FER −3.4%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; −7.7% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
- HeadlineAD HOC NEWS · Oct 4, 6:06 am ET
Ferrovial stock gains 1.32 percent as I-24 deal locks in 50 years
Industrials & materials
Ferrovial (FER)
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Sell11 / 100
Sell: 11 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (23%) scores 23 and lifts it; Off the high (−31% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | FER | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 23% | 23 | 40 | 9.2 |
| Off the high | −31% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | −22% vs 200-day | 7 | 30 | 2.1 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for FER
| Factor | FER | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 23% | 23 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +44% · 3 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.3 · buy | 33 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 27.8× | 45 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 38.3× | 5 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 10.09 | 4 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | – | – | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. |
| Price to book | 5.7× | 29 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 2.6% | 61 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −52% | 10 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +5% | 25 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 6% | 38 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 12% | 47 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 1.44× | 19 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −31% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −22% vs 200-day | 7 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | −15% | 19 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 2/10 · low | 80 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on FER- 23 of the 100 plays hold FER right now.
- The trend-following, breakout, momentum and pattern plays mostly say out.
- It closed 22% below its 200-day average and 31% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads low: it carries 1.8× as much debt as equity and operating profit covers interest only 3.4×.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is $72.77, 44% above the close (3 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in23 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.78×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−22%). Higher than on 0% of days since 2013. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about FER now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn FER: right 6 of 10 · Out since Dec 2, 2025Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn FER: right 4 of 21 · Out since Jul 13, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn FER: right 6 of 12 · In since Jan 31, 2023Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn FER: right 77 of 105 · In since Aug 26, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn FER: right 54 of 133 · In since Jan 12, 2026Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn FER: right 2 of 4 · Out since Dec 9, 2025CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn FER: right 13 of 28 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
FER, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved FER lately
Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on FER
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following0 of 30 inBreakouts & channels1 of 15 inMomentum3 of 17 inMean reversion10 of 15 inVolume & money flow5 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns0 of 3 inCalendar4 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on FER went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2012. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −21.6% | Enter above $53.35 (+5.5%) | 29% 49/169 | −1.6% / +12.8% | −69.7% / −41.2% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 −21.3% | Enter above $61.96 (+22.6%) | 25% 13/51 | +5.4% / +11.3% | −50.4% / −41.2% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −21.6% | Enter above $56.92 (+12.6%) | 21% 24/113 | −0.2% / +12.3% | −65.9% / −41.2% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Jul 7, 2026 −23.2% | Not on one close | 18% 14/77 | −3.2% / +11.0% | −65.9% / −41.2% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 −21.3% | Enter above $103.20 (+104.1%) | 35% 11/31 | +6.8% / +11.0% | −35.4% / −41.2% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −25.3% | Enter above $71.24 (+40.9%) | 23% 11/47 | +4.5% / +11.0% | −45.9% / −41.2% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −22.3% | Enter above $65.34 (+29.2%) | 33% 7/21 | +7.7% / +11.3% | −44.9% / −41.2% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −22.7% | Enter above $64.94 (+28.4%) | 20% 