Oct 13 close Sign in

Media & telecom

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Sell22 / 100

Sell: 22 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (22%) scores 22 and lifts it; Off the high (−24% from its 1-year high) scores 21 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightTTWOPointsWeightAdds
Plays in22%22408.8
Off the high−24% from its 1-year high21306.3
Trend−10% vs 200-day22306.6
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for TTWO
FactorTTWOPointsWhat it is
Plays in22%22The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+43% · 29 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.2 · strong buy90The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E19.5×35Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG2.8218P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales5.6×33Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book10.4×17Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+15%53Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin−5%10Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity−9%10Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.70×42Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high−24% from its 1-year high21How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−10% vs 200-day22How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−22%15The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on TTWO

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in22 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.90×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−10%). Higher than on 19% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about TTWO now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

TTWO, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved TTWO lately

Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Tue Sep 15−4.5% against the S&P 5002.0× a normal day

TTWO −4.9%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; −7.7% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TTWO was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TTWO starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 9 other Media & telecom stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on TTWO

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on TTWO went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $208.29 (+4.0%)27% 171/642+0.5% / +10.3%−70.3% / −80.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 4, 2026 −6.7%Enter above $228.16 (+13.9%)26% 30/115+5.3% / +10.3%−68.5% / −80.8%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTAug 19, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $216.52 (+8.1%)22% 85/386+4.1% / +10.3%−57.3% / −80.8%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJan 26, 2026 −18.4%Not on one close18% 38/210+1.6% / +10.6%−48.6% / −80.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 4, 2026 −6.7%Enter above $223.28 (+11.5%)25% 18/71+7.4% / +10.3%−68.0% / −80.8%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 10, 2026 −17.6%Enter above $248.84 (+24.2%)32% 24/76+7.4% / +10.3%−61.5% / −80.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $220.81 (+10.2%)27% 13/49+6.0% / +10.3%−74.9% / −80.8%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $222.97 (+11.3%)11% 19/167+5.6% / +10.3%−69.0% / −80.8%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −1.8%Enter above $381.16 (+90.3%)39% 13/33+4.6% / +10.3%−82.1% / −80.8%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJan 29, 2026 −16.3%Not on one close14% 17/121+4.0% / +10.3%−64.7% / −80.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTAug 21, 2026 −16.4%Enter above $231.07 (+15.3%)38% 53/140+4.4% / +10.3%−74.3% / −80.8%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Enter above $209.76 (+4.7%)25% 205/815+0.1% / +10.3%−73.0% / −80.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −1.8%Exit below $170.30 (−15.0%)33% 91/273+1.5% / +10.3%−62.9% / −80.8%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTSep 17, 2026 −4.9%Enter above $402.42 (+100.9%)26% 8/31+3.9% / +9.8%−83.4% / −80.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −14.0%Enter above $328.47 (+64.0%)26% 35/137+4.3% / +10.3%−60.6% / −80.8%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −14.2%Not on one close28% 34/122+8.4% / +10.3%−52.8% / −80.8%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $220.06 (+9.9%)35% 53/153+1.4% / +10.3%−61.7% / −80.8%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −14.0%Not on one close43% 139/325+0.1% / +10.3%−72.9% / −80.8%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $211.45 (+5.6%)38% 213/568+1.7% / +10.3%−58.0% / −80.8%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −14.0%Enter above $224.26 (+12.0%)34% 78/228+0.0% / +10.3%−72.6% / −80.8%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $215.27 (+7.5%)36% 172/474+3.0% / +10.3%−57.8% / −80.8%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 17, 2026 −15.4%Enter above $351.17 (+75.3%)32% 55/174+0.4% / +10.3%−56.2% / −80.8%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −14.2%Enter above $249.80 (+24.7%)29% 53/185+3.8% / +10.3%−59.2% / −80.8%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 −6.1%Exit below $204.90 (+2.3%)37% 88/237+8.3% / +10.3%−57.5% / −80.8%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 −16.6%Enter above $217.52 (+8.6%)30% 67/221+4.9% / +10.3%−60.2% / −80.8%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −4.3%Not