Metals & mining

Kinross Gold (K)

C$33.32 −1.6% on the day·−1.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell14 / 100

Sell: 14 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (27%) scores 27 and lifts it; Off the high (−36% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	K	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	27%	27	40	10.8
Off the high	−36% from its 1-year high	0	30	0.0
Trend	−18% vs 200-day	12	30	3.6

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for K

Factor	K	Points	What it is
Plays in	27%	27	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+55% · 8 analysts · capped: below 200-day	50	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.9 · buy	56	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	9.2×	95	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	8.4×	91	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	1.12	62	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	3.3×	54	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	2.9×	52	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	0.7%	19	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+65%	74	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+30%	73	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	38%	90	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	37%	89	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.08×	85	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−36% from its 1-year high	0	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	−18% vs 200-day	12	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	−1%	32	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	6/10 · high	40	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on K

27 of the 100 plays hold K right now.
The trend-following, breakout, momentum and pattern plays mostly say out.
It closed 18% below its 200-day average and 36% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads high: it moves about 2.2× its index and fell about 1.6× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$51.49, 55% above the close (8 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in27 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple0.82×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−18%). Higher than on 14% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about K now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn K: right 13 of 28 · Out since Sep 10, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn K: right 68 of 178 · In since Jul 22, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn K: right 15 of 27 · In since Apr 28, 2023 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn K: right 125 of 185 · In since Sep 24, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn K: right 19 of 29 · In since Oct 8, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn K: right 62 of 125 · Out since Aug 28, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn K: right 22 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

K, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved K lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 24−11.2% against the S&P/TSX4.1× a normal day

K −11.3%, the S&P/TSX −0.1% that session; −10.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

Price target cutAnalyst rating · Sep 24, 8:48 am ET
2 firms cut their price targets: TD Securities, Scotiabank.
After price target cuts, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 53% of the time (1,291 of 2,458 on 197 stocks; median move −0.1%). Low predictability
K after price target cuts: behind its index at the first close after the news 3 of 8 times (median +0.6%).

Next earnings report

Wed Oct 28, 2026 after the close

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 0.55.

Over its last 12 reports, K's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±3.4% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 8 times.
K after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 20 of 28 times (median +2.6%).
K after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 11 of 16 times (median −1.0%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on K

