Industrials & rentals

Ryder System (R)

$239.39 +0.8% on the day·+35.5% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Your signal

Hold48 / 100

Hold: 48 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+3% vs 200-day) scores 53 and lifts it; Plays in (40%) scores 40 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	R	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	40%	40	40	16.0
Off the high	−14% from its 1-year high	52	30	15.6
Trend	+3% vs 200-day	53	30	15.9

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for R

Factor	R	Points	What it is
Plays in	40%	40	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+20% · 9 analysts	58	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.8 · buy	59	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	19.5×	66	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E	13.6×	62	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	0.86	75	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	0.7×	93	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book	3.2×	46	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yield	1.5%	42	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Earnings growth	+5%	33	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth	+1%	13	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin	4%	30	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity	17%	64	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity	2.59×	5	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high	−14% from its 1-year high	52	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+3% vs 200-day	53	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+36%	68	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	2/10 · low	80	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on R

40 of the 100 plays hold R right now.
The volume plays mostly say in; the breakout and pattern plays mostly say out.
It closed 3% above its 200-day average and 14% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it moves about 1.1× its index and carries 2.8× as much debt as equity.
Analysts' average 12-month target is $288.33, 20% above the close (9 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in40 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.03×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+3%). Higher than on 42% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about R now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn R: right 9 of 26 · Out since Aug 22, 2025 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn R: right 38 of 117 · Out since Aug 19, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn R: right 13 of 32 · In since Dec 30, 2022 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn R: right 114 of 186 · Out since Oct 9, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn R: right 16 of 33 · In since Jul 7, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn R: right 47 of 116 · Out since Jul 20, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn R: right 20 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

R, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved R lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Oct 8+1.7% against the S&P 5001.3× a normal day

R +1.2%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session.

HeadlineYahoo Finance · Oct 8, 12:40 pm ET
Ryder Boosts Its Northeast Network With Two New Used Truck Services
HeadlineStreetInsider · Oct 8, 5:07 am ET
Citi upgrades Ryder System stock to Buy with $285 target
HeadlineAD HOC NEWS · Oct 7, 10:03 pm ET
Ryder System stock fell 1.63 percent on October 7

Fri Oct 2+2.0% against the S&P 5001.6× a normal day

R +2.7%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; +0.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

Price target cutAnalyst rating · Oct 2, 8:57 am ET
Susquehanna cut its price target to $280 from $310, keeping Positive.
After price target cuts, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 53% of the time (1,291 of 2,458 on 197 stocks; median move −0.1%). This time the stock went the other way. Low predictability
R after price target cuts: behind its index at the first close after the news 1 of 3 times (median +0.2%).

Mon Sep 21−2.1% against the S&P 5001.6× a normal day

R −0.6%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; −2.5% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on R was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for R starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 8 other Industrials & rentals stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Thu Oct 22, 2026 before the open

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 4.15.

Over its last 12 reports, R's typical move against the S&P 500 at the first close after the report was ±3.4% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 6 times.
R after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 15 of 21 times (median +1.9%).
R after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 8 of 9 times (median −5.7%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on R