on one close38% 89/237+7.9% / +10.3%−47.0% / −80.8%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −14.2%Enter above $247.85 (+23.7%)29% 50/171+3.7% / +10.3%−60.2% / −80.8%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $354.41 (+76.9%)29% 30/103+7.0% / +10.3%−65.4% / −80.8%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTJul 10, 2026 −17.6%Enter above $209.55 (+4.6%)35% 69/198+1.1% / +10.3%−61.8% / −80.8%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTMar 10, 2025 −0.8%Not on one close48% 20/42+2.1% / +10.3%−17.2% / −80.8%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $215.66 (+7.7%)33% 45/138−2.7% / +10.3%−73.1% / −80.8%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −14.2%Enter above $256.62 (+28.1%)24% 36/148−1.5% / +10.3%−60.7% / −80.8%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 14, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $256.62 (+28.1%)28% 29/104+0.8% / +10.3%−59.3% / −80.8%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −14.2%Enter above $490.81 (+145.0%)27% 28/102−0.3% / +10.3%−64.6% / −80.8%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −6.1%Exit below $199.46 (−0.4%)31% 37/119+2.5% / +10.3%−59.6% / −80.8%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJul 14, 2026 −15.5%Enter above $227.50 (+13.6%)28% 44/158−0.9% / +10.3%−57.4% / −80.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −17.1%Enter above $213.51 (+6.6%)29% 67/230−1.5% / +10.3%−61.8% / −80.8%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $222.91 (+11.3%)34% 67/195−1.7% / +10.3%−75.2% / −80.8%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 21, 2026 −15.1%Enter above $221.40 (+10.5%)32% 58/179+3.0% / +10.3%−49.7% / −80.8%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −14.0%Enter above $218.40 (+9.0%)33% 47/144+3.3% / +10.3%−69.5% / −80.8%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −14.0%Enter above $213.51 (+6.6%)24% 89/373−0.6% / +10.3%−64.4% / −80.8%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −20.3%Not on one close23% 37/158−1.5% / +10.3%−39.9% / −80.8%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 −17.4%Enter above $223.29 (+11.5%)30% 41/138−2.6% / +10.3%−54.3% / −80.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $204.59 (+2.1%)33% 223/670+1.5% / +10.3%−71.9% / −80.8%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −17.1%Enter above $213.51 (+6.6%)27% 12/440.0% / +10.3%−29.1% / −80.8%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $265.84 (+32.7%)41% 11/27+8.7% / +10.3%−75.0% / −80.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close66% 19/29+12.0% / +10.3%−62.2% / −80.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTFeb 27, 2026 −5.3%Enter above $295.59 (+47.6%)52% 14/27+10.6% / +10.3%−75.0% / −80.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Not on one close18% 31/177+4.9% / +10.3%−56.5% / −80.8%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $245.49 (+22.5%)38% 9/24+7.9% / +10.3%−47.2% / −80.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTAug 28, 2026 −14.9%Enter above $235.54 (+17.6%)26% 32/124+6.4% / +10.3%−63.1% / −80.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −3.5%Exit below $187.78 (−6.3%)36% 157/437+1.8% / +10.3%−72.0% / −80.8%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $206.36 (+3.0%)29% 223/768+2.1% / +10.3%−69.5% / −80.8%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −1.6%Exit below $154.26 (−23.0%)40% 125/312−0.7% / +10.3%−80.4% / −80.8%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −3.5%Enter above $251.65 (+25.6%)43% 6/14+10.9% / +13.3%−79.8% / −79.7%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Enter above $215.27 (+7.5%)28% 175/632−5.1% / +10.3%−78.8% / −80.8%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −1.1%Exit below $118.15 (−41.0%)42% 113/270+2.1% / +10.3%−67.7% / −80.8%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTAug 24, 2026 −14.2%Enter above $252.27 (+25.9%)26% 49/185+3.2% / +10.3%−59.9% / −80.8%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Enter above $217.01 (+8.3%)35% 29/83+5.1% / +10.3%−73.5% / −80.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close65% 15/23+15.5% / +13.2%−48.5% / −79.7%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −8.8%Not on one close62% 21/34+11.5% / +10.3%−43.9% / −80.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −1.8%Exit below $187.82 (−6.2%)34% 117/349+0.5% / +10.3%−64.7% / −80.8%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 10, 2026 −7.7%Not on one close57% 16/280.0% / +10.3%−78.7% / −80.8%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −14.9%Not on one close58% 170/291−0.7% / +10.3%−73.5% / −80.8%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −7.7%Not on one close66% 264/401+9.0% / +10.3%−63.9% / −80.8%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −4.3%Buy below $197.35 (−1.5%)66% 132/200+6.6% / +10.3%−68.9% / −80.8%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINJul 27, 2026 −17.9%Not on one close58% 90/155+6.4% / +10.3%−69.1% / −80.8%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Not on one close63% 177/283+10.5% / +10.3%−71.9% / −80.8%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINAug 25, 2026 −14.0%Not on one close67% 50/75+6.4% / +10.3%−74.5% / −80.