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Industrials & materials

West Fraser Timber (WFG)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell38 / 100

Sell: 38 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−12% from its 1-year high) scores 59 and lifts it; Plays in (21%) scores 21 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightWFGPointsWeightAdds
Plays in21%21408.4
Off the high−12% from its 1-year high593017.7
Trend−1% vs 200-day403012.0
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Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for WFG
FactorWFGPointsWhat it is
Plays in21%21The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside––How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating––The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E30.2×12Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.6381P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales1.0×89Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book0.9×94Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield2.0%51Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth−6%5Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin−23%6Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity−19%8Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.07×85Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−12% from its 1-year high59How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−1% vs 200-day40How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−2%31The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure5/10 · high50The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on WFG

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in21 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh5 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.99×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−1%). Higher than on 40% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about WFG now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved WFG lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Tue Oct 6−4.6% against the S&P/TSX2.0× a normal day

WFG −4.2%, the S&P/TSX +0.4% that session; −4.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on WFG

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on WFG went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Enter above C$95.12 (+4.4%)26% 174/664+0.9% / +7.5%−55.6% / −76.2%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$95.74 (+5.1%)20% 27/136−1.3% / +7.5%−67.6% / −76.2%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$95.62 (+4.9%)23% 96/4120.0% / +7.5%−58.8% / −76.2%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$103.71 (+13.8%)26% 38/146+3.3% / +7.8%−37.3% / −76.2%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Enter above C$92.87 (+1.9%)18% 18/98+0.1% / +7.5%−51.1% / −76.2%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$99.32 (+9.0%)21% 21/101+1.2% / +7.5%−52.9% / −76.2%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINMay 29, 2026 −3.5%Exit below C$92.14 (+1.1%)29% 14/49+2.2% / +7.5%−57.9% / −76.2%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$92.27 (+1.2%)13% 28/210+3.0% / +7.5%−54.2% / −76.2%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINJun 26, 2026 −6.8%Not on one close43% 13/30+6.5% / +7.5%−54.1% / −76.2%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$92.27 (+1.2%)14% 17/122+3.8% / +7.5%−53.5% / −76.2%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Enter above C$99.69 (+9.4%)33% 52/156−1.8% / +7.5%−73.3% / −76.2%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Enter above C$92.63 (+1.7%)26% 198/776+4.1% / +7.5%−53.5% / −76.2%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$116.14 (+27.4%)37% 93/254+9.2% / +7.5%−41.4% / −76.2%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINJul 2, 2026 −7.1%Exit below C$79.34 (−12.9%)21% 8/38+3.4% / +7.2%−52.0% / −76.2%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$111.52 (+22.4%)23% 38/162−3.3% / +7.5%−62.9% / −76.2%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.0%Not on one close23% 29/128−1.9% / +7.5%−62.1% / −76.2%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$98.49 (+8.1%)38% 63/166+1.2% / +7.5%−69.4% / −76.2%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.0%Not on one close37% 123/330−5.1% / +7.5%−84.4% / −76.2%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$113.72 (+24.8%)36% 209/582+1.0% / +7.5%−64.6% / −76.2%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$104.53 (+14.7%)35% 77/222+1.0% / +7.5%−55.7% / −76.2%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Enter above C$96.56 (+6.0%)43% 212/488+10.2% / +7.5%−39.9% / −76.2%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTFeb 20, 2026 +0.5%Enter above C$127.30 (+39.7%)31% 53/172+0.0% / +7.5%−65.7% / −76.2%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$111.84 (+22.7%)28% 58/206−2.9% / +7.5%−67.4% / −76.2%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$95.26 (+4.5%)36% 89/248+0.8% / +7.5%−81.1% / −76.2%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$246.46 (+170.4%)29% 72/252−1.4% / +7.5%−71.0% / −76.2%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Not on one close44% 94/214+12.7% / +7.5%−39.7% / −76.2%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$110.31 (+21.0%)28% 58/206−3.0% / +7.5%−71.9% / −76.2%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −0.1%Enter above C$104.49 (+14.7%)21% 25/120−1.1% / +7.5%−60.9% / −76.2%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTAug 21, 2026 −4.7%Not on one close35% 69/196+3.9% / +7.5%−41.8% / −76.2%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 31, 2024 −24.9%Not on one close42% 25/60+1.4% / +7.5%−23.5% / −76.2%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$104.53 (+14.7%)37% 51/138+0.1% / +7.5%−60.4% / −76.2%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$104.53 (+14.7%)29% 40/140−1.9% / +7.5%−68.1% / −76.2%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$104.53 (+14.7%)27% 26/98−1.3% / +7.5%−58.2% / −76.2%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$103.98 (+14.1%)34% 29/86+2.9% / +7.5%−32.3% / −76.2%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −1.0%Not on one close39% 48/124+3.7% / +7.5%−48.6% / −76.2%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Enter above C$103.23 (+13.3%)37% 58/158+1.2% / +7.5%−47.9% / −76.2%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$107.79 (+18.3%)33% 76/230+0.2% / +7.5%−50.2% / −76.2%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$103.98 (+14.1%)40% 81/204+0.5% / +7.5%−63.7% / −76.2%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$98.05 (+7.6%)38% 69/182+1.6% / +7.5%−67.1% / −76.2%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.0%Enter above C$104.96 (+15.2%)37% 45/121+4.2% / +7.5%−44.8% / −76.2%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$96.64 (+6.0%)29% 96/336+2.1% / +7.5%−57.5% / −76.2%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJun 2, 2026 −0.8%Not on one close28% 49/172+0.0% / +7.5%−36.4% / −76.2%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Not on one close41% 48/116−0.1% / +7.5%−29.2% / −76.2%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −8.5%Enter above C$92.04 (+1.0%)34% 233/688+9.3% / +7.5%−58.8% / −76.2%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 3, 2025 −10.4%Not on one close31% 13/42+0.7% / +7.5%−25.7% / −76.2%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Exit below C$87.05 (−4.5%)28% 9/32+5.2% / +7.6%−43.3% / −76.2%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Not on one close47% 18/38+6.3% / +7.6%−51.7% / −76.2%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTDec 31, 2024 −24.4%Enter above C$96.80 (+6.2%)39% 12/31+6.0% / +7.6%−41.8% / −76.2%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.0%Buy C$95.24–C$104.80 (+4.5%)19% 30/158+3.1% / +7.5%−51.9% / −76.2%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTFeb 28, 2025 −18.1%Enter above C$98.79 (+8.4%)42% 11/26+4.8% / +7.5%−45.9% / −76.2%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$97.07 (+6.5%)22% 26/120+0.9% / +7.5%−52.0% / −76.2%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Enter above C$105.48 (+15.7%)38% 166/440+9.6% / +7.5%−40.9% / −76.2%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Enter above C$94.08 (+3.2%)30% 230/766+2.5% / +7.5%−50.7% / −76.2%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$144.97 (+59.1%)42% 124/294+10.2% / +7.5%−47.1% / −76.2%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINMar 31, 2026 +1.2%Exit below C$79.99 (−12.2%)43% 10/23+3.4% / +9.0%−74.6% / −76.2%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −8.5%Enter above C$110.48 (+21.2%)32% 185/580+1.6% / +7.5%−38.8% / −76.2%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$165.83 (+82.0%)41% 100/246+7.4% / +7.5%−60.6% / −76.2%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$112.12 (+23.0%)27% 53/198−3.6% / +7.5%−69.2% / −76.2%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −3.1%Exit below C$94.41 (+3.6%)27% 27/101−2.5% / +7.6%−74.5% / −76.2%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Not on one close44% 14/32+4.9% / +8.7%−51.0% / −76.2%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTMay 30, 2025 −7.3%Not on one close26% 8/31+1.5% / +7.6%−60.4% / −76.2%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$110.62 (+21.4%)35% 117/334+7.7% / +7.5%−40.3% / −76.2%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 −1.6%Not on one close71% 32/45+8.5% / +7.5%−68.7% / −76.2%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Not on one close59% 163/277+0.2% / +7.5%−33.3% / −76.2%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Sell above C$93.93 (+3.1%)59% 186/316−1.8% / +7.5%−66.4% / −76.2%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +1.3%Sell above C$97.24 (+6.7%)65% 119/182+2.0% / +7.5%−61.6% / −76.2%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −0.1%Not on one close70% 114/162+10.1% / +7.5%−57.5% / −76.2%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Not on one close68% 195/288+11.8% / +7.5%−60.7% / −76.2%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −0.1%Not on one close71% 68/96+12.2% / +7.5%−56.4% / −76.2%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +448.1%Sell above C$223.01 (+144.7%)–+7.5% / +7.5%−76.2% / −76.2%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMar 3, 2023 −7.7%Buy below C$86.62 (−4.9%)73% 22/30+3.8% / +7.5%−5.2% / −76.2%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Not on one close51% 167/325+10.6% