Healthcare
Your signal
Sell: 14 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (26%) scores 26 and lifts it; Off the high (−34% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | NPCE | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 26% | 26 | 40 | 10.4 |
| Off the high | −34% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | −17% vs 200-day | 13 | 30 | 3.9 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | NPCE | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 26% | 26 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +58% · 10 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.1 · strong buy | 95 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | loss | 0 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Forward P/E | loss expected | 0 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 4.4× | 43 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Price to book | 36.6× | 2 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Earnings growth | – | – | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. |
| Revenue growth | +12% | 43 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Profit margin | −19% | 7 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Return on equity | −161% | 1 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Debt to equity | 4.97× | 1 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Off the high | −34% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −17% vs 200-day | 13 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +21% | 56 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 6/10 · high | 40 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on NPCEThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about NPCE now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
NPCE −4.2%, the S&P 500 +0.6% that session; −2.1% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NPCE was found for this session. The S&P 500 moved +0.6%. The 17 other Healthcare stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.
NPCE −3.4%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; −7.1% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
NeuroPace Inc (NPCE) Shares Fall 3.4% -- What GF Score of 75 Tel
NPCE −4.4%, the S&P 500 +0.2% that session; −9.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NPCE was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for NPCE starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +0.2%. The 17 other Healthcare stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on NPCE went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2021. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −10.8% | Enter above $13.41 (+5.7%) | 25% 39/159 | +1.0% / −12.0% | −79.5% / −94.9% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −14.4% | Enter above $14.80 (+16.7%) | 44% 7/16 | +25.8% / +10.6% | −54.5% / −85.5% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −12.6% | Enter above $14.03 (+10.6%) | 23% 19/84 | +21.0% / −6.2% | −46.9% / −92.7% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −21.1% | Not on one close | 25% 7/28 | +19.0% / +12.7% | −37.5% / −84.0% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −14.4% | Enter above $16.27 (+28.3%) | 33% 4/12 | +10.6% / +5.1% | −56.5% / −88.9% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −14.4% | Enter above $16.45 (+29.7%) | 15% 3/20 | −1.0% / +10.9% | −59.9% / −84.8% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −1.6% | Enter above $14.83 (+16.9%) | 33% 2/6 | −0.1% / +9.2% | −74.2% / −85.5% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Jul 29, 2026 −7.0% | Enter above $15.19 (+19.8%) | 22% 4/18 | +9.6% / +13.4% | −56.7% / −85.5% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −9.6% | Not on one close | 33% 2/6 | +7.2% / +13.4% | −75.9% / −85.5% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Jul 29, 2026 −7.0% | Not on one close | 17% 2/12 | +6.4% / +12.1% | −69.4% / −85.5% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −0.2% | Enter above $15.27 (+20.4%) | 54% 15/28 | +31.4% / −11.6% | −54.0% / −94.1% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −10.8% | Enter above $13.28 (+4.7%) | 18% 35/197 | −10.1% / −11.7% | −83.6% / −94.9% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above $14.89 (+17.4%) | 55% 24/44 | +32.3% / +1.1% | −71.9% / −89.1% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above $20.85 (+64.4%) | 12% 