31, 2024 +319.2%	Not on one close	42% 13/31	+10.0% / +25.0%	−77.4% / −77.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2024 +241.3%	Exit below C$35.81 (−7.0%)	42% 14/33	+13.1% / +25.0%	−69.7% / −77.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below C$38.04 (−1.2%)	20% 24/123	+1.1% / +9.2%	−87.2% / −95.3%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Mar 31, 2026 −11.6%	Enter above C$54.83 (+42.4%)	32% 7/22	+2.6% / +23.3%	−48.6% / −77.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	May 1, 2026 −5.8%	Enter above C$40.81 (+5.9%)	28% 22/80	+15.7% / +10.7%	−71.2% / −94.2%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −5.5%	Enter above C$39.23 (+1.8%)	32% 123/388	−5.6% / +10.6%	−96.9% / −95.6%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below C$38.03 (−1.3%)	29% 189/641	+1.7% / +10.6%	−85.6% / −95.6%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −4.2%	Enter above C$47.73 (+23.9%)	34% 96/281	−4.2% / +9.7%	−94.1% / −95.6%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Oct 29, 2021 +477.0%	Not on one close	26% 5/19	+2.2% / +16.0%	−83.7% / −77.8%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −7.6%	Enter above C$41.07 (+6.6%)	30% 141/466	+3.0% / +10.2%	−66.7% / −95.6%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −9.0%	Enter above C$59.04 (+53.3%)	36% 84/235	−4.2% / +9.2%	−88.7% / −95.2%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +0.8%	Enter above C$44.75 (+16.2%)	29% 42/147	+7.6% / +9.2%	−88.1% / −95.2%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Aug 31, 2026 −5.5%	Exit below C$37.63 (−2.3%)	39% 29/75	+16.4% / +25.0%	−71.3% / −77.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	May 31, 2024 +319.2%	Not on one close	45% 14/31	+5.0% / +9.3%	−69.9% / −77.8%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2024 +241.3%	Not on one close	29% 6/21	+11.9% / +25.0%	−61.8% / −77.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −7.1%	Enter above C$43.22 (+12.2%)	29% 90/312	−8.3% / +13.8%	−93.2% / −91.3%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Mar 23, 2026 −8.8%	Not on one close	66% 19/29	−4.8% / +9.4%	−95.6% / −95.6%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	May 25, 2026 −8.5%	Not on one close	56% 110/198	+4.7% / +18.8%	−25.0% / −80.9%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 9, 2026 −10.3%	Not on one close	66% 170/258	+17.4% / +18.8%	−35.8% / −80.9%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 22, 2026 +11.9%	Buy below C$37.01 (−3.9%)	71% 120/170	+13.5% / +9.9%	−72.2% / −95.6%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Aug 13, 2026 −2.4%	Not on one close	65% 93/142	+5.0% / +9.5%	−94.8% / −95.6%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 −4.5%	Not on one close	66% 165/251	+5.7% / +9.4%	−94.2% / −95.6%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Aug 14, 2026 −2.8%	Not on one close	65% 44/68	+33.5% / +8.5%	−43.6% / −95.6%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Jun 9, 2009 +1,169.2%	Sell above C$101.73 (+164.1%)	100% 4/4	+19.3% / +18.8%	−80.9% / −80.9%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Oct 29, 2024 +221.1%	Not on one close	65% 31/48	+6.4% / +13.8%	−23.9% / −91.3%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Not on one close	49% 136/277	−1.1% / +10.8%	−87.0% / −95.6%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	54% 196/366	−0.7% / +10.8%	−88.8% / −95.6%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −0.1%	Buy below C$38.52 (0.0%)	58% 939/1628	+16.0% / +8.5%	−52.0% / −95.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	May 12, 2026 −16.9%	Not on one close	59% 40/68	+6.0% / +18.8%	−50.2% / −80.9%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.6%	Exit below C$37.03 (−3.9%)	39% 357/919	+6.0% / +10.6%	−83.4% / −95.6%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Sell above C$39.98 (+3.8%)	62% 70/112	+3.0% / +10.0%	−94.5% / −95.6%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.6%	Exit below C$38.52 (0.0%)	29% 186/637	+4.5% / +9.9%	−83.2% / −95.6%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Not on one close	37% 66/180	−4.1% / +10.2%	−95.7% / −95.6%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Aug 13, 2026 −2.4%	Not on one close	57% 24/42	+3.5% / +9.4%	−81.8% / −95.6%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +2.2%	Not on one close	36% 37/104	+14.2% / +25.0%	−68.2% / −77.