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Metals & mining

Perpetua Resources (PPTA)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell10 / 100

Sell: 10 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (21%) scores 21 and lifts it; Off the high (−46% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightPPTAPointsWeightAdds
Plays in21%21408.4
Off the high−46% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−24% vs 200-day6301.8
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for PPTA
FactorPPTAPointsWhat it is
Plays in21%21The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+91% · 4 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.4 · strong buy81The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/Eloss expected0Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales––Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher.
Price to book3.4×43Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth––Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Profit margin0%17Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity−32%6Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.01×95Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−46% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−24% vs 200-day6How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−24%14The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure5/10 · high50The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on PPTA

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in21 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh5 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.76×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−24%). Higher than on 22% of days since 2012. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about PPTA now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

PPTA, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved PPTA lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on PPTA

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on PPTA went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2011. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$30.56 (+11.0%)22% 104/467−15.2% / −2.8%−93.8% / −95.2%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −16.0%Enter above C$32.67 (+18.7%)29% 23/80+1.7% / −1.0%−80.9% / −93.4%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$31.58 (+14.7%)24% 58/243−3.6% / −2.9%−85.6% / −95.2%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTMay 15, 2026 −28.9%Not on one close18% 13/74+1.5% / +1.2%−52.4% / −93.2%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMay 22, 2026 −21.4%Enter above C$77.63 (+182.0%)26% 9/34+14.5% / −1.9%−53.1% / −94.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMay 22, 2026 −21.4%Enter above C$39.49 (+43.4%)31% 13/42+13.8% / +1.2%−56.7% / −93.2%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −6.5%Enter above C$35.66 (+29.5%)45% 10/22+12.2% / −2.0%−72.9% / −93.6%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −23.1%Enter above C$36.31 (+31.9%)11% 14/124+8.0% / −1.3%−78.8% / −93.4%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTJun 26, 2026 −9.0%Not on one close50% 7/14+15.6% / −1.3%−62.2% / −93.4%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 −22.8%Not on one close11% 8/74+4.4% / −1.4%−68.2% / −93.4%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.2%Enter above C$40.11 (+45.7%)36% 36/99−5.4% / −3.1%−83.0% / −95.2%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.3%Enter above C$29.55 (+7.3%)22% 122/563−14.2% / −2.5%−93.6% / −95.2%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −16.0%Enter above C$45.15 (+64.0%)36% 61/170−8.3% / −2.9%−85.8% / −94.5%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −3.3%Enter above C$41.50 (+50.7%)25% 5/20+5.3% / −1.4%−75.6% / −92.7%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$48.68 (+76.8%)28% 25/89−5.3% / −3.8%−78.5% / −95.1%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −7.4%Not on one close29% 24/83−2.8% / −3.0%−72.4% / −95.2%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −12.2%Enter above C$32.26 (+17.2%)28% 30/107−10.2% / −1.5%−85.8% / −95.2%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −12.7%Not on one close39% 81/210−6.9% / −1.5%−88.6% / −95.2%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$37.86 (+37.5%)34% 136/402−8.3% / −0.8%−85.5% / −95.2%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −12.2%Enter above C$35.30 (+28.2%)32% 46/145−4.0% / −1.3%−78.5% / −95.2%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$30.36 (+10.3%)41% 124/304−4.0% / −1.3%−92.1% / −95.2%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −12.2%Not on one close32% 40/126−7.7% / −1.4%−86.6% / −95.2%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$43.96 (+59.7%)28% 35/125−5.8% / −2.4%−78.2% / −95.2%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −16.0%Enter above C$30.21 (+9.7%)33% 83/249−10.3% / −1.5%−95.3% / −95.2%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −12.2%Enter above C$109.81 (+298.9%)28% 42/151−6.3% / −2.4%−84.1% / −95.2%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −12.2%Enter above C$34.92 (+26.8%)36% 49/136−9.3% / −2.9%−85.7% / −94.5%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$42.36 (+53.9%)28% 34/120−5.1% / −2.9%−80.6% / −95.2%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −10.3%Enter above