Oct 13 close Sign in

Real estate

FirstService (FSV)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell22 / 100

Sell: 22 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (28%) scores 28 and lifts it; Off the high (−28% from its 1-year high) scores 7 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightFSVPointsWeightAdds
Plays in28%284011.2
Off the high−28% from its 1-year high7302.1
Trend−6% vs 200-day28308.4
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for FSV
FactorFSVPointsWhat it is
Plays in28%28The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside––How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating––The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E38.2×28Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E19.5×35Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales1.0×87Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book4.7×34Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield0.9%29Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth−1%28Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+2%16Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin3%26Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity12%48Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.90×32Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−28% from its 1-year high7How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−6% vs 200-day28How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−27%12The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on FSV

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in28 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.94×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−6%). Higher than on 17% of days since 2016. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about FSV now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved FSV lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 21+3.3% against the S&P/TSX1.7× a normal day

FSV +3.8%, the S&P/TSX +0.6% that session; +1.5% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on FSV was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for FSV starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.6%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.9% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Fri Sep 18−2.9% against the S&P/TSX1.5× a normal day

FSV −3.1%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; −2.6% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on FSV was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for FSV starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.2%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 8−3.0% against the S&P/TSX1.6× a normal day

FSV −4.1%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; −3.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on FSV was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for FSV starts Oct 4, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on FSV

