PET +3.9%, the S&P/TSX −1.7% that session.
- Headlinekalkine.ca · Oct 7, 12:33 pm ET
- Headlinekalkine.ca · Oct 7, 11:32 am ET
- HeadlineGuruFocus · Oct 7, 5:04 am ET
Pet Valu Holdings (MEX:PETN) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio : (As of Oct. 07, 2026)
Consumer & retail
Pet Valu (PET)
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Sell24 / 100
Sell: 24 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (46%) scores 46 and lifts it; Off the high (−47% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | PET | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 46% | 46 | 40 | 18.4 |
| Off the high | −47% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | −12% vs 200-day | 19 | 30 | 5.7 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for PET
| Factor | PET | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 46% | 46 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +33% · 10 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.0 · buy | 50 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 13.0× | 87 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 10.8× | 80 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 1.1× | 87 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 13.9× | 12 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 2.8% | 65 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | +18% | 47 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +4% | 20 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 8% | 43 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 133% | 99 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 8.93× | 0 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −47% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −12% vs 200-day | 19 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | −46% | 5 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 6/10 · high | 40 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on PET- 46 of the 100 plays hold PET right now.
- The volume plays mostly say in.
- It closed 12% below its 200-day average and 47% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads high: it fell about 1.6× as far as its index in past crashes and carries 8.3× as much debt as equity.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is C$24.90, 33% above the close (10 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in46 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.88×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−12%). Higher than on 28% of days since 2022. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about PET now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn PET: right 4 of 6 · Out since Feb 15, 2023Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn PET: right 11 of 19 · Out since Sep 10, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumOUT44% of 8,156 calls rightOn PET: right 4 of 9 · Out since Apr 30, 2026Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn PET: right 31 of 46 · Out since Oct 6, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn PET: right 7 of 11 · In since Oct 10, 2025Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn PET: right 24 of 47 · In since Sep 30, 2026CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn PET: right 5 of 10 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
PET, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved PET lately
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on PET
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following12 of 30 inBreakouts & channels7 of 15 inMomentum7 of 17 inMean reversion8 of 15 inVolume & money flow7 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns1 of 3 inCalendar4 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on PET went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2021. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$18.14 (−3.4%) | 25% 36/144 | −7.3% / −9.4% | −37.6% / −58.2% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Nov 7, 2025 −31.0% | Enter above C$19.09 (+1.7%) | 22% 5/23 | −0.2% / −9.7% | −37.5% / −58.2% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$18.21 (−3.0%) | 16% 13/80 | −1.5% / −10.1% | −31.5% / −58.2% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2025 −46.6% | Not on one close | 33% 4/12 | +8.7% / −10.0% | −7.9% / −58.2% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Nov 7, 2025 −31.0% | Enter above C$41.38 (+120.3%) | 33% 4/12 | +0.6% / −7.9% | −30.0% / −58.2% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Nov 7, 2025 −31.0% | Enter above C$25.23 (+34.4%) | 75% 3/4 | +8.3% / −9.3% | −30.0% / −58.2% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Nov 28, 2025 −32.8% | Enter above C$21.07 (+12.2%) | 27% 3/11 | −1.2% / −10.2% | −36.2% / −58.2% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Nov 4, 2025 −35.8% | Enter