C$49.24 (+78.9%)31% 24/77−3.3% / −2.9%−77.6% / −95.2%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −16.0%Not on one close31% 44/142−18.0% / −2.2%−96.9% / −93.6%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTNov 3, 2025 −13.5%Not on one close38% 9/24−0.5% / −2.4%−43.0% / −95.2%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −12.2%Enter above C$34.92 (+26.8%)36% 29/81−3.8% / −1.5%−83.8% / −95.2%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTMar 12, 2026 −35.5%Enter above C$34.92 (+26.8%)30% 23/76−2.8% / −2.3%−75.5% / −95.2%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTMar 6, 2026 −37.1%Enter above C$38.19 (+38.7%)35% 18/52−0.3% / −2.3%−67.9% / −95.2%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMar 13, 2026 −32.6%Enter above C$83.49 (+203.3%)24% 12/50−5.5% / −2.9%−74.9% / −95.2%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −15.7%Not on one close35% 28/80−5.2% / −1.5%−80.0% / −95.2%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −15.7%Enter above C$34.95 (+27.0%)33% 35/105−5.5% / −2.5%−72.7% / −95.2%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −15.7%Enter above C$35.55 (+29.1%)40% 53/132−2.3% / −1.6%−68.4% / −95.2%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −15.7%Enter above C$34.85 (+26.6%)30% 43/144−16.0% / −1.3%−96.1% / −95.2%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −16.0%Enter above C$31.79 (+15.5%)31% 42/135−9.4% / −1.5%−84.6% / −95.2%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −15.7%Enter above C$30.15 (+9.5%)37% 84/225−8.7% / −1.5%−93.9% / −95.2%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.3%Enter above C$31.33 (+13.8%)23% 62/271−15.0% / −1.6%−93.4% / −95.2%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −23.1%Not on one close32% 38/120−3.5% / −1.5%−58.4% / −95.2%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTDec 4, 2025 −23.3%Not on one close53% 36/68+6.1% / −2.5%−36.2% / −95.2%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$33.52 (+21.8%)28% 127/457−16.4% / −1.4%−98.5% / −95.2%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 14, 2022 +714.5%Not on one close62% 10/16+8.4% / −2.9%−25.4% / −94.6%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINApr 30, 2024 +265.6%Exit below C$34.90 (+26.8%)33% 5/15+3.9% / +1.0%−73.2% / −93.2%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −10.3%Flips at next check47% 7/15−0.3% / +1.0%−85.8% / −93.2%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −10.3%Enter above C$38.81 (+41.0%)38% 6/16+7.4% / +1.0%−70.4% / −93.2%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJan 30, 2026 −23.9%Not on one close17% 7/41−6.7% / −3.1%−70.6% / −95.2%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −29.8%Enter above C$48.35 (+75.6%)25% 4/16−2.0% / +0.9%−65.8% / −93.2%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTApr 24, 2026 −30.9%Enter above C$34.79 (+26.4%)31% 18/59+3.9% / −3.7%−69.4% / −94.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −20.3%Enter above C$32.62 (+18.5%)34% 99/291−4.6% / −2.4%−92.9% / −95.2%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$29.77 (+8.1%)25% 142/563−13.9% / −2.4%−96.9% / −95.2%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −15.7%Enter above C$45.33 (+64.7%)36% 78/218−14.9% / −1.6%−94.4% / −95.2%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +597.0%Not on one close26% 5/19+7.9% / +9.5%−82.2% / −88.1%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −18.5%Enter above C$36.82 (+33.7%)32% 101/311+4.3% / −1.5%−58.1% / −95.2%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −20.3%Enter above C$62.53 (+127.1%)37% 65/178−11.3% / −2.9%−88.5% / −95.2%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$44.51 (+61.7%)29% 35/121−5.3% / −2.9%−78.3% / −95.2%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −10.3%Enter above C$30.20 (+9.7%)29% 16/56−0.8% / +1.0%−88.8% / −93.2%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −10.3%Flips at next check46% 6/13+0.5% / +11.4%−85.8% / −88.1%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −20.3%Not on one close50% 4/8+4.5% / +1.0%−58.4% / −93.2%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −20.3%Enter above C$36.96 (+34.2%)31% 70/226−13.3% / −2.9%−91.4% / −94.5%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINJul 21, 2026 +4.8%Not on one close60% 21/35+8.3% / −0.9%−78.5% / −95.2%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 25, 2026 −24.3%Not on one close58% 67/116+5.6% / −1.3%−39.3% / −93.4%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 29, 2026 −26.1%Not on one close58% 84/144+7.3% / −1.3%−59.2% / −93.4%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −5.2%Sell above C$30.91 (+12.3%)69% 97/141+8.3% / −1.6%−78.9% / −95.2%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 16, 2026 −12.4%Not on one close61% 65/107+7.0% / −1.4%−91.5% / −95.2%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −6.6%Not on one close59% 116/195+9.8% / −0.8%−92.8% / −95.2%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −3.3%Not on one close69% 27/39+3.4% / −1.3%−90.2% / −95.2%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINAug 31, 2020 +57.3%Sell above C$87.76 (+218.8%)79% 11/140.0% / −1.3%−92.7% / −93.4%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTFeb 3, 2026 −31.3%Buy below C$24.89 (−9.6%)76% 38/50+8.9% / −2.9%−15.7% / −94.5%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$29.63 (+7.6%)48% 