Oct 13 close Sign in

Real estate

Choice Properties REIT (CHP.UN)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold42 / 100

Hold: 42 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−10% from its 1-year high) scores 66 and lifts it; Plays in (31%) scores 31 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightCHP.UNPointsWeightAdds
Plays in31%314012.4
Off the high−10% from its 1-year high663019.8
Trend−3% vs 200-day343010.2
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for CHP.UN
FactorCHP.UNPointsWhat it is
Plays in31%31The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+15% · 8 analysts50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.0 · buy50The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E14.2×58Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales7.3×23Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book1.2×91Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield5.3%90Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth−6%5Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin−5%9Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity−2%14Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity3.16×4Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−10% from its 1-year high66How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−3% vs 200-day34How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+8%41The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on CHP.UN

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in31 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.97×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−3%). Higher than on 11% of days since 2014. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about CHP.UN now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

CHP.UN, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved CHP.UN lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 24−2.0% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

CHP.UN −2.1%, the S&P/TSX −0.1% that session; +0.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on CHP.UN was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for CHP.UN starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.1%. The 18 other Real estate stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.8% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on CHP.UN

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on CHP.UN went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2013. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 −7.4%Enter above C$14.82 (+0.2%)26% 101/391+2.1% / +8.6%−20.7% / −28.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −4.8%Enter above C$15.55 (+5.2%)20% 19/95+0.2% / +8.4%−39.3% / −28.8%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$15.07 (+2.0%)20% 49/241+2.2% / +8.6%−28.3% / −28.8%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTOct 18, 2024 +12.0%Enter above C$36.28 (+145.5%)20% 4/20+2.1% / +8.5%−8.0% / −28.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTAug 21, 2026 −2.8%Enter above C$16.01 (+8.3%)22% 11/49+2.9% / +8.5%−20.6% / −28.8%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Enter above C$16.55 (+12.0%)26% 11/42+3.4% / +8.4%−18.0% / −28.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −0.3%Enter above C$15.26 (+3.2%)26% 6/23+4.8% / +8.5%−18.5% / −28.8%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −1.1%Enter above C$15.28 (+3.4%)10% 13/125+3.1% / +8.5%−23.0% / −28.8%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +0.3%Enter above C$26.90 (+82.0%)35% 6/17+5.1% / +8.5%−28.8% / −28.8%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −1.1%Enter above C$15.28 (+3.4%)12% 11/95+4.0% / +8.4%−20.4% / −28.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Enter above C$15.16 (+2.5%)43% 33/77+5.6% / +8.6%−26.3% / −28.8%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$14.97 (+1.3%)25% 117/471+1.4% / +8.5%−33.6% / −28.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −0.6%Exit below C$13.73 (−7.1%)36% 55/153+3.7% / +8.6%−20.2% / −28.8%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINFeb 19, 2025 +18.3%Exit below C$13.71 (−7.3%)10% 2/20+3.0% / +8.6%−34.6% / −28.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTJul 29, 2026 −6.1%Enter above C$18.56 (+25.6%)25% 24/95+1.8% / +8.4%−29.1% / −28.8%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Not on one close27% 24/88+0.9% / +8.7%−33.7% / −28.8%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$15.31 (+3.6%)33% 26/79+3.2% / +8.7%−22.0% / −28.8%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Not on one close39% 75/191+2.2% / +8.7%−28.1% / −28.8%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTJul 16, 2026 −8.6%Enter above C$15.04 (+1.8%)32% 115/357+0.5% / +8.5%−31.4% / −28.8%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$15.40 (+4.2%)39% 53/137+3.9% / +8.5%−28.3% / −28.8%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.0%Enter above C$14.90 (+0.8%)36% 112/315−0.9% / +8.4%−31.9% / −28.8%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 14, 2026 −8.5%Enter above C$14.99 (+1.4%)29% 23/79+3.5% / +8.6%−15.0% / −28.8%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Enter above C$16.13 (+9.2%)28% 34/120+3.0% / +8.9%−32.7% / −28.8%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −4.8%Enter above C$15.31 (+3.6%)28% 23/81+0.9% / +8.7%−30.2% / −28.8%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Enter above C$20.73 (+40.2%)33% 43/132+3.1% / +8.9%−26.9% / −28.8%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTJul 10, 2026 −8.9%Not on one close35% 45/128+3.2% / +8.6%−21.0% / −28.8%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Enter above C$16.07 (+8.8%)30% 23/76+3.8% / +8.6%−32.7% / −28.8%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 10, 2026 −3.4%Enter above C$19.29 (+30.5%)24% 17/71+1.9% / +8.6%−33.4% / −28.8%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTJul 10, 2026 −8.9%Not on one close35% 32/92+4.4% / +8.4%−15.4% / −28.8%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTFeb 12, 2026 +0.4%Not on one close67% 20/30+3.4% / +8.9%−5.4% / −28.8%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$15.03 (+1.7%)36% 26/72+3.7% / +8.7%−22.0% / −28.8%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 −7.4%Enter above C$16.02 (+8.4%)29% 24/84+1.9% / +8.8%−18.9% / −28.8%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$16.02 (+8.4%)32% 16/50+3.5% / +8.8%−13.6% / −28.8%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −5.0%Enter above C$23.17 (+56.8%)27% 15/56+2.6% / +8.6%−15.4% / −28.8%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Not on one close21% 16/76−2.4% / +8.7%−41.5% / −28.8%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJan 28, 2026 +0.6%Enter above C$15.40 (+4.2%)29% 19/66+2.2% / +8.5%−15.0% / −28.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTMar 6, 2026 −2.1%Enter above C$14.99 (+1.4%)27% 39/142+0.0% / +8.7%−24.7% / −28.8%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$15.01 (+1.6%)32% 35/110+1.6% / +8.5%−28.8% / −28.8%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$15.17 (+2.7%)29% 29/99+1.2% / +8.7%−32.2% / −28.8%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.0%Enter above C$16.64 (+12.6%)41% 7/17+4.9% / +8.2%−24.2% / −28.8%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −5.1%Enter above C$15.11 (+2.2%)25% 40/157+2.1% / +8.7%−25.1% / −28.8%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJan 20, 2026 −1.3%Not on one close23% 14/62+2.2% / +8.7%−6.0% / −28.8%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJun 11, 2026 −6.8%Enter above C$15.44 (+4.4%)33% 34/102+0.5% / +8.5%−26.1% / −28.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.0%Enter above C$14.80 (+0.1%)33% 129/388+2.2% / +8.7%−27.1% / −28.8%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 18, 2025 +6.9%Enter above C$14.99 (+1.4%)23% 5/22+2.1% / +8.6%−6.6% / −28.8%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINOct 31, 2025 +4.3%Exit below C$14.70 (−0.6%)35% 7/20+5.5% / +8.3%−28.8% / −28.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINAug 30, 2024 +11.8%Not on one close39% 7/18+4.0% / +8.3%−29.7% / −28.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −1.3%Enter above C$16.34 (+10.6%)39% 7/18+5.0% / +8.3%−15.6% / −28.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −4.8%Not on one close14% 20/145−3.4% / +8.5%−44.7% / −28.8%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINJan 31, 2024 +21.3%Exit below C$13.98 (−5.4%)38% 3/8+4.3% / +8.5%−32.0% / −28.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJul 10, 2026 −8.9%Enter above C$16.06 (+8.6%)28% 23/82+2.1% / +8.3%−20.5% / −28.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −0.6%Exit below C$14.32 (−3.1%)27% 80/294−0.1% / +8.9%−34.3% / −28.8%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.1%Exit below C$14.71 (−0.5%)31% 150/477+0.2% / +8.9%−30.6% / −28.8%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −0.3%Exit below C$13.89 (−6.0%)38% 78/203+4.1% / +8.6%−20.5% / −28.8%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJul 31, 2024 +19.4%Exit below C$5.72 (−61.3%)36% 4/11+2.9% / +7.8%−28.8% / −28.8%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −9.8%Enter above C$14.92 (+1.0%)26% 103/396−1.0% / +8.7%−23.4% / −28.8%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −0.3%Exit below C$13.47 (−8.8%)38% 59/156+3.4% / +8.6%−24.0% / −28.8%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Enter above C$16.20 (+9.6%)27% 32/117+2.7% / +8.6%−34.3% / −28.8%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −2.6%Enter above C$14.98 (+1.4%)31% 17/55+1.0% / +8.3%−33.3% / −28.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINAug 30, 2024 +11.8%Not on one close33% 6/18+0.9% / +5.9%−29.7% / −28.8%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINOct 31, 2025 +4.3%Not on one close32% 7/22+3.9% / +8.3%−28.8% / −28.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$14.32 (−3.1%)30% 67/223+1.1% / +8.6%−29.0% / −28.8%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMar 10, 2025 +14.8%Not on one close67% 16/24+6.3% / +8.5%−26.1% / −28.8%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −4.5%Not on one close59% 117/198+3.1% / +8.5%−10.0% / −28.8%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −3.6%Not on one close59% 142/240+2.0% / +8.5%−27.8% / −28.8%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.1%Buy below C$14.52 (−1.8%)62% 58/94+4.3% / +8.7%−27.0% / −28.8%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINAug 12, 2026 −4.5%Not on one close69% 66/95+7.8% / +8.6%−26.1% / −28.8%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINJul 16, 2026 −8.6%Not on one close69% 120/173+7.1% / +8.5%−26.1% / −28.8%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTJan 9, 2026 −0.4%Not on one close70% 32/46+8.0% / +8.7%−16.0% / −28.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINApr 22, 2014 +172.2%Sell above C$36.92 (+149.8%)–+8.5% / +8.5%−28.8% / −28.8%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMar 2, 2020 +49.4%Buy below C$11.97 (−19.0%)50% 1/2+2.2% / +8.6%0.0% / −28.8%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINJul 24, 2026 −6.0%Not on one close46% 98/211+4.7% / +8.5%−26.1% / −28.