Oct 13 close Sign in

Energy & power

Kelt Exploration (KEL)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy84 / 100

Buy: 84 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (at its 1-year high) scores 100 and lifts it; Plays in (68%) scores 68 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightKELPointsWeightAdds
Plays in68%684027.2
Off the highat its 1-year high1003030.0
Trend+21% vs 200-day903027.0
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for KEL
FactorKELPointsWhat it is
Plays in68%68The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+13% · 12 analysts48How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.5 · buy75The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E41.5×24Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E13.3×65Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales3.9×48Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book1.9×78Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+38%63Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+81%94Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin10%47Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity5%28Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.16×77Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the highat its 1-year high100How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+21% vs 200-day90How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+73%87The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure0/10 · low100The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on KEL

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in68 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow0 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.21×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+21%). Higher than on 77% of days since 2013. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about KEL now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved KEL lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Oct 5+3.8% against the S&P/TSX1.5× a normal day

KEL +3.9%, the S&P/TSX +0.0% that session; +6.9% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

Fri Sep 18−3.4% against the S&P/TSX1.4× a normal day

KEL −3.6%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; −3.6% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on KEL was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for KEL starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.2%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 15+3.8% against the S&P/TSX1.5× a normal day

KEL +3.4%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −3.5% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on KEL was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for KEL starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on KEL