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following10 of 30 in Breakouts & channels0 of 15 in Momentum11 of 17 in Mean reversion7 of 15 in Volume & money flow7 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns0 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on R went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.4%	Exit below $236.42 (−1.2%)	24% 153/638	0.0% / +10.5%	−71.8% / −74.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −2.6%	Enter above $255.05 (+6.5%)	26% 30/115	+5.3% / +10.5%	−57.3% / −74.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Aug 18, 2026 −7.2%	Enter above $242.99 (+1.5%)	22% 82/369	+5.3% / +10.5%	−58.2% / −74.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Aug 6, 2026 −8.4%	Enter above $244.74 (+2.2%)	16% 36/226	0.0% / +10.5%	−62.7% / −74.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +0.4%	Enter above $246.46 (+3.0%)	21% 20/95	+2.2% / +10.5%	−54.0% / −74.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +0.4%	Enter above $246.46 (+3.0%)	22% 24/111	+2.7% / +10.5%	−42.9% / −74.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above $233.76 (−2.4%)	33% 17/51	+5.1% / +10.5%	−52.1% / −74.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 +3.7%	Exit below $232.15 (−3.0%)	16% 30/184	+7.8% / +10.5%	−50.4% / −74.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Jul 9, 2025 +44.0%	Not on one close	33% 10/30	+6.4% / +10.5%	−56.8% / −74.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 +3.7%	Exit below $232.15 (−3.0%)	19% 22/116	+6.9% / +10.5%	−29.6% / −74.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 −6.3%	Enter above $247.62 (+3.4%)	33% 47/143	+6.6% / +10.5%	−47.1% / −74.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Exit below $235.10 (−1.8%)	23% 194/831	+0.8% / +10.5%	−69.0% / −74.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Exit below $194.07 (−18.9%)	34% 91/266	+3.4% / +10.5%	−54.1% / −74.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jun 7, 2023 +205.3%	Not on one close	31% 8/26	+7.3% / +10.9%	−54.5% / −74.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 −4.1%	Enter above $313.70 (+31.0%)	26% 40/153	+3.8% / +10.5%	−50.5% / −74.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 −4.1%	Enter above $259.15 (+8.3%)	34% 38/113	+8.1% / +10.5%	−54.3% / −74.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above $244.32 (+2.1%)	34% 57/169	+6.3% / +10.5%	−59.6% / −74.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −6.9%	Not on one close	41% 134/329	+2.3% / +10.5%	−55.9% / −74.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.4%	Exit below $230.85 (−3.6%)	36% 216/600	+4.1% / +10.5%	−66.3% / −74.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above $247.99 (+3.6%)	40% 87/219	+9.2% / +10.5%	−45.5% / −74.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 +3.7%	Exit below $230.04 (−3.9%)	35% 174/501	−0.2% / +10.5%	−72.3% / −74.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Jun 26, 2026 −7.9%	Enter above $246.83 (+3.1%)	28% 43/153	−0.5% / +10.5%	−54.8% / −74.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above $261.08 (+9.1%)	28% 50/179	+5.1% / +10.5%	−63.2% / −74.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 −6.3%	Enter above $245.00 (+2.3%)	36% 89/249	+5.2% / +10.5%	−57.3% / −74.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above $239.76 (+0.2%)	28% 64/225	+3.2% / +10.5%	−57.7% / −74.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.4%	Not on one close	33% 83/250	+2.6% / +10.5%	−57.2% / −74.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 −6.3%	Enter above $260.33 (+8.7%)	29% 47/161	+3.1% / +10.5%	−74.8% / −74.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above $334.21 (+39.6%)	29% 30/105	+5.4% / +10.5%	−50.1% / −74.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Jun 17, 2026 −9.7%	Not on one close	31% 71/228	+0.6% / +10.5%	−61.3% / −74.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Aug 22, 2025 +30.6%	Not on one close	35% 9/26	+2.8% / +10.5%	−11.2% / −74.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above $242.36 (+1.2%)	37% 49/133	+7.4% / +10.5%	−56.2% / −74.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jul 28, 2026 −7.6%	Enter above $268.69 (+12.2%)	24% 40/167	−0.6% / +10.5%	−48.2% / −74.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above $268.69 (+12.2%)	28% 30/107	+5.2% / +10.5%	−50.8% / −74.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 −6.3%	Enter above $264.79 (+10.6%)	27% 30/113	+0.2% / +10.5%	−40.1% / −74.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 −6.3%	Not on one close	34% 40/116	+7.0% / +10.5%	−38.5% / −74.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Jun 24, 2026 −7.9%	Enter above $250.22 (+4.5%)	26% 45/173	−3.1% / +10.5%	−66.3% / −74.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 28, 2026 −7.6%	Enter above $242.66 (+1.4%)	31% 67/213	+0.8% / +10.5%	−59.2% / −74.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 −4.1%	Enter above $241.16 (+0.7%)	29% 59/201	+0.7% / +10.5%	−56.4% / −74.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Aug 10, 2026 −7.6%	Enter above $243.42 (+1.7%)	38% 72/191	+5.4% / +10.5%	−46.8% / −74.