10/49 | +1.7% / +11.3% | −66.7% / −41.2% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −24.0% | Not on one close | 26% 5/19 | +6.6% / +11.3% | −39.4% / −41.2% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −22.7% | Not on one close | 24% 10/41 | +3.2% / +11.4% | −62.7% / −41.2% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | May 29, 2026 −25.7% | Enter above $62.94 (+24.5%) | 28% 24/85 | +1.0% / +12.2% | −41.8% / −41.2% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −7.3% | Enter above $51.30 (+1.5%) | 29% 69/237 | −2.5% / +12.8% | −65.8% / −41.2% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above $51.17 (+1.2%) | 29% 48/165 | −1.3% / +12.4% | −38.8% / −41.2% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −10.6% | Enter above $151.51 (+199.7%) | 32% 6/19 | +5.0% / +10.2% | −45.3% / −41.2% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Jul 7, 2026 −23.2% | Enter above $109.05 (+115.7%) | 21% 15/71 | +2.9% / +12.3% | −52.2% / −41.2% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Jul 7, 2026 −23.2% | Not on one close | 23% 12/53 | +2.8% / +12.2% | −54.2% / −41.2% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −19.9% | Enter above $53.31 (+5.4%) | 29% 46/161 | −2.6% / +13.0% | −73.9% / −41.2% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −21.8% | Not on one close | 33% 48/145 | +0.7% / +13.0% | −55.1% / −41.2% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −2.5% | Enter above $56.13 (+11.0%) | 38% 33/87 | +1.1% / +4.8% | −32.6% / −38.9% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 −15.6% | Enter above $56.95 (+12.6%) | 23% 30/133 | −2.1% / +13.0% | −64.9% / −41.2% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −7.3% | Enter above $52.17 (+3.2%) | 30% 42/141 | −3.1% / +12.9% | −69.4% / −41.2% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Apr 21, 2026 −27.3% | Enter above $54.58 (+8.0%) | 28% 33/117 | −1.2% / +13.0% | −71.0% / −41.2% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −21.2% | Enter above $76.86 (+52.0%) | 24% 21/89 | +2.9% / +12.1% | −46.0% / −41.2% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −19.5% | Enter above $52.16 (+3.2%) | 27% 22/83 | +3.0% / +13.0% | −37.5% / −41.2% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −20.9% | Enter above $161.42 (+219.3%) | 28% 33/119 | +0.5% / +12.1% | −47.4% / −41.2% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −2.5% | Not on one close | 33% 27/82 | −1.4% / +12.4% | −55.8% / −41.2% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −21.6% | Enter above $75.58 (+49.5%) | 21% 14/68 | +1.8% / +12.3% | −42.2% / −41.2% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Jul 8, 2026 −21.4% | Enter above $116.96 (+131.3%) | 24% 13/55 | +4.3% / +12.3% | −53.5% / −41.2% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −21.6% | Not on one close | 24% 17/72 | −2.0% / +11.0% | −40.6% / −41.2% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Dec 2, 2025 −21.7% | Not on one close | 60% 6/10 | +4.0% / +12.1% | −12.2% / −41.2% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Jul 13, 2026 −20.6% | Enter above $56.47 (+11.7%) | 19% 17/90 | −2.3% / +13.0% | −60.8% / −41.2% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 1, 2026 −24.8% | Enter above $62.44 (+23.5%) | 20% 24/122 | −5.1% / +12.8% | −67.5% / −41.2% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Mar 5, 2026 −24.1% | Enter above $66.97 (+32.5%) | 17% 13/76 | −2.0% / +12.8% | −64.6% / −41.2% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Mar 3, 2026 −25.8% | Not on one close | 24% 20/83 | −3.3% / +12.3% | −75.9% / −41.2% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Mar 3, 2026 −25.8% | Enter above $53.81 (+6.4%) | 29% 27/94 | +5.6% / +13.0% | −34.7% / −41.2% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Apr 24, 2026 −26.1% | Enter above $56.56 (+11.9%) | 23% 26/115 | −2.0% / +12.8% | −57.4% / −41.2% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −21.6% | Enter above $58.49 (+15.7%) | 22% 28/128 | −5.1% / +13.0% | −68.7% / −41.2% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Jul 7, 2026 −23.2% | Enter above $56.30 (+11.4%) | 23% 30/132 | −4.7% / +13.0% | −75.3% / −41.2% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −20.3% | Enter above $53.12 (+5.1%) | 29% 55/187 | −2.1% / +13.0% | −69.0% / −41.2% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Jul 13, 2026 −20.6% | Enter above $67.89 (+34.3%) | 19% 4/21 | +3.5% / +10.8% | −42.5% / −41.2% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −19.9% | Enter above $55.46 (+9.7%) | 24% 42/178 | −1.4% / +13.0% | −59.1% / −41.2% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Aug 6, 2026 −22.7% | Not on one close | 27% 43/157 | −0.2% / +13.0% | −50.4% / −41.2% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Feb 20, 2026 −29.8% | Not on one close | 15% 3/20 | +1.3% / +12.8% | −7.1% / −41.2% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Exit