Oct 13 close Sign in

Energy & power

Fluence Energy (FLNC)

Your signal

Sell10 / 100

Sell: 10 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (24%) scores 24 and lifts it; Off the high (−79% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightFLNCPointsWeightAdds
Plays in24%24409.6
Off the high−79% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−59% vs 200-day0300.0
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for FLNC
FactorFLNCPointsWhat it is
Plays in24%24The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+47% · 20 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating3.0 · hold2The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/Eloss expected0Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG3.1815P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales0.4×97Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book2.5×61Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+7%31Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin−3%11Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity−22%7Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.00×99Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high−79% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−59% vs 200-day0How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−57%3The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure8/10 · very high20The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on FLNC

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in24 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureVery high8 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.41×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−59%). Higher than on 8% of days since 2022. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about FLNC now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

FLNC, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved FLNC lately

Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 17−16.5% against the S&P 5003.4× a normal day

FLNC −15.4%, the S&P 500 +1.1% that session; −18.3% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

  • Price target cutAnalyst rating · Sep 17, 7:55 am ET

    7 firms cut their price targets: BNP Paribas, Truist Securities, Piper Sandler, JP Morgan and 3 more.

    After price target cuts, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 53% of the time (1,291 of 2,458 on 197 stocks; median move −0.1%). Low predictability

    FLNC after price target cuts: behind its index at the first close after the news 15 of 31 times (median +0.2%).

  • DowngradeAnalyst rating · Sep 17, 5:29 am ET

    Baird downgraded it to Underperform from Neutral. Target $3.00, from $10.00.

    After downgrades, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 78% of the time (497 of 636 on 155 stocks; median move −1.4%). High predictability

    FLNC after downgrades: behind its index at the first close after the news 13 of 15 times (median −4.6%).

  • Leadership changeSEC filing (8-K) · Sep 16, 8:26 pm ET

    Fluence Energy reports an executive or board change

    After leadership-change filings, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 56% of the time (281 of 504 on 116 stocks; median move −0.2%). No direction was expected. Low predictability

    FLNC after leadership-change filings: behind its index at the first close after the news 4 of 7 times (median −1.9%).