119/250+5.5% / −2.5%−91.6% / −95.2%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −6.6%Not on one close51% 153/299−6.8% / −2.5%−91.1% / −95.2%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell above C$27.53 (0.0%)56% 878/1562+25.8% / −1.2%−47.7% / −95.2%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 −5.4%Not on one close74% 31/42+20.9% / −1.3%−45.5% / −93.4%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −6.6%Exit below C$29.21 (+6.1%)36% 243/684+7.2% / −2.4%−84.3% / −95.2%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −10.3%Sell above C$31.31 (+13.7%)61% 51/83−1.5% / −1.5%−91.4% / −95.2%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −12.4%Enter above C$27.53 (+0.0%)28% 112/407−9.7% / −1.6%−90.0% / −95.2%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −20.3%Not on one close34% 55/160−11.5% / −1.5%−93.2% / −95.2%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINApr 9, 2026 −33.8%Not on one close60% 27/45−1.2% / −0.9%−88.6% / −95.2%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINAug 5, 2025 +19.7%Not on one close32% 24/76−2.5% / +0.2%−91.7% / −93.2%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.3%Enter above C$29.29 (+6.4%)26% 115/440−12.3% / −1.4%−96.3% / −95.2%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$41.88 (+52.1%)30% 83/280−14.9% / −1.6%−93.9% / −95.2%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$27.53 (+0.0%)33% 122/368−15.4% / −1.5%−97.1% / −95.2%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTJun 19, 2026 −18.7%Not on one close30% 19/64+3.1% / +1.0%−83.5% / −93.2%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −3.7%Sell C$26.64–C$28.15 (+2.3%)35% 190/539−4.7% / −1.8%−96.3% / −95.2%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTMay 7, 2026 −29.3%Enter above C$28.69 (+4.2%)55% 45/82+2.7% / −1.3%−79.8% / −95.2%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTMay 15, 2026 −28.9%Not on one close48% 19/40+11.1% / −1.2%−60.1% / −95.2%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTMay 28, 2026 −25.1%Not on one close62% 16/26+6.4% / −1.5%−15.3% / −95.2%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −26.6%Buys Oct 3053% 16/30+4.5% / −1.2%−84.9% / −95.2%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 22, 2026 −34.0%Enter above C$29.64 (+7.7%)60% 18/30+5.6% / −2.4%−85.6% / −95.2%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 24, 2026 −30.9%Window opens Oct 1655% 16/29+5.5% / −2.4%−87.0% / −95.2%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −24.3%Buys Dec 2353% 16/30+7.9% / −1.2%−20.6% / −95.2%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −5.1%Buys Oct 2952% 190/366+13.0% / −1.2%−56.7% / −95.2%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −10.3%Sells Jun 3043% 3/7−0.9% / −1.2%−61.3% / −95.2%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −20.5%Buys Nov 2453% 144/272+6.8% / −1.2%−23.5% / −95.2%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +597.0%Not on one close50% 6/12−1.0% / −2.4%−91.3% / −95.2%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1646% 731/1589−6.6% / −1.2%−93.9% / −95.2%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −12.4%Buys Oct 2754% 130/242+4.2% / −1.2%−24.4% / −95.2%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −5.2%Sells Oct 1650% 189/377+10.4% / −1.2%−80.5% / −95.2%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJul 20, 2011Always in–−1.4%−95.2%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureHigh5 of 10 points
  • Market swings2/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up1/2
  • It moves about 2.4× its index.
  • It fell about 2.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It is up 111% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Mar 2020

PPTA−34%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Apr 2023

PPTA−57%
TSX−14%
  • Beta2.42Moves about 2.4× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−118%In months the TSX fell, this fell -118% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+111%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−46%
  • Debt to equity0.00×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Other Precious Metals & Mining · Perpetua Resources Corp., a development-stage company, engages in the acquisition of mining properties in the United States. The company explores gold, silver, and antimony deposits. Its principal mineral project is the 100% owned Stibnite Gold project, which includes 1,674 unpatented lode claims, mill sites, and patented land holdings covering an area of approximately 11,526 hectares located in Valley County, Idaho. The company was formerly known as Midas Gold Corp.

Size and valuation
Market capC$3.4BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Price to book3.4×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin0.0%Spends more than it brings in.
Return on equity−32.3%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−$167MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equity$861MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$3.6MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$574MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.00×Comfortable.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$52.5591% above the close, from 4 analysts (range C$49.15 to C$55.28).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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