below $49.74 (−1.6%) | 36% 35/97 | +1.7% / +12.0% | −17.2% / −31.9% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Mar 3, 2026 −25.8% | Not on one close | 12% 4/34 | −1.3% / +12.4% | −21.8% / −41.2% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −6.5% | Enter above $63.30 (+25.2%) | 47% 8/17 | +8.1% / +10.8% | −46.3% / −41.2% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Jan 31, 2023 +81.3% | Flips at next check | 50% 6/12 | +8.8% / +10.8% | −45.3% / −41.2% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −13.6% | Enter above $70.39 (+39.2%) | 33% 7/21 | +6.4% / +10.8% | −32.6% / −41.2% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jul 7, 2026 −23.2% | Not on one close | 19% 15/77 | +1.3% / +12.3% | −44.9% / −41.2% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −13.6% | Enter above $69.98 (+38.4%) | 33% 3/9 | +7.7% / +11.0% | −46.0% / −41.2% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Apr 24, 2026 −26.1% | Enter above $66.27 (+31.1%) | 29% 21/72 | +1.3% / +12.4% | −55.0% / −41.2% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −2.5% | Enter above $51.64 (+2.1%) | 29% 72/245 | −3.5% / +12.1% | −53.0% / −41.2% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −21.6% | Enter above $52.10 (+3.0%) | 29% 63/217 | −3.6% / +12.1% | −73.0% / −41.2% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +0.5% | Enter above $55.97 (+10.7%) | 31% 62/201 | −3.2% / +12.8% | −47.2% / −41.2% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +116.0% | Not on one close | 43% 3/7 | +9.2% / +9.8% | −38.9% / −41.2% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Aug 10, 2026 −22.7% | Enter above $59.52 (+17.7%) | 21% 58/270 | −4.4% / +11.4% | −51.0% / −39.0% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above $61.64 (+21.9%) | 32% 52/164 | −2.7% / +12.3% | −43.6% / −41.2% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 13, 2026 −21.6% | Enter above $77.84 (+54.0%) | 24% 21/89 | +2.9% / +12.3% | −46.0% / −41.2% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −22.3% | Enter above $57.76 (+14.2%) | 28% 13/47 | +4.3% / +10.8% | −51.6% / −41.2% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Jan 31, 2023 +81.3% | Flips at next check | 42% 5/12 | +6.5% / +8.8% | −45.3% / −41.2% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −13.6% | Not on one close | 33% 5/15 | +7.7% / +10.8% | −45.3% / −41.2% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above $54.04 (+6.9%) | 28% 56/202 | −6.2% / +12.4% | −58.9% / −41.2% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Mar 16, 2026 −21.1% | Not on one close | 44% 17/39 | +1.2% / +13.0% | −33.0% / −41.2% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 6, 2026 −25.9% | Not on one close | 65% 80/124 | +6.5% / +11.3% | −13.0% / −41.2% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 30, 2026 −22.4% | Not on one close | 54% 91/170 | +6.1% / +11.3% | −13.9% / −41.2% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Aug 26, 2026 −15.6% | Sell above $53.40 (+5.6%) | 73% 77/105 | +14.9% / +13.0% | −30.1% / −41.2% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 2, 2026 −12.6% | Not on one close | 60% 53/89 | +8.8% / +5.1% | −33.2% / −38.9% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Aug 19, 2026 −21.8% | Not on one close | 50% 67/135 | +0.1% / +3.1% | −34.7% / −54.5% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Jul 9, 2026 −21.7% | Not on one close | 69% 9/13 | +4.5% / +12.9% | −24.6% / −41.2% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | May 31, 2013 +317.8% | Sell above $156.97 (+210.5%) | – | +11.3% / +11.3% | −41.2% / −41.2% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | May 1, 2024 +41.2% | Not on one close | 33% 2/6 | +4.4% / +12.4% | −4.1% / −41.2% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −5.7% | Not on one close | 50% 81/161 | +8.8% / +12.8% | −33.7% / −41.2% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 34% 68/199 | −6.2% / +12.8% | −67.6% / −41.2% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 −8.1% | Buy below $50.56 (0.0%) | 60% 144/242 | +5.8% / +13.5% | −8.1% / −41.2% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Apr 1, 2026 −23.8% | Not on one close | 59% 32/54 | +6.9% / +11.3% | −27.1% / −40.0% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Exit below $49.40 (−2.3%) | 29% 118/404 | −4.6% / +12.1% | −66.5% / −41.2% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 −22.3% | Sell above $55.19 (+9.2%) | 58% 49/84 | +10.6% / +13.0% | −26.0% / −41.2% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −7.3% | Not on one close | 27% 70/257 | −2.8% / +13.0% | −64.6% / −41.2% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −9.3% | Not on one close | 47% 22/47 | +7.2% / +12.6% | −32.7% / −38.9% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Jan 12, 2026 −24.0% | Not on one close | 41% 54/133 | −0.1% / +13.0% | −61.3% / −41.2% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Sep 