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +1.0%Exit below C$14.71 (−0.5%)58% 154/267+4.0% / +8.5%−27.5% / −28.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.0%Buy below C$14.78 (0.0%)59% 643/1096+3.9% / +8.7%−13.1% / −28.8%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINAug 10, 2026 −3.4%Sell above C$14.89 (+0.7%)60% 39/65+4.1% / +8.5%−26.1% / −28.8%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$14.50 (−1.9%)40% 248/624+1.4% / +8.9%−32.6% / −28.8%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINJul 31, 2026 −6.6%Sell above C$15.13 (+2.4%)51% 41/81+4.9% / +8.5%−20.6% / −28.8%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +0.5%Not on one close24% 114/482−1.7% / +8.7%−36.1% / −28.8%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTJul 29, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close34% 43/125+1.2% / +8.7%−23.3% / −28.8%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTJul 9, 2026 −9.3%Not on one close72% 26/36+8.3% / +8.5%−20.2% / −28.8%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINMay 6, 2026 −3.3%Not on one close38% 23/61+4.0% / +8.5%−23.5% / −28.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −2.6%Enter above C$14.80 (+0.1%)28% 121/439−0.8% / +8.5%−36.7% / −28.8%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 −7.4%Enter above C$14.88 (+0.7%)32% 73/229+2.0% / +8.7%−22.6% / −28.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.1%Exit below C$14.78 (0.0%)32% 96/301−1.3% / +8.7%−28.8% / −28.8%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −5.0%Not on one close32% 28/88+0.2% / +8.5%−37.9% / −28.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +0.1%Not on one close34% 172/499+3.0% / +8.6%−28.6% / −28.8%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +1.2%Not on one close55% 41/74+4.9% / +8.7%−15.9% / −28.8%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +1.2%Not on one close29% 17/58+1.0% / +8.8%−27.0% / −28.8%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +1.0%Exit below C$14.44 (−2.3%)32% 10/31+3.2% / +8.7%−5.6% / −28.8%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +0.1%Buys Oct 3054% 14/26+7.7% / +8.7%−28.8% / −28.8%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +0.9%Window opens Apr 156% 15/27+6.2% / +8.9%−28.8% / −28.8%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 −1.7%Window opens Oct 1662% 16/26+8.2% / +8.9%−28.8% / −28.8%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +2.2%Buys Dec 2342% 11/26+2.7% / +8.7%−3.7% / −28.8%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +2.0%Buys Oct 2947% 151/318+3.0% / +8.7%−19.5% / −28.8%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −0.3%Sells Jun 3043% 3/7+4.3% / +8.7%−14.8% / −28.8%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −3.6%Buys Nov 2455% 129/236+3.8% / +8.7%−3.0% / −28.8%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +22.4%Not on one close33% 4/12+3.8% / +8.4%−21.3% / −28.8%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 697/1385+4.3% / +8.7%−24.0% / −28.8%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +0.2%Buys Oct 2745% 94/210+1.2% / +8.7%−13.0% / −28.8%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +0.3%Sells Oct 1648% 156/328+2.2% / +8.7%−21.8% / −28.8%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJul 5, 2013Always in–+8.8%−28.8%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It operating profit covers interest only 0.9×.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2021

CHP.UN−28%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2022

CHP.UN−16%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.66Moves about 0.7× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−8%In months the TSX fell, this fell -8% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+14%
  • From 52-week high−10%
  • Debt to equity1.27×
  • Net debt / EBITDA13.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover0.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

REIT - Retail · Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust is Canada's largest real estate investment trust, guided by a clear purpose: to create places where people thrive. This is how they build enduring value. As a national owner, operator, and developer of high-quality commercial and residential real estate, the firm goes beyond managing assets. The firm creates places that strengthen how tenants and communities live, work, and connect.

Size and valuation
Market capC$10.7BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$1.5BTotal sales. The market values it at 7.3× sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E14.2×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book1.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−5.1%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth−6.2%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Return on equity−1.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$223MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$10.4BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$13.3BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$49.6MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity1.27×Moderate.
Interest cover0.9×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$16.9715% above the close, from 8 analysts (range C$16.50 to C$17.50).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield5.28%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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