Oct 13 close Sign in

Software & devices

Autodesk (ADSK)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Sell34 / 100

Sell: 34 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (48%) scores 48 and lifts it; Off the high (−27% from its 1-year high) scores 12 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightADSKPointsWeightAdds
Plays in48%484019.2
Off the high−27% from its 1-year high12303.6
Trend−3% vs 200-day373011.1
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for ADSK
FactorADSKPointsWhat it is
Plays in48%48The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+33% · 34 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.5 · buy74The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E29.8×39Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Forward P/E16.2×49Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.8476P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales6.2×28Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Price to book14.2×12Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+60%74Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Revenue growth+18%59Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Profit margin21%69Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Return on equity49%93Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Debt to equity1.03×28Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Off the high−27% from its 1-year high12How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−3% vs 200-day37How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−25%13The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure2/10 · low80The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on ADSK

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in48 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.97×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−3%). Higher than on 29% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about ADSK now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

ADSK, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved ADSK lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 14+8.3% against the S&P 5002.8× a normal day

ADSK +7.8%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; +2.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ADSK was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ADSK starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved +2.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Fri Sep 4−7.9% against the S&P 5002.6× a normal day

ADSK −8.3%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; −9.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on ADSK was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for ADSK starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on ADSK

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on ADSK went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $224.85 (−2.4%)29% 175/610+6.9% / +8.7%−58.5% / −76.9%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $221.89 (−3.7%)24% 30/124−0.5% / +8.7%−64.4% / −76.9%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $225.65 (−2.1%)25% 90/356+4.0% / +8.7%−53.3% / −76.9%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTOct 28, 2025 −25.9%Not on one close16% 33/205−1.8% / +8.7%−62.7% / −76.9%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTDec 12, 2025 −22.6%Enter above $349.27 (+51.6%)21% 20/97+0.3% / +8.7%−59.9% / −76.9%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 12, 2025 −27.8%Enter above $273.60 (+18.7%)18% 19/105−0.7% / +8.7%−56.5% / −76.9%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +10.3%Enter above $233.62 (+1.4%)23% 13/57+0.1% / +8.7%−54.5% / −76.9%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −7.0%Enter above $236.34 (+2.6%)15% 29/193+0.9% / +8.7%−69.3% / −76.9%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTJan 14, 2026 −11.8%Enter above $434.30 (+88.5%)26% 10/39+4.8% / +8.7%−45.0% / −76.9%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJan 2, 2026 −19.6%Not on one close11% 18/157−1.6% / +8.7%−65.8% / −76.9%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 +8.5%Enter above $247.30 (+7.3%)37% 52/141+3.2% / +8.7%−61.7% / −76.9%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $225.68 (−2.1%)26% 200/768+3.5% / +8.7%−49.1% / −76.9%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −1.4%Exit below $187.96 (−18.4%)36% 100/280+5.5% / +8.7%−52.8% / −76.9%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTJan 15, 2026 −12.1%Enter above $593.99 (+157.8%)26% 9/35+5.9% / +9.9%−44.4% / −76.9%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 +8.6%Enter above $242.93 (+5.4%)28% 39/137+1.1% / +8.7%−64.2% / −76.9%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Enter above $239.91 (+4.1%)25% 33/133−0.9% / +8.7%−62.3% / −76.9%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $212.91 (−7.6%)36% 62/172+2.6% / +8.7%−54.6% / −76.9%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +11.5%Not on one close39% 123/319−3.0% / +8.7%−64.3% / −76.9%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $204.89 (−11.1%)35% 183/526+2.7% / +8.7%−46.2% / −76.9%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −1.3%Exit below $199.18 (−13.6%)40% 88/218+3.0% / +8.7%−55.5% / −76.9%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +9.0%Exit below $216.22 (−6.2%)39% 182/472+6.6% / +8.7%−54.4% / −76.9%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −4.7%Not on one close33% 50/151+4.6% / +8.7%−30.4% / −76.9%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $212.45 (−7.8%)28% 52/188+1.4% / +8.7%−64.4% / −76.9%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $225.93 (−2.0%)35% 89/252+4.8% / +8.7%−57.0% / −76.9%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −1.4%Exit below $63.46 (−72.5%)31% 76/244−0.1% / +8.7%−66.2% / −76.9%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Not on one close34% 89/262+3.0% / +8.7%−57.0% / −76.9%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $212.17 (−7.9%)27% 49/180+0.1% / +8.7%−63.6% / −76.9%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +0.7%Enter above $254.18 (+10.3%)26% 31/117−0.2% / +8.7%−63.7% / −76.9%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Enter above $235.89 (+2.4%)38% 83/221+5.2% / +8.7%−42.4% / −76.9%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 26, 2025 −24.4%Not on one close50% 16/32+2.5% / +8.7%−16.4% / −76.9%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −2.0%Exit below $199.18 (−13.6%)40% 55/138+0.7% / +8.7%−60.1% / −76.9%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −4.7%Enter above $271.72 (+17.9%)33% 50/153+0.4% / +8.7%−49.0% / −76.9%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −3.0%Enter above $271.72 (+17.9%)30% 30/99−0.7% / +8.7%−55.2% / −76.9%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −3.0%Enter above $379.94 (+64.9%)28% 30/109−0.7% / +8.7%−52.6% / −76.9%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 −3.0%Not on one close39% 46/119+1.1% / +8.7%−54.5% / −76.9%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −7.0%Enter above $242.51 (+5.2%)40% 63/157+3.0% / +8.7%−31.2% / −76.9%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $219.76 (−4.6%)39% 84/214+3.0% / +8.7%−33.2% / −76.9%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −2.0%Exit below $213.80 (−7.2%)36% 72/198+2.1% / +8.7%−51.0% / −76.9%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $213.55 (−7.3%)33% 70/210−0.1% / +8.7%−57.2% / −76.9%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $197.81 (−14.2%)39% 47/122+0.6% / +8.7%−64.9% / −76.9%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −2.1%Exit below $219.41 (−4.8%)23% 83/358+2.1% / +8.7%−59.5% / −76.9%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −7.6%Not on one close28% 62/219+0.3% / +8.7%−32.1% / −76.9%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJul 10, 2025 −19.5%Not on one close32% 35/110+1.9% / +8.7%−21.4% / −76.9%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $210.67 (−8.6%)35% 252/718+5.8% / +8.7%−59.3% / −76.9%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTMay 30, 2023 +18.1%Not on one close36% 13/36+3.8% / +8.7%−10.8% / −76.9%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 −24.0%Enter above $312.47 (+35.6%)39% 13/33+6.9% / +10.1%−51.5% / −76.9%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −8.9%Not on one close54% 19/35+7.3% / +10.1%−52.2% / −76.9%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTSep 30, 2025 −27.5%Enter above $347.44 (+50.8%)42% 14/33+7.5% / +10.1%−52.4% / −76.9%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $224.39 (−2.6%)14% 26/182−2.7% / +8.7%−61.7% / −76.9%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −8.9%Enter above $294.74 (+27.9%)24% 8/33−1.6% / +8.7%−52.5% / −76.9%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Enter above $235.72 (+2.3%)26% 35/137−3.3% / +8.7%−68.7% / −76.9%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $188.53 (−18.2%)37% 161/430+9.8% / +8.7%−46.2% / −76.9%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $225.88 (−2.0%)32% 235/732+5.0% / +8.7%−46.4% / −76.9%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $91.93 (−60.1%)40% 117/292+2.9% / +8.7%−61.2% / −76.9%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −3.7%Enter above $253.44 (+10.0%)44% 7/16+9.6% / +8.9%−56.1% / −76.9%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $235.43 (+2.2%)32% 190/590+2.0% / +8.7%−42.1% / −76.9%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −2.0%Not on one close39% 104/270+5.2% / +8.7%−58.1% / −76.9%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −1.3%Exit below $213.69 (−7.3%)28% 51/182+1.6% / +8.7%−61.6% / −76.9%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +10.3%Enter above $220.28 (−4.4%)34% 32/94+3.2% / +10.1%−64.5% / −76.9%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTJan 30, 2026 −8.9%Not on one close50% 17/34+4.4% / +8.8%−64.6% / −76.9%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTNov 28, 2025 −24.0%Not on one close62% 18/29+10.9% / +10.1%−49.0% / −76.9%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $181.84 (−21.1%)36% 120/336+4.0% / +8.7%−53.2% / −76.9%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 −1.9%Not on one close66% 29/44+8.5% / +8.7%−69.3% / −76.9%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTDec 18, 2025 −23.0%Not on one close57% 181/316+2.9% / +8.7%−27.2% / −76.9%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJan 23, 2026 −14.7%Not on one close57% 221/386+0.1% / +8.7%−47.1% / −76.9%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Buy below $196.16 (−14.9%)63% 133/210+5.0% / +8.7%−69.0% / −76.9%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −2.1%Not on one close64% 112/176+7.4% / +8.7%−70.0% / −76.9%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close67% 195/292+11.2% / +8.7%−68.8% / −76.9%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +10.3%Not on one close62% 49/79+4.5% / +8.7%−59.8% / −76.9%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +618.4%Sell above $571.22 (+147.9%)–+8.7% / +8.7%−76.9% / −76.9%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTJul 14, 