Oct 13 close Sign in

Industrials & materials

Element Fleet Management (EFN)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell9 / 100

Sell: 9 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (19%) scores 19 and lifts it; Off the high (−42% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightEFNPointsWeightAdds
Plays in19%19407.6
Off the high−42% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−27% vs 200-day5301.5
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for EFN
FactorEFNPointsWhat it is
Plays in19%19The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+74% · 10 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.6 · buy70The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E21.2×61Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E9.7×87Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales2.4×65Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.2×69Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield2.8%66Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+0%29Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+8%32Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin12%52Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity11%44Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity3.58×3Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−42% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−27% vs 200-day5How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−40%8The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on EFN

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in19 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.73×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−27%). Higher than on 3% of days since 2012. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about EFN now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved EFN lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 28−4.1% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

EFN −5.0%, the S&P/TSX −0.9% that session; −4.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on EFN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for EFN starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.9%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on EFN

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on EFN went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2011. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$23.14 (+7.1%)27% 113/415+4.9% / +11.8%−53.8% / −80.1%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTAug 14, 2026 −22.9%Enter above C$27.16 (+25.7%)25% 17/67+10.0% / +11.5%−49.9% / −80.1%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$25.03 (+15.8%)24% 54/225+7.5% / +11.6%−55.6% / −80.1%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTDec 30, 2025 −39.2%Not on one close16% 18/111+10.1% / +10.7%−24.0% / −80.1%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJan 2, 2026 −38.7%Enter above C$56.15 (+159.8%)23% 10/43+12.1% / +11.1%−43.4% / −80.1%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTDec 5, 2025 −39.5%Enter above C$33.99 (+57.3%)28% 13/47+8.8% / +11.2%−48.2% / −80.1%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −36.3%Enter above C$29.34 (+35.8%)35% 8/23+12.2% / +11.4%−50.0% / −80.1%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTFeb 12, 2026 −34.4%Enter above C$29.59 (+36.9%)15% 13/85+11.6% / +11.5%−49.1% / −80.1%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTFeb 19, 2026 −34.9%Not on one close64% 7/11+18.0% / +11.5%−44.9% / −80.1%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTFeb 12, 2026 −34.4%Not on one close15% 11/71+11.9% / +11.5%−40.3% / −80.1%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTAug 21, 2026 −21.2%Enter above C$28.67 (+32.6%)30% 27/89+10.0% / +11.6%−37.9% / −80.1%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$21.78 (+0.8%)27% 139/523+4.3% / +11.9%−66.5% / −80.1%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$23.67 (+9.5%)29% 57/199+3.6% / +11.8%−70.1% / −80.1%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTMar 16, 2026 −28.7%Not on one close38% 5/13+12.8% / +8.9%−44.9% / −80.1%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −22.9%Enter above C$52.70 (+143.9%)27% 24/88+6.8% / +12.1%−48.6% / −80.1%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −22.9%Not on one close27% 20/73+11.5% / +11.6%−48.4% / −80.1%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$23.20 (+7.4%)40% 39/97+6.9% / +11.9%−56.6% / −80.1%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −22.2%Not on one close41% 85/209+3.0% / +11.9%−50.3% / −80.1%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$27.36 (+26.6%)32% 120/371+3.9% / +12.5%−68.3% / −80.1%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$26.70 (+23.6%)40% 64/161+8.1% / +11.8%−65.2% / −80.1%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −12.3%Enter above C$22.05 (+2.0%)40% 120/300+8.9% / +12.7%−61.8% / −80.1%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$23.89 (+10.6%)36% 43/119+1.6% / +11.6%−54.6% / −80.1%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −22.9%Enter above C$36.37 (+68.3%)27% 32/119+6.4% / +11.9%−53.7% / −80.1%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −26.6%Enter above C$22.31 (+3.2%)33% 47/144+3.9% / +12.6%−65.9% / −80.1%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTAug 10, 2026 −24.3%Enter above C$28.67 (+32.7%)30% 49/161+6.6% / +11.9%−47.6% / −80.1%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −22.9%Not on one close36% 