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on KEL went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2013. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below C$10.70 (−4.5%)28% 102/360+8.8% / +3.4%−51.8% / −94.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINJul 3, 2026 +22.1%Exit below C$9.95 (−11.3%)30% 19/64+6.4% / +1.3%−50.6% / −94.8%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below C$10.41 (−7.1%)28% 60/214+9.0% / +2.5%−41.1% / −94.8%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Exit below C$10.37 (−7.5%)25% 23/92+3.0% / −0.6%−46.5% / −94.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINJul 3, 2026 +22.1%Exit below C$9.70 (−13.5%)23% 10/44+8.3% / +2.4%−59.6% / −94.8%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyINJul 3, 2026 +22.1%Exit below C$9.74 (−13.2%)19% 10/52+2.9% / −0.3%−58.1% / −94.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINNov 28, 2025 +43.9%Exit below C$9.40 (−16.1%)41% 9/22+11.1% / +1.3%−54.0% / −94.8%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINNov 3, 2025 +64.6%Exit below C$9.28 (−17.2%)18% 16/90+11.1% / +1.4%−51.5% / −94.8%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINNov 6, 2025 +50.9%Not on one close44% 8/18+1.3% / +1.4%−84.8% / −94.8%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINNov 21, 2025 +50.9%Exit below C$9.28 (−17.2%)14% 8/58+11.3% / +0.6%−52.7% / −94.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINJul 24, 2026 +11.0%Exit below C$10.36 (−7.6%)38% 31/82+1.3% / +2.6%−58.5% / −94.8%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below C$10.66 (−4.9%)26% 117/452+7.9% / +3.2%−44.9% / −94.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +8.3%Enter above C$10.97 (−2.1%)38% 57/151+0.9% / +2.2%−74.3% / −94.8%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINNov 6, 2025 +50.9%Not on one close30% 6/20+5.2% / −1.4%−56.8% / −94.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINJul 15, 2026 +16.8%Exit below C$8.98 (−19.9%)24% 22/91+1.5% / +2.6%−53.2% / −94.8%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINJul 22, 2026 +10.9%Exit below C$9.72 (−13.3%)36% 26/72+3.8% / +3.3%−51.6% / −94.8%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINAug 24, 2026 +6.8%Exit below C$10.15 (−9.4%)36% 35/98+5.2% / +4.1%−52.3% / −94.8%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Flips at next check42% 89/213−2.5% / +4.1%−68.7% / −94.8%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$9.78 (−12.8%)38% 134/350+5.5% / +4.1%−63.4% / −94.8%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$10.00 (−10.8%)30% 39/130+2.9% / +3.8%−57.6% / −94.8%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +3.6%Exit below C$10.21 (−8.9%)38% 116/306+0.7% / +3.4%−63.1% / −94.8%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 +9.6%Not on one close30% 28/93−3.5% / +3.7%−56.9% / −94.8%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINJul 13, 2026 +15.0%Exit below C$8.93 (−20.3%)27% 32/118−1.3% / +3.4%−75.1% / −94.8%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 11, 2026 +4.8%Exit below C$10.69 (−4.6%)35% 71/205+2.4% / +4.0%−63.0% / −94.8%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINJul 9, 2026 +19.3%Not on one close30% 41/136+2.9% / +3.4%−67.6% / −94.8%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.3%Not on one close34% 52/153−0.7% / +2.2%−68.8% / −94.8%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINJul 13, 2026 +15.0%Exit below C$8.92 (−20.4%)27% 29/109+0.1% / +2.5%−72.7% / −94.8%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINJul 15, 2026 +16.8%Exit below C$5.53 (−50.7%)34% 21/62+10.5% / +2.5%−49.1% / −94.8%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 +18.2%Not on one close36% 38/106+1.7% / +2.3%−49.7% / −94.8%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 5, 2025 +60.6%Not on one close33% 2/6+1.4% / +3.4%−11.1% / −94.8%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINJul 22, 2026 +10.9%Exit below C$10.00 (−10.8%)31% 26/85−0.5% / +4.1%−71.7% / −94.8%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 +9.6%Enter above C$11.36 (+1.3%)32% 25/78+5.0% / +3.5%−33.0% / −94.8%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINAug 24, 2026 +6.8%Exit below C$10.00 (−10.8%)23% 14/61+0.7% / +3.5%−56.9% / −94.8%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINJul 23, 2026 +9.4%Exit below C$10.04 (−10.5%)27% 15/55+3.2% / +2.5%−38.2% / −94.8%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 +9.6%Not on one close32% 24/76−4.0% / +4.1%−71.3% / −94.8%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +6.6%Enter above C$11.47 (+2.3%)35% 34/98−2.7% / +3.2%−55.9% / −94.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +6.6%Enter above C$11.41 (+1.8%)31% 40/130+0.6% / +4.0%−55.9% / −94.8%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$10.31 (−8.0%)38% 47/125+3.6% / +4.4%−46.5% / −94.8%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINJul 8, 2026 +19.0%Exit below C$10.17 (−9.3%)35% 40/114+2.4% / +4.1%−67.2% / −94.8%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Enter above C$11.42 (+1.9%)38% 50/131+2.7% / +4.2%−63.8% / −94.8%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.0%Exit below C$10.29 (−8.2%)28% 60/214+5.0% / +3.7%−63.9% / −94.8%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 +5.8%Not on one close24% 24/102−4.6% / +4.1%−53.9% / −94.8%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +9.2%Not on one close33% 26/79−2.3% / +3.2%−49.0% / −94.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$11.11 (−0.9%)39% 150/389+13.5% / +3.9%−44.9% / −94.8%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 5, 2024 +82.9%Not on one close44% 8/18+1.3% / +2.3%−17.8% / −94.8%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINNov 28, 2025 +43.9%Exit below C$6.92 (−38.3%)36% 5/14−0.4% / −1.1%−62.9% / −94.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINDec 31, 2025 +46.2%Not on one close43% 6/14−1.8% / −1.1%−74.1% / −94.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +12.3%Exit below C$7.69 (−31.4%)27% 6/22−1.6% / −1.1%−68.0% / −94.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINAug 6, 2026 +15.0%Exit below C$9.91 (−11.6%)23% 23/102+14.6% / +2.6%−47.1% / −94.8%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINJan 30, 2026 +43.7%Exit below C$9.53 (−15.0%)43% 6/14+6.2% / −0.7%−30.1% / −94.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyINAug 21, 2026 +10.2%Exit below C$10.17 (−9.2%)27% 21/78+3.8% / +2.8%−65.1% / −94.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.0%Exit below C$10.31 (−8.1%)33% 93/282+0.3% / +3.4%−63.0% / −94.8%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below C$10.80 (−3.7%)32% 144/446+11.3% / +3.4%−46.2% / −94.8%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 +4.8%Enter above C$10.93 (−2.5%)38% 68/178−4.2% / +3.5%−76.7% / −94.8%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINAug 31, 2023 +59.7%Not on one close43% 3/7+2.5% / +3.2%−90.4% / −92.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$11.06 (−1.3%)28% 104/365+0.5% / +4.1%−45.1% / −94.8%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 +8.3%Enter above C$11.25 (+0.4%)42% 63/149+6.5% / +2.5%−72.6% / −94.8%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINJul 14, 2026 +15.9%Exit below C$8.89 (−20.7%)26% 31/118−2.0% / +2.5%−75.0% / −94.8%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +12.3%Exit below C$9.94 (−11.3%)37% 20/54+2.4% / −1.1%−70.7% / −94.