above C$21.25 (+13.2%) | 18% 6/34 | −1.1% / −9.2% | −30.4% / −58.2% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Dec 15, 2025 −34.0% | Not on one close | 38% 3/8 | +0.9% / −9.2% | −30.5% / −58.2% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Nov 4, 2025 −35.8% | Not on one close | 21% 4/19 | +1.3% / −9.7% | −25.9% / −58.2% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$18.54 (−1.3%) | 41% 14/34 | +0.1% / −8.3% | −40.8% / −58.2% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$18.38 (−2.1%) | 23% 44/192 | −6.0% / −9.1% | −33.1% / −58.2% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.6% | Exit below C$16.62 (−11.5%) | 40% 22/55 | −9.2% / −9.2% | −47.2% / −58.2% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | OUT | Nov 26, 2025 −32.7% | Not on one close | 60% 3/5 | +0.7% / −12.1% | −30.0% / −58.2% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 25, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above C$21.26 (+13.2%) | 22% 6/27 | +0.4% / −10.0% | −40.1% / −58.2% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 +3.1% | Not on one close | 27% 8/30 | +1.0% / −7.2% | −28.8% / −58.2% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$17.36 (−7.6%) | 36% 10/28 | +5.5% / −5.0% | −43.9% / −58.2% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 +2.2% | Not on one close | 42% 34/81 | +1.2% / −5.0% | −34.5% / −58.2% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$16.63 (−11.4%) | 33% 51/156 | −6.0% / −5.7% | −51.0% / −58.2% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 +3.3% | Enter above C$17.24 (−8.2%) | 37% 18/49 | +2.0% / −5.5% | −33.7% / −58.2% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$17.37 (−7.5%) | 37% 47/126 | −8.2% / −5.3% | −53.3% / −58.2% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jun 16, 2026 +2.1% | Not on one close | 42% 16/38 | +3.6% / −6.1% | −23.8% / −58.2% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$17.81 (−5.1%) | 24% 9/38 | −1.4% / −8.7% | −43.4% / −58.2% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$17.93 (−4.5%) | 29% 17/58 | −3.6% / −5.0% | −45.6% / −58.2% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$6.57 (−65.0%) | 33% 15/45 | −1.0% / −8.7% | −38.0% / −58.2% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +4.6% | Exit below C$17.24 (−8.2%) | 32% 17/53 | −7.2% / −9.2% | −41.9% / −58.2% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$17.82 (−5.1%) | 21% 8/39 | −3.1% / −10.1% | −45.0% / −58.2% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$21.73 (+15.7%) | 26% 6/23 | −1.2% / −10.1% | −33.7% / −58.2% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −1.5% | Not on one close | 24% 14/58 | −7.4% / −8.1% | −37.0% / −58.2% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Feb 15, 2023 −50.8% | Not on one close | 67% 4/6 | +5.8% / −8.7% | −5.5% / −58.2% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$17.24 (−8.2%) | 32% 8/25 | +2.1% / −5.0% | −33.8% / −58.2% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 25, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above C$20.85 (+11.0%) | 33% 8/24 | +2.9% / −8.7% | −15.1% / −58.2% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$20.85 (+11.0%) | 50% 6/12 | +8.9% / −8.7% | −12.1% / −58.2% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2025 −46.6% | Enter above C$55.44 (+195.2%) | 62% 5/8 | +12.5% / −10.1% | −10.8% / −58.2% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Aug 1, 2025 −42.0% | Enter above C$21.08 (+12.3%) | 31% 5/16 | +2.9% / −5.0% | −23.2% / −58.2% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above C$19.05 (+1.4%) | 25% 6/24 | −3.1% / −9.1% | −31.9% / −58.2% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$17.93 (−4.5%) | 30% 14/47 | −0.2% / −4.9% | −32.7% / −58.2% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$17.55 (−6.6%) | 30% 14/47 | −3.7% / −5.2% | −39.8% / −58.2% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 25, 2026 +0.7% | Enter above C$18.73 (−0.3%) | 28% 10/36 | −2.3% / −5.0% | −46.6% / −58.2% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 +6.9% | Enter above C$21.11 (+12.4%) | 58% 11/19 | +0.0% / −6.4% | −44.4% / −58.2% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$17.79 (−5.3%) | 24% 15/62 | −2.1% / −6.4% | −37.5% / −58.2% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2025 −48.9% | Not on one close | 17% 3/18 | +0.1% / −5.0% | −7.6% / −58.2% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$14.88 (−20.8%) | 39% 16/41 | −2.5% / −9.1% | −25.4% / −58.2% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$17.72 (−5.6%) | 31% 55/177 | −6.5% / −4.9% | −46.1% / −58.2% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$17.93 (−4.5%) | 44% 4/9 | +5.0% / −7.3% | −10.7% / −58.2% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 −11.0% | Enter above C$35.22 (+87.5%) | 29% 2/7 | −6.0% / −9.2% | −45.5% / −58.2% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −10.5% | Not on one close | 44% 4/9 | −4.5% / −9.2% | −47.8% / −58.2% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 −11.0% | Enter above C$39.16 (+108.5%) | 29% 2/7 | −5.4% / −9.2% | −44.8% / −58.2% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Nov 4, 2025 −35.8% | Not on one close | 23% 6/26 | +0.2% / −10.4% | −26.1% / −58.2% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Nov 28, 2025 −32.8% | Enter above C$33.10 (+76.3%) | 50% 2/4 | +2.7% / −9.8% | −30.0% / −58.2% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Oct 17, 2025 −46.2% | Enter above C$19.54 (+4.0%) | 29% 9/31 | +1.0% / −10.9% | −31.7% / −58.2% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 +5.5% | Exit below C$16.20 (−13.7%) | 29% 30/103 | −12.2% / −8.7% | −58.4% / −58.2% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +5.5% | Exit below C$18.17 (−3.2%) | 25% 49/197 | −11.0% / −8.7% | −53.3% / −58.2% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 +4.9% | Exit below C$13.27 (−29.3%) | 35% 27/77 | −16.4% / −9.9% | −68.0% / −58.2% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | OUT | May 29, 2026 +1.4% | Enter above C$25.40 (+35.3%) | 0% 0/4 | −15.4% / −12.2% | −56.1% / −56.1% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$18.22 (−3.0%) | 20% 29/147 | −9.2% / −5.0% | −54.1% / −58.2% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +6.8% | Exit below C$10.05 (−46.5%) | 27% 17/62 | −17.7% / −10.1% | −65.3% / −58.2% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$17.88 (−4.8%) | 19% 7/36 | −3.1% / −10.1% | −43.4% / −58.2% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 −11.0% | Enter above C$19.03 (+1.3%) | 50% 6/12 | −0.3% / −9.2% | −44.8% / −58.2% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −10.5% | Not on one close | 50% 2/4 | −8.2% / −11.4% | −47.8% / −56.1% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −10.5% | Not on one close | 38% 3/8 | −12.5% / −9.2% | −55.1% / −58.2% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +5.5% | Exit below C$15.80 (−15.9%) | 25% 21/83 | −20.6% / −9.2% | −67.8% / −58.2% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Nov 17, 2025 −33.4% | Not on one close | 43% 3/7 | −6.7% / −4.9% | −50.7% / −58.2% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Nov 3, 2025 −46.1% | Not on one close | 54% 15/28 | +2.1% / −9.2% | −9.9% / −58.2% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Nov 17, 2025 −33.4% | Not on one close | 62% 30/48 | +3.4% / −9.2% | −23.2% / −58.2% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +5.5% | Buy below C$17.04 (−9.3%) | 67% 31/46 | −1.0% / −4.9% | −31.6% / −58.2% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Jun 24, 2026 +6.8% | Not on one close | 66% 23/35 | −0.3% / −5.1% | −41.7% / −58.2% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 3, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$18.55 (−1.2%) | 66% 47/71 | +4.4% / −5.7% | −36.7% / −58.2% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Jun 25, 2026 +6.0% | Not on one close | 65% 11/17 | −5.2% / −4.9% | −53.0% / −58.2% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Apr 11, 2022 −34.3% | Sell above C$51.37 (+173.5%) | – | −9.2% / −9.2% | −58.2% / −58.2% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Nov 11, 2025 −32.6% | Buy below C$12.99 (−30.8%) | 100% 2/2 | +5.0% / −9.2% | −1.2% / −58.2% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 3, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$17.98 (−4.3%) | 48% 40/83 | +0.5% / −9.1% | −25.2% / −58.2% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 +7.3% | Not on one close | 61% 63/104 | +3.5% / −9.1% | −26.9% / −58.2% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +0.5% | Buy below C$18.78 (0.0%) | 60% 266/440 | +8.8% / −4.7% | −18.1% / −58.2% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Dec 4, 2025 −34.3% | Not on one close | 57% 8/14 | −8.0% / −9.2% | −41.6% / −58.2% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +5.5% | Exit below C$17.93 (−4.5%) | 36% 87/245 | +0.2% / −8.7% | −29.1% / −58.2% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 +0.8% | Sell above C$18.31 (−2.5%) | 69% 22/32 | +8.4% / −5.5% | −37.2% / −58.2% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +6.8% | Not on one close | 25% 43/172 | −3.7% / −4.9% | −44.9% / −58.2% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.5% | Not on one close | 42% 21/50 | −2.5% / −5.0% | −30.4% / −58.2% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Oct 10, 2025 −45.6% | Not on one close | 64% 7/11 | −6.6% / −4.9% | −54.9% / −58.2% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2025 −46.6% | Not on one close | 26% 9/34 | +3.5% / −9.2% | −33.4% / −58.2% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +5.5% | Exit below C$17.24 (−8.2%) | 26% 39/151 | −6.9% / −5.5% | −49.6% / −58.2% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$12.29 (−34.5%) | 28% 29/104 | −8.6% / −4.9% | −55.2% / −58.2% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 +4.9% | Not on one close | 38% 54/141 | −7.6% / −5.0% | −48.9% / −58.2% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Dec 19, 2025 −32.3% | Not on one close | 39% 7/18 | −7.4% / −9.8% | −45.3% / −58.2% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 32% 64/201 | −14.7% / −9.7% | −56.8% / −58.2% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +4.6% | Exit below C$18.77 (−0.1%) | 51% 24/47 | −0.7% / −4.8% | −37.8% / −58.2% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Jun 19, 2026 +4.6% | Not on one close | 35% 7/20 | +2.0% / −5.2% | −16.5% / −58.2% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 +6.9% | Not on one close | 50% 7/14 | +2.9% / −4.9% | −6.5% / −58.2% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −10.5% | Buys Oct 30 | 50% 5/10 | +0.7% / −4.7% | −42.8% / −58.2% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | May 4, 2026 −6.9% | Not on one close | 50% 5/10 | −3.9% / −8.7% | −47.9% / −58.2% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 8, 2026 −5.6% | Window opens Oct 16 | 60% 6/10 | −2.2% / −8.7% | −45.8% / −58.2% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −30.4% | Buys Dec 23 | 40% 4/10 | +2.7% / −4.7% | −10.8% / −58.2% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +6.8% | Buys Oct 29 | 50% 64/128 | −4.4% / −4.7% | −30.8% / −58.2% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +4.6% | Sells Jun 30 | 33% 1/3 | +1.4% / −4.7% | −28.9% / −58.2% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −0.1% | Buys Nov 24 | 52% 51/98 | +5.2% / −4.7% | −6.8% / −58.2% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 −48.7% | Not on one close | 0% 0/2 | −14.0% / −9.8% | −58.2% / −58.2% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 281/553 | −2.7% / −4.7% | −63.6% / −58.2% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.1% | Buys Oct 27 | 50% 42/84 | +4.0% / −4.7% | −7.5% / −58.2% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +7.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 54% 71/131 | +11.0% / −4.7% | −28.8% / −58.2% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jun 24, 2021 | Always in | – | −5.0% | −58.2% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureHigh6 of 10 points
- Market swings1/3
- Past crashes2/2
- Debt3/3
- Run-up0/2
- It fell about 1.6× as far as its index in past crashes.
- It carries 8.3× as much debt as equity.
- Beta0.92Moves about 0.9× as much as the TSX week to week.
- Downside capture154%In months the TSX fell, this fell 154% as much on average.
- Two-year change−27%
- From 52-week high−47%
- Debt to equity8.30×
- Net debt / EBITDA3.9×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
- Interest cover4.3×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersSpecialty Retail · Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. engages in the retail and wholesale of pet food and pet-related supplies for dogs, cats, fish, birds, reptiles, and small animals in Canada. The company offers food and treats for dogs and cats, cat litter, health and wellness solutions, dog and cat toys, collars and leashes, waste management solutions, pet cages and carriers, flea and tick products, and pet apparel and other related accessories.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$1.3B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$1.2B | Total sales. The market values it at 1.1× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 13.0× | Buyers pay C$13 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 10.8× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 13.9× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 8.3% | Keeps 8¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +3.6% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | +18.4% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 133.3% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | C$116M | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$98.3M | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$816M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$24.3M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 8.30× | Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn. |
| Interest cover | 4.3× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$24.90 | 33% above the close, from 10 analysts (range C$19.00 to C$35.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 2.78% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
PET: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.MembersConsumer & retail: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.MembersDebt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.MembersIs this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members