$325.41+0.4% on the day·+63.1% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Hold47 / 100
Hold: 47 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+31% vs 200-day) scores 95 and lifts it; Off the high (−33% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for ALAB
Factor
ALAB
Points
What it is
Plays in
46%
46
The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside
+20% · 22 analysts
58
How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating
1.9 · buy
56
The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E
161.1×
5
Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E
50.9×
3
Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG
–
–
P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth
+22%
52
Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth
+98%
96
Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend
+31% vs 200-day
95
How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
It closed 31% above its 200-day average and 33% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads moderate: it moves about 2.8× its index and is up 388% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.
Analysts' average 12-month target is $391.77, 20% above the close (22 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in46 / 99Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved ALAB lately
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Mon Sep 21+10.9% against the S&P 5001.7× a normal day
ALAB +12.4%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; +19.0% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ALAB was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ALAB starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.
Mon Sep 14−11.3% against the S&P 5001.8× a normal day
ALAB −11.7%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; +4.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ALAB was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ALAB starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved −6.2% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
Fri Sep 4+10.1% against the S&P 5001.6× a normal day
ALAB +9.8%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; +4.1% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ALAB was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ALAB starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +3.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.
Two years of calls, week by week
InOutShare of plays in
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on ALAB went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2024. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
It is up 388% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.
Past crashes, peak to low
Too young to have lived through a market crash, so there is no crash record to read.
Beta2.78Moves about 2.8× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
Downside capture−178%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell -178% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+388%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−33%
Debt to equity0.03×
Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Semiconductors · Astera Labs, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductor-based connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure in Taiwan and the United States. It offers an intelligent connectivity platform, comprised of semiconductor-based, high-speed, mixed-signal connectivity products that integrate a matrix of microcontrollers and sensors, and COSMOS.
Size and valuation
Market cap
$56.5B
What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)
$1.2B
Total sales. The market values it at 47.0× sales.
P/E ratio
161.1×
Buyers pay $161 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E
50.9×
Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book
32.7×
Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin
30.7%
Keeps 31¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth
+98.5%
The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth
+22.4%
Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity
21.4%
Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow
$91.9M
Cash left after running and investing in the business.
Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash
$1.3B
Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity
0.03×
Comfortable.
Wall Street
Average analyst target
$391.77
20% above the close, from 22 analysts (range $190.00 to $500.00).
Consensus rating
Buy
Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.