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following3 of 30 in Breakouts & channels2 of 15 in Momentum4 of 17 in Mean reversion9 of 15 in Volume & money flow4 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns0 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on K went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −14.4%	Enter above C$35.69 (+7.1%)	25% 168/667	−7.5% / +7.4%	−95.8% / −92.4%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −6.0%	Enter above C$37.98 (+14.0%)	26% 31/117	+0.3% / +7.4%	−88.5% / −92.4%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −14.4%	Enter above C$37.17 (+11.5%)	21% 86/401	−4.6% / +7.4%	−95.5% / −92.4%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	May 13, 2026 −22.1%	Not on one close	20% 31/158	+6.1% / +7.4%	−59.0% / −92.4%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Jun 5, 2026 −8.6%	Enter above C$68.70 (+106.2%)	24% 18/75	+2.9% / +7.4%	−80.0% / −92.4%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −21.9%	Enter above C$43.60 (+30.9%)	25% 23/92	+5.5% / +7.4%	−70.0% / −92.4%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above C$40.08 (+20.3%)	31% 14/45	+2.5% / +7.4%	−85.0% / −92.4%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Enter above C$40.59 (+21.8%)	16% 29/183	+3.0% / +7.4%	−85.3% / −92.4%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	OUT	Jun 26, 2026 −3.0%	Not on one close	40% 10/25	+9.7% / +7.4%	−75.8% / −92.4%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Enter above C$91.73 (+175.3%)	21% 17/80	+7.7% / +7.4%	−66.1% / −92.4%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −6.0%	Enter above C$50.18 (+50.6%)	33% 51/155	−7.0% / +7.4%	−94.9% / −92.4%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −21.9%	Enter above C$35.19 (+5.6%)	24% 187/779	−9.3% / +7.4%	−97.8% / −92.4%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Enter above C$52.86 (+58.6%)	34% 89/263	−1.8% / +7.4%	−87.0% / −92.4%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Aug 7, 2026 −13.4%	Exit below C$22.91 (−31.2%)	28% 8/29	+5.8% / +7.4%	−72.7% / −92.4%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$60.64 (+82.0%)	27% 39/143	+1.7% / +7.4%	−88.6% / −92.4%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Not on one close	29% 37/129	+4.2% / +7.4%	−81.1% / −92.4%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Enter above C$36.86 (+10.6%)	31% 55/177	−3.8% / +7.4%	−94.0% / −92.4%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −14.3%	Not on one close	40% 128/321	−0.5% / +7.4%	−85.7% / −92.4%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Enter above C$42.88 (+28.7%)	34% 193/575	−2.5% / +7.4%	−91.3% / −92.4%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$43.19 (+29.6%)	33% 74/221	−3.2% / +7.4%	−92.5% / −92.4%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.6%	Exit below C$32.62 (−2.1%)	38% 179/468	+3.6% / +7.4%	−89.3% / −92.4%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −15.0%	Enter above C$37.11 (+11.4%)	28% 34/123	+0.0% / +7.4%	−54.7% / −92.4%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 −14.7%	Enter above C$54.28 (+62.9%)	27% 55/207	−3.6% / +7.4%	−96.0% / −92.4%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −21.9%	Enter above C$35.20 (+5.7%)	32% 106/331	−4.3% / +7.4%	−89.1% / −92.4%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −15.0%	Enter above C$107.89 (+223.8%)	29% 74/251	−6.9% / +7.4%	−97.8% / −92.4%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Jun 16, 2026 −15.0%	Not on one close	34% 86/252	−3.8% / +7.4%	−88.0% / −92.4%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −14.4%	Enter above C$51.73 (+55.2%)	26% 53/205	−2.2% / +7.4%	−95.1% / −92.4%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −2.3%	Enter above C$62.94 (+88.9%)	27% 32/117	−0.2% / +7.4%	−90.3% / −92.4%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 −17.5%	Not on one close	34% 77/228	−3.7% / +7.4%	−89.6% / −92.4%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Not on one close	46% 13/28	+0.7% / +7.4%	−24.0% / −92.4%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$40.63 (+21.9%)	32% 45/139	−6.0% / +7.4%	−95.9% / −92.4%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Enter above C$40.63 (+21.9%)	27% 36/135	−4.4% / +7.4%	−81.4% / −92.4%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$46.27 (+38.9%)	28% 25/89	+0.4% / +7.4%	−67.1% / −92.4%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Jan 30, 2026 −22.0%	Enter above C$73.55 (+120.7%)	31% 25/81	+3.2% / +7.4%	−61.7% / −92.4%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	May 15, 2026 −14.4%	Not on one close	30% 40/133	−3.9% / +7.4%	−88.6% / −92.4%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −18.4%	Enter above C$39.34 (+18.1%)	31% 47/153	−0.7% / +7.4%	−68.9% / −92.4%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −19.9%	Enter above C$41.67 (+25.0%)	33% 71/213	−2.5% / +7.4%	−83.5% / −92.4%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −18.4%	