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on FLNC

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on FLNC went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2021. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTAug 5, 2026 −52.4%Enter above $7.99 (+17.9%)31% 37/121−1.8% / −28.9%−58.0% / −89.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTJul 2, 2026 −60.1%Enter above $13.91 (+105.2%)16% 4/25−11.2% / −19.4%−76.7% / −88.4%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTJun 24, 2026 −65.7%Enter above $9.95 (+46.8%)26% 18/68+11.8% / −14.5%−51.4% / −88.4%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTFeb 5, 2026 −64.2%Not on one close15% 4/26−11.4% / −17.7%−51.5% / −88.4%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 26, 2026 −64.8%Not on one close9% 2/22−24.7% / −6.8%−78.3% / −88.4%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 26, 2026 −64.8%Enter above $19.05 (+180.9%)9% 2/22−20.5% / −14.7%−74.9% / −88.4%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −51.3%Enter above $15.94 (+135.1%)21% 3/14−20.1% / −15.3%−78.3% / −88.4%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJul 1, 2026 −63.1%Enter above $16.49 (+143.2%)18% 8/45−8.8% / −20.3%−61.6% / −88.4%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −48.7%Not on one close30% 3/10−18.8% / −20.3%−79.0% / −88.4%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJul 1, 2026 −63.1%Not on one close17% 4/24−10.1% / −22.7%−62.6% / −88.4%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTJul 2, 2026 −60.1%Enter above $10.19 (+50.4%)38% 9/24+13.2% / −8.7%−59.4% / −88.4%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −11.6%Enter above $7.74 (+14.1%)26% 45/171−7.6% / −29.5%−68.3% / −89.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINAug 12, 2026 −48.6%Not on one close44% 21/48−15.8% / −11.4%−80.0% / −88.4%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTJul 28, 2026 −46.3%Not on one close12% 2/16−41.7% / −25.0%−88.6% / −88.4%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −64.6%Not on one close27% 7/26+2.9% / −7.1%−61.4% / −88.4%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTJun 26, 2026 −64.8%Not on one close23% 6/26−5.6% / −11.9%−74.1% / −88.4%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTJul 1, 2026 −63.1%Enter above $8.23 (+21.4%)22% 9/41−21.9% / −28.3%−81.0% / −90.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −64.6%Not on one close38% 23/61−9.0% / −28.3%−65.8% / −90.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Enter above $7.88 (+16.2%)38% 54/141−4.8% / −28.6%−70.9% / −90.1%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −64.6%Enter above $10.87 (+60.3%)33% 15/46+0.8% / −27.7%−60.6% / −90.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Enter above $8.08 (+19.1%)37% 44/118−32.2% / −29.5%−88.1% / −90.4%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJun 24, 2026 −65.7%Enter above $8.35 (+23.2%)27% 8/30−13.3% / −27.3%−66.2% / −90.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −64.6%Enter above $16.80 (+147.7%)32% 12/38+4.5% / −20.6%−58.2% / −88.4%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −8.7%Enter above $7.73 (+14.0%)37% 32/86−7.9% / −28.3%−61.3% / −90.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTJun 24, 2026 −65.7%Enter above $11.42 (+68.5%)33% 15/46−5.2% / −20.6%−71.9% / −88.4%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −25.1%Enter above $8.05 (+18.8%)45% 22/49+3.7% / −11.4%−66.6% / −88.4%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −64.6%Enter above $16.71 (+146.5%)32% 12/38+8.9% / −14.5%−56.0% / −88.4%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −55.8%Not on one close31% 8/26−8.6% / −14.5%−71.2% / −88.4%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Enter above $6.90 (+1.8%)44% 15/34+20.4% / −7.1%−29.9% / −88.4%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTDec 4, 2025 −71.0%Not on one close50% 3/6−0.1% / −20.6%−36.7% / −88.4%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 −60.1%Enter above $9.60 (+41.6%)55% 11/20+26.8% / −28.3%−46.9% / −90.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 23, 2026 −68.0%Enter above $15.84 (+133.6%)23% 7/30−13.5% / −22.1%−72.7% / −88.4%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 −60.1%Enter above $15.84 (+133.6%)30% 6/20+1.2% / −22.1%−62.0% / −88.4%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJun 26, 2026 −64.8%Not on one close12% 3/24−35.1% / −14.5%−86.8% / −88.4%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJun 23, 2026 −68.0%Not on one close19% 5/26−19.9% / −28.3%−80.9% / −90.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJun 10, 2026 −68.6%Enter above $9.52 (+40.4%)26% 10/38−17.6% / −29.5%−76.9% / −89.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTMay 29, 2026 −64.1%Enter above $8.15 (+20.2%)28% 13/46−14.5% / −28.4%−76.5% / −90.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTJun 23, 2026 −68.0%Enter above $9.41 (+38.8%)33% 16/48−23.8% / −28.0%−79.1% / −90.