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on FSV went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2015. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$183.79 (−1.3%)22% 77/350+5.7% / +16.0%−37.5% / −42.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −2.3%Enter above C$194.92 (+4.7%)29% 13/45+9.5% / +13.5%−26.7% / −42.8%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −2.5%Enter above C$188.84 (+1.4%)21% 39/187+8.2% / +15.1%−35.3% / −42.8%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJan 31, 2025 −28.6%Not on one close17% 19/113+4.0% / +12.1%−17.7% / −42.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTOct 24, 2025 −18.5%Enter above C$238.51 (+28.1%)40% 10/25+11.3% / +13.4%−28.5% / −42.8%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 19, 2025 −32.4%Enter above C$221.46 (+19.0%)23% 12/53+5.3% / +12.2%−36.0% / −42.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTOct 31, 2025 −15.9%Enter above C$194.85 (+4.7%)28% 7/25+5.2% / +13.5%−49.7% / −42.8%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJul 20, 2026 −9.6%Enter above C$197.71 (+6.2%)16% 10/63+10.1% / +13.4%−29.9% / −42.8%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTNov 19, 2025 −12.3%Enter above C$654.35 (+251.5%)40% 6/15+3.4% / +13.4%−52.2% / −42.8%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 23, 2025 −19.4%Not on one close20% 9/45+10.7% / +13.0%−27.4% / −42.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 −5.5%Enter above C$196.90 (+5.8%)36% 25/69+11.5% / +15.1%−26.9% / −42.8%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −2.5%Enter above C$188.02 (+1.0%)24% 102/429+6.8% / +16.5%−44.3% / −42.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$173.21 (−7.0%)33% 35/105+6.3% / +12.8%−40.5% / −42.8%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTNov 3, 2025 −15.1%Enter above C$524.56 (+181.8%)67% 6/9+10.5% / +11.1%−42.8% / −42.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTAug 13, 2026 −4.8%Enter above C$243.66 (+30.9%)29% 20/69+10.1% / +13.9%−27.9% / −42.8%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −3.3%Enter above C$196.87 (+5.8%)32% 20/63+10.4% / +15.0%−33.2% / −42.8%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$192.46 (+3.4%)42% 29/69+14.8% / +17.6%−32.8% / −42.8%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −3.7%Not on one close49% 88/181+13.4% / +17.6%−31.3% / −42.8%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −2.5%Enter above C$182.07 (−2.2%)41% 123/299+10.3% / +18.3%−34.5% / −42.8%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −3.7%Enter above C$197.06 (+5.9%)38% 40/105+8.6% / +16.6%−31.2% / −42.8%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$178.30 (−4.2%)36% 91/252+10.2% / +17.7%−37.4% / −42.8%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTApr 21, 2026 −6.8%Enter above C$191.63 (+2.9%)33% 27/83+7.2% / +16.2%−22.8% / −42.8%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$205.80 (+10.6%)29% 28/95+10.4% / +15.7%−30.9% / −42.8%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTJul 24, 2026 −3.7%Enter above C$186.60 (+0.2%)41% 37/91+10.2% / +17.6%−32.1% / −42.8%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −6.5%Enter above C$187.47 (+0.7%)36% 41/115+13.3% / +15.7%−29.1% / −42.8%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −6.4%Not on one close34% 44/128+6.0% / +12.8%−28.5% / −42.8%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTAug 13, 2026 −4.8%Enter above C$204.11 (+9.6%)33% 27/82+9.6% / +15.1%−28.0% / −42.8%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −3.3%Enter above C$255.24 (+37.1%)35% 15/43+12.0% / +15.1%−26.9% / −42.8%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTJul 24, 2026 −3.7%Not on one close38% 36/94+5.3% / +13.6%−29.6% / −42.8%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTNov 21, 2024 −29.5%Not on one close57% 25/44+5.2% / +15.7%−10.2% / −42.8%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$187.95 (+1.0%)38% 24/64+11.1% / +17.6%−26.1% / −42.8%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −6.4%Enter above C$205.25 (+10.3%)35% 26/74+6.7% / +14.6%−21.0% / −42.8%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −6.4%Enter above C$205.25 (+10.3%)35% 18/52+6.1% / +14.6%−29.0% / −42.8%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 22, 2025 −31.3%Enter above C$377.71 (+102.9%)40% 17/42+12.6% / +15.1%−14.9% / −42.8%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 +1.1%Not on one close41% 22/54+9.0% / +17.6%−31.8% / −42.8%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJan 23, 2026 −14.3%Enter above C$194.05 (+4.2%)35% 27/78+6.4% / +16.5%−18.6% / −42.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 21, 2026 −7.8%Enter above C$188.09 (+1.0%)34% 37/108+6.9% / +17.7%−22.3% / −42.8%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$190.55 (+2.4%)38% 34/90+12.6% / +17.6%−27.0% / −42.8%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 +2.0%Enter above C$190.15 (+2.1%)37% 29/79+12.3% / +17.6%−43.6% / −42.8%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$205.80 (+10.6%)41% 11/27+13.3% / +17.0%−33.2% / −42.8%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −2.5%Enter above C$186.29 (+0.1%)26% 41/159+11.2% / +16.6%−27.7% / −42.8%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJun 11, 2026 −5.3%Not on one close26% 24/92+1.6% / +17.6%−14.1% / −42.8%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJun 16, 2026 −6.3%Enter above C$192.96 (+3.7%)42% 34/80+5.2% / +16.5%−11.5% / −42.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$182.67 (−1.9%)32% 123/383+7.8% / +18.0%−44.9% / −42.8%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTDec 13, 2024 −29.4%Not on one close30% 6/20+4.0% / +12.7%−8.6% / −42.8%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTOct 31, 2025 −15.9%Enter above C$229.54 (+23.3%)43% 3/7+11.1% / +12.0%−42.8% / −42.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 −14.6%Not on one close45% 5/11+10.6% / +12.0%−42.8% / −42.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTJun 30, 2025 −20.9%Enter above C$255.23 (+37.1%)53% 10/19+11.4% / +12.0%−44.4% / −42.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −2.5%Not on one close24% 18/74+4.8% / +15.1%−24.7% / −42.8%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTOct 31, 2025 −15.9%Enter above C$214.05 (+15.0%)56% 5/9+7.0% / +12.6%−24.4% / −42.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTSep 19, 2025 −32.4%Enter above C$200.62 (+7.8%)26% 16/61+3.7% / +12.8%−36.0% / −42.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +1.7%Exit below C$172.21 (−7.5%)34% 76/221+6.7% / +15.7%−36.4% / −42.8%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$183.86 (−1.2%)27% 112/421+3.7% / +15.7%−37.2% / −42.8%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$153.50 (−17.5%)38% 60/157+5.5% / +15.3%−29.7% / −42.8%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −11.2%Enter above C$191.22 (+2.7%)50% 1/2+2.4% / +9.4%−28.2% / −42.8%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$185.44 (−0.4%)28% 88/313+4.8% / +17.6%−23.1% / −42.8%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +2.9%Exit below C$149.46 (−19.7%)34% 45/131+4.1% / +15.1%−29.8% / −42.8%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$207.19 (+11.3%)30% 28/93+10.8% / +15.1%−30.9% / −42.8%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −5.5%Enter above C$186.79 (+0.3%)27% 9/33+4.9% / +12.0%−49.7% / −42.