IAU −7.8%, the S&P/TSX −1.7% that session.
- HeadlineInvesting.com UK · Oct 7, 12:40 pm ET
Royal Gold at John Tumazos conference: growth, cash and valuation gap
Metals & mining
i-80 Gold (IAU)
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Sell32 / 100
Sell: 32 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Trend (−1% vs 200-day) scores 40 and lifts it; Off the high (−22% from its 1-year high) scores 25 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | IAU | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 31% | 31 | 40 | 12.4 |
| Off the high | −22% from its 1-year high | 25 | 30 | 7.5 |
| Trend | −1% vs 200-day | 40 | 30 | 12.0 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for IAU
| Factor | IAU | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 31% | 31 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +92% · 6 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.5 · buy | 75 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | loss | 0 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Forward P/E | loss expected | 0 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | 10.3× | 16 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Price to book | 5.2× | 31 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | – | – | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. |
| Revenue growth | +70% | 91 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Profit margin | −199% | 1 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Return on equity | −100% | 2 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Debt to equity | 1.73× | 11 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30. |
| Off the high | −22% from its 1-year high | 25 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −1% vs 200-day | 40 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +69% | 85 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 8/10 · very high | 20 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on IAU- 31 of the 100 plays hold IAU right now.
- The trend-following, breakout and pattern plays mostly say out.
- It closed 1% below its 200-day average and 22% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads very high: it moves about 3.3× its index and fell about 2.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is C$4.25, 92% above the close (6 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in31 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureVery high8 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.99×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−1%). Higher than on 59% of days since 2022. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about IAU now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn IAU: right 6 of 10 · Out since Mar 5, 2026Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn IAU: right 23 of 67 · Out since Oct 5, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn IAU: right 2 of 6 · In since Nov 28, 2025Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn IAU: right 32 of 47 · In since Oct 7, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn IAU: right 17 of 22 · Out since Aug 26, 2026Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn IAU: right 12 of 40 · Out since Jul 24, 2026CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn IAU: right 7 of 11 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
IAU, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved IAU lately
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
IAU +7.8%, the S&P/TSX +0.9% that session; −2.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on IAU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for IAU starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.9%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.4% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
IAU +6.1%, the S&P/TSX +1.1% that session; +6.6% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on IAU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for IAU starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.1%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.5% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on IAU