11, 2026 −10.0% | Not on one close | 29% 5/17 | +2.1% / +9.5% | −43.4% / −41.2% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −8.5% | Enter above $52.85 (+4.5%) | 29% 58/201 | −2.1% / +13.0% | −66.2% / −41.2% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −21.8% | Enter above $68.45 (+35.4%) | 32% 56/177 | −0.9% / +11.5% | −53.7% / −33.7% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −9.6% | Not on one close | 38% 27/71 | +4.8% / +11.0% | −42.2% / −41.2% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Apr 15, 2026 −28.4% | Not on one close | 19% 12/63 | +4.8% / +10.8% | −39.0% / −41.2% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Not on one close | 48% 61/127 | +9.7% / +9.1% | −33.9% / −39.1% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Dec 9, 2025 −23.2% | Not on one close | 50% 2/4 | +3.8% / +12.9% | −10.8% / −41.2% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Jan 2, 2026 −20.9% | Not on one close | 5% 1/20 | −1.3% / +13.5% | −30.8% / −41.2% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jun 22, 2026 −28.5% | Not on one close | 29% 4/14 | −0.7% / +13.0% | −30.3% / −41.2% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −25.9% | Buys Oct 30 | 46% 13/28 | +10.1% / +13.5% | −31.2% / −41.2% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 22, 2026 −27.0% | Enter above $50.67 (+0.2%) | 48% 13/27 | +8.4% / +12.1% | −38.1% / −41.2% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 24, 2026 −26.1% | Window opens Oct 16 | 52% 14/27 | +7.6% / +12.1% | −31.2% / −41.2% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −24.0% | Buys Dec 23 | 32% 9/28 | +2.1% / +13.5% | −4.1% / −41.2% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −2.5% | Buys Oct 29 | 35% 118/340 | +6.5% / +13.5% | −14.4% / −41.2% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −6.5% | Sells Jun 30 | 57% 4/7 | +4.3% / +13.5% | −13.3% / −41.2% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −12.9% | Buys Nov 24 | 23% 60/262 | +1.5% / +13.5% | −9.4% / −41.2% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +116.0% | Not on one close | 42% 5/12 | +11.5% / +12.2% | −38.9% / −41.2% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +0.4% | Sells Oct 16 | 21% 310/1477 | +9.6% / +13.5% | −41.4% / −41.2% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −8.3% | Buys Oct 27 | 22% 50/224 | +1.1% / +13.5% | −11.8% / −41.2% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −5.7% | Sells Oct 16 | 38% 132/350 | +7.9% / +13.5% | −47.2% / −41.2% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Aug 13, 2012 | Always in | – | +13.5% | −41.2% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureLow2 of 10 points
- Market swings0/3
- Past crashes0/2
- Debt2/3
- Run-up0/2
- It carries 1.8× as much debt as equity.
- It operating profit covers interest only 3.4×.
- Beta0.70Moves about 0.7× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
- Downside capture71%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 71% as much on average.
- Two-year change+28%
- From 52-week high−31%
- Debt to equity1.80×
- Net debt / EBITDA4.4×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
- Interest cover3.4×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersEngineering & Construction · Ferrovial N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of highways and airports in the United States, Poland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Construction, Highways, Airports, and Energy.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $36.4B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | €9.9B | Total sales. |
| P/E ratio | 27.8× | Buyers pay $28 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 38.3× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. |
| Price to book | 5.7× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 6.1% | Keeps 6¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +5.2% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | −52.0% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 11.6% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | €890M | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | €5.9B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | €10.7B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | €3.9B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 1.80× | Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn. |
| Interest cover | 3.4× | Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $72.77 | 44% above the close, from 3 analysts (range $62.00 to $88.38). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 2.56% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
FER: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.MembersIndustrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.MembersDebt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.MembersIs this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members