Enter above C$40.43 (+21.3%)	33% 70/211	−7.5% / +7.4%	−96.9% / −92.4%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −18.4%	Enter above C$36.40 (+9.2%)	30% 62/209	−8.7% / +7.4%	−97.0% / −92.4%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Jul 22, 2026 −2.3%	Exit below C$31.36 (−5.9%)	38% 68/178	+4.9% / +7.4%	−84.1% / −92.4%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −16.7%	Enter above C$39.37 (+18.2%)	25% 88/359	−6.9% / +7.4%	−97.2% / −92.4%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −21.5%	Not on one close	30% 53/174	−1.7% / +7.4%	−54.5% / −92.4%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −21.5%	Not on one close	40% 49/122	+1.0% / +7.4%	−64.9% / −92.4%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.6%	Exit below C$32.77 (−1.7%)	30% 209/694	−8.5% / +7.4%	−96.2% / −92.4%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −19.9%	Not on one close	42% 15/36	+1.1% / +7.4%	−37.8% / −92.4%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above C$33.65 (+1.0%)	21% 7/34	+7.6% / +7.5%	−67.1% / −92.4%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Apr 28, 2023 +410.5%	Not on one close	56% 15/27	+11.3% / +7.5%	−62.1% / −92.4%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above C$37.41 (+12.3%)	35% 7/20	+11.5% / +7.5%	−62.1% / −92.4%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Buy C$37.13–C$38.32 (+11.4%)	25% 35/139	+2.7% / +7.4%	−74.8% / −92.4%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Mar 31, 2026 −21.4%	Enter above C$49.13 (+47.4%)	31% 8/26	+6.2% / +7.4%	−45.9% / −92.4%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 −17.5%	Enter above C$39.89 (+19.7%)	28% 30/109	+3.3% / +7.4%	−81.9% / −92.4%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 −18.4%	Enter above C$35.09 (+5.3%)	31% 147/472	−4.1% / +7.4%	−84.8% / −92.4%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$34.61 (+3.9%)	31% 238/779	−7.5% / +7.4%	−95.5% / −92.4%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −19.9%	Enter above C$50.29 (+50.9%)	34% 114/331	−3.5% / +7.4%	−90.7% / −92.4%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2023 +448.2%	Not on one close	22% 5/23	+0.7% / +5.5%	−93.0% / −92.4%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −23.4%	Enter above C$42.80 (+28.4%)	29% 160/556	−2.2% / +7.4%	−87.7% / −92.4%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 9, 2026 −20.2%	Enter above C$73.50 (+120.6%)	36% 103/285	−2.1% / +7.4%	−92.2% / −92.4%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −14.4%	Enter above C$55.21 (+65.7%)	27% 55/205	−4.3% / +7.4%	−95.7% / −92.4%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −2.9%	Enter above C$34.34 (+3.1%)	35% 33/94	+0.5% / +7.5%	−87.7% / −92.4%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Apr 28, 2023 +410.5%	Not on one close	50% 9/18	+11.7% / +4.8%	−52.1% / −92.4%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	May 31, 2024 +206.4%	Not on one close	47% 7/15	+8.9% / +7.5%	−54.0% / −92.4%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 9, 2026 −20.2%	Enter above C$41.70 (+25.2%)	31% 110/357	−4.3% / +7.4%	−89.2% / −92.4%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −23.4%	Not on one close	64% 23/36	+6.1% / +7.4%	−78.3% / −92.4%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 3, 2026 −23.5%	Not on one close	61% 133/218	+4.6% / +7.4%	−36.3% / −92.4%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −17.6%	Not on one close	65% 200/309	+9.9% / +7.4%	−46.7% / −92.4%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 −3.4%	Sell above C$35.72 (+7.2%)	68% 125/185	+6.0% / +7.4%	−71.6% / −92.4%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 −14.3%	Not on one close	68% 125/185	+13.9% / +7.4%	−78.4% / −92.4%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 −16.4%	Not on one close	61% 181/299	+6.1% / +7.4%	−79.6% / −92.4%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	May 1, 2026 −16.9%	Not on one close	55% 42/77	+3.8% / +7.4%	−81.6% / −92.4%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +297.1%	Sell above C$98.12 (+194.5%)	–	+7.4% / +7.4%	−92.4% / −92.4%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Feb 3, 2026 −26.3%	Buy below C$30.60 (−8.2%)	57% 17/30	+2.5% / +7.4%	−20.6% / −92.4%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −17.6%	Not on one close	46% 151/331	−1.1% / +7.4%	−86.9% / −92.4%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 −23.5%	Not on one close	54% 241/447	−4.2% / +7.4%	−94.1% / −92.4%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2026 −1.7%	Buy below C$33.32 (0.0%)	58% 1208/2070	+12.7% / +7.4%	−58.6% / −92.4%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Aug 5, 2026 −7.4%	Not on one close	57% 41/72	+8.3% / +7.4%	−30.1% / −92.4%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.4%	Not on one close	36% 372/1047	+2.1% / +7.4%	−80.2% / −92.4%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −2.9%	Sell above C$34.99 (+5.0%)	63% 82/130	+8.4% / +7.4%	