Oct 13 close Sign in

Industrials & materials

SpaceX (SPCX)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

No score– / 100

Not enough data for these weights: SPCX has no Off the high, Trend.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightSPCXPointsWeightAdds
Plays in59%5940–
Off the high––30–
Trend––30–
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for SPCX
FactorSPCXPointsWhat it is
Plays in59%59The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+41% · 31 analysts88How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.8 · buy61The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E78.7×2Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales89.5×0Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book16.2×9Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+92%96Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin−36%4Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity––Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher.
Debt to equity0.31×65Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high––How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend––How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum––The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on SPCX

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in35 / 59Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm test

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about SPCX now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

SPCX, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved SPCX lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Oct 5+7.0% against the S&P 5001.6× a normal day

SPCX +7.6%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; +1.1% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

Fri Oct 2+6.6% against the S&P 5001.5× a normal day

SPCX +7.4%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; +7.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

Wed Sep 16+5.6% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day

SPCX +5.2%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; +5.5% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on SPCX was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for SPCX starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on SPCX

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on SPCX went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2026. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +4.9%Exit below $156.14 (−0.3%)50% 1/2– / –– / –
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINAug 11, 2026 +17.4%Exit below $153.53 (−1.9%)–– / –– / –
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −8.5%Exit below $137.48 (−12.2%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINJul 14, 2026 +15.0%Exit below $152.51 (−2.6%)–– / –– / –
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINAug 20, 2026 +16.8%Not on one close100% 1/1– / –– / –
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +3.8%Exit below $138.18 (−11.7%)40% 2/5– / –– / –
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINAug 17, 2026 +7.1%Exit below $142.87 (−8.7%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.5%Exit below $155.93 (−0.4%)33% 3/9– / –– / –
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +1.2%Exit below $151.86 (−3.0%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 9, 2026 +6.1%Exit below $104.23 (−33.4%)–– / –– / –
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINAug 7, 2026 +17.6%Exit below $156.07 (−0.3%)100% 1/1– / –– / –
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 9, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close–– / –– / –
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close–– / –– / –
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINAug 12, 2026 +7.1%Exit below $144.36 (−7.8%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +2.0%Exit below $146.03 (−6.7%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.5%Exit below $144.36 (−7.8%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINAug 12, 2026 +7.1%Exit below $145.36 (−7.1%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −8.5%Exit below $156.47 (0.0%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.5%Exit below $156.08 (−0.3%)0% 0/3– / –– / –
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINAug 12, 2026 +7.1%Exit below $153.87 (−1.7%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINAug 12, 2026 +7.1%Exit below $150.97 (−3.6%)0% 0/1– / –– / –
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINSep 3, 2026 +4.5%Exit below $144.09 (−8.0%)50% 2/4– / –– / –
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINAug 14, 2026 +11.8%Exit below $156.43 (−0.1%)33% 1/3– / –– / –
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −6.6%Not on one close0% 0/2– / –– / –
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −8.5%Exit below $162.68 (+3.9%)0% 0/3– / –– / –
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINSep 29, 2026 +4.9%Exit below $145.88 (−6.8%)44% 4/9– / –– / –
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −8.5%Exit below $163.40 (+4.4%)50% 1/2– / –– / –
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $163.81 (+4.6%)0% 0/6– / –– / –
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −4.2%Exit below $148.71 (−5.0%)50% 1/2– / –– / –
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.5%Enter above $172.57 (+10.2%)25% 2/8– / –– / –
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 +4.7%Not on one close–– / –– / –
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 +24.9%Buy below $137.75 (−12.0%)100% 2/2– / –– / –
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTAug 13, 2026 +10.8%Not on one close100% 2/2– / –– / –
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −6.6%Not on one close75% 3/4– / –– / –
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJul 16, 2026 +19.4%Not on one close100% 1/1– / –– / –
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close0% 0/2– / –– / –
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −6.6%Enter above $158.04 (+1.0%)75% 3/4– / –– / –
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell above $156.54 (0.0%)68% 25/37– / –– / –
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.5%Enter above $179.65 (+14.8%)40% 2/5– / –– / –
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 +8.9%Buy below $153.90 (−1.7%)100% 1/1– / –– / –
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −8.5%Not on one close67% 2/3– / –– / –
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.2%Not on one close100% 2/2– / –– / –
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +5.7%Not on one close0% 0/2– / –– / –
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.5%Exit below $153.64 (−1.9%)11% 1/9– / –– / –
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.5%Exit below $139.33 (−11.0%)67% 2/3– / –– / –
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −3.7%Not on one close50% 4/8– / –– / –
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTAug 19, 2026 +12.1%Enter above $161.98 (+3.5%)100% 2/2– / –– / –
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 +16.8%Not on one close50% 1/2– / –– / –
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 +15.7%Not on one close–– / –– / –
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJun 12, 2026 −2.7%Buys Oct 30–– / –– / –
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.5%Window opens Apr 10% 0/1– / –– / –
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +6.1%Window opens Oct 16–– / –– / –
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJun 12, 2026 −2.7%Buys Dec 23–– / –– / –
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −8.5%Buys Oct 2950% 4/8– / –– / –
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +3.8%Sells Jun 30100% 1/1– / –– / –
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Buys Nov 2450% 3/6– / –– / –
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end–– –Not enough history–– / –– / –
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −4.2%Sells Oct 1643% 15/35– / –– / –
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +3.8%Buys Oct 2733% 2/6– / –– / –
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.5%Sells Oct 1662% 5/8– / –– / –
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJun 12, 2026Always in–––

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.

Past crashes, peak to low

Too young to have lived through a market crash, so there is no crash record to read.

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Aerospace & Defense · Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space.

Size and valuation
Market cap$2.1TWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$23.0BTotal sales. The market values it at 89.5× sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E78.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book16.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−35.7%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth+91.9%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Balance sheet
Total equity$41.3BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$39.7BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$100BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.96×Moderate.
Interest cover−1.2×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$221.2641% above the close, from 31 analysts (range $118.00 to $450.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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