Oct 13 close Sign in

Energy & power

Strathcona Resources (SCR)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold49 / 100

Hold: 49 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+9% vs 200-day) scores 71 and lifts it; Off the high (−18% from its 1-year high) scores 39 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightSCRPointsWeightAdds
Plays in41%414016.4
Off the high−18% from its 1-year high393011.7
Trend+9% vs 200-day713021.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for SCR
FactorSCRPointsWhat it is
Plays in41%41The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+22% · 10 analysts60How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.2 · buy40The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E20.8×63Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E9.0×89Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales2.1×69Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book1.9×77Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield3.0%69Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+44%68Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+49%84Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin21%67Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity8%35Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.44×56Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−18% from its 1-year high39How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+9% vs 200-day71How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+61%83The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure2/10 · low80The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on SCR

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in41 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.09×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+9%). Higher than on 65% of days since 2011. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about SCR now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved SCR lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 16−6.5% against the S&P/TSX2.2× a normal day

SCR −6.7%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −16.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on SCR was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for SCR starts Oct 3, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on SCR

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on SCR went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2010. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$40.24 (−2.7%)19% 101/525−29.7% / +7.5%−100.0% / −95.2%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 +6.5%Enter above C$41.24 (−0.3%)25% 17/67+7.6% / +2.0%−85.4% / −95.2%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$40.98 (−0.9%)21% 58/272−9.6% / +3.5%−99.2% / −95.2%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$41.77 (+1.0%)24% 17/70+15.0% / +1.8%−37.8% / −95.2%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 +6.5%Enter above C$41.41 (+0.2%)34% 13/38+21.5% / +5.5%−67.8% / −95.2%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 +6.5%Enter above C$41.41 (+0.2%)33% 15/46+15.3% / +1.8%−78.2% / −95.2%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINMay 30, 2025 +99.5%Exit below C$38.10 (−7.9%)36% 9/25+18.2% / +4.5%−66.4% / −95.2%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINMay 15, 2025 +87.8%Exit below C$37.83 (−8.5%)13% 13/98+12.6% / +2.6%−79.5% / −95.2%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINJun 24, 2025 +88.1%Not on one close36% 9/25+2.7% / +2.6%−90.4% / −95.2%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINJun 19, 2025 +84.1%Exit below C$37.83 (−8.5%)17% 9/54+16.2% / +2.9%−71.4% / −95.2%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 +6.5%Enter above C$46.24 (+11.8%)26% 28/107−3.9% / +4.7%−97.4% / −95.2%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Exit below C$39.86 (−3.6%)20% 126/635−30.8% / +7.0%−100.0% / −95.2%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$42.35 (+2.4%)35% 63/180+2.2% / +5.9%−96.2% / −95.2%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINJun 12, 2025 +76.7%Not on one close24% 6/25+12.5% / +5.3%−71.1% / −95.2%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +4.7%Enter above C$49.55 (+19.8%)24% 20/85+1.4% / +4.4%−95.2% / −95.2%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +4.7%Not on one close22% 19/86−4.8% / +7.5%−98.2% / −95.2%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$42.86 (+3.6%)29% 40/139−11.9% / +4.3%−98.8% / −95.2%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 +4.9%Not on one close38% 80/211+0.5% / +4.3%−92.8% / −95.2%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$37.65 (−8.9%)34% 132/386+13.1% / +3.6%−97.7% / −95.6%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$46.24 (+11.8%)32% 58/181−1.5% / +5.3%−98.0% / −95.2%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +3.6%Exit below C$38.31 (−7.4%)38% 115/300+8.2% / +4.6%−95.4% / −95.2%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMay 27, 2026 −3.6%Not on one close31% 38/122+4.2% / +5.0%−93.5% / −95.2%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +4.7%Enter above C$46.37 (+12.1%)27% 36/134+0.5% / +7.0%−97.3% / −95.2%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTSep 18, 2026 −2.3%Enter above C$40.36 (−2.4%)31% 83/270−4.7% / +4.3%−94.7% / −95.2%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +4.7%Enter above C$53.75 (+30.0%)28% 47/170+2.4% / +7.0%−95.6% / −95.2%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close35% 48/139−3.4% / +5.9%−93.6% / −95.2%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +4.7%Enter