Semiconductors
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Sell: 37 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Trend (+15% vs 200-day) scores 83 and lifts it; Off the high (−42% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | ARM | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 30% | 30 | 40 | 12.0 |
| Off the high | −42% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | +15% vs 200-day | 83 | 30 | 24.9 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | ARM | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 30% | 30 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +14% · 40 analysts | 48 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.9 · buy | 55 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 263.3× | 3 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 83.4× | 1 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 2.73 | 19 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 52.9× | 2 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 31.6× | 4 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | none | 0 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | +108% | 83 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +22% | 66 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 20% | 66 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 13% | 54 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.06× | 87 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −42% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +15% vs 200-day | 83 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +49% | 76 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 3/10 · moderate | 70 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on ARMThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about ARM now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
ARM +17.2%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; +11.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ARM was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ARM starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.
ARM −9.7%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; +4.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ARM was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ARM starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved −6.3% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on ARM went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2023. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $280.37 (+9.8%) | 30% 23/76 | +75.2% / +71.7% | −45.6% / −54.0% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above $296.00 (+15.9%) | 22% 5/23 | −26.8% / +15.4% | −63.9% / −54.0% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $278.60 (+9.1%) | 30% 14/47 | +34.5% / +35.4% | −38.5% / −54.0% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above $329.59 (+29.1%) | 7% 1/15 | −8.6% / +34.6% | −45.0% / −52.3% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Apr 10, 2026 +71.5% | Exit below $267.62 (+4.8%) | 10% 1/10 | −0.2% / +38.2% | −66.2% / −54.0% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Mar 27, 2026 +77.2% | Exit below $267.62 (+4.8%) | 15% 2/13 | +8.2% / +40.6% | −48.8% / −52.3% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +68.8% | Exit below $230.39 (−9.8%) | 0% 0/6 | +0.7% / +23.2% | −51.2% / −54.0% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +68.8% | Exit below $222.11 (−13.0%) | 7% 2/28 | −9.6% / +21.7% | −60.8% / −54.0% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Apr 23, 2026 +24.8% | Not on one close | 0% 0/4 | −13.4% / +21.7% | −52.5% / −54.0% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Apr 2, 2026 +71.3% | Exit below $222.11 (−13.0%) | 12% 2/16 | +4.2% / +29.8% | −48.8% / −52.3% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Sep 18, 2026 −7.3% | Exit below $225.51 (−11.7%) | 44% 8/18 | +32.1% / +59.2% | −56.1% / −54.0% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $279.16 (+9.3%) | 21% 23/110 | +39.0% / +72.8% | −50.7% / −54.0% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $285.08 (+11.6%) | 54% 13/24 | +65.3% / +50.6% | −33.1% / −54.0% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Apr 1, 2026 +64.7% | Not on one close | 0% 0/4 | +12.5% / +40.1% | −48.8% / −52.3% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.1% | Enter above $307.76 (+20.5%) | 22% 5/23 | −2.0% / +29.3% | −53.7% / −54.0% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Jul 15, 2026 −7.8% | Enter above $331.41 (+29.8%) | 29% 5/17 | +34.5% / +62.5% | −56.0% / −54.0% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $302.51 (+18.4%) | 35% 8/23 | +48.9% / +71.9% | −54.0% / −54.0% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −9.9% | Flips at next check | 51% 18/35 | +72.4% / +71.9% | −37.9% / −54.0% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $367.20 (+43.8%) | 38% 30/78 | +78.6% / +69.3% | −40.5% / −54.0% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −20.9% | Exit below $238.03 (−6.8%) | 48% 12/25 | +89.2% / +76.0% | −42.5% / −54.0% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −9.9% | Enter above $309.55 (+21.2%) | 37% 25/68 | +18.9% / +67.8% | −49.4% / −54.0% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 1, 2026 −24.3% | Not on one close | 30% 6/20 | +32.2% / +71.0% | −50.1% / −54.0% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $285.04 (+11.6%) | 30% 7/23 | +50.9% / +62.5% | −45.6% / −54.0% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above $276.93 (+8.4%) | 32% 16/50 | +23.3% / +70.6% | −53.0% / −54.0% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 −20.9% | Exit below $312.05 (+22.2%) | 50% 13/26 | +64.6% / +62.5% | −41.5% / −54.0% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Not