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 −14.6%Not on one close45% 5/11+8.0% / +9.7%−42.8% / −42.8%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTJul 31, 2025 −31.2%Not on one close59% 10/17+12.9% / +12.0%−42.8% / −42.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.1%Exit below C$174.09 (−6.5%)35% 55/159+4.1% / +12.8%−34.1% / −42.8%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINNov 11, 2025 −14.4%Not on one close53% 9/17+6.1% / +18.3%−30.0% / −42.8%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 14, 2025 −27.6%Not on one close63% 98/156+3.2% / +13.4%−16.1% / −42.8%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTNov 28, 2025 −14.6%Not on one close66% 130/198+7.1% / +13.4%−27.8% / −42.8%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Buy below C$178.35 (−4.2%)65% 62/96+5.8% / +17.7%−35.9% / −42.8%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 14, 2026 −1.0%Not on one close69% 56/81+9.5% / +17.8%−39.9% / −42.8%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 3, 2026 −5.3%Exit below C$185.64 (−0.3%)62% 92/149+10.3% / +18.3%−41.7% / −42.8%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +3.7%Not on one close63% 27/43+7.9% / +16.7%−44.8% / −42.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINMar 11, 2016 +273.9%Sell above C$477.88 (+156.7%)–+13.4% / +13.4%−42.8% / −42.8%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTOct 31, 2025 −15.9%Buy below C$162.32 (−12.8%)50% 4/8+2.3% / +12.8%−6.7% / −42.8%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +2.9%Not on one close50% 82/164+6.7% / +16.5%−41.8% / −42.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +2.9%Not on one close56% 128/230+8.5% / +16.5%−39.2% / −42.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +3.8%Buy below C$186.15 (0.0%)54% 505/941−2.5% / +22.7%−26.9% / −42.8%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJan 8, 2026 −13.5%Not on one close56% 29/52+1.2% / +13.4%−36.0% / −42.8%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$178.33 (−4.2%)35% 191/547+3.9% / +15.7%−51.1% / −42.8%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINJul 31, 2026 −5.5%Sell above C$185.88 (−0.1%)54% 34/63+4.0% / +16.4%−48.6% / −42.8%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +1.1%Not on one close27% 106/393+9.5% / +17.7%−29.9% / −42.8%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −5.5%Not on one close46% 45/97+10.3% / +17.6%−42.0% / −42.8%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINSep 21, 2026 −0.1%Not on one close41% 7/17+1.1% / +18.3%−42.6% / −42.8%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINMay 27, 2026 +0.3%Not on one close34% 20/58+10.7% / +12.1%−23.5% / −42.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 −5.9%Enter above C$187.24 (+0.6%)30% 108/361+9.7% / +16.1%−30.1% / −42.8%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$178.51 (−4.1%)37% 71/193+11.4% / +17.7%−28.6% / −42.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$186.15 (0.0%)38% 116/308+5.8% / +17.6%−41.6% / −42.8%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTOct 28, 2025 −15.5%Not on one close35% 15/43+8.6% / +12.7%−42.8% / −42.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINSep 11, 2026 −2.3%Not on one close38% 159/424+7.7% / +14.2%−38.3% / −42.8%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINAug 18, 2026 −5.3%Exit below C$185.85 (−0.2%)49% 38/77+4.3% / +16.9%−44.8% / −42.8%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −2.5%Not on one close31% 18/58+7.0% / +17.2%−28.6% / −42.8%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +1.9%Not on one close38% 16/42+1.8% / +17.4%−10.5% / −42.8%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +2.7%Buys Oct 3055% 12/22+6.0% / +22.7%−43.3% / −42.8%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 24, 2026 −6.5%Not on one close36% 8/22+3.5% / +15.7%−43.0% / −42.8%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 −4.5%Window opens Oct 1636% 8/22+1.8% / +15.7%−46.1% / −42.8%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −11.0%Buys Dec 2327% 6/22+0.5% / +22.7%−12.8% / −42.8%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +1.9%Buys Oct 2945% 123/274+1.7% / +22.7%−23.7% / −42.8%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +2.2%Sells Jun 3067% 4/6+10.6% / +22.7%−18.8% / −42.8%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −6.5%Buys Nov 2450% 101/202+5.3% / +22.7%−6.2% / −42.8%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +15.1%Not on one close38% 3/8+6.4% / +12.8%−40.3% / −42.8%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1652% 622/1187+25.1% / +22.7%−38.2% / −42.8%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +0.7%Buys Oct 2742% 76/180+2.1% / +22.7%−11.1% / −42.8%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +1.1%Sells Oct 1644% 124/281+2.6% / +22.7%−47.0% / −42.8%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINMay 27, 2015Always in–+24.7%−42.8%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings1/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It fell about 2.0× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2020

FSV−42%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jun 2022 · back to its old high Sep 2024

FSV−41%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.90Moves about 0.9× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture191%In months the TSX fell, this fell 191% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−26%
  • From 52-week high−28%
  • Debt to equity1.13×
  • Net debt / EBITDA2.6×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover4.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Real Estate Services · FirstService Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides residential property management and other essential property services to residential and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: FirstService Residential and FirstService Brands.

Size and valuation
Market capC$8.1BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$5.6BTotal sales.
P/E ratio38.2×Buyers pay C$38 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E19.5×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book4.7×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin2.9%Keeps 3¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+2.4%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth−1.1%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity12.0%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$320MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$1.4BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$1.6BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$173MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity1.13×Moderate.
Interest cover4.6×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$240.1329% above the close, from 1 analysts (range C$240.13 to C$240.13).
Dividend yield0.94%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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