52/146+6.1% / +11.8%−70.7% / −80.1%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −22.9%Enter above C$35.47 (+64.1%)30% 29/96+7.1% / +11.6%−54.3% / −80.1%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −21.2%Enter above C$57.01 (+163.8%)23% 16/69+9.3% / +11.6%−47.6% / −80.1%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −26.6%Not on one close33% 40/122+0.5% / +11.4%−41.3% / −80.1%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTSep 11, 2024 −20.5%Not on one close40% 17/42+2.9% / +11.9%−20.4% / −80.1%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$25.51 (+18.0%)33% 27/81+6.3% / +11.9%−60.5% / −80.1%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$30.13 (+39.4%)22% 25/112−2.1% / +12.0%−65.2% / −80.1%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$32.26 (+49.3%)28% 18/64+5.1% / +12.0%−44.4% / −80.1%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTNov 14, 2025 −36.8%Not on one close27% 17/62+5.4% / +11.6%−44.2% / −80.1%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Not on one close33% 26/78+8.3% / +11.9%−40.6% / −80.1%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$24.95 (+15.4%)27% 29/106+0.3% / +11.9%−56.3% / −80.1%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$25.97 (+20.2%)36% 47/131+3.5% / +12.3%−57.4% / −80.1%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$25.56 (+18.3%)35% 45/127+7.2% / +11.8%−57.3% / −80.1%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$23.08 (+6.8%)35% 43/123+1.1% / +11.9%−78.3% / −80.1%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −12.4%Enter above C$26.77 (+23.9%)42% 23/55+10.6% / +11.9%−63.9% / −80.1%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$24.57 (+13.7%)25% 62/249+3.5% / +11.6%−59.1% / −80.1%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 −30.3%Not on one close25% 30/118+1.0% / +11.9%−28.6% / −80.1%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTApr 22, 2026 −32.6%Not on one close41% 36/88+4.3% / +11.9%−30.4% / −80.1%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$21.28 (−1.5%)34% 148/438+5.1% / +12.5%−60.0% / −80.1%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 23, 2025 −39.0%Not on one close42% 10/24+4.0% / +11.6%−7.6% / −80.1%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTMay 29, 2026 −20.4%Enter above C$38.44 (+77.9%)46% 6/13+13.6% / +10.3%−44.9% / −80.1%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −25.7%Not on one close47% 7/15+13.6% / +10.3%−44.9% / −80.1%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTFeb 27, 2026 −32.4%Enter above C$42.74 (+97.8%)41% 11/27+10.5% / +10.3%−44.9% / −80.1%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTDec 5, 2025 −39.5%Not on one close17% 15/87+8.5% / +11.5%−52.8% / −80.1%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −27.5%Enter above C$35.25 (+63.1%)56% 5/9+13.5% / +11.6%−44.9% / −80.1%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTOct 24, 2025 −41.5%Enter above C$28.87 (+33.6%)29% 22/76+12.6% / +12.5%−41.3% / −80.1%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −8.6%Enter above C$21.70 (+0.4%)35% 99/285+6.2% / +11.9%−65.3% / −80.1%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$22.43 (+3.8%)30% 146/479+3.1% / +11.9%−64.4% / −80.1%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −4.0%Enter above C$23.75 (+9.9%)37% 77/208+6.0% / +11.9%−62.3% / −80.1%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −17.4%Enter above C$35.64 (+64.9%)50% 5/10+8.2% / +5.5%−50.4% / −80.1%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTAug 5, 2026 −30.9%Enter above C$26.72 (+23.6%)29% 111/384+2.2% / +11.9%−61.1% / −80.1%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −26.6%Enter above C$29.09 (+34.6%)35% 65/185+3.7% / +11.6%−69.9% / −80.1%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −22.9%Enter above C$36.96 (+71.0%)26% 31/117+6.4% / +11.6%−54.5% / −80.1%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −17.4%Enter above C$25.43 (+17.7%)36% 17/47+9.1% / +10.3%−51.5% / −80.1%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −25.7%Not on one close38% 5/13+9.5% / +6.0%−44.9% / −80.1%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTJun 30, 2026 −25.7%Not on one close45% 10/22+10.1% / +10.3%−44.9% / −80.1%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$23.60 (+9.2%)34% 72/211+7.3% / +11.8%−65.8% / −80.1%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 14, 2026 −15.5%Not on one close60% 15/25−0.3% / +12.5%−73.5% / −80.1%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJan 12, 2026 −37.5%Not on one close58% 106/182+2.4% / +11.5%−37.7% / −80.1%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTFeb 2, 2026 −37.3%Not on one close61% 141/233+6.0% / +11.5%−44.2% / −80.1%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Sell above C$23.10 (+6.9%)67% 95/141+6.4% / +12.3%−55.3% / −80.1%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINAug 14, 2026 −22.9%Not on one close63% 62/99+5.9% / +12.4%−64.6% / −80.1%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINAug 7, 2026 −26.6%Not on one close70% 126/181+11.3% / +12.5%−54.5% / −80.1%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINAug 12, 2026 −22.2%Not on one close68% 39/57+8.5% / +12.7%−68.7% / −80.1%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINOct 3, 2012 +358.1%Sell above C$71.53 (+231.0%)–+11.5% / +11.5%−80.1% / −80.1%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMay 12, 2026 −20.7%Not on one close50% 7/14−0.1% / +11.8%−38.0% / −80.1%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$22.25 (+2.9%)55% 