1/8 | −10.0% / +24.5% | −68.7% / −78.4% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −18.0% | Enter above $23.43 (+84.8%) | 42% 10/24 | +20.6% / −4.7% | −48.5% / −92.6% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Jul 14, 2026 −19.9% | Not on one close | 45% 9/20 | +34.5% / −9.9% | −47.7% / −94.6% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −13.0% | Enter above $14.21 (+12.1%) | 33% 9/27 | −3.2% / −10.2% | −69.3% / −94.9% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −11.0% | Not on one close | 41% 31/76 | +6.0% / −10.2% | −50.6% / −94.9% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −10.8% | Enter above $15.12 (+19.3%) | 33% 51/154 | +19.8% / −7.2% | −64.1% / −94.9% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above $14.94 (+17.8%) | 46% 24/52 | +4.4% / −10.5% | −66.7% / −94.9% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −9.2% | Enter above $13.76 (+8.5%) | 40% 48/120 | +4.2% / −9.0% | −81.3% / −94.9% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | May 12, 2026 −19.7% | Not on one close | 38% 13/34 | +23.4% / −10.2% | −39.1% / −94.9% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −18.0% | Enter above $18.53 (+46.2%) | 32% 15/47 | +14.1% / −11.2% | −48.3% / −94.7% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −9.7% | Enter above $13.18 (+3.9%) | 35% 31/89 | +12.4% / −9.8% | −71.5% / −94.9% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −11.0% | Buy $16.23–$16.96 (+28.0%) | 29% 16/55 | +6.6% / −11.2% | −64.2% / −94.7% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Not on one close | 34% 15/44 | +17.1% / +1.1% | −58.1% / −89.1% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −18.0% | Enter above $18.13 (+43.0%) | 30% 14/46 | +20.1% / −6.2% | −46.6% / −92.7% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −13.6% | Enter above $24.59 (+93.9%) | 36% 8/22 | +21.6% / −6.2% | −54.8% / −92.7% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −21.1% | Not on one close | 35% 12/34 | +25.4% / +7.3% | −58.2% / −88.9% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jan 2, 2026 −16.4% | Not on one close | 62% 10/16 | +12.5% / −11.2% | −32.9% / −94.7% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −13.0% | Enter above $14.94 (+17.8%) | 36% 8/22 | +22.0% / −10.2% | −51.2% / −94.9% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −18.0% | Enter above $15.83 (+24.8%) | 50% 10/20 | +16.0% / −12.2% | −36.0% / −94.7% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | May 15, 2026 −17.4% | Enter above $15.83 (+24.8%) | 50% 7/14 | +21.2% / −12.2% | −49.7% / −94.7% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | May 11, 2026 −19.1% | Enter above $39.14 (+208.6%) | 31% 5/16 | +5.2% / −6.2% | −45.4% / −92.7% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −7.8% | Enter above $14.06 (+10.9%) | 44% 8/18 | +3.7% / −10.2% | −56.5% / −94.9% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | May 11, 2026 −19.1% | Enter above $15.00 (+18.3%) | 35% 7/20 | +24.5% / −11.7% | −41.7% / −94.9% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 14, 2026 −19.9% | Enter above $15.22 (+20.0%) | 45% 19/42 | +27.3% / −10.3% | −36.8% / −94.9% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above $14.71 (+16.0%) | 35% 17/48 | −12.1% / −9.5% | −68.8% / −94.9% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above $14.04 (+10.8%) | 33% 10/30 | +16.2% / −10.2% | −46.7% / −94.9% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −9.2% | Enter above $15.07 (+18.9%) | 35% 45/129 | −7.9% / −12.7% | −89.5% / −95.0% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −18.0% | Enter above $13.99 (+10.3%) | 28% 16/58 | −7.0% / −9.5% | −73.1% / −94.9% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Apr 24, 2026 −24.5% | Not on one close | 32% 7/22 | +6.9% / −10.2% | −47.5% / −94.9% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −12.0% | Not on one close | 47% 14/30 | +22.6% / −11.7% | −39.7% / −94.9% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −2.5% | Exit below $12.38 (−2.4%) | 32% 48/149 | +4.8% / −8.5% | −78.5% / −94.9% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 10, 2025 +23.3% | Not on one close | 50% 6/12 | +11.8% / −0.2% | −23.2% / −89.6% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | May 30, 2025 −4.1% | Exit below $10.31 (−18.7%) | 40% 2/5 | +2.8% / +13.6% | −63.5% / −81.8% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Dec 31, 2025 −17.9% | Not on one close | 67% 6/9 | +14.3% / +13.6% | −63.5% / −81.8% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2026 −20.2% | Exit below $11.46 (−9.6%) | 22% 2/9 | −8.1% / +13.6% | −72.4% / −81.8% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −18.0% | Not on one close | 9% 2/22 | −9.4% / −6.8% | −45.0% / −92.7% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Mar 28, 2024 −3.9% | Enter above $18.33 (+44.5%) | 25% 1/4 | +1.8% / +9.3% | −39.4% / −85.2% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −21.1% | Enter above $15.94 (+25.7%) | 23% 5/22 | +5.7% / −4.0% | −54.5% / −92.6% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −9.2% | Enter above $13.57 (+7.0%) | 32% 32/101 | +2.4% / −11.2% | −89.4% / −94.7% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −10.8% | Enter above $13.12 (+3.5%) | 24% 47/200 | −21.1% / −11.2% | −89.8% / −94.7% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Sep 25, 2026 −9.8% | Enter above $18.30 (+44.3%) | 43% 29/68 | +31.0% / −9.5% | −70.5% / −94.9% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Apr 28, 2023 +153.6% | Not on one close | – | +31.9% / +31.9% | −66.3% / −66.3% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −14.9% | Enter above $15.61 (+23.1%) | 26% 36/140 | +0.9% / −10.2% | −47.3% / −94.9% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −9.0% | Enter above $22.08 (+74.1%) | 49% 26/53 | +30.5% / −6.2% | −75.4% / −92.7% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −18.0% | Enter above $18.73 (+47.8%) | 38% 15/40 | +21.8% / −6.2% | −46.6% / −92.7% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −7.8% | Enter above $13.56 (+6.9%) | 33% 4/12 | −8.7% / +13.6% | −62.6% / −81.8% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Dec 31, 2025 −17.9% | Not on one close | 75% 6/8 | +7.5% / −3.9% | −54.1% / −57.6% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Jul 31, 2026 −1.6% | Not on one close | 64% 7/11 | +21.5% / +13.6% | −63.5% / −81.8% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 25, 2026 −9.8% | Enter above $14.59 (+15.1%) | 39% 25/64 | +29.7% / +1.1% | −81.3% / −89.1% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Aug 3, 2026 −6.1% | Not on one close | 14% 1/7 | −26.1% / −8.9% | −94.9% / −94.9% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 27, 2026 −17.1% | Not on one close | 60% 35/58 | +4.7% / +13.4% | −43.7% / −85.5% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −14.5% | Not on one close | 63% 39/62 | −4.7% / +13.4% | −60.1% / −85.5% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Sell above $13.53 (+6.7%) | 70% 37/53 | +2.0% / −10.3% | −64.3% / −94.9% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Jun 11, 2026 −19.9% | Not on one close | 62% 18/29 | −16.3% / −10.9% | −93.0% / −94.9% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 −13.1% | Not on one close | 57% 35/61 | −10.1% / −7.2% | −86.8% / −94.9% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +0.1% | Not on one close | 71% 12/17 | −15.2% / −11.2% | −93.1% / −94.9% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Sep 1, 2023 +42.0% | Sell above $36.72 (+189.6%) | 100% 2/2 | +14.6% / +13.4% | −85.5% / −85.5% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | May 31, 2024 +83.5% | Buy below $4.75 (−62.5%) | 67% 4/6 | +4.8% / +1.1% | −14.0% / −89.1% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −12.8% | Not on one close | 47% 38/81 | −24.2% / −11.7% | −86.5% / −94.9% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 −13.1% | Not on one close | 52% 53/101 | −31.0% / −11.7% | −88.0% / −94.9% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sell above $12.68 (0.0%) | 56% 252/451 | +16.7% / −12.0% | −38.3% / −95.1% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jun 26, 2026 −23.0% | Not on one close | 69% 11/16 | +10.7% / +13.4% | −29.4% / −85.5% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −2.5% | Not on one close | 31% 88/281 | −21.5% / −11.2% | −91.9% / −94.7% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −7.8% | Sell above $14.04 (+10.7%) | 72% 23/32 | +21.5% / −10.7% | −90.2% / −94.9% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above $12.68 (+0.0%) | 30% 40/134 | +22.5% / −10.3% | −73.7% / −94.9% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Not on one close | 44% 20/45 | +22.7% / −10.2% | −67.5% / −94.9% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Sep 19, 2025 +27.6% | Not on one close | 