−82.5% / −92.4%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −15.0%	Not on one close	27% 205/757	+1.2% / +7.4%	−92.8% / −92.4%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Sep 9, 2026 −20.2%	Not on one close	34% 72/213	−4.4% / +7.4%	−95.0% / −92.4%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.4%	Not on one close	66% 19/29	+3.6% / +7.4%	−58.8% / −92.4%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Apr 9, 2024 +288.7%	Exit below C$29.26 (−12.2%)	29% 26/89	+4.6% / +7.5%	−67.6% / −92.4%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −19.9%	Enter above C$35.40 (+6.2%)	27% 199/737	−6.4% / +7.4%	−96.6% / −92.4%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −19.9%	Enter above C$47.51 (+42.6%)	31% 116/377	−0.6% / +7.4%	−90.2% / −92.4%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.4%	Exit below C$33.32 (0.0%)	39% 211/537	+4.9% / +7.4%	−87.3% / −92.4%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −21.5%	Not on one close	28% 35/125	+3.7% / +7.5%	−83.8% / −92.4%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.4%	Sell C$32.86–C$33.37 (+0.1%)	36% 328/907	+3.9% / +7.4%	−75.3% / −92.4%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −23.4%	Enter above C$33.55 (+0.7%)	50% 62/125	+2.1% / +7.4%	−83.9% / −92.4%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Jun 5, 2026 −8.6%	Not on one close	37% 35/94	+3.6% / +7.4%	−80.6% / −92.4%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jul 17, 2026 +5.4%	Not on one close	49% 38/78	+3.8% / +7.4%	−21.1% / −92.4%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −18.8%	Buys Oct 30	51% 22/43	+9.4% / +7.4%	−83.8% / −92.4%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.6%	Window opens Apr 1	52% 23/44	+5.5% / +7.4%	−90.3% / −92.4%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 23, 2026 −24.0%	Window opens Oct 16	49% 21/43	+8.0% / +7.4%	−90.4% / −92.4%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 −16.6%	Buys Dec 23	61% 27/44	+6.0% / +7.4%	−12.7% / −92.4%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −1.0%	Buys Oct 29	54% 282/526	+11.7% / +7.4%	−66.7% / −92.4%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −2.9%	Sells Jun 30	27% 3/11	+1.1% / +7.4%	−63.5% / −92.4%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −21.9%	Buys Nov 24	51% 196/386	+4.0% / +7.4%	−25.7% / −92.4%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +536.8%	Not on one close	40% 8/20	+8.4% / +7.4%	−79.9% / −92.4%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	52% 1184/2284	+4.2% / +7.4%	−84.1% / −92.4%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −14.3%	Buys Oct 27	54% 187/348	+6.3% / +7.4%	−17.7% / −92.4%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −3.0%	Sells Oct 16	48% 258/541	+2.1% / +7.4%	−92.5% / −92.4%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+7.4%	−92.4%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureHigh6 of 10 points

Market swings2/3
Past crashes2/2
Debt0/3
Run-up2/2

It moves about 2.2× its index.
It fell about 1.6× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 150% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Nov 2008

K−33%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

K−35%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Apr 2023

K−45%

TSX−14%

Beta2.20Moves about 2.2× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture19%In months the TSX fell, this fell 19% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+150%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−36%
Debt to equity0.09×
Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
Interest cover40.1×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Gold · Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$39.5B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$8.5B	Total sales.
P/E ratio	9.2×	Buyers pay C$9 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	8.4×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book	2.9×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	37.5%	Keeps 38¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+29.5%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+64.8%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	37.0%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$3.0B	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$8.6B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$755M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$2.7B	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.09×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	40.1×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$51.49	55% above the close, from 8 analysts (range C$40.97 to C$66.03).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	0.65%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

K: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Metals & mining: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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