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −64.6%Enter above $8.17 (+20.5%)39% 15/38+5.4% / −28.3%−60.4% / −90.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −9.0%Enter above $8.32 (+22.7%)35% 40/114−2.4% / −28.9%−77.5% / −90.4%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTJun 24, 2026 −65.7%Enter above $9.11 (+34.4%)33% 22/66−5.5% / −27.2%−61.2% / −90.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJun 3, 2026 −72.7%Not on one close31% 11/36−8.3% / −28.3%−51.0% / −90.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTFeb 5, 2026 −64.2%Not on one close36% 10/28+4.2% / −29.5%−53.1% / −89.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −8.7%Enter above $7.33 (+8.1%)37% 55/150−7.6% / −28.6%−68.6% / −90.1%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 15, 2022 −26.7%Buy $8.15–$8.72 (+20.2%)0% 0/2−0.1% / −7.4%−17.4% / −88.4%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −11.7%Enter above $21.78 (+221.2%)0% 0/6−26.2% / −18.2%−77.9% / −88.4%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINNov 28, 2025 −65.5%Flips at next check43% 3/7−21.2% / −18.2%−79.0% / −88.4%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −11.7%Enter above $24.21 (+257.1%)25% 1/4−23.4% / −18.2%−77.4% / −88.4%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 18, 2023 −72.2%Not on one close0% 0/4+1.5% / −14.2%−31.9% / −88.4%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTFeb 27, 2026 −56.4%Not on one close17% 1/6−16.5% / −18.7%−53.7% / −88.4%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJun 26, 2026 −64.8%Enter above $15.55 (+129.3%)29% 8/28−10.0% / −7.0%−79.0% / −88.4%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −13.3%Exit below $5.54 (−18.2%)36% 33/91−28.1% / −20.6%−87.4% / −88.4%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −9.0%Enter above $7.56 (+11.5%)34% 49/144+0.7% / −20.6%−66.6% / −88.4%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −11.4%Exit below $2.65 (−61.0%)43% 29/67−17.7% / −23.9%−76.2% / −88.4%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINSep 30, 2025 −37.2%Not on one close40% 2/5−19.3% / −26.4%−79.0% / −86.7%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTJun 5, 2026 −70.4%Enter above $8.35 (+23.1%)25% 28/110−5.2% / −28.3%−69.9% / −90.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −11.6%Exit below $1.90 (−71.9%)44% 23/52+1.1% / −14.5%−75.9% / −88.4%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −64.6%Enter above $17.19 (+153.6%)32% 12/38+4.5% / −14.5%−58.5% / −88.4%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −51.3%Enter above $9.22 (+35.9%)27% 4/15+6.7% / −18.2%−69.4% / −88.4%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINNov 28, 2025 −65.5%Flips at next check0% 0/2−44.8% / −44.7%−79.0% / −84.6%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTNov 29, 2024 −64.0%Not on one close33% 2/6+1.8% / −18.2%−26.4% / −88.4%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −10.9%Exit below $6.30 (−7.1%)39% 25/64+21.8% / −11.4%−62.6% / −88.4%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −13.6%Not on one close69% 9/13−3.1% / −28.9%−84.6% / −90.1%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJun 30, 2026 −65.9%Not on one close56% 27/48+21.2% / −20.3%−32.8% / −88.4%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 3, 2026 −53.4%Not on one close57% 32/56+6.1% / −20.3%−49.3% / −88.4%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −11.5%Sell above $7.52 (+10.8%)72% 34/47−17.4% / −28.4%−78.4% / −90.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINFeb 13, 2026 −63.3%Not on one close67% 26/39−13.1% / −29.1%−84.1% / −90.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −11.6%Enter above $6.92 (+2.1%)61% 38/62+11.1% / −28.6%−80.8% / −90.1%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINFeb 17, 2026 −61.9%Not on one close47% 7/15−41.2% / −28.1%−92.6% / −90.4%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINFeb 4, 2026 −76.6%Not on one close100% 14/14−10.3% / −20.3%−88.4% / −88.4%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMar 4, 2026 −57.1%Buy below $6.45 (−4.8%)60% 6/10+8.0% / −11.4%−23.3% / −88.4%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINJun 15, 2026 −72.0%Not on one close48% 33/69−12.0% / −29.5%−80.1% / −89.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −9.0%Enter above $6.90 (+1.7%)61% 57/94+4.5% / −29.5%−83.9% / −89.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Buy below $6.78 (0.0%)59% 290/488+17.2% / −28.6%−61.9% / −90.4%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINJun 26, 2026 −64.8%Sell above $7.87 (+16.1%)58% 11/19−6.1% / −20.3%−65.9% / −88.4%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −11.6%Enter above $7.55 (+11.4%)41% 91/223−15.5% / −20.6%−85.9% / −88.4%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINJul 31, 2026 −51.3%Sell above $7.83 (+15.6%)54% 13/24−32.8% / −28.0%−88.5% / −90.