Consumer & retail
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Sell: 23 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (45%) scores 45 and lifts it; Off the high (−41% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | PDD | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 45% | 45 | 40 | 18.0 |
| Off the high | −41% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | −12% vs 200-day | 18 | 30 | 5.4 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | PDD | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 45% | 45 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +40% · 34 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.1 · buy | 47 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 9.2× | 94 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 6.6× | 95 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 0.69 | 79 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | – | – | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. |
| Price to book | 1.7× | 82 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −11% | 23 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +8% | 34 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 20% | 66 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 23% | 74 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.01× | 93 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −41% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −12% vs 200-day | 18 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | −36% | 9 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 1/10 · low | 90 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on PDDThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about PDD now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
PDD +3.9%, the S&P 500 +0.6% that session.
PDD Holdings Inc Stock (PDD) Moved Up by 3.23% on Oct 9: Facts Behind the Movement
PDD Holdings Inc (PDD) Stock Up 4.0% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 76/100
PDD +3.3%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; +6.8% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
PDD Holdings Inc Stock (PDD) Moved Up by 3.08% on Oct 5: Facts Behind the Movement
PDD Holdings (NasdaqGS:PDD) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions
PDD −1.5%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; +1.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on PDD went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2018. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $79.42 (−3.1%) | 31% 64/208 | +10.4% / +15.4% | −71.1% / −87.4% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above $85.03 (+3.7%) | 25% 9/36 | +14.5% / +20.4% | −67.7% / −87.4% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $80.35 (−2.0%) | 22% 28/126 | +10.3% / +18.2% | −69.5% / −87.4% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Nov 14, 2025 −37.4% | Not on one close | 15% 7/47 | +6.6% / +12.8% | −55.6% / −87.4% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jan 16, 2026 −23.2% | Enter above $170.24 (+107.7%) | 27% 8/30 | +11.7% / +18.1% | −64.5% / −87.4% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Nov 21, 2025 −27.6% | Enter above $109.15 (+33.2%) | 25% 9/36 | +14.3% / +21.5% | −64.5% / −87.4% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Dec 31, 2025 −27.7% | Enter above $90.89 (+10.9%) | 29% 4/14 | +18.8% / +18.4% | −69.4% / −87.4% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Jan 13, 2026 −27.0% | Enter above $93.35 (+13.9%) | 15% 8/54 | +12.2% / +19.3% | −71.9% / −87.4% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Jan 23, 2026 −23.0% | Not on one close | 27% 3/11 | +19.3% / +19.3% | −52.9% / −87.4% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Dec 10, 2025 −28.9% | Not on one close | 15% 5/34 | +20.5% / +20.9% | −64.8% / −87.4% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −0.3% | Enter above $85.92 (+4.8%) | 37% 18/49 | +12.0% / +19.7% | −71.6% / −87.4% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $79.51 (−3.0%) | 27% 74/270 | +18.0% / +15.1% | −65.5% / −87.4% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $69.08 (−15.7%) | 45% 34/75 | +16.7% / +13.8% | −76.0% / −87.4% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | OUT | Dec 18, 2025 −22.5% | Not on one close | 23% 3/13 | +7.2% / +14.6% | −75.5% / −87.4% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −3.2% | Enter above $108.94 (+32.9%) | 31% 11/35 | +15.8% / +16.7% | −66.0% / −87.4% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −0.4% | Not on one close | 33% 12/36 | +17.0% / +20.3% | −63.5% / −87.4% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $76.59 (−6.5%) | 43% 25/58 | +17.4% / +21.2% | −65.2% / −87.4% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −2.4% | Not on one close | 46% 48/104 | +18.5% / +21.2% | −64.0% / −87.4% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $75.53 (−7.8%) | 36% 77/215 | +12.9% / +19.7% | −66.8% / −87.4% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $74.72 (−8.8%) | 38% 30/79 | +7.5% / +19.5% | −61.8% / −87.4% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Exit below $75.85 (−7.5%) | 39% 66/171 | +20.7% / +19.3% | −75.6% / −87.4% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −2.6% | Not on one close | 32% 18/56 | −1.2% / +20.0% | −65.0% / −87.4% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above $83.95 (+2.4%) | 39% 21/54 | +23.1% / +19.5% | −54.7% / −87.4% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $78.10 (−4.7%) | 33% 46/141 | +4.8% / +19.6% | −76.4% / −87.4% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $35.20 (−57.1%) | 39% 29/75 | +20.0% / +19.5% | −52.0% / −87.4% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +4.5% | Not