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +793.3%Sell above $538.92 (+169.0%)–+10.3% / +10.3%−80.8% / −80.8%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMay 13, 2022 +82.2%Not on one close62% 15/24+2.6% / +10.3%−16.5% / −80.8%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINAug 20, 2026 −16.6%Not on one close45% 149/331+5.1% / +10.3%−56.3% / −80.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Not on one close57% 244/431+7.1% / +10.3%−58.7% / −80.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −0.6%Buy below $200.32 (0.0%)55% 949/1738+0.1% / +10.3%−63.2% / −80.8%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close59% 57/96+2.7% / +10.3%−70.1% / −80.8%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $220.16 (+9.9%)39% 395/1018+5.8% / +10.3%−58.8% / −80.8%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINJul 31, 2026 −17.5%Sell above $211.68 (+5.7%)57% 81/143+11.0% / +10.3%−63.2% / −80.8%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $200.32 (+0.0%)29% 201/700+6.7% / +10.3%−58.7% / −80.8%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTJul 17, 2026 −15.4%Not on one close42% 86/203+4.1% / +10.3%−76.4% / −80.8%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −1.5%Not on one close62% 32/52+5.4% / +10.3%−78.7% / −80.8%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINMay 3, 2024 +37.3%Exit below $192.15 (−4.1%)36% 35/96+7.7% / +10.8%−47.0% / −80.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $213.88 (+6.8%)27% 181/672−0.4% / +10.3%−58.8% / −80.8%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Exit below $200.95 (+0.3%)34% 127/378+3.4% / +10.3%−66.3% / −80.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close35% 212/614+1.4% / +10.3%−73.4% / −80.8%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −6.4%Not on one close34% 26/77+10.5% / +10.7%−60.1% / −80.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −3.5%Sell $199.54–$201.10 (+0.4%)33% 311/933+1.2% / +10.3%−78.2% / −80.8%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Enter above $209.09 (+4.4%)50% 68/137+5.2% / +10.3%−77.0% / −80.8%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTNov 7, 2025 −13.7%Not on one close36% 34/94+3.3% / +10.3%−58.6% / −80.8%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 3, 2026 −18.3%Not on one close48% 19/40+1.5% / +10.3%−19.6% / −80.8%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −6.3%Buys Oct 3049% 21/43+4.7% / +10.3%−63.9% / −80.8%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 −6.0%Not on one close53% 23/43+6.9% / +10.3%−60.8% / −80.8%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTMay 26, 2026 −9.2%Window opens Oct 1651% 22/43+7.3% / +10.3%−57.5% / −80.8%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −22.1%Buys Dec 2345% 20/44+2.2% / +10.3%−14.2% / −80.8%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.5%Buys Oct 2947% 246/526−0.2% / +10.3%−54.0% / −80.8%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −3.5%Sells Jun 3064% 7/11+6.1% / +10.3%−43.2% / −80.8%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −6.7%Buys Nov 2450% 202/400+4.4% / +10.3%−12.7% / −80.8%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +92.4%Not on one close40% 8/20+8.6% / +10.3%−61.8% / −80.8%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Sells Oct 1651% 1173/2284+8.0% / +10.3%−77.2% / −80.8%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −5.4%Buys Oct 2747% 163/348+2.0% / +10.3%−17.2% / −80.8%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.2%Sells Oct 1649% 264/541+5.5% / +10.3%−72.0% / −80.8%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 3, 2005Always in–+10.3%−80.8%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Aug 2013

TTWO−69%
S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Mar 2020

TTWO−12%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to May 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2024

TTWO−42%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta0.86Moves about 0.9× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture−87%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell -87% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+29%
  • From 52-week high−24%
  • Debt to equity0.84×
  • Net debt / EBITDA1.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover−0.2×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. develops, publishes, and markets interactive entertainment solutions for consumers worldwide. The company develops and publishes action/adventure products under the Grand Theft Auto, LA Noire, Max Payne, Midnight Club, and Red Dead Redemption names, as well as other franchises.

Size and valuation
Market cap$37.5BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$6.7BTotal sales. The market values it at 5.6× sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E19.5×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book10.4×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−4.8%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth+15.3%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Return on equity−8.9%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$1.3BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$3.5BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$2.9BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$1.8BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.84×Moderate.
Interest cover−0.2×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$286.4443% above the close, from 29 analysts (range $170.00 to $368.00).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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