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following7 of 30 inBreakouts & channels0 of 15 inMomentum8 of 17 inMean reversion9 of 15 inVolume & money flow3 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns0 of 3 inCalendar4 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on IAU went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2021. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$2.32 (+5.2%) | 21% 38/179 | −9.4% / −3.9% | −68.2% / −87.9% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 −2.6% | Exit below C$2.22 (+0.2%) | 22% 6/27 | −7.9% / −4.4% | −60.3% / −87.9% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$2.33 (+5.6%) | 18% 18/99 | −2.3% / −6.5% | −60.6% / −87.9% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.5% | Not on one close | 14% 4/29 | +2.6% / −9.8% | −33.9% / −87.9% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Aug 21, 2026 −11.2% | Exit below C$2.20 (−0.5%) | 14% 3/21 | −3.4% / −4.1% | −54.0% / −87.9% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above C$2.32 (+5.0%) | 33% 5/15 | +7.3% / −9.2% | −49.6% / −87.9% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −12.0% | Exit below C$2.24 (+1.4%) | 29% 2/7 | −3.3% / −4.0% | −51.4% / −87.9% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above C$2.24 (+1.3%) | 17% 5/30 | +12.9% / −3.4% | −38.3% / −87.9% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Sep 8, 2026 −9.1% | Not on one close | 25% 2/8 | +3.1% / −3.4% | −57.6% / −87.9% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above C$2.24 (+1.3%) | 17% 3/18 | +1.9% / −4.6% | −47.8% / −87.9% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −3.9% | Enter above C$2.80 (+26.8%) | 32% 13/40 | −7.1% / −3.2% | −67.9% / −87.9% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$2.30 (+4.2%) | 23% 48/209 | −3.8% / −5.2% | −60.6% / −87.9% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −7.9% | Enter above C$3.37 (+52.3%) | 27% 21/78 | −18.5% / −6.6% | −83.0% / −87.9% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2025 +63.7% | Not on one close | 25% 1/4 | +10.8% / −4.0% | −38.2% / −87.9% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 −3.9% | Enter above C$2.80 (+26.7%) | 19% 7/37 | −7.8% / −7.1% | −74.2% / −87.9% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +4.2% | Not on one close | 29% 7/24 | −0.1% / −3.0% | −61.3% / −87.9% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.5% | Enter above C$2.50 (+13.0%) | 33% 13/39 | −9.1% / −2.1% | −77.6% / −87.9% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.5% | Not on one close | 38% 28/74 | −8.1% / −2.1% | −72.7% / −87.9% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.5% | Enter above C$2.71 (+22.6%) | 28% 45/158 | −12.3% / −1.9% | −75.9% / −87.9% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −9.4% | Enter above C$2.63 (+19.0%) | 38% 22/58 | +6.7% / −2.8% | −49.6% / −87.9% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$2.38 (+7.5%) | 39% 47/122 | −0.6% / −2.8% | −52.9% / −87.9% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −6.0% | Not on one close | 40% 17/42 | −2.1% / −3.2% | −51.1% / −87.9% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −3.9% | Enter above C$2.84 (+28.3%) | 29% 17/58 | −8.1% / −3.0% | −71.9% / −87.9% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −8.7% | Enter above C$2.35 (+6.4%) | 32% 29/90 | −1.7% / −2.5% | −64.6% / −87.9% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −3.5% | Enter above C$2.56 (+15.7%) | 30% 19/64 | −0.2% / −3.0% | −65.3% / −87.9% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −15.6% | Not on one close | 29% 16/55 | −20.6% / −6.6% | −87.3% / −87.9% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −3.9% | Enter above C$2.74 (+24.2%) | 26% 14/54 | −11.3% / −6.5% | −72.9% / −87.9% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | IN | Aug 11, 2026 −4.3% | Exit below C$2.22 (+0.4%) | 29% 7/24 | −11.3% / −6.5% | −73.5% / −87.9% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −8.7% | Not on one close | 32% 16/50 | −13.9% / −5.1% | −58.9% / −87.9% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Mar 5, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 60% 6/10 | +3.5% / −3.0% | −14.4% / −87.9% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$2.63 (+19.0%) | 29% 8/28 | −3.4% / −2.1% | −66.6% / −87.9% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −6.0% | Enter above C$2.63 (+19.0%) | 61% 11/18 | +28.9% / −2.9% | −26.4% / −87.9% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$2.68 (+21.5%) | 31% 5/16 | +5.1% / −2.9% | −41.5% / −87.9% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −6.0% | Enter above C$2.67 (+20.8%) | 25% 4/16 | +5.5% / −6.5% | −28.4% / −87.9% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −6.0% | Enter above C$2.63 (+19.0%) | 27% 7/26 | −5.7% / −2.1% | −67.0% / −87.9% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −6.4% | Enter above C$2.63 (+18.9%) | 44% 14/32 | +3.4% / −5.2% | −40.5% / −87.9% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −6.4% | Enter above C$2.63 (+19.1%) | 39% 18/46 | +11.8% / −2.0% | −51.6% / −87.9% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −6.0% | Enter above C$2.62 (+18.6%) | 38% 16/42 | +6.5% / −2.4% | −52.1% / −87.9% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −6.0% | Enter above C$2.44 (+10.4%) | 34% 15/44 | −5.2% / −2.1% | −70.5% / −87.9% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.3% | Enter above C$2.64 (+19.4%) | 34% 23/67 | +7.7% / −2.8% | −52.0% / −87.9% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$2.37 (+7.5%) | 22% 20/90 | −13.3% / −3.2% | −73.8% / −87.9% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −14.0% | Not on one close | 39% 15/38 | +10.7% / −2.1% | −10.3% / −87.9% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jan 30, 2026 +2.3% | Not on one close | 38% 9/24 | +2.0% / −5.2% | −29.3% / −87.9% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$2.29 (+3.6%) | 31% 52/170 | −3.1% / −4.3% | −76.7% / −87.9% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jan 30, 2026 +2.3% | Not on one close | 25% 2/8 | −2.3% / −6.7% | −16.3% / −87.9% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Nov 28, 2025 +37.3% | Exit below C$1.39 (−37.1%) | 33% 2/6 | −8.9% / −8.1% | −59.8% / −87.9% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Nov 28, 2025 +37.3% | Not on one close | 33% 2/6 | −9.1% / −8.1% | −60.1% / −87.9% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Nov 28, 2025 +37.3% | Exit below C$1.54 (−30.1%) | 33% 2/6 | −3.0% / −8.1% | −50.5% / −87.9% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$2.20 (−0.4%) | 29% 4/14 | +2.3% / −3.9% | −47.8% / −87.9% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$2.71 (+22.5%) | 33% 2/6 | −1.0% / −10.1% | −48.2% / −87.9% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above C$2.29 (+3.4%) | 33% 7/21 | +3.1% / −7.8% | −42.6% / −87.9% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −6.4% | Enter above C$2.55 (+15.3%) | 26% 30/116 | −17.7% / −3.0% | −82.2% / −87.9% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Enter above C$2.29 (+3.7%) | 29% 61/212 | −6.1% / −3.0% | −65.9% / −87.9% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −10.5% | Enter above C$3.62 (+63.8%) | 28% 21/74 | −10.3% / −2.0% | −79.7% / −87.9% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +163.1% | Not on one close | 14% 1/7 | +0.2% / −12.1% | −70.3% / −86.4% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −14.0% | Enter above C$2.65 (+20.1%) | 29% 33/112 | +15.7% / −2.1% | −38.0% / −87.9% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −9.1% | Enter above C$4.63 (+109.6%) | 34% 21/61 | −5.6% / −6.5% | −70.9% / −87.9% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 −3.9% | Enter above C$2.85 (+29.1%) | 31% 17/55 | −10.0% / −6.5% | −71.9% / −87.9% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −12.0% | Exit below C$2.11 (−4.5%) | 33% 6/18 | −7.8% / −8.1% | −58.2% / −87.9% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Nov 28, 2025 +37.3% | Not on one close | 100% 1/1 | +17.1% / +11.4% | −38.2% / −71.3% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Dec 31, 2025 +9.4% | Not on one close | 25% 1/4 | −5.0% / −8.1% | −41.5% / −87.9% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −10.5% | Enter above C$2.85 (+29.0%) | 27% 24/89 | −23.8% / −6.6% | −84.8% / −87.9% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 −15.6% | Not on one close | 70% 7/10 | +5.8% / −1.4% | −86.4% / −87.9% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 3, 2026 −10.5% | Not on one close | 62% 25/40 | +9.1% / −3.4% | −23.1% / −87.9% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −5.6% | Sell above C$2.31 (+4.5%) | 71% 36/51 | +8.6% / −3.4% | −38.0% / −87.9% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +4.2% | Sell above C$2.36 (+6.6%) | 68% 32/47 | +6.9% / −2.0% | −64.0% / −87.9% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 −9.8% | Not on one close | 66% 31/47 | +13.9% / −1.8% | −66.5% / −87.9% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 −6.8% | Not on one close | 73% 53/73 | +18.0% / −1.9% | −45.2% / −87.9% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | May 1, 2026 +7.3% | Not on one close | 52% 11/21 | −4.8% / −2.9% | −76.0% / −87.9% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Jan 27, 2022 −16.6% | Sell above C$5.41 (+144.7%) | – | −3.4% / −3.4% | −87.9% / −87.9% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −9.8% | Not on one close | 83% 10/12 | +10.0% / −6.6% | −8.8% / −87.9% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −10.9% | Enter above C$2.29 (+3.5%) | 48% 43/90 | +21.9% / −5.2% | −53.5% / −87.9% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Not on one close | 58% 65/113 | −2.4% / −5.2% | −74.6% / −87.9% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Buy below C$2.21 (0.0%) | 63% 305/487 | +23.6% / −0.4% | −62.3% / −87.9% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 3, 2026 −1.3% | Not on one close | 50% 6/12 | −4.1% / −3.4% | −53.4% / −87.9% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −2.2% | Exit below C$2.13 (−3.4%) | 40% 96/239 | +30.1% / −3.0% | −40.6% / −87.9% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −6.4% | Sell above C$2.41 (+8.9%) | 70% 26/37 | +9.4% / −3.1% | −75.2% / −87.9% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Exit below C$2.21 (0.0%) | 29% 41/140 | +0.4% / −2.0% | −56.0% / −87.9% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Aug 7, 2026 −2.6% | Not on one close | 34% 21/61 | −24.5% / −2.1% | −86.4% / −87.9% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 −15.6% | Not on one close | 77% 17/22 | +60.9% / −1.4% | −32.7% / −87.9% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Apr 21, 2026 +0.9% | Not on one close | 35% 7/20 | +4.6% / −10.1% | −27.5% / −87.9% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +4.2% | Enter above C$2.27 (+2.5%) | 30% 49/163 | −0.1% / −2.8% | −58.8% / −87.9% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −6.8% | Enter above C$3.37 (+52.5%) | 24% 26/107 | −12.7% / −2.0% | −78.4% / −87.9% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −2.2% | Exit below C$2.21 (0.0%) | 38% 53/141 | −10.0% / −2.1% | −54.6% / −87.9% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Not on one close | 26% 10/39 | −23.7% / −8.1% | −79.4% / −87.9% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 38% 72/192 | +8.8% / −6.6% | −52.7% / −87.9% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 +15.7% | Enter above C$2.26 (+2.3%) | 30% 12/40 | −22.3% / −2.9% | −88.6% / −87.9% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Jan 29, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 29% 4/14 | +19.5% / −1.9% | −41.0% / −87.9% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jun 17, 2026 +2.3% | Not on one close | 33% 4/12 | +3.9% / −1.3% | −11.1% / −87.9% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +7.8% | Buys Oct 30 | 64% 7/11 | +8.4% / −0.4% | −76.9% / −87.9% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 21, 2026 +0.9% | Enter above C$2.34 (+5.7%) | 40% 4/10 | −4.1% / −3.0% | −79.6% / −87.9% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 23, 2026 +3.3% | Window opens Oct 16 | 50% 5/10 | −5.5% / −3.0% | −81.3% / −87.9% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +7.8% | Buys Dec 23 | 40% 4/10 | +3.4% / −0.4% | −15.0% / −87.9% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.3% | Buys Oct 29 | 45% 60/132 | −2.6% / −0.4% | −45.0% / −87.9% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −6.4% | Sells Jun 30 | 67% 2/3 | +5.4% / −0.4% | −32.8% / −87.9% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −10.5% | Buys Nov 24 | 53% 53/100 | +7.8% / −0.4% | −18.6% / −87.9% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 −41.5% | Not on one close | 0% 0/2 | −11.9% / −5.5% | −88.3% / −87.9% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 295/573 | −3.4% / −0.4% | −82.6% / −87.9% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −4.3% | Buys Oct 27 | 52% 46/88 | +3.7% / −0.4% | −23.4% / −87.9% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −3.9% | Sells Oct 16 | 48% 65/136 | −13.6% / −0.4% | −82.3% / −87.9% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Apr 13, 2021 | Always in | – | −1.5% | −87.9% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureVery high8 of 10 points
- Market swings3/3
- Past crashes2/2
- Debt3/3
- Run-up0/2
- It moves about 3.3× its index.
- It fell about 2.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
- It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.
- Beta3.31Moves about 3.3× as much as the TSX week to week.
- Downside capture298%In months the TSX fell, this fell 298% as much on average.
- Two-year change+49%
- From 52-week high−22%
- Debt to equity1.29×
- Interest cover−6.1×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersGold · i-80 Gold Corp., a mining company, engages in the exploration and advancement of gold and silver mineral deposits in the United States. It also explores for polymetallic deposits. Nevada. i-80 Gold Corp. was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$1.9B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $130M | Total sales. |
| P/E ratio | n/a | Lost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by. |
| Price to book | 5.2× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | −198.8% | Spends more than it brings in. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +69.7% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Return on equity | −100.2% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | −$114M | Burning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $347M | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $449M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $465M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 1.29× | Moderate. |
| Interest cover | −6.1× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$4.25 | 92% above the close, from 6 analysts (range C$2.86 to C$5.63). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Strong buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
IAU: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.MembersMetals & mining: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.MembersDebt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.MembersIs this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members