MDA −6.1%, the S&P/TSX +0.3% that session.
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MDA Space (MDA)
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Sell19 / 100
Sell: 19 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (29%) scores 29 and lifts it; Off the high (−39% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | MDA | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 29% | 29 | 40 | 11.6 |
| Off the high | −39% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | −7% vs 200-day | 25 | 30 | 7.5 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for MDA
| Factor | MDA | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 29% | 29 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +64% · 12 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.7 · buy | 67 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 51.4× | 17 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 22.1× | 25 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 3.5× | 52 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 3.0× | 49 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −5% | 25 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +34% | 76 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 6% | 36 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 7% | 33 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.20× | 74 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −39% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −7% vs 200-day | 25 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +13% | 48 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 2/10 · low | 80 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on MDA- 29 of the 100 plays hold MDA right now.
- The trend-following and breakout plays mostly say out.
- It closed 7% below its 200-day average and 39% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads low: it fell about 2.0× as far as its index in past crashes.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is C$66.50, 64% above the close (12 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in29 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.93×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−7%). Higher than on 27% of days since 2022. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about MDA now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn MDA: right 7 of 14 · Out since Jun 12, 2026Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn MDA: right 18 of 46 · Out since Aug 19, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn MDA: right 4 of 7 · In since Sep 30, 2026Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn MDA: right 37 of 51 · In since Oct 8, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn MDA: right 2 of 9 · In since Jun 18, 2026Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn MDA: right 32 of 51 · In since Sep 3, 2026CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn MDA: right 6 of 11 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
MDA, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved MDA lately
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on MDA
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following3 of 30 inBreakouts & channels0 of 15 inMomentum8 of 17 inMean reversion7 of 15 inVolume & money flow5 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns2 of 3 inCalendar4 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on MDA went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2021. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −1.7% | Enter above C$41.82 (+3.0%) | 23% 34/146 | +11.7% / +21.0% | −43.8% / −65.7% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above C$46.28 (+13.9%) | 30% 6/20 | +17.1% / +36.7% | −39.7% / −53.8% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above C$43.17 (+6.3%) | 29% 22/76 | +22.1% / +20.4% | −36.1% / −65.7% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Jul 9, 2026 −19.1% | Not on one close | 17% 8/46 | +10.7% / +37.7% | −44.6% / −53.8% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −4.7% | Enter above C$46.51 (+14.5%) | 25% 5/20 | +14.7% / +32.4% | −51.0% / −53.8% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −4.7% | Enter above C$46.51 (+14.5%) | 21% 5/24 | +16.9% / +35.8% | −51.5% / −53.8% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$44.38 (+9.3%) | 50% 4/8 | +22.7% / +36.5% | −49.2% / −53.8% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above C$43.85 (+8.0%) | 25% 6/24 | +29.9% / +36.0% | −44.6% / −53.8% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above C$93.41 (+130.0%) | 50% 4/8 | +18.4% / +36.0% | −60.9% / −53.8% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above