above C$45.28 (+9.5%)26% 34/132−0.1% / +3.5%−92.5% / −95.2%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 +6.5%Enter above C$51.04 (+23.4%)24% 18/75−0.9% / +3.5%−94.8% / −95.2%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −2.3%Not on one close32% 41/130−11.2% / +5.9%−94.7% / −95.2%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTDec 22, 2025 +44.8%Not on one close43% 12/28−1.1% / +7.0%−69.4% / −95.2%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$46.24 (+11.8%)34% 31/90−3.4% / +4.3%−98.1% / −95.2%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$46.24 (+11.8%)27% 25/92+0.1% / +7.0%−91.3% / −95.2%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 17, 2026 +0.5%Enter above C$46.24 (+11.8%)26% 18/70−1.7% / +7.0%−93.4% / −95.2%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$45.93 (+11.1%)32% 20/63+1.9% / +3.5%−83.7% / −95.2%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$42.27 (+2.2%)30% 31/104−13.0% / +4.3%−98.8% / −95.2%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −0.8%Enter above C$43.77 (+5.8%)29% 36/126−3.4% / +7.0%−91.6% / −95.2%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$43.15 (+4.3%)37% 53/142+10.6% / +5.0%−83.3% / −95.2%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$45.93 (+11.1%)35% 51/146+3.2% / +5.0%−88.2% / −95.2%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$42.53 (+2.8%)27% 48/181−9.4% / +4.3%−99.2% / −95.2%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$46.60 (+12.7%)36% 71/199+8.9% / +4.3%−84.1% / −95.2%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +1.6%Enter above C$41.72 (+0.9%)22% 69/315−17.5% / +5.3%−99.5% / −95.2%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTMay 21, 2026 −11.5%Not on one close25% 38/152−2.6% / +4.3%−74.8% / −95.2%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTSep 17, 2026 −3.6%Not on one close47% 34/72+11.3% / +7.0%−33.2% / −95.2%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$40.18 (−2.8%)31% 118/376−1.2% / +5.0%−95.4% / −95.2%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close33% 8/24−0.1% / +4.8%−56.5% / −95.2%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +69.1%Exit below C$27.79 (−32.8%)39% 7/18+6.8% / +2.2%−76.8% / −95.2%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINAug 29, 2025 +50.7%Not on one close56% 9/16+12.1% / +2.2%−65.7% / −95.2%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINAug 29, 2025 +50.7%Exit below C$30.90 (−25.3%)33% 6/18+6.2% / +2.2%−63.5% / −95.2%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 21, 2026 −5.8%Buy C$41.63–C$47.55 (+0.7%)16% 13/80+0.2% / +3.5%−75.0% / −95.2%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 +10.5%Enter above C$48.13 (+16.4%)50% 8/16+6.4% / +1.6%−44.1% / −95.2%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTSep 18, 2026 −2.3%Enter above C$43.17 (+4.4%)26% 22/85+4.6% / −2.5%−90.7% / −95.2%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.8%Exit below C$37.42 (−9.5%)30% 94/318−5.0% / +7.0%−99.3% / −95.2%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Exit below C$40.27 (−2.6%)21% 131/617−29.7% / +7.0%−100.0% / −95.2%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −5.7%Enter above C$41.52 (+0.4%)37% 84/230+9.1% / +7.0%−96.0% / −95.2%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJan 31, 2024 +151.3%Not on one close47% 7/15+17.2% / +6.5%−91.4% / −95.2%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −3.5%Enter above C$42.29 (+2.3%)29% 100/350+11.8% / +4.3%−78.3% / −95.2%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −2.3%Enter above C$47.99 (+16.1%)33% 69/207−0.8% / +3.5%−96.3% / −95.2%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +4.7%Enter above C$46.80 (+13.2%)27% 35/129−2.0% / +3.5%−97.2% / −95.2%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +6.6%Enter above C$38.86 (−6.0%)29% 16/55+7.4% / +2.2%−75.3% / −95.2%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINAug 29, 2025 +50.7%Not on one close62% 8/13+17.5% / +12.1%−61.2% / −95.2%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINNov 28, 2025 +36.6%Not on one close59% 10/17+6.5% / +2.2%−58.3% / −95.2%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 17, 2026 −3.6%Enter above C$40.32 (−2.5%)28% 70/246−0.2% / +5.9%−97.0% / −95.2%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINJul 7, 2026 +10.6%Not on one close67% 22/33+2.9% / +4.0%−84.2% / −95.2%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close62% 101/162+10.8% / +2.6%−59.9% / −95.2%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Buy C$37.83–C$39.90 (−3.5%)60% 123/206+7.5% / +2.6%−73.2% / −95.2%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Buy below C$37.15 (−10.2%)71% 113/160+10.0% / +5.0%−90.2% / −95.2%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +4.5%Not on one close62% 70/113+2.0% / +5.0%−92.5% / −95.2%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Exit below C$40.81 (−1.3%)42% 93/221−28.4% / +4.6%−99.9% / −95.2%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINSep 28, 2026 +5.8%Not on one close58% 19/33−5.2% / +5.3%−93.6% / −95.2%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINMar 18, 2021 +147.1%Sell above C$91.45 (+121.2%)77% 17/22+5.8% / +2.6%−95.2% / −95.2%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTApr 9, 2025 +122.1%Not on one close70% 42/60+9.4% / +5.9%−32.9% / −95.2%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Exit below C$39.88 (−3.5%)43% 101/236−10.9% / +7.0%−98.6% / −95.2%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Exit below C$40.76 (−1.4%)40% 