on one close | 40% 34/86 | +6.1% / +13.8% | −79.3% / −87.4% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above $83.71 (+2.1%) | 35% 18/52 | +17.4% / +18.2% | −59.2% / −87.4% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above $113.69 (+38.7%) | 35% 11/31 | +15.1% / +18.2% | −70.0% / −87.4% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −3.3% | Not on one close | 29% 28/96 | +1.4% / +17.5% | −69.8% / −87.4% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jan 11, 2024 −45.8% | Not on one close | 60% 6/10 | +3.4% / +19.5% | −26.6% / −87.4% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $74.72 (−8.8%) | 44% 20/45 | +13.1% / +21.2% | −58.3% / −87.4% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Nov 14, 2025 −37.4% | Enter above $93.19 (+13.7%) | 40% 17/42 | +15.2% / +18.6% | −41.1% / −87.4% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Nov 18, 2025 −31.5% | Enter above $93.19 (+13.7%) | 41% 9/22 | +19.1% / +18.6% | −34.7% / −87.4% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Nov 18, 2025 −31.5% | Enter above $269.16 (+228.4%) | 29% 8/28 | +7.2% / +18.2% | −51.0% / −87.4% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −1.5% | Not on one close | 31% 11/36 | +6.9% / +21.2% | −61.6% / −87.4% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −2.6% | Enter above $83.69 (+2.1%) | 40% 23/58 | +8.8% / +15.1% | −44.0% / −87.4% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $78.65 (−4.0%) | 44% 31/71 | +23.0% / +20.3% | −40.9% / −87.4% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $77.90 (−5.0%) | 41% 29/71 | +8.7% / +19.4% | −49.0% / −87.4% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $76.02 (−7.2%) | 41% 26/63 | +18.9% / +21.2% | −61.6% / −87.4% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −1.5% | Enter above $93.21 (+13.7%) | 39% 40/102 | +15.6% / +19.7% | −60.1% / −87.4% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $77.98 (−4.9%) | 23% 32/137 | −1.7% / +19.8% | −79.7% / −87.4% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Aug 11, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 30% 24/80 | +2.5% / +21.2% | −26.8% / −87.4% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +1.3% | Exit below $64.50 (−21.3%) | 46% 18/39 | +12.0% / +15.1% | −16.8% / −87.4% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $80.38 (−1.9%) | 35% 86/247 | +8.0% / +19.3% | −73.0% / −87.4% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $78.65 (−4.0%) | 45% 5/11 | +4.1% / +14.4% | −17.9% / −87.4% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | Jan 30, 2026 −18.9% | Enter above $139.85 (+70.6%) | 33% 4/12 | +9.0% / +19.6% | −70.8% / −87.4% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 +7.4% | Not on one close | 42% 5/12 | +11.7% / +19.6% | −75.4% / −87.4% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Dec 31, 2025 −27.7% | Enter above $155.50 (+89.7%) | 50% 7/14 | +14.3% / +19.6% | −66.8% / −87.4% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Nov 18, 2025 −31.5% | Not on one close | 25% 4/16 | −2.1% / +17.7% | −52.4% / −87.4% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Nov 28, 2025 −29.4% | Enter above $131.22 (+60.1%) | 29% 4/14 | −0.4% / +20.9% | −43.1% / −87.4% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Nov 21, 2025 −27.6% | Enter above $89.82 (+9.6%) | 26% 10/39 | +13.2% / +14.5% | −60.2% / −87.4% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +5.2% | Exit below $69.73 (−14.9%) | 33% 51/153 | +8.0% / +19.5% | −75.1% / −87.4% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +4.5% | Exit below $79.37 (−3.2%) | 33% 80/239 | +21.8% / +19.5% | −68.0% / −87.4% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 +5.8% | Exit below $53.38 (−34.9%) | 41% 44/107 | +12.4% / +19.1% | −70.2% / −87.4% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | OUT | May 29, 2026 −2.9% | Enter above $99.82 (+21.8%) | 75% 3/4 | +4.1% / −2.5% | −44.3% / −87.4% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $79.77 (−2.7%) | 30% 65/215 | +6.2% / +21.2% | −45.8% / −87.4% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +4.5% | Exit below $41.09 (−49.9%) | 41% 39/96 | +8.9% / +18.2% | −69.7% / −87.4% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above $84.52 (+3.1%) | 43% 21/49 | +26.5% / +18.2% | −59.3% / −87.4% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −2.4% | Enter above $83.86 (+2.3%) | 48% 11/23 | +26.6% / +19.6% | −56.2% / −87.4% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 +7.4% | Not on one close | 36% 4/11 | −4.4% / −2.1% | −53.7% / −76.3% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 +7.4% | Not on one close | 42% 5/12 | +13.6% / +19.6% | −61.6% / −87.4% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +4.5% | Exit below $68.08 (−16.9%) | 30% 39/128 | +11.2% / +13.8% | −77.2% / −87.4% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Nov 28, 2025 −29.4% | Not on one close | 67% 14/21 | +15.8% / +19.7% | −84.7% / −87.4% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Nov 26, 2025 −29.2% | Not on one close | 60% 55/92 | +10.5% / +19.3% | −18.8% / −87.4% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Dec 1, 2025 −30.7% | Not on one close | 59% 64/108 | −3.5% / +19.3% | −57.3% / −87.4% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +4.5% | Buy below $75.01 (−8.5%) | 64% 45/70 | +9.5% / +20.3% | −53.5% / −87.4% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 4, 2026 −0.3% | Sell $78.28–$82.64 (+0.8%) | 58% 32/55 | +2.4% / +20.2% | −82.6% / −87.4% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 55% 57/104 | +2.7% / +19.7% | −76.0% / −87.4% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Sep 3, 2026 +0.4% | Not on one close | 56% 15/27 | +2.8% / +19.5% | −82.5% / −87.4% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | May 13, 2019 +295.0% | Sell above $225.62 (+175.3%) | – | +19.3% / +19.3% | −87.4% / −87.4% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −5.7% | Not on one close | 72% 13/18 | +17.0% / +13.8% | −7.1% / −87.4% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.3% | Not on one close | 52% 60/116 | +22.6% / +15.1% | −52.5% / −87.4% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +5.2% | Exit below $80.68 (−1.6%) | 59% 94/159 | +12.3% / +15.1% | −64.9% / −87.4% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 +8.7% | Buy below $81.96 (0.0%) | 56% 399/716 | +22.0% / +15.8% | −59.3% / −87.4% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −31.2% | Not on one close | 61% 17/28 | +7.7% / +19.3% | −40.2% / −87.4% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +5.2% | Exit below $78.69 (−4.0%) | 37% 147/397 | +6.1% / +19.5% | −58.8% / −87.4% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −2.4% | Sell above $79.51 (−3.0%) | 52% 21/40 | −4.4% / +18.5% | −79.6% / −87.4% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +4.5% | Not on one close | 28% 67/241 | +26.7% / +20.3% | −69.6% / −87.4% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Not on one close | 37% 34/91 | +6.8% / +21.2% | −75.9% / −87.4% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Dec 18, 2025 −22.5% | Not on one close | 71% 12/17 | +1.2% / +19.7% | −84.3% / −87.4% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Dec 29, 2025 −28.2% | Enter above $84.77 (+3.4%) | 46% 22/48 | +16.7% / +19.4% | −63.8% / −87.4% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $78.38 (−4.4%) | 28% 56/199 | +16.1% / +18.5% | −69.6% / −87.4% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.7% | Exit below $66.04 (−19.4%) | 34% 44/131 | +5.9% / +20.3% | −82.2% / −87.4% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +4.5% | Not on one close | 37% 85/227 | −4.8% / +21.2% | −68.8% / −87.4% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Jan 26, 2026 −23.3% | Not on one close | 35% 12/34 | +19.4% / +19.6% | −62.9% / −87.4% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Sep 18, 2026 +3.9% | Not on one close | 35% 116/331 | +9.9% / +18.0% | −76.8% / −87.4% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $80.97 (−1.2%) | 49% 23/47 | +16.7% / +18.7% | −61.4% / −87.4% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +7.1% | Not on one close | 36% 16/44 | −0.5% / +18.6% | −53.2% / −87.4% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | May 18, 2026 −13.7% | Not on one close | 39% 7/18 | +1.9% / +19.6% | −16.9% / −87.4% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −17.9% | Buys Oct 30 | 50% 8/16 | +1.9% / +15.8% | −81.1% / −87.4% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +5.2% | Window opens Apr 1 | 41% 7/17 | +0.5% / +19.5% | −83.4% / −87.4% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 23, 2026 −16.2% | Window opens Oct 16 | 44% 7/16 | −1.9% / +19.5% | −84.2% / −87.4% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −31.2% | Buys Dec 23 | 56% 9/16 | +6.9% / +15.8% | −18.7% / −87.4% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +5.2% | Buys Oct 29 | 57% 112/196 | +24.7% / +15.8% | −57.8% / −87.4% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +5.2% | Sells Jun 30 | 40% 2/5 | +0.9% / +15.8% | −51.9% / −87.4% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −0.3% | Buys Nov 24 | 48% 74/154 | +11.7% / +15.8% | −14.5% / −87.4% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +0.5% | Not on one close | 50% 3/6 | +5.9% / +18.3% | −53.5% / −87.4% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +1.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 428/857 | +24.2% / +15.8% | −77.5% / −87.4% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.1% | Buys Oct 27 | 48% 62/130 | +4.8% / +15.8% | −26.4% / −87.4% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +8.7% | Sells Oct 16 | 45% 91/203 | +4.8% / +15.8% | −72.4% / −87.4% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jul 26, 2018 | Always in | – | +14.7% | −87.4% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Internet Retail · PDD Holdings Inc., a multinational commerce group that owns and operates a portfolio of businesses. The company operates Pinduoduo platform, which provides various product categories and interactive shopping experiences; and Temu, an online platform, which enables merchants to streamline their manufacturing and commercial operations. The company was formerly known as Pinduoduo Inc. and changed its name to PDD Holdings Inc. in February 2023. PDD Holdings Inc.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $117B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $451B | Total sales. The market values it at 0.3× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 9.2× | Buyers pay $9 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 6.6× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 1.7× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 20.4% | Keeps 20¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +8.1% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | −11.2% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 22.7% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $74.6B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $413B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $4.8B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $456B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.01× | Comfortable. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $114.98 | 40% above the close, from 34 analysts (range $85.53 to $150.89). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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