Consumer & retail
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Sell: 38 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−16% from its 1-year high) scores 48 and lifts it; Plays in (34%) scores 34 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | ATD | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 34% | 34 | 40 | 13.6 |
| Off the high | −16% from its 1-year high | 48 | 30 | 14.4 |
| Trend | −3% vs 200-day | 34 | 30 | 10.2 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | ATD | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 34% | 34 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +31% · 17 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.8 · buy | 58 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 16.5× | 76 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 15.3× | 51 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 1.52 | 45 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 0.6× | 93 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 3.0× | 49 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 1.1% | 33 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | +10% | 37 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +25% | 70 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 4% | 30 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 20% | 68 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.92× | 31 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −16% from its 1-year high | 48 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −3% vs 200-day | 34 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +9% | 42 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 1/10 · low | 90 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on ATDThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about ATD now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
ATD −0.3%, the S&P/TSX +1.5% that session.
After acquisition headlines, stocks did better than their index at the first close after the news 58% of the time (47 of 81 on 55 stocks; median move +0.3%). No direction was expected. Low predictability Early read
Alimentation Couche Tard Inc. stock rises Thursday, outperforms market
ATD −0.1%, the S&P/TSX −1.7% that session.
Alimentation Couche-Tard stock posts Q1 growth as price steadies
Alimentation Couche Tard Inc. stock rises Tuesday, still underperforms market
Alimentation Couche Tard Inc. stock falls Wednesday, still outperforms market
ATD −2.4%, the S&P/TSX +0.7% that session; −5.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
ATD reported earnings per share of 0.90 against 0.89 expected: a 1.0% beat.
After small beats, stocks did better than their index at the first close after the news 51% of the time (1,404 of 2,760 on 305 stocks; median move +0.1%). This time the stock went the other way. Low predictability
ATD after small beats: ahead of its index at the first close after the news 3 of 6 times (median +1.7%).
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on ATD went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −12.8% | Enter above C$78.84 (+0.3%) | 22% 154/711 | −5.3% / +17.1% | −84.2% / −63.4% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above C$85.30 (+8.5%) | 20% 28/137 | +5.2% / +17.1% | −58.8% / −63.4% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above C$81.51 (+3.7%) | 18% 73/411 | +1.6% / +17.1% | −65.9% / −63.4% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above C$88.12 (+12.1%) | 16% 31/189 | +4.5% / +17.1% | −35.5% / −63.4% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.8% | Enter above C$86.79 (+10.4%) | 18% 16/87 | +7.8% / +17.1% | −50.7% / −63.4% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Enter above C$87.11 (+10.8%) | 24% 24/101 | +9.2% / +17.1% | −48.2% / −63.4% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$81.09 (+3.1%) | 24% 11/45 | +11.8% / +17.1% | −47.8% / −63.4% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −1.3% | Enter above C$81.30 (+3.4%) | 9% 18/191 | +7.0% / +17.1% | −66.2% / −63.4% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2025 +7.8% | Not on one close | 31% 8/26 | +13.4% / +17.1% | −40.8% / −63.4% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −1.3% | Enter above C$81.30 (+3.4%) | 15% 17/115 | +11.2% / +17.1% | −41.1% / −63.4% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Enter above C$85.60 (+8.8%) | 32% 49/155 | +5.2% / +17.1% | −53.9% / −63.4% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$77.93 (−0.9%) | 22% 182/846 | −7.2% / +17.1% | −87.1% / −63.4% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +1.9% | Exit below C$68.28 (−13.2%) | 32% 92/288 | +0.0% / +17.1% | −57.6% / −63.4% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Dec 2, 2025 +6.8% | Exit below C$75.40 (−4.1%) | 30% 6/20 | +15.0% / +16.7% | −32.7% / −63.4% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Enter above C$117.65 (+49.6%) | 20% 31/157 | +3.8% / +17.1% | −57.8% / −63.4% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Not on one close | 21% 30/141 | +6.2% / +17.1% | −52.0% / −63.4% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$80.32 (+2.1%) | 28% 62/223 | −1.3% / +17.1% | −64.5% / −63.4% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Not on one close | 37% 131/353 | +2.5% / +17.1% | −57.1% / −63.4% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −12.3% | Enter above C$79.50 (+1.1%) | 34% 209/617 | +1.0% / +17.1% | −63.6% / −63.4% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above C$82.48 (+4.9%) | 35% 86/247 | +2.7% / +17.1% | −59.8% / −63.4% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Exit below C$76.13 (−3.2%) | 34% 158/468 | −1.7% / +17.1% | −68.5% / −63.4% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above C$80.13 (+1.9%) | 31% 45/147 | −0.2% / +17.1% | −47.8% / −63.4% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$94.27 (+19.9%) | 24% 50/211 | +3.3% / +17.1% | −53.4% / −63.4% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Enter above C$79.98 (+1.7%) | 28% 61/219 | +1.5% / +17.1% | −56.6% / −63.4% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$141.01 (+79.3%) | 29% 76/261 | +2.1% / +17.1% | −55.7% / −63.4% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −12.8% | Enter above C$78.72 (+0.1%) | 30% 78/263 | +1.6% / +17.1% | −50.1% / −63.4% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$93.29 (+18.6%) | 24% 45/187 | +0.6% / +17.1% | −56.4% / −63.4% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above C$126.42 (+60.8%) | 24% 28/117 | +7.3% / +17.1% | −42.8% / −63.4% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$77.37 (−1.6%) | 23% 62/272 | −4.1% / +17.1% | −65.2% / −63.4% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Not on one close | 31% 15/48 | +1.9% / +17.1% | −11.2% / −63.4% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above C$81.88 (+4.1%) | 34% 40/117 | +9.9% / +17.1% | −29.3% / −63.4% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above C$91.24 (+16.0%) | 28% 45/163 | +2.4% / +17.1% | −43.2% / −63.4% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above C$93.43 (+18.8%) | 25% 28/111 | +4.0% / +17.1% | −38.0% / −63.4% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above C$131.74 (+67.5%) | 26% 34/133 | +1.7% / +17.1% | −51.6% / −63.4% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above C$79.69 (+1.3%) | 30% 38/126 | +3.2% / +17.1% | −54.2% / −63.4% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jul 15, 2026 −11.4% | Enter above C$82.10 (+4.4%) | 30% 60/203 | +0.4% / +17.1% | −47.8% / −63.4% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −12.8% | Enter above C$80.61 (+2.5%) | 32% 71/223 | +1.6% / +17.1% | −39.9% / −63.4% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above C$81.91 (+4.2%) | 24% 60/249 | −2.7% / +17.1% | −67.3% / −63.4% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Enter above C$80.77 (+2.7%) | 29% 81/275 | −2.0% / +17.1% | −78.2% / −63.4% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$95.07 (+20.9%) | 41% 29/71 | +9.6% / +17.1% | −43.1% / −63.4% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above C$79.15 (+0.7%) | 20% 100/491 | −2.9% / +17.1% | −70.4% / −63.4% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 −12.6% | Not on one close | 25% 75/295 | −1.4% / +17.1% | −46.6% / −63.4% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −12.3% | Not on one close | 37% 29/78 | +1.8% / +17.1% | −12.4% / −63.4% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above C$78.85 (+0.3%) | 27% 203/749 | −0.2% / +17.1% | −63.5% / −63.4% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jan 27, 2026 +7.6% | Not on one close | 22% 8/36 | +1.1% / +17.1% | −21.3% / −63.4% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Feb 27, 2026 −4.3% | Exit below C$73.13 (−7.0%) | 35% 7/20 | +16.8% / +16.6% | −38.1% / −63.4% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +0.2% | Not on one close | 50% 15/30 | +16.7% / +16.6% | −32.6% / −63.4% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$81.31 (+3.4%) | 30% 7/23 | +14.0% / +16.6% | −41.8% / −63.4% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 −6.4% | Not on one close | 16% 29/185 | +5.5% / +17.1% | −44.5% / −63.4% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$88.63 (+12.7%) | 33% 7/21 | +12.1% / +17.1% | −42.1% / −63.4% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Enter above C$86.74 (+10.3%) | 26% 35/133 | +7.2% / +17.1% | −43.6% / −63.4% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −1.4% | Exit below C$72.47 (−7.8%) | 30% 151/508 | −2.9% / +17.1% | −70.0% / −63.4% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$77.76 (−1.1%) | 25% 212/858 | −8.0% / +17.1% | −89.2% / −63.4% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −1.3% | Exit below C$65.56 (−16.6%) | 39% 125/318 | +3.4% / +17.1% | −52.5% / −63.4% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Nov 28, 2025 +4.1% | Not on one close | 43% 3/7 | +19.3% / +16.0% | −32.6% / −63.4% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Aug 12, 2026 −14.6% | Enter above C$80.29 (+2.1%) | 24% 150/625 | −2.4% / +17.1% | −69.1% / −63.4% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below C$60.06 (−23.6%) | 35% 98/282 | +2.3% / +17.1% | −53.0% / −63.4% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −8.4% | Enter above C$95.15 (+21.0%) | 24% 49/205 | +3.5% / +17.1% | −53.3% / −63.4% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −5.5% | Enter above C$79.79 (+1.5%) | 33% 26/79 | +11.6% / +16.6% | −42.7% / −63.4% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +0.2% | Not on one close | 43% 12/28 | +12.9% / +16.7% | −32.6% / −60.2% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Jan 31, 2025 +4.4% | Not on one close | 40% 14/35 | +11.8% / +16.6% | −32.6% / −63.4% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Exit below C$73.47 (−6.6%) | 31% 109/356 | −1.3% / +17.1% | −65.5% / −63.4% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Sep 1, 2026 −6.4% | Not on one close | 68% 17/25 | +4.0% / +17.1% | −43.9% / −63.4% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −6.4% | Not on one close | 61% 218/358 | +7.2% / +17.1% | −21.0% / −63.4% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 −4.0% | Not on one close | 64% 286/444 | +12.3% / +17.1% | −24.9% / −63.4% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Buy below C$75.99 (−3.4%) | 73% 153/210 | +14.7% / +17.1% | −28.8% / −63.4% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Aug 24, 2026 −8.3% | Not on one close | 71% 120/169 | +11.5% / +17.1% | −41.8% / −63.4% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 11, 2026 −2.3% | Not on one close | 61% 188/307 | +8.4% / +17.1% | −55.1% / −63.4% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Aug 24, 2026 −8.3% | Not on one close | 62% 34/55 | +6.5% / +17.1% | −61.9% / −63.4% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +3,327.1% | Sell above C$196.49 (+149.9%) | – | +17.1% / +17.1% | −63.4% / −63.4% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Jan 15, 2021 +115.7% | Not on one close | 50% 5/10 | +1.7% / +17.1% | −14.9% / −63.4% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 −4.0% | Not on one close | 43% 155/359 | +1.8% / +17.1% | −58.8% / −63.4% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +2.0% | Exit below C$78.05 (−0.7%) | 52% 239/463 | +5.5% / +17.1% | −64.2% / −63.4% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Buy below C$78.64 (0.0%) | 55% 1153/2102 | +8.4% / +17.1% | −26.9% / −63.4% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Sell above C$79.58 (+1.2%) | 64% 76/119 | +10.5% / +17.1% | −28.8% / −63.4% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +1.9% | Exit below C$74.94 (−4.7%) | 33% 371/1130 | −5.4% / +17.1% | −86.6% / −63.4% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 −5.5% | Sell above C$79.05 (+0.5%) | 62% 78/125 | +10.8% / +17.1% | −42.2% / −63.4% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2026 −10.4% | Enter above C$78.64 (+0.0%) | 30% 174/585 | +3.2% / +17.1% | −70.9% / −63.4% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −11.1% | Not on one close | 37% 85/229 | −0.1% / +17.1% | −54.2% / −63.4% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Sep 10, 2026 −1.4% | Not on one close | 55% 36/66 | +7.7% / +17.1% | −52.0% / −63.4% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | May 25, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$75.04 (−4.6%) | 33% 32/98 | +10.0% / +17.1% | −53.6% / −63.4% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$78.22 (−0.5%) | 25% 158/620 | −5.1% / +17.1% | −81.0% / −63.4% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −12.3% | Enter above C$81.19 (+3.2%) | 29% 124/431 | −0.3% / +17.3% | −57.4% / −63.4% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −12.3% | Not on one close | 32% 163/503 | −3.1% / +17.1% | −71.3% / −63.4% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 −7.9% | Not on one close | 37% 29/79 | +13.9% / +17.1% | −29.9% / −63.4% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +1.9% | Not on one close | 36% 271/759 | +1.9% / +17.1% | −59.7% / −63.4% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −1.5% | Not on one close | 55% 56/102 | +6.8% / +17.1% | −55.2% / −63.4% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +1.0% | Exit below C$77.37 (−1.6%) | 29% 32/112 | +1.3% / +17.1% | −43.1% / −63.4% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −15.3% | Not on one close | 41% 26/64 | −0.3% / +17.1% | −35.2% / −63.4% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −1.6% | Buys Oct 30 | 44% 19/43 | +7.6% / +17.1% | −55.6% / −63.4% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 13, 2026 +3.4% | Not on one close | 40% 17/43 | +5.9% / +17.1% | −49.3% / −63.4% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 24, 2026 +3.0% | Window opens Oct 16 | 42% 18/43 | +5.7% / +17.1% | −52.5% / −63.4% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +6.1% | Buys Dec 23 | 32% 14/44 | +2.2% / +17.1% | −9.9% / −63.4% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +2.0% | Buys Oct 29 | 51% 270/526 | +6.0% / +17.1% | −31.1% / −63.4% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +1.5% | Sells Jun 30 | 36% 4/11 | +6.5% / +17.1% | −21.3% / −63.4% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.8% | Buys Nov 24 | 47% 180/386 | +2.5% / +17.1% | −10.1% / −63.4% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +37.1% | Not on one close | 40% 8/20 | +7.4% / +17.1% | −45.8% / −63.4% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 48% 1101/2284 | +7.3% / +17.1% | −74.8% / −63.4% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −1.7% | Buys Oct 27 | 39% 135/348 | +0.9% / +17.1% | −21.2% / −63.4% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +2.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 48% 261/541 | +6.1% / +17.1% | −54.5% / −63.4% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 4, 2005 | Always in | – | +17.1% | −63.4% |
Nothing on the checklist stands out.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Specialty Retail · Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. operates and licenses convenience stores in North America, Europe, and Asia.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$72.2B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $80.9B | Total sales. |
| P/E ratio | 16.5× | Buyers pay C$16 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 15.3× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. |
| Price to book | 3.0× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 3.9% | Keeps 4¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +25.1% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | +9.8% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 19.6% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $2.8B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $16.2B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $15.5B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $3.2B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.96× | Moderate. |
| Interest cover | 6.8× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$102.68 | 31% above the close, from 17 analysts (range C$90.37 to C$110.52). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 1.11% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
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