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 −4.1%	Enter above $276.98 (+15.7%)	32% 38/117	+2.2% / +10.5%	−72.3% / −74.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 −4.1%	Enter above $239.00 (−0.2%)	24% 89/371	+2.4% / +10.5%	−64.3% / −74.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jun 16, 2026 −12.5%	Not on one close	22% 44/198	−0.8% / +10.5%	−58.6% / −74.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Feb 24, 2026 +8.0%	Enter above $250.10 (+4.5%)	32% 44/136	+1.8% / +10.5%	−34.7% / −74.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −0.7%	Enter above $239.47 (+0.0%)	33% 240/738	−0.6% / +10.5%	−65.7% / −74.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 28, 2026 −7.6%	Not on one close	28% 14/50	+1.1% / +10.5%	−28.3% / −74.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2023 +202.8%	Exit below $172.41 (−28.0%)	31% 10/32	+5.5% / +10.7%	−57.4% / −74.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +211.5%	Not on one close	41% 13/32	+6.3% / +10.7%	−61.9% / −74.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Dec 31, 2025 +26.6%	Exit below $191.71 (−19.9%)	38% 15/40	+2.2% / +10.7%	−68.1% / −74.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Aug 20, 2026 −3.0%	Not on one close	21% 31/147	+6.0% / +10.5%	−44.4% / −74.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above $265.24 (+10.8%)	38% 10/26	+3.8% / +10.5%	−47.5% / −74.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Aug 21, 2026 −3.8%	Enter above $261.19 (+9.1%)	27% 33/123	+4.5% / +10.5%	−46.0% / −74.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Exit below $219.06 (−8.5%)	34% 145/431	+5.2% / +10.5%	−57.3% / −74.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.4%	Exit below $236.46 (−1.2%)	29% 224/778	+3.0% / +10.5%	−58.7% / −74.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +1.4%	Exit below $189.02 (−21.0%)	37% 115/312	+6.0% / +10.5%	−51.1% / −74.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2020 +672.8%	Not on one close	30% 6/20	+6.1% / +11.4%	−71.6% / −74.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Jul 23, 2026 −10.3%	Enter above $239.82 (+0.2%)	26% 161/616	−3.9% / +10.5%	−75.4% / −74.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +1.4%	Exit below $171.45 (−28.4%)	36% 102/282	+0.2% / +10.5%	−64.0% / −74.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Jul 30, 2026 −6.9%	Enter above $262.69 (+9.7%)	29% 50/175	+5.9% / +10.5%	−62.1% / −74.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −2.1%	Enter above $230.91 (−3.5%)	41% 32/78	+10.6% / +10.7%	−49.6% / −74.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +211.5%	Not on one close	47% 14/30	+8.5% / +10.6%	−39.9% / −74.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Nov 28, 2025 +39.9%	Not on one close	40% 12/30	+6.3% / +10.7%	−40.4% / −74.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +1.4%	Exit below $217.07 (−9.3%)	33% 116/348	+4.1% / +10.5%	−52.8% / −74.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 +3.7%	Not on one close	61% 20/33	+2.8% / +10.5%	−65.5% / −74.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Not on one close	63% 214/340	+6.2% / +10.5%	−30.5% / −74.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Not on one close	67% 282/419	+8.5% / +10.5%	−50.2% / −74.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +0.4%	Buy below $228.58 (−4.5%)	61% 114/186	−1.7% / +10.5%	−76.9% / −74.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Aug 3, 2026 −8.4%	Not on one close	65% 110/169	+7.4% / +10.5%	−68.6% / −74.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	OUT	Oct 12, 2026 +0.8%	Not on one close	68% 211/312	+8.1% / +10.5%	−69.3% / −74.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 +1.2%	Not on one close	61% 46/75	+4.1% / +10.5%	−72.6% / −74.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +674.9%	Sell above $561.11 (+134.4%)	–	+10.5% / +10.5%	−74.0% / −74.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Mar 14, 2025 +75.0%	Not on one close	64% 18/28	+3.2% / +10.5%	−12.4% / −74.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Aug 4, 2026 −10.6%	Exit below $235.27 (−1.7%)	45% 154/339	+2.8% / +10.5%	−76.8% / −74.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +3.0%	Not on one close	57% 249/434	+4.9% / +10.5%	−62.9% / −74.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Buy below $239.39 (0.0%)	55% 1032/1865	−0.6% / +10.5%	−58.7% / −74.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Not on one close	64% 65/102	+6.1% / +10.5%	−42.7% / −74.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +5.1%	Exit below $233.38 (−2.5%)	38% 402/1057	+6.3% / +10.5%	−62.9% / −74.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 −6.3%	Sell above $232.45 (−2.9%)	58% 75/129	+6.4% / +10.5%	−72.0% / −74.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below $239.39 (0.0%)	24% 214/876	−3.3% / +10.5%	−76.4% / −74.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Jul 1, 2026 −9.6%	Not on one close	38% 78/207	+3.6% / +10.5%	−64.2% / −74.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	Jul 7, 2026 −9.6%	Not on one close	48% 16/33	+3.5% / +10.5%	−61.5% / −74.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Oct 24, 2025 +51.0%	Not on one close	33% 42/126	+4.7% / +10.6%	−57.2% / −74.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Exit below $235.03 (−1.8%)	29% 208/719	+1.6% / +10.5%	−64.1% / −74.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 +0.8%	Exit below $225.39 (−5.8%)	31% 119/382	+3.7% / +10.5%	−55.1% / −74.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Aug 7, 2026 −8.3%	Enter above $239.39 (+0.0%)	32% 206/652	−3.5% / +10.5%	−82.7% / −74.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Not on one close	31% 30/98	+4.9% / +10.7%	−68.3% / −74.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Not on one close	34% 345/1007	−0.3% / +10.5%	−84.0% / −74.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Jul 20, 2026 −10.2%	Not on one close	41% 47/116	+1.7% / +10.5%	−51.5% / −74.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Jul 29, 2026 −6.9%	Not on one close	32% 31/97	+4.1% / +10.5%	−52.1% / −74.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jun 7, 2024 +108.1%	Not on one close	46% 23/50	+1.3% / +10.5%	−25.8% / −74.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −4.9%	Buys Oct 30	47% 20/43	+8.3% / +10.5%	−61.1% / −74.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Window opens Apr 1	52% 23/44	+6.1% / +10.5%	−58.9% / −74.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	May 5, 2026 +0.4%	Window opens Oct 16	53% 23/43	+6.2% / +10.5%	−62.8% / −74.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +29.5%	Buys Dec 23	43% 19/44	+2.0% / +10.5%	−10.2% / −74.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +1.5%	Buys Oct 29	45% 239/526	+0.3% / +10.5%	−41.8% / −74.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +5.1%	Sells Jun 30	55% 6/11	+2.9% / +10.5%	−43.7% / −74.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −3.6%	Buys Nov 24	49% 195/400	+1.8% / +10.5%	−21.3% / −74.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +211.5%	Not on one close	30% 6/20	+4.3% / +10.5%	−53.5% / −74.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 12, 2026 +0.8%	Sells Oct 16	53% 1205/2284	+7.2% / +10.5%	−70.9% / −74.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +0.6%	Buys Oct 27	50% 175/348	+4.6% / +10.5%	−16.5% / −74.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +0.9%	Sells Oct 16	48% 258/541	+6.1% / +10.5%	−44.6% / −74.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 3, 2005	Always in	–	+10.5%	−74.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow2 of 10 points

Market swings1/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt1/3
Run-up0/2

It moves about 1.1× its index.
It carries 2.8× as much debt as equity.
It operating profit covers interest only 2.7×.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Oct 2009

R−58%

S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jun 2020

R−37%

S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Apr 2022 · back to its old high May 2022

R−22%

S&P 500−25%

Beta1.14Moves about 1.1× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
Downside capture16%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 16% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+65%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−14%
Debt to equity2.77×
Net debt / EBITDA3.0×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover2.7×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Rental & Leasing Services · Ryder System, Inc. operates as a logistics and transportation company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Fleet Management Solutions (FMS), Supply Chain Solutions (SCS), and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (DTS).

Size and valuation
Market cap	$9.2B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$12.8B	Total sales. The market values it at 0.7× sales.
P/E ratio	19.5×	Buyers pay $20 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	13.6×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	3.2×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	3.9%	Keeps 4¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+1.1%	The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth	+4.5%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	17.2%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$949M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$3.1B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$8.5B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$219M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	2.77×	Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover	2.7×	Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	$288.33	20% above the close, from 9 analysts (range $245.00 to $320.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	1.52%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

R: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & rentals: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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