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINDec 31, 2025 +46.2%Not on one close38% 5/13+3.7% / +11.1%−65.8% / −92.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINDec 31, 2025 +46.2%Not on one close45% 10/22+0.4% / −1.1%−59.9% / −94.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$10.55 (−5.9%)28% 59/208+3.7% / +2.2%−64.9% / −94.8%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTNov 13, 2025 +45.6%Not on one close40% 8/20−10.2% / +4.0%−93.6% / −94.8%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Buy C$9.28–C$10.28 (−8.3%)58% 96/166+4.1% / +1.4%−31.5% / −94.8%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Buy C$9.28–C$10.78 (−3.8%)64% 122/190+7.4% / +1.4%−58.2% / −94.8%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 +22.0%Buy below C$9.98 (−11.0%)61% 65/106+1.7% / +4.0%−84.5% / −94.8%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Not on one close62% 68/109+2.6% / +3.9%−92.3% / −94.8%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +6.5%Exit below C$11.09 (−1.1%)59% 103/175+6.5% / +4.1%−87.4% / −94.8%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTJul 13, 2026 +15.0%Not on one close73% 38/52+10.8% / +4.2%−84.3% / −94.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINDec 13, 2013 +19.5%Sell above C$22.43 (+100.1%)–+1.4% / +1.4%−94.8% / −94.8%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTNov 18, 2025 +49.3%Not on one close57% 16/28−0.3% / +2.2%−39.8% / −94.8%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below C$10.67 (−4.8%)41% 89/215+4.4% / +3.2%−67.1% / −94.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +4.4%Exit below C$11.08 (−1.2%)60% 158/265+13.9% / +3.2%−81.3% / −94.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +8.5%Buy below C$11.21 (0.0%)53% 600/1124−16.6% / +5.4%−94.8% / −94.8%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 13, 2026 +15.0%Not on one close59% 34/58+4.5% / +1.4%−83.4% / −94.8%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below C$10.64 (−5.1%)38% 233/612+17.4% / +3.4%−50.6% / −94.8%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +8.5%Sell above C$10.54 (−6.0%)56% 45/81−2.0% / +3.3%−92.6% / −94.8%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Not on one close23% 104/446−4.3% / +4.0%−79.1% / −94.8%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +3.6%Not on one close43% 53/124−4.7% / +4.1%−91.5% / −94.8%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTNov 13, 2025 +45.6%Not on one close57% 17/30−11.3% / +4.0%−94.6% / −94.8%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 +3.9%Enter above C$11.54 (+2.9%)28% 23/83−1.4% / −0.7%−58.7% / −94.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Exit below C$10.71 (−4.5%)29% 119/404+11.2% / +3.7%−50.3% / −94.8%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +2.0%Exit below C$9.18 (−18.1%)31% 76/248−0.5% / +4.0%−68.4% / −94.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Not on one close37% 139/376−1.1% / +4.1%−81.5% / −94.8%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINMay 15, 2025 +76.8%Not on one close24% 14/58−8.2% / −0.8%−95.0% / −94.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Not on one close35% 177/512−3.9% / +2.6%−74.6% / −94.8%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Not on one close54% 50/93+3.9% / +4.1%−68.1% / −94.8%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINJul 2, 2026 +24.6%Exit below C$8.54 (−23.8%)47% 25/53+17.3% / +5.1%−37.3% / −94.8%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 9, 2026 +16.3%Not on one close50% 15/30+1.1% / +4.2%−32.7% / −94.8%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +11.5%Buys Oct 3048% 13/27+8.4% / +5.4%−83.8% / −94.8%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.3%Window opens Apr 148% 13/27+3.3% / +3.4%−83.8% / −94.8%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +36.5%Window opens Oct 1646% 12/26+1.2% / +3.4%−83.8% / −94.8%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +49.5%Buys Dec 2354% 14/26+4.5% / +5.4%−11.6% / −94.8%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Buys Oct 2948% 157/326+7.8% / +5.4%−50.5% / −94.8%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +8.5%Sells Jun 3029% 2/7−5.6% / +5.4%−71.6% / −94.8%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +9.2%Buys Nov 2448% 117/242+3.9% / +5.4%−8.4% / −94.8%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +123.8%Not on one close50% 6/12+2.4% / +1.3%−74.8% / −94.8%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1652% 732/1421+13.2% / +5.4%−82.6% / −94.8%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +1.9%Buys Oct 2751% 111/216+7.8% / +5.4%−8.2% / −94.8%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +8.0%Sells Oct 1647% 159/337−5.0% / +5.4%−85.5% / −94.8%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINMar 1, 2013Always in–+5.5%−94.8%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow0 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2

Nothing on the checklist stands out.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Sep 2021

KEL−79%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jan 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2022

KEL1%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.47Moves about 0.5× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture23%In months the TSX fell, this fell 23% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+63%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high0%
  • Debt to equity0.16×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.6×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover8.4×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Oil & Gas E&P · Kelt Exploration Ltd., an oil and gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas resources natural gas primarily in Northwestern Alberta and Northeastern British Columbia. Kelt Exploration Ltd. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market capC$2.3BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$579MTotal sales. The market values it at 3.9× sales.
P/E ratio41.5×Buyers pay C$42 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E13.3×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book1.9×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin9.8%Keeps 10¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+80.9%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+37.5%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity4.9%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−C$66.6MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$1.1BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$188MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$2.5MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.16×Comfortable.
Interest cover8.4×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$12.7113% above the close, from 12 analysts (range C$11.00 to C$14.25).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Read more

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

Email meTest a theory

Free account

Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.

Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.