C$43.85 (+8.0%) | 25% 5/20 | +29.8% / +39.0% | −44.6% / −53.8% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −8.9% | Exit below C$40.79 (+0.4%) | 54% 14/26 | +27.5% / +20.0% | −46.5% / −65.7% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above C$41.99 (+3.4%) | 26% 46/180 | +22.8% / +20.3% | −49.1% / −65.7% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 −2.4% | Exit below C$34.10 (−16.0%) | 43% 23/53 | +17.7% / +21.4% | −41.8% / −62.0% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Jan 19, 2026 +10.5% | Exit below C$12.81 (−68.5%) | 20% 1/5 | +27.8% / +44.9% | −58.5% / −53.8% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above C$62.58 (+54.1%) | 44% 12/27 | +16.2% / +20.0% | −38.0% / −65.7% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 −15.7% | Not on one close | 35% 9/26 | +19.2% / +20.2% | −36.1% / −65.7% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Aug 24, 2026 −1.4% | Enter above C$44.93 (+10.6%) | 37% 13/35 | +12.2% / +19.2% | −50.6% / −65.7% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 −5.3% | Not on one close | 49% 36/74 | +13.1% / +19.2% | −40.7% / −65.7% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −1.7% | Enter above C$47.44 (+16.8%) | 35% 53/151 | +12.8% / +17.7% | −44.6% / −65.7% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Enter above C$45.62 (+12.3%) | 43% 23/53 | +19.0% / +20.4% | −47.1% / −65.7% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above C$43.20 (+6.4%) | 38% 45/118 | +19.3% / +19.7% | −40.4% / −65.9% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −15.8% | Not on one close | 47% 17/36 | +21.9% / +20.4% | −31.1% / −65.7% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −1.3% | Enter above C$48.19 (+18.6%) | 37% 15/41 | +19.0% / +19.6% | −42.6% / −65.7% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above C$41.79 (+2.9%) | 37% 28/75 | +5.4% / +20.6% | −52.0% / −65.7% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$45.82 (+12.8%) | 34% 18/53 | +15.6% / +19.6% | −41.4% / −65.7% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Not on one close | 39% 22/56 | +16.7% / +21.4% | −41.4% / −62.0% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Enter above C$48.66 (+19.8%) | 41% 14/34 | +26.5% / +20.4% | −34.3% / −65.7% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Jul 16, 2026 −8.0% | Enter above C$65.48 (+61.2%) | 39% 9/23 | +13.8% / +20.4% | −43.1% / −65.7% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Not on one close | 45% 17/38 | +20.7% / +34.5% | −34.1% / −53.8% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jun 12, 2026 −22.1% | Not on one close | 50% 7/14 | +4.9% / +19.6% | −8.7% / −65.7% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$45.62 (+12.3%) | 47% 15/32 | +11.8% / +19.2% | −49.7% / −65.7% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 −24.1% | Enter above C$45.62 (+12.3%) | 31% 8/26 | +17.6% / +19.5% | −40.7% / −65.7% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above C$51.34 (+26.4%) | 27% 6/22 | +8.8% / +19.5% | −50.9% / −65.7% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jun 3, 2026 −27.3% | Enter above C$102.23 (+151.7%) | 23% 6/26 | +5.3% / +20.4% | −56.5% / −65.7% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above C$51.34 (+26.4%) | 35% 7/20 | +22.7% / +19.2% | −50.0% / −65.7% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 −24.1% | Enter above C$46.83 (+15.3%) | 44% 14/32 | +22.1% / +20.3% | −25.1% / −65.7% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −1.3% | Enter above C$46.21 (+13.8%) | 39% 18/46 | +25.1% / +18.9% | −25.8% / −65.7% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −4.7% | Enter above C$44.65 (+9.9%) | 37% 19/52 | +8.6% / +20.6% | −46.5% / −65.7% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$44.30 (+9.0%) | 34% 15/44 | +13.9% / +19.2% | −40.1% / −65.7% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −9.2% | Enter above C$45.69 (+12.5%) | 39% 18/46 | +22.1% / +19.1% | −42.7% / −65.9% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$43.17 (+6.3%) | 27% 25/92 | +9.6% / +20.4% | −42.5% / −65.7% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jun 1, 2026 −30.7% | Not on one close | 47% 17/36 | +17.7% / +19.2% | −18.7% / −65.7% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Not on one close | 39% 11/28 | +2.0% / +20.3% | −31.3% / −65.7% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −1.7% | Enter above C$42.40 (+4.4%) | 33% 59/178 | +17.6% / +19.1% | −56.0% / −65.9% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −1.3% | Not on one close | 50% 2/4 | +3.3% / +20.8% | −7.9% / −64.5% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Exit below C$28.39 (−30.1%) | 40% 2/5 | +22.9% / +41.5% | −55.2% / −53.8% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Not on one close | 57% 4/7 | +25.9% / +41.5% | −53.8% / −53.8% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Exit below C$31.57 (−22.3%) | 60% 3/5 | +24.6% / +41.5% | −55.2% / −53.8% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −14.1% | Not on one close | 15% 5/33 | +10.0% / +20.8% | −37.1% / −65.7% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2025 +17.2% | Enter above C$63.77 (+57.0%) | 50% 3/6 | +19.9% / +36.0% | −33.6% / −53.8% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above C$49.36 (+21.5%) | 25% 6/24 | +15.7% / +20.4% | −42.9% / −64.7% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −1.7% | Enter above C$43.95 (+8.2%) | 35% 38/109 | +15.0% / +19.6% | −49.9% / −65.7% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −1.7% | Enter above C$41.49 (+2.1%) | 32% 55/172 | +21.1% / +19.6% | −42.0% / −65.7% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$48.66 (+19.8%) | 36% 27/75 | +12.5% / +19.3% | −51.3% / −65.7% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Apr 28, 2023 +509.0% | Not on one close | – | +70.0% / +70.0% | −53.8% / −53.8% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −7.6% | Enter above C$46.69 (+15.0%) | 32% 44/136 | +16.9% / +19.2% | −20.3% / −65.7% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 −4.2% | Exit below C$43.19 (+6.3%) | 39% 22/56 | +14.1% / +20.4% | −45.7% / −65.7% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −1.3% | Enter above C$48.25 (+18.8%) | 41% 15/37 | +18.6% / +20.4% | −42.6% / −65.7% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Exit below C$40.98 (+0.9%) | 55% 6/11 | +31.6% / +41.5% | −41.5% / −53.8% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Not on one close | 50% 2/4 | +28.5% / +52.3% | −53.8% / −53.8% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Not on one close | 11% 1/9 | −0.6% / +41.5% | −53.8% / −53.8% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$42.67 (+5.0%) | 36% 24/67 | +14.1% / +21.4% | −42.8% / −62.0% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jan 13, 2026 +35.8% | Not on one close | 60% 6/10 | +15.6% / +18.3% | −43.7% / −65.7% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −3.5% | Not on one close | 60% 42/70 | +3.3% / +36.0% | −30.3% / −53.8% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −2.4% | Not on one close | 60% 48/80 | +1.1% / +36.0% | −59.7% / −53.8% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Sell above C$42.39 (+4.4%) | 73% 37/51 | +10.6% / +18.9% | −39.7% / −65.7% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 59% 22/37 | +1.2% / +19.7% | −57.8% / −65.7% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Not on one close | 60% 39/65 | +11.2% / +17.7% | −52.6% / −65.7% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Jul 17, 2026 −4.1% | Not on one close | 59% 10/17 | +13.8% / +17.5% | −40.2% / −65.9% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Jan 21, 2022 +321.4% | Sell above C$105.99 (+160.9%) | – | +36.0% / +36.0% | −53.8% / −53.8% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 +15.3% | Not on one close | 61% 11/18 | +3.2% / +21.4% | −15.9% / −62.0% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Not on one close | 51% 41/81 | +33.4% / +20.3% | −32.0% / −65.7% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −4.5% | Not on one close | 57% 59/103 | +7.2% / +20.3% | −56.7% / −65.7% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Buy below C$40.62 (0.0%) | 61% 295/480 | +31.8% / +17.9% | −16.0% / −68.3% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −4.2% | Not on one close | 75% 15/20 | +20.0% / +36.0% | −25.4% / −53.8% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −7.6% | Enter above C$39.40 (−3.0%) | 39% 91/233 | +41.4% / +19.6% | −39.1% / −65.7% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Buy below C$43.00 (+5.9%) | 61% 20/33 | +8.9% / +20.6% | −51.9% / −65.7% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$40.62 (0.0%) | 25% 40/163 | +16.2% / +18.9% | −45.4% / −65.7% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −1.7% | Not on one close | 43% 23/53 | +20.3% / +19.2% | −39.5% / −65.7% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Jun 18, 2026 −27.0% | Not on one close | 22% 2/9 | −11.5% / +18.3% | −54.7% / −65.7% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Jul 17, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above C$46.74 (+15.1%) | 32% 11/34 | −1.5% / +37.9% | −51.0% / −53.8% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$40.83 (+0.5%) | 28% 38/135 | +15.8% / +20.6% | −51.7% / −65.7% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −3.4% | Enter above C$55.75 (+37.3%) | 33% 30/90 | +17.7% / +18.9% | −41.2% / −65.7% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 34% 41/119 | +13.2% / +19.2% | −45.9% / −65.7% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −8.9% | Not on one close | 21% 4/19 | +25.6% / +37.4% | −53.8% / −53.8% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sell C$38.60–C$40.24 (−0.9%) | 37% 68/182 | +20.2% / +19.7% | −53.0% / −65.7% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Sep 3, 2026 +1.4% | Not on one close | 63% 32/51 | +40.8% / +17.7% | −39.8% / −65.9% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Feb 5, 2026 +16.1% | Not on one close | 27% 8/30 | +4.5% / +17.1% | −35.5% / −66.7% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +1.1% | Exit below C$38.48 (−5.3%) | 41% 7/17 | +3.1% / +19.5% | −11.8% / −65.7% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −2.2% | Buys Oct 30 | 55% 6/11 | +7.4% / +17.9% | −55.4% / −68.3% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 24, 2026 −7.7% | Enter above C$43.77 (+7.7%) | 40% 4/10 | +5.4% / +19.6% | −56.3% / −65.7% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 27, 2026 −4.0% | Window opens Oct 16 | 40% 4/10 | +1.0% / +19.6% | −49.2% / −65.7% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +47.1% | Buys Dec 23 | 60% 6/10 | +5.3% / +17.9% | −4.8% / −68.3% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −3.4% | Buys Oct 29 | 48% 64/132 | +9.2% / +17.9% | −26.7% / −68.3% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.6% | Sells Jun 30 | 67% 2/3 | +4.4% / +17.9% | −23.6% / −68.3% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −0.5% | Buys Nov 24 | 51% 51/100 | +13.0% / +17.9% | −4.4% / −68.3% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +534.7% | Not on one close | 50% 1/2 | +47.3% / +35.3% | −53.8% / −53.8% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 292/575 | +9.0% / +17.9% | −54.1% / −68.3% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 0.0% | Buys Oct 27 | 51% 45/88 | +4.5% / +17.9% | −10.9% / −68.3% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −4.5% | Sells Oct 16 | 48% 65/136 | +20.4% / +17.9% | −44.1% / −68.3% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Apr 7, 2021 | Always in | – | +20.6% | −68.3% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureLow2 of 10 points
- Market swings0/3
- Past crashes2/2
- Debt0/3
- Run-up0/2
- It fell about 2.0× as far as its index in past crashes.
- Beta1.10Moves about 1.1× as much as the TSX week to week.
- Downside capture−192%In months the TSX fell, this fell -192% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
- Two-year change+92%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
- From 52-week high−39%
- Debt to equity0.28×
- Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
- Interest cover10.0×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersAerospace & Defense · MDA Space Ltd. provides space technology solutions and services in Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and internationally. It offers satellite communications solutions, such as space-based broadband Internet, direct-to-device satellite communication, and IoT connectivity; MDA AURORA, a software-defined digital satellite product line; and autonomous robotics systems and services used to operate in space and on the surfaces of the Moon and Mars.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$6.6B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$1.9B | Total sales. The market values it at 3.5× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 51.4× | Buyers pay C$51 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 22.1× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 3.0× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 5.7% | Keeps 6¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +33.6% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | −4.8% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 6.7% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | −C$143M | Burning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$1.4B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$378M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$398M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.28× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 10.0× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$66.50 | 64% above the close, from 12 analysts (range C$48.00 to C$88.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
MDA: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.MembersIndustrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.MembersDebt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.MembersIs this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members