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Exit below C$37.97 (−1.4%)	28% 170/613	+6.8% / +10.0%	−75.4% / −95.6%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Sep 15, 2026 −4.0%	Enter above C$43.42 (+12.7%)	32% 98/304	+5.7% / +9.9%	−85.0% / −95.6%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −2.3%	Not on one close	32% 162/508	−10.2% / +10.2%	−95.7% / −95.6%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +1.3%	Not on one close	29% 30/104	+5.4% / +24.5%	−87.4% / −77.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.6%	Sell C$36.46–C$38.57 (+0.1%)	37% 282/768	+8.4% / +10.2%	−75.4% / −94.6%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −5.9%	Not on one close	54% 62/115	−1.5% / +8.7%	−87.1% / −95.6%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −7.6%	Not on one close	38% 31/82	−0.4% / +8.5%	−76.9% / −95.7%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jun 2, 2026 −4.1%	Not on one close	63% 33/52	+6.6% / +10.5%	−25.5% / −95.6%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −7.8%	Buys Oct 30	61% 23/38	+20.8% / +8.5%	−71.0% / −95.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −2.1%	Window opens Apr 1	69% 27/39	+23.9% / +10.6%	−78.7% / −95.6%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 27, 2026 −11.8%	Window opens Oct 16	50% 19/38	+16.1% / +10.6%	−70.1% / −95.6%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 −4.1%	Buys Dec 23	66% 25/38	+10.8% / +8.5%	−18.6% / −95.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +1.3%	Buys Oct 29	50% 229/456	+8.5% / +8.5%	−53.1% / −95.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −1.7%	Sells Jun 30	44% 4/9	+1.1% / +8.5%	−48.7% / −95.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −9.0%	Buys Nov 24	52% 175/338	+3.7% / +8.5%	−21.7% / −95.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +416.6%	Not on one close	44% 8/18	+10.3% / +9.5%	−75.6% / −95.6%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	48% 953/1979	−4.6% / +8.5%	−97.8% / −95.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −2.8%	Buys Oct 27	50% 150/302	+6.7% / +8.5%	−19.4% / −95.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.1%	Sells Oct 16	52% 243/469	+10.5% / +8.5%	−71.0% / −95.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Oct 25, 2007	Always in	–	+8.6%	−95.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureHigh6 of 10 points

Market swings3/3
Past crashes1/2
Debt0/3
Run-up2/2

It moves about 2.1× its index.
It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 233% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020

OGC−53%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Sep 2022

OGC−19%

TSX−14%

Beta2.07Moves about 2.1× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture143%In months the TSX fell, this fell 143% as much on average.
Two-year change+233%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−33%
Debt to equity0.02×
Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
Interest cover71.4×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Gold · OceanaGold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and gold/copper mines in the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand. It explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$8.6B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$2.5B	Total sales.
P/E ratio	7.4×	Buyers pay C$7 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	7.6×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book	2.4×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	35.1%	Keeps 35¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+49.7%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+102.0%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	37.3%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$700M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$2.3B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$50.1M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$655M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.02×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	71.4×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$59.76	55% above the close, from 11 analysts (range C$44.96 to C$73.96).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	1.07%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

OGC: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Metals & mining: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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