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTAug 5, 2026 −52.4%Not on one close28% 47/165−9.8% / −28.4%−72.7% / −90.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 24, 2026 −9.1%Not on one close42% 22/52−10.9% / −28.3%−78.1% / −90.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINJul 9, 2026 −59.5%Not on one close69% 9/13−13.4% / −28.9%−67.1% / −90.1%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTJul 10, 2026 −58.0%Not on one close37% 7/19−25.2% / −17.3%−86.4% / −88.4%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 5, 2026 −52.4%Enter above $7.52 (+11.0%)33% 40/123+19.8% / −27.4%−68.9% / −90.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTJun 11, 2026 −72.1%Enter above $8.72 (+28.6%)34% 26/77−5.0% / −28.4%−73.3% / −90.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −11.4%Exit below $6.78 (0.0%)46% 56/123+18.1% / −28.3%−57.6% / −90.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTJun 5, 2026 −70.4%Not on one close37% 15/41+6.4% / −15.9%−77.3% / −88.4%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −13.6%Sell $6.44–$6.75 (−0.4%)36% 62/171−14.3% / −12.2%−89.3% / −88.4%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −11.7%Enter above $6.90 (+1.8%)38% 12/32−26.9% / −28.9%−82.8% / −90.4%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTJul 1, 2026 −63.1%Not on one close33% 4/12−0.4% / −28.7%−59.8% / −90.4%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 20, 2026 −40.5%Enter above $7.01 (+3.4%)50% 7/14−4.6% / −27.3%−31.9% / −90.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −44.3%Buys Oct 3030% 3/10−48.3% / −28.6%−96.5% / −90.4%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 21, 2026 −46.9%Not on one close20% 2/10−38.9% / −20.6%−90.3% / −88.4%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 29, 2026 −42.7%Window opens Oct 1620% 2/10−40.4% / −20.6%−91.8% / −88.4%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −69.5%Buys Dec 2340% 4/10+3.6% / −28.6%−15.3% / −90.4%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −11.4%Buys Oct 2955% 65/119−0.7% / −28.6%−55.3% / −90.4%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −11.7%Sells Jun 30100% 3/3+13.6% / −28.6%−38.7% / −90.4%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −34.5%Buys Nov 2455% 54/98+16.2% / −28.6%−13.9% / −90.4%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 −60.5%Not on one close50% 1/2−27.6% / −29.1%−88.5% / −89.6%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −4.1%Sells Oct 1647% 243/517−40.5% / −28.6%−93.5% / −90.4%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −25.1%Buys Oct 2752% 42/80+11.8% / −28.6%−15.6% / −90.4%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −10.9%Sells Oct 1639% 47/122−42.7% / −28.6%−95.1% / −90.4%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINOct 28, 2021Always in–−28.3%−90.4%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureVery high8 of 10 points
  • Market swings3/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It moves about 2.1× its index.
  • It fell about 3.2× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.

Past crashes, peak to low

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to May 2022 · never got back

FLNC−82%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta2.08Moves about 2.1× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture936%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 936% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−69%
  • From 52-week high−79%
  • Debt to equity0.96×
  • Interest cover−23.0×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Utilities - Renewable · Fluence Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides energy storage and optimization software for renewables and storage applications in the Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It sells energy storage products with integrated hardware, software, and digital intelligence.

Size and valuation
Market cap$1.3BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$2.6BTotal sales. The market values it at 0.5× sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Price to book2.5×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−3.1%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth+7.5%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Return on equity−21.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$2.4MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$430MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$413MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$339MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.96×Moderate.
Interest cover−23.0×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$10.0047% above the close, from 20 analysts (range $3.00 to $23.00).
Consensus ratingHoldAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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