WPK +3.4%, the S&P/TSX +0.9% that session.
- HeadlineThe Globe and Mail · Oct 13, 6:40 am ET
- HeadlineMarketBeat · Oct 11, 8:33 pm ET
Industrials & materials
Winpak (WPK)
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Hold52 / 100
Hold: 52 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−13% from its 1-year high) scores 56 and lifts it; Plays in (50%) scores 50 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | WPK | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 50% | 50 | 40 | 20.0 |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 56 | 30 | 16.8 |
| Trend | +2% vs 200-day | 51 | 30 | 15.3 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for WPK
| Factor | WPK | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 50% | 50 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +9% · 3 analysts | 41 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 3.0 · hold | 0 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 14.1× | 84 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 12.3× | 75 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | – | – | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. |
| Price to book | 1.4× | 87 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 0.5% | 13 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | +16% | 45 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +8% | 34 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 12% | 52 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 10% | 41 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.01× | 94 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 56 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +2% vs 200-day | 51 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +11% | 47 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 0/10 · low | 100 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on WPK- 50 of the 100 plays hold WPK right now.
- The momentum plays mostly say in.
- It closed 2% above its 200-day average and 13% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads low.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is C$48.87, 9% above the close (3 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in50 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow0 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.02×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+2%). Higher than on 49% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about WPK now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn WPK: right 22 of 56 · Out since Sep 9, 2026Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn WPK: right 27 of 66 · Out since Mar 11, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn WPK: right 19 of 40 · In since Jul 31, 2026Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn WPK: right 111 of 173 · Out since Sep 22, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn WPK: right 59 of 99 · Out since Jul 13, 2026Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn WPK: right 55 of 132 · In since Oct 8, 2026CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn WPK: right 24 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
WPK, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved WPK lately
Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
WPK +1.5%, the S&P/TSX −0.9% that session; +0.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on WPK was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for WPK starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.9%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on WPK
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following12 of 30 inBreakouts & channels8 of 15 inMomentum12 of 17 inMean reversion7 of 15 inVolume & money flow5 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns1 of 3 inCalendar5 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on WPK went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$43.35 (−3.6%) | 20% 150/741 | −8.3% / +8.9% | −91.6% / −68.1% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$43.37 (−3.5%) | 22% 29/129 | +1.1% / +8.9% | −59.8% / −68.1% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$43.45 (−3.3%) | 19% 86/445 | −4.5% / +8.9% | −80.8% / −68.1% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Dec 16, 2024 −0.4% | Not on one close | 14% 20/146 | +1.6% / +8.9% | −33.4% / −68.1% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 +2.3% | Enter above C$55.12 (+22.6%) | 20% 15/74 | +3.7% / +8.9% | −51.3% / −68.1% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Apr 2, 2026 +0.3% | Enter above C$48.30 (+7.5%) | 31% 27/88 | +3.3% / +8.9% | −36.1% / −68.1% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +5.1% | Enter above C$43.43 (−3.4%) | 16% 9/56 | +3.8% / +8.9% | −57.7% / −68.1% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$43.89 (−2.4%) | 9% 22/237 | −1.2% / +8.9% | −66.0% / −68.1% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +4.3% | Enter above C$55.93 (+24.4%) | 20% 8/41 | +2.2% / +8.9% | −65.7% / −68.1% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 +3.1% | Enter above C$56.55 (+25.8%) | 9% 15/160 | −0.3% / +8.9% | −68.0% / −68.1% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 +2.4% | Enter above C$44.44 (−1.1%) | 38% 53/138 | +3.3% / +8.9% | −54.1% / −68.1% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$43.83 (−2.5%) | 20% 175/861 | −8.3% / +8.9% | −88.7% / −68.1% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.82 (−4.7%) | 40% 95/237 | +5.6% / +8.9% | −59.8% / −68.1% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Jul 20, 2026 +1.1% | Exit below C$41.29 (−8.2%) | 5% 2/40 | +3.9% / +8.6% | −69.3% / −68.1% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 +4.1% | Enter above C$45.05 (+0.2%) | 25% 39/154 | −1.7% / +8.9% | −63.1% / −68.1% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 +4.1% | Not on one close | 25% 35/142 | −1.1% / +8.9% | −55.1% / −68.1% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$41.87 (−6.8%) | 42% 64/153 | +2.8% / +8.9% | −40.4% / −68.1% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 +3.6% | Not on one close | 44% 138/316 | +5.3% / +8.9% | −40.7% / −68.1% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$42.52 (−5.4%) | 38% 251/655 | +4.3% / +8.9% | −41.9% / −68.1% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.07 (−6.4%) | 48% 105/219 | +9.6% / +8.9% | −33.8% / −68.1% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.13 (−6.3%) | 39% 184/475 | +5.8% / +8.9% | −49.4% / −68.1% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 +2.6% | Not on one close | 27% 50/188 | −0.5% / +8.9% | −50.1% / −68.1% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 +3.1% | Enter above C$43.93 (−2.3%) | 29% 61/214 | +0.9% / +8.9% | −55.7% / −68.1% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 +4.3% | Enter above C$44.55 (−0.9%) | 42% 77/182 | +3.8% / +8.9% | −53.4% / −68.1% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 +2.6% | Enter above C$54.10 (+20.4%) | 34% 85/250 | +4.5% / +8.9% | −44.0% / −68.1% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 32% 73/229 | 0.0% / +8.9% | −54.2% / −68.1% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 +4.1% | Enter above C$43.80 (−2.6%) | 30% 57/190 | +0.8% / +8.9% | −55.3% / −68.1% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$45.58 (+1.4%) | 28% 32/114 | +1.2% / +8.9% | −50.7% / −68.1% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 +2.4% | Not on one close | 32% 74/228 | +1.9% / +8.9% | −42.7% / −68.1% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 +4.1% | Not on one close | 39% 22/56 | +0.9% / +8.9% | −18.5% / −68.1% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.07 (−6.4%) | 46% 50/109 | +4.4% / +8.9% | −52.8% / −68.1% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$43.33 (−3.6%) | 26% 38/149 | −1.7% / +8.9% | −56.7% / −68.1% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Aug 6, 2026 +5.0% | Enter above C$47.01 (+4.6%) | 22% 24/108 | −2.3% / +8.9% | −57.5% / −68.1% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 5, 2026 +3.1% | Enter above C$44.99 (+0.1%) | 29% 27/94 | +1.4% / +8.9% | −42.2% / −68.1% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | IN | Jul 14, 2026 +1.4% | Exit below C$42.36 (−5.8%) | 36% 44/121 | +2.3% / +8.9% | −53.9% / −68.1% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jul 30, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$45.07 (+0.3%) | 30% 48/158 | −1.5% / +8.9% | −52.7% / −68.1% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$43.27 (−3.7%) | 35% 74/209 | +1.1% / +8.9% | −56.0% / −68.1% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.69 (−5.0%) | 39% 80/205 | +3.0% / +8.9% | −40.5% / −68.1% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.29 (−5.9%) | 40% 79/199 | +2.8% / +8.9% | −49.2% / −68.1% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Mar 11, 2026 −1.2% | Enter above C$47.54 (+5.8%) | 41% 27/66 | +6.9% / +8.9% | −55.6% / −68.1% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.61 (−5.2%) | 23% 94/403 | −4.8% / +8.9% | −84.1% / −68.1% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jul 6, 2026 +2.8% | Not on one close | 30% 57/190 | +0.0% / +8.9% | −29.5% / −68.1% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 +2.5% | Enter above C$44.35 (−1.3%) | 48% 57/118 | +4.6% / +8.9% | −24.1% / −68.1% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$42.96 (−4.4%) | 29% 202/693 | −3.4% / +8.9% | −84.6% / −68.1% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 30, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 37% 20/54 | +2.5% / +8.9% | −22.0% / −68.1% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 +2.3% | Exit below C$44.41 (−1.2%) | 23% 10/43 | +5.5% / +9.0% | −69.2% / −68.1% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 +2.3% | Flips at next check | 48% 19/40 | +9.8% / +9.0% | −53.0% / −68.1% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 −0.1% | Enter above C$49.38 (+9.8%) | 50% 15/30 | +7.1% / +9.0% | −31.6% / −68.1% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$43.13 (−4.0%) | 19% 30/161 | −0.8% / +8.9% | −48.8% / −68.1% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +12.2% | Enter above C$49.26 (+9.6%) | 20% 4/20 | +4.8% / +8.9% | −44.2% / −68.1% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Apr 10, 2026 +0.8% | Enter above C$44.45 (−1.1%) | 25% 41/166 | −2.2% / +8.9% | −54.4% / −68.1% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$41.37 (−8.0%) | 33% 142/433 | +1.4% / +8.9% | −65.4% / −68.1% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$43.34 (−3.6%) | 25% 215/847 | −10.2% / +8.9% | −95.2% / −68.1% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$41.87 (−6.8%) | 39% 124/315 | +4.4% / +8.9% | −63.9% / −68.1% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Feb 27, 2026 −6.4% | Exit below C$37.41 (−16.8%) | 21% 6/29 | +9.8% / +9.1% | −57.5% / −60.8% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$43.44 (−3.4%) | 31% 171/559 | −0.3% / +8.9% | −47.7% / −68.1% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$40.51 (−9.9%) | 41% 102/247 | +5.0% / +8.9% | −44.7% / −68.1% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 +3.1% | Enter above C$44.05 (−2.0%) | 27% 57/210 | +0.4% / +8.9% | −56.2% / −68.1% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +5.1% | Enter above C$42.71 (−5.0%) | 38% 33/88 | +6.1% / +9.0% | −43.8% / −68.1% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 +2.3% | Flips at next check | 39% 12/31 | +6.0% / +9.9% | −53.0% / −58.8% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +5.1% | Not on one close | 45% 19/42 | +6.9% / +9.0% | −38.2% / −68.1% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$41.75 (−7.1%) | 35% 118/335 | +1.2% / +8.9% | −63.5% / −68.1% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 9, 2026 +3.2% | Not on one close | 81% 34/42 | +8.5% / +8.9% | −42.3% / −68.1% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 +1.0% | Not on one close | 60% 160/268 | +4.1% / +8.9% | −23.8% / −68.1% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 +1.7% | Not on one close | 62% 215/345 | +5.3% / +8.9% | −38.6% / −68.1% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 +2.9% | Buy below C$41.96 (−6.7%) | 64% 111/173 | +4.3% / +8.9% | −36.9% / −68.1% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 14, 2026 +3.6% | Not on one close | 58% 97/168 | +5.6% / +8.9% | −56.2% / −68.1% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 11, 2026 +4.3% | Exit below C$44.50 (−1.0%) | 53% 159/298 | +0.7% / +8.9% | −68.3% / −68.1% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Jun 30, 2026 +3.8% | Not on one close | 64% 48/75 | +8.9% / +8.9% | −53.6% / −68.1% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +592.3% | Sell above C$106.09 (+136.0%) | – | +8.9% / +8.9% | −68.1% / −68.1% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Sep 12, 2017 +6.0% | Not on one close | 62% 15/24 | +4.5% / +8.9% | −4.9% / −68.1% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 3, 2026 +0.9% | Not on one close | 40% 126/315 | −0.7% / +8.9% | −63.3% / −68.1% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.9% | Exit below C$44.50 (−1.0%) | 43% 185/428 | −5.1% / +8.9% | −81.0% / −68.1% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 +5.9% | Buy below C$44.95 (0.0%) | 59% 1212/2039 | +17.9% / +8.9% | −50.1% / −68.1% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | May 28, 2026 +9.6% | Not on one close | 55% 48/87 | +2.6% / +8.9% | −32.0% / −68.1% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Exit below C$40.44 (−10.0%) | 35% 386/1095 | −2.4% / +8.9% | −75.3% / −68.1% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 +2.3% | Sell above C$43.64 (−2.9%) | 62% 86/138 | +8.6% / +8.9% | −51.3% / −68.1% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Sep 2, 2026 +1.7% | Exit below C$44.95 (0.0%) | 34% 172/513 | +7.6% / +8.9% | −37.6% / −68.1% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 18, 2026 +4.7% | Enter above C$44.95 (+0.0%) | 42% 88/208 | +2.5% / +8.9% | −51.7% / −68.1% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Jul 13, 2026 +2.3% | Not on one close | 60% 59/99 | +5.8% / +8.9% | −56.3% / −68.1% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Feb 24, 2026 −5.3% | Not on one close | 32% 39/123 | +6.5% / +8.8% | −52.4% / −68.1% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +4.6% | Exit below C$43.91 (−2.3%) | 31% 168/547 | +4.2% / +8.9% | −42.5% / −68.1% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 +2.4% | Enter above C$42.90 (−4.6%) | 36% 142/392 | +3.1% / +8.9% | −52.7% / −68.1% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below C$44.95 (0.0%) | 34% 166/491 | −4.3% / +8.9% | −73.2% / −68.1% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Sep 21, 2026 +3.2% | Not on one close | 32% 36/111 | +1.2% / +8.8% | −55.9% / −68.1% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 +4.3% | Not on one close | 36% 259/726 | +0.9% / +8.9% | −61.9% / −68.1% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 +4.6% | Exit below C$43.75 (−2.7%) | 42% 55/132 | +3.2% / +8.9% | −64.2% / −68.1% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 +2.6% | Not on one close | 41% 40/98 | −0.2% / +8.9% | −42.2% / −68.1% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 +1.4% | Not on one close | 48% 26/54 | +1.9% / +8.9% | −10.3% / −68.1% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +12.2% | Buys Oct 30 | 56% 24/43 | +9.0% / +8.9% | −37.6% / −68.1% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 +3.4% | Window opens Apr 1 | 59% 26/44 | +8.7% / +8.9% | −39.6% / −68.1% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 20, 2026 +5.1% | Window opens Oct 16 | 61% 27/44 | +8.8% / +8.9% | −40.5% / −68.1% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −0.1% | Buys Dec 23 | 59% 26/44 | +4.2% / +8.9% | −7.5% / −68.1% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +4.3% | Buys Oct 29 | 50% 264/526 | +5.8% / +8.9% | −35.0% / −68.1% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +5.1% | Sells Jun 30 | 27% 3/11 | +2.1% / +8.9% | −26.0% / −68.1% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 +1.3% | Buys Nov 24 | 50% 194/386 | +3.0% / +8.9% | −10.1% / −68.1% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +15.7% | Not on one close | 30% 6/20 | +2.0% / +8.9% | −52.8% / −68.1% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 1135/2284 | +6.1% / +8.9% | −48.1% / −68.1% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +2.5% | Buys Oct 27 | 47% 162/348 | +2.0% / +8.9% | −11.1% / −68.1% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +4.9% | Sells Oct 16 | 51% 275/541 | +7.5% / +8.9% | −46.6% / −68.1% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 4, 2005 | Always in | – | +8.9% | −68.1% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureLow0 of 10 points
- Market swings0/3
- Past crashes0/2
- Debt0/3
- Run-up0/2
Nothing on the checklist stands out.
- Beta0.53Moves about 0.5× as much as the TSX week to week.
- Downside capture16%In months the TSX fell, this fell 16% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
- Two-year change+4%
- From 52-week high−13%
- Debt to equity0.01×
- Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
- Interest cover192.9×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersPackaging & Containers · Winpak Ltd. manufactures and distributes packaging materials and related packaging machines in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It operates through three segments: Flexible Packaging, Rigid Packaging and Flexible Lidding, and Packaging Machinery.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | – | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $1.1B | Total sales. |
| P/E ratio | 14.1× | Buyers pay C$14 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 12.3× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 1.4× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 12.0% | Keeps 12¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +7.9% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | +16.5% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 10.2% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $48.6M | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $1.3B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $13.6M | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $342M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.01× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 192.9× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$48.87 | 9% above the close, from 3 analysts (range C$48.43 to C$49.76). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Hold | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 0.46% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
WPK: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.MembersIndustrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.MembersDebt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.MembersIs this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members