127/314−28.2% / +7.0%−99.9% / −95.2%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Buy below C$41.35 (0.0%)55% 804/1454+123.4% / +5.6%−65.7% / −95.2%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +4.9%Sell above C$41.81 (+1.1%)51% 25/49−3.7% / +2.6%−85.9% / −95.2%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.0%Exit below C$39.31 (−4.9%)31% 256/837−7.1% / +7.0%−99.5% / −95.2%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −2.7%Sell above C$39.56 (−4.3%)59% 58/99+5.1% / +5.3%−86.8% / −95.2%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close28% 104/373+14.1% / +5.0%−95.1% / −95.2%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close35% 70/199−26.6% / +4.3%−99.8% / −95.2%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTFeb 26, 2026 +46.2%Not on one close50% 31/62−0.2% / +4.0%−90.4% / −95.2%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINFeb 27, 2026 +41.6%Exit below C$38.90 (−5.9%)33% 32/96+1.8% / +2.2%−85.0% / −95.2%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$40.37 (−2.4%)22% 91/409−9.9% / +5.0%−98.9% / −95.2%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −2.3%Enter above C$41.71 (+0.9%)32% 87/275+8.6% / +0.1%−95.3% / −95.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close28% 109/385−28.1% / +4.3%−99.8% / −95.2%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINFeb 9, 2026 +51.2%Not on one close30% 24/79+5.9% / +1.6%−74.3% / −95.2%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.0%Not on one close29% 163/554+5.5% / +4.4%−98.4% / −95.2%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +3.6%Not on one close62% 46/74+0.8% / +4.6%−88.0% / −95.2%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINAug 10, 2026 −1.0%Exit below C$38.32 (−7.3%)31% 11/35−0.5% / +5.6%−72.6% / −95.2%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTApr 17, 2026 +16.5%Not on one close44% 7/16+1.8% / +5.0%−12.8% / −95.2%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −1.8%Buys Oct 3055% 18/33+2.8% / +5.6%−93.1% / −95.2%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Window opens Apr 152% 17/33+10.4% / +7.0%−87.8% / −95.2%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +15.1%Window opens Oct 1650% 16/32+4.7% / +7.0%−93.1% / −95.2%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +49.8%Buys Dec 2347% 15/32+0.7% / +5.6%−46.0% / −95.2%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.9%Buys Oct 2948% 192/398+11.5% / +5.6%−60.8% / −95.2%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +6.6%Sells Jun 300% 0/9−16.4% / +5.6%−96.1% / −95.2%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −3.4%Buys Nov 2444% 128/292+0.3% / +5.6%−39.4% / −95.2%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +40.0%Not on one close58% 7/12−8.4% / +4.5%−95.1% / −95.2%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1639% 669/1727+4.8% / +5.6%−91.6% / −95.2%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −3.5%Buys Oct 2743% 113/262+4.5% / +5.6%−43.0% / −95.2%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.0%Sells Oct 1642% 170/409−12.3% / +5.6%−96.7% / −95.2%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINMar 25, 2010Always in–+5.6%−95.2%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow2 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up1/2
  • It fell about 1.5× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It is up 107% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Feb 2021

SCR−75%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2022

SCR−13%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.28Moves about 0.3× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−139%In months the TSX fell, this fell -139% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+107%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−18%
  • Debt to equity0.46×
  • Net debt / EBITDA1.2×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover4.5×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Oil & Gas E&P · Strathcona Resources Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and produces petroleum and natural gas reserves in Canada. It operates through three segments: Cold Lake, Lloydminster Thermal and Lloydminster Conventional segments. The Cold Lake Thermal segment includes three producing assets in the Cold Lake region of Alberta; Lindbergh, Orion, and Tucker. The Lloydminster Thermal segment comprises thermal oil assets in the Lloydminster region, consisting of multiple SAGD projects in southwestern Saskatchewan.

Size and valuation
Market capC$8.9BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$4.1BTotal sales. The market values it at 2.1× sales.
P/E ratio20.8×Buyers pay C$21 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E9.0×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book1.9×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin20.5%Keeps 21¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+48.8%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+44.2%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity8.0%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$2.0BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$4.3BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$2.0BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Debt to equity0.46×Comfortable.
Interest cover4.5×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$50.5022% above the close, from 10 analysts (range C$44.00 to C$63.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield3.00%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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