116/212+6.0% / +11.9%−75.2% / −80.1%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −8.8%Not on one close55% 154/279−4.3% / +11.9%−77.7% / −80.1%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +0.8%Buy below C$21.61 (0.0%)57% 684/1190+3.1% / +12.7%−51.3% / −80.1%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTFeb 4, 2026 −38.7%Not on one close63% 43/68+7.5% / +11.5%−43.1% / −80.1%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close38% 269/704+7.2% / +11.9%−53.9% / −80.1%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −17.4%Sell above C$23.11 (+6.9%)65% 66/101+5.1% / +11.7%−70.7% / −80.1%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 −22.9%Enter above C$21.61 (+0.0%)26% 124/472−1.1% / +12.3%−79.1% / −80.1%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTAug 10, 2026 −24.3%Not on one close35% 45/129+3.3% / +11.9%−56.7% / −80.1%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINAug 19, 2026 −21.9%Not on one close46% 18/39−3.4% / +12.5%−71.4% / −80.1%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINJun 23, 2026 −24.2%Exit below C$21.20 (−1.9%)32% 27/84+4.7% / +10.6%−50.9% / −80.1%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −13.2%Enter above C$22.44 (+3.8%)31% 118/375+7.3% / +11.8%−43.6% / −80.1%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$32.45 (+50.1%)34% 80/233+5.5% / +12.3%−67.0% / −80.1%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$21.61 (0.0%)31% 129/414−3.4% / +11.9%−62.4% / −80.1%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −26.6%Not on one close39% 26/67+7.4% / +10.3%−60.9% / −80.1%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close36% 207/572+6.6% / +12.1%−57.4% / −80.1%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTJul 20, 2026 −28.7%Enter above C$21.62 (+0.0%)44% 32/72+2.6% / +12.7%−72.6% / −80.1%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTNov 13, 2025 −38.7%Not on one close34% 23/68+8.6% / +12.6%−46.4% / −80.1%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −10.9%Not on one close32% 12/38+0.2% / +11.8%−19.2% / −80.1%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −32.6%Buys Oct 3041% 12/29+1.1% / +12.7%−73.4% / −80.1%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Window opens Apr 141% 12/29−1.0% / +11.9%−75.3% / −80.1%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 29, 2026 −31.5%Window opens Oct 1641% 12/29−1.3% / +11.9%−75.4% / −80.1%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −38.3%Buys Dec 2340% 12/30+2.7% / +12.7%−8.8% / −80.1%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.2%Buys Oct 2952% 185/356+5.7% / +12.7%−35.8% / −80.1%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −4.6%Sells Jun 3057% 4/7+7.9% / +12.7%−25.8% / −80.1%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −17.4%Buys Nov 2450% 135/268+3.2% / +12.7%−8.7% / −80.1%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +26.0%Not on one close33% 4/12+7.4% / +12.5%−76.7% / −80.1%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1651% 795/1547+12.4% / +12.7%−80.8% / −80.1%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −12.3%Buys Oct 2743% 101/234+2.3% / +12.7%−13.1% / −80.1%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −4.0%Sells Oct 1649% 179/366+8.0% / +12.7%−47.1% / −80.1%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINDec 16, 2011Always in–+12.7%−80.1%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It carries 3.5× as much debt as equity.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Oct 2020

EFN−45%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to May 2022 · back to its old high May 2022

EFN−14%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.57Moves about 0.6× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture69%In months the TSX fell, this fell 69% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−24%
  • From 52-week high−42%
  • Debt to equity3.51×
  • Net debt / EBITDA7.7×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Rental & Leasing Services · Element Fleet Management Corp. operates as a fleet management company primarily in Canada, the United States, Mexico, Australia, and New Zealand. The company offers end-to-end fleet solutions, including cars, trucks, and material handling support equipment ordering support. It also provides fleet management solutions, such as vehicle acquisition, maintenance, risk management, route optimization, electric vehicle integration, and remarketing services.

Size and valuation
Market capC$8.6BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$2.5BTotal sales.
P/E ratio21.2×Buyers pay C$21 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E9.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book2.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin12.0%Keeps 12¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+7.7%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+0.1%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity10.8%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$1.6BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$2.7BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$9.5BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$236MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity3.51×Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$37.6074% above the close, from 10 analysts (range C$27.00 to C$50.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield2.80%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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