61% 11/18 | −2.3% / −8.9% | −88.8% / −94.9% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Dec 9, 2024 +15.8% | Not on one close | 42% 10/24 | +26.0% / +14.1% | −39.4% / −84.0% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −10.8% | Enter above $13.15 (+3.7%) | 31% 44/144 | +22.2% / −10.7% | −70.3% / −94.9% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −9.7% | Enter above $16.87 (+33.0%) | 35% 29/84 | +13.0% / −10.3% | −73.9% / −94.9% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above $12.68 (+0.0%) | 36% 49/137 | −3.2% / −10.2% | −82.0% / −94.9% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Aug 10, 2026 −14.8% | Not on one close | 30% 7/23 | −5.8% / +14.4% | −70.4% / −81.8% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sell $11.38–$12.97 (+2.3%) | 40% 64/160 | +49.8% / −5.2% | −61.2% / −92.6% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.1% | Not on one close | 47% 23/49 | −7.2% / −10.6% | −84.3% / −94.9% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +2.3% | Not on one close | 36% 8/22 | −4.9% / −12.1% | −55.9% / −94.9% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +0.1% | Exit below $12.28 (−3.2%) | 55% 6/11 | +0.7% / −9.8% | −25.2% / −94.9% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −24.8% | Buys Oct 30 | 73% 8/11 | +36.5% / −12.0% | −79.9% / −95.1% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 29, 2026 −23.3% | Enter above $12.75 (+0.5%) | 80% 8/10 | +29.0% / −11.2% | −79.1% / −94.7% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 11, 2026 −19.1% | Window opens Oct 16 | 70% 7/10 | +23.2% / −11.2% | −82.3% / −94.7% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −20.1% | Buys Dec 23 | 60% 6/10 | +6.3% / −12.0% | −15.4% / −95.1% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.1% | Buys Oct 29 | 53% 70/132 | −2.1% / −12.0% | −66.4% / −95.1% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −7.8% | Sells Jun 30 | 67% 2/3 | +4.7% / −12.0% | −65.6% / −95.1% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −14.9% | Buys Nov 24 | 54% 56/104 | +9.5% / −12.0% | −21.5% / −95.1% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +751.0% | Not on one close | 50% 1/2 | +49.2% / +4.2% | −66.3% / −88.9% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −2.5% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 288/571 | +6.2% / −12.0% | −88.9% / −95.1% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −10.1% | Buys Oct 27 | 52% 46/88 | −2.7% / −12.0% | −24.7% / −95.1% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −0.2% | Sells Oct 16 | 47% 63/135 | −8.5% / −12.0% | −81.9% / −95.1% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Apr 22, 2021 | Always in | – | −11.7% | −95.1% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Medical Devices · NeuroPace, Inc. operates as a medical device company in the United States. The company develops RNS system, a brain-responsive neuromodulation system that delivers personalized, real-time treatment at the seizure source for treating drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Its RNS System includes RNS neurostimulator, cortical strip and depth leads, and Patient Remote Monitor, as well as other implantable and non-implantable accessories.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $435M | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $107M | Total sales. The market values it at 4.1× sales. |
| P/E ratio | n/a | Lost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by. |
| Price to book | 36.6× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | −19.3% | Spends more than it brings in. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +11.6% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Return on equity | −160.9% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | −$2.6M | Burning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $19.0M | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $69.9M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $51.7M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 3.67× | Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn. |
| Interest cover | −1.9× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $20.00 | 58% above the close, from 10 analysts (range $18.00 to $22.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Strong buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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