2025 −21.8%Buy below $156.10 (−32.3%)57% 17/30+2.0% / +8.7%−21.8% / −76.9%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +5.4%Exit below $224.69 (−2.5%)50% 161/320+6.3% / +8.7%−64.9% / −76.9%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +0.7%Exit below $230.19 (−0.1%)54% 219/409+2.8% / +8.7%−52.3% / −76.9%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell above $230.43 (0.0%)56% 995/1791+2.3% / +8.7%−61.5% / −76.9%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTNov 28, 2025 −24.0%Not on one close54% 55/102+1.4% / +8.7%−41.7% / −76.9%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +9.0%Exit below $236.66 (+2.7%)38% 389/1023+2.8% / +8.7%−56.9% / −76.9%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +10.3%Sell above $213.21 (−7.5%)60% 84/141+10.3% / +8.7%−51.0% / −76.9%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Not on one close27% 197/722+6.6% / +8.7%−51.1% / −76.9%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Not on one close39% 80/203+3.6% / +8.7%−50.6% / −76.9%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINMar 30, 2026 −2.2%Not on one close62% 29/47+4.9% / +8.7%−72.2% / −76.9%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close33% 29/87+8.8% / +9.2%−53.7% / −76.9%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Exit below $222.90 (−3.3%)30% 206/690+2.7% / +8.7%−55.8% / −76.9%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $160.13 (−30.5%)34% 121/358+1.6% / +8.7%−53.5% / −76.9%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −2.0%Exit below $230.43 (0.0%)34% 204/607+2.7% / +8.7%−74.9% / −76.9%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Enter above $234.92 (+1.9%)33% 44/135+2.9% / +9.6%−72.0% / −76.9%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +9.0%Not on one close37% 344/927+6.7% / +8.7%−55.5% / −76.9%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINJan 12, 2026 −17.1%Not on one close55% 69/125+4.1% / +8.7%−66.3% / −76.9%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −4.6%Not on one close32% 31/97+2.4% / +8.7%−47.1% / −76.9%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTNov 17, 2025 −21.1%Not on one close41% 26/64+1.4% / +8.7%−15.3% / −76.9%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −2.8%Buys Oct 3044% 19/43+5.0% / +8.7%−59.7% / −76.9%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 1, 2026 +9.0%Window opens Apr 150% 22/44+5.4% / +8.7%−69.8% / −76.9%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTMay 12, 2026 −1.9%Window opens Oct 1656% 24/43+7.8% / +8.7%−56.9% / −76.9%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −20.2%Buys Dec 2330% 13/44+1.1% / +8.7%−10.2% / −76.9%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +4.0%Buys Oct 2948% 255/526+1.1% / +8.7%−45.4% / −76.9%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +10.3%Sells Jun 3045% 5/11+4.3% / +8.7%−40.7% / −76.9%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Buys Nov 2449% 195/400+1.7% / +8.7%−27.0% / −76.9%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +23.3%Not on one close20% 4/20+2.0% / +8.7%−60.6% / −76.9%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −1.3%Sells Oct 1651% 1176/2284+5.4% / +8.7%−66.1% / −76.9%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +4.6%Buys Oct 2753% 184/348+4.5% / +8.7%−9.0% / −76.9%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +8.7%Sells Oct 1651% 275/541+6.4% / +8.7%−62.0% / −76.9%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 3, 2005Always in–+8.7%−76.9%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow2 of 10 points
  • Market swings1/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Jan 2014

ADSK−77%
S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jun 2020

ADSK−35%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jun 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2024

ADSK−42%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta1.05Moves about 1.0× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture207%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 207% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−18%
  • From 52-week high−27%
  • Debt to equity1.22×
  • Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
  • Interest cover25.3×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Software - Application · Autodesk, Inc. engages in the provision of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment technology solutions worldwide.

Size and valuation
Market cap$48.2BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$7.8BTotal sales. The market values it at 6.2× sales.
P/E ratio29.8×Buyers pay $30 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E16.2×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book14.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin21.1%Keeps 21¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+17.9%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth+60.2%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity48.5%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$3.2BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$3.0BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$3.7BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$4.2BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity1.22×Moderate.
Interest cover25.3×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$307.5433% above the close, from 34 analysts (range $215.00 to $375.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-07-31; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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