on one close | 39% 11/28 | +44.6% / +50.6% | −47.3% / −54.0% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $292.31 (+14.5%) | 27% 6/22 | +25.2% / +35.4% | −45.6% / −54.0% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | IN | Sep 23, 2026 −23.2% | Exit below $226.13 (−11.5%) | 22% 4/18 | −12.0% / +35.4% | −66.6% / −54.0% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Not on one close | 42% 10/24 | +39.4% / +39.9% | −30.9% / −54.0% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −19.0% | Not on one close | 40% 4/10 | +26.2% / +62.5% | −22.3% / −54.0% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Sep 18, 2026 −7.3% | Exit below $240.45 (−5.9%) | 47% 8/17 | +63.4% / +71.9% | −40.4% / −54.0% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 7, 2026 −15.0% | Enter above $336.98 (+31.9%) | 32% 7/22 | +11.5% / +64.6% | −45.5% / −54.0% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 14, 2026 −9.2% | Enter above $336.98 (+31.9%) | 17% 3/18 | +16.2% / +64.6% | −59.4% / −54.0% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $333.20 (+30.5%) | 35% 7/20 | +6.8% / +35.4% | −45.1% / −54.0% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Not on one close | 40% 8/20 | +44.2% / +71.9% | −42.9% / −54.0% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $330.70 (+29.5%) | 36% 10/28 | +14.0% / +72.8% | −51.3% / −54.0% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $345.89 (+35.4%) | 33% 10/30 | +31.6% / +70.6% | −46.3% / −54.0% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $333.20 (+30.5%) | 41% 13/32 | +54.1% / +70.5% | −30.8% / −54.0% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $304.67 (+19.3%) | 50% 10/20 | +102.1% / +71.9% | −32.5% / −54.0% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −9.9% | Enter above $324.53 (+27.1%) | 38% 16/42 | +68.6% / +70.6% | −47.2% / −54.0% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $284.17 (+11.3%) | 25% 17/68 | +53.1% / +74.5% | −41.5% / −54.0% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −9.9% | Not on one close | 37% 11/30 | −2.8% / +71.9% | −40.1% / −54.0% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −13.0% | Not on one close | 61% 11/18 | +18.7% / +72.8% | −16.7% / −54.0% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −13.2% | Enter above $308.50 (+20.8%) | 32% 33/103 | +43.0% / +67.4% | −48.7% / −54.0% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Not on one close | 0% 0/4 | −1.2% / +30.7% | −17.4% / −54.0% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +68.8% | Exit below $176.09 (−31.1%) | 33% 2/6 | +21.1% / +36.6% | −48.8% / −52.3% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +68.8% | Not on one close | 17% 1/6 | −1.4% / +36.6% | −58.6% / −52.3% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +68.8% | Exit below $195.80 (−23.3%) | 50% 2/4 | +35.6% / +36.6% | −48.8% / −52.3% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Nov 11, 2025 +70.6% | Not on one close | 20% 3/15 | +15.6% / +56.8% | −16.2% / −54.0% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 −28.0% | Enter above $417.48 (+63.5%) | 50% 1/2 | +4.0% / +41.2% | −25.4% / −52.3% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above $292.76 (+14.6%) | 22% 5/23 | +1.7% / +30.3% | −52.9% / −54.0% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −13.2% | Enter above $357.41 (+39.9%) | 40% 22/55 | +38.8% / +62.5% | −46.7% / −54.0% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −13.2% | Enter above $279.69 (+9.5%) | 31% 26/85 | +64.8% / +62.5% | −51.0% / −54.0% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $453.32 (+77.5%) | 46% 18/39 | +33.6% / +64.0% | −47.8% / −54.0% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Feb 27, 2026 +100.4% | Not on one close | 100% 1/1 | +99.4% / +67.4% | −48.8% / −48.8% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −9.9% | Enter above $357.16 (+39.8%) | 24% 19/80 | +14.4% / +71.9% | −30.9% / −54.0% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +0.1% | Enter above $491.97 (+92.6%) | 62% 21/34 | +67.5% / +35.4% | −30.9% / −54.0% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $281.21 (+10.1%) | 30% 7/23 | +24.5% / +35.4% | −45.8% / −54.0% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 +5.6% | Exit below $258.45 (+1.2%) | 50% 5/10 | +29.8% / +36.6% | −48.8% / −52.3% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −11.8% | Not on one close | – | – / – | – / – |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +68.8% | Not on one close | 17% 1/6 | −1.4% / +36.6% | −58.6% / −52.3% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above $341.03 (+33.5%) | 45% 17/38 | +47.8% / +50.6% | −43.4% / −54.0% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Mar 27, 2026 +77.2% | Not on one close | 75% 6/8 | +41.7% / +67.8% | −26.3% / −54.0% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Sell above $263.05 (+3.0%) | 51% 20/39 | +1.6% / +21.7% | −34.2% / −54.0% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Sell above $302.56 (+18.5%) | 62% 23/37 | −3.1% / +21.7% | −48.7% / −54.0% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 4, 2026 −9.0% | Buy below $239.83 (−6.1%) | 55% 12/22 | +11.5% / +70.6% | −30.3% / −54.0% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −16.6% | Flips at next check | 50% 10/20 | −4.6% / +67.5% | −43.7% / −54.0% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above $259.98 (+1.8%) | 60% 24/40 | +3.2% / +69.3% | −50.5% / −54.0% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | IN | Jul 2, 2026 −19.0% | Not on one close | 69% 9/13 | +21.8% / +69.5% | −52.3% / −54.0% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Jun 23, 2026 −30.3% | Sell above $536.84 (+110.2%) | 100% 4/4 | +38.5% / +21.7% | −54.0% / −54.0% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Jan 2, 2026 +122.6% | Not on one close | 67% 4/6 | +4.8% / +50.6% | −6.0% / −54.0% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 +6.9% | Enter above $288.78 (+13.1%) | 43% 18/42 | +34.4% / +72.8% | −39.4% / −54.0% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 +0.5% | Enter above $264.87 (+3.7%) | 48% 21/44 | +7.0% / +72.8% | −67.9% / −54.0% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Buy below $255.39 (0.0%) | 52% 130/252 | +3.8% / +59.9% | −36.2% / −54.0% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 17, 2026 −3.6% | Buy $222.11–$263.45 (+3.2%) | 50% 5/10 | −11.3% / +21.7% | −37.9% / −54.0% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 25, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $270.18 (+5.8%) | 38% 49/130 | +49.3% / +62.5% | −39.8% / −54.0% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −11.8% | Buy below $295.50 (+15.7%) | 53% 9/17 | +49.7% / +73.9% | −42.1% / −54.0% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Not on one close | 24% 25/106 | +48.2% / +70.6% | −46.2% / −54.0% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −13.2% | Not on one close | 53% 16/30 | +77.5% / +71.9% | −53.8% / −54.0% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −16.6% | Not on one close | 67% 4/6 | +19.1% / +67.8% | −31.7% / −54.0% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Mar 26, 2026 +65.0% | Enter above $334.66 (+31.0%) | 40% 4/10 | +9.3% / +34.6% | −12.0% / −52.3% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Enter above $272.70 (+6.8%) | 26% 20/76 | +44.4% / +73.4% | −47.9% / −54.0% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.1% | Enter above $442.23 (+73.2%) | 42% 21/50 | +64.7% / +70.6% | −48.0% / −54.0% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 28, 2026 −9.9% | Not on one close | 42% 27/64 | +69.6% / +71.9% | −40.6% / −54.0% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Apr 20, 2026 +45.9% | Not on one close | 17% 2/12 | −14.5% / +30.3% | −60.3% / −52.3% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −15.7% | Not on one close | 45% 39/87 | +51.6% / +28.1% | −39.9% / −54.0% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Aug 26, 2026 +1.7% | Not on one close | 53% 9/17 | +35.4% / +66.4% | −42.0% / −54.0% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −7.2% | Not on one close | 36% 5/14 | +43.8% / +67.6% | −51.2% / −54.0% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Nov 13, 2025 +82.0% | Not on one close | 0% 0/4 | −0.4% / +70.6% | −15.5% / −54.0% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +21.4% | Buys Oct 30 | 50% 3/6 | +29.3% / +59.9% | −64.7% / −54.0% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 7, 2026 +77.5% | Enter above $341.87 (+33.9%) | 20% 1/5 | +19.2% / +62.5% | −52.3% / −54.0% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 8, 2026 +19.7% | Window opens Oct 16 | 40% 2/5 | +17.7% / +62.5% | −66.7% / −54.0% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +120.0% | Buys Dec 23 | 50% 3/6 | +7.5% / +59.9% | −12.4% / −54.0% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −15.7% | Buys Oct 29 | 47% 35/74 | +10.0% / +59.9% | −39.1% / −54.0% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −11.8% | Sells Jun 30 | 0% 0/1 | +0.2% / +59.9% | −17.0% / −54.0% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 +1.3% | Buys Nov 24 | 55% 33/60 | +6.5% / +59.9% | −6.7% / −54.0% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 29, 2023 +239.9% | Not on one close | – | +60.6% / +60.6% | −54.0% / −54.0% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +0.1% | Sells Oct 16 | 48% 155/321 | +22.8% / +59.9% | −55.2% / −54.0% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +4.7% | Buys Oct 27 | 48% 24/50 | +5.8% / +59.9% | −8.2% / −54.0% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −16.9% | Sells Oct 16 | 46% 35/76 | +36.6% / +59.9% | −63.5% / −54.0% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Sep 14, 2023 | Always in | – | +57.4% | −54.0% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Semiconductors · Arm Holdings plc researches, develops, licenses, and markets central processing unit (CPU) intellectual property (IP), graphics processing unit IP, systems IP, compute subsystems (CSS), and associated software, tools and related services. The company provides a product portfolio, including CPU IP, GPU and neural processing unit (NPU) accelerators, system IP such as interconnects, compute platform products including pre-integrated CSSs, and development tools and software.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $273B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $5.2B | Total sales. The market values it at 52.9× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 263.3× | Buyers pay $263 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 83.4× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 31.6× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 20.2% | Keeps 20¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +22.4% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | +108.3% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 13.4% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $1.3B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $8.3B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $485M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $3.9B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.06× | Comfortable. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $290.70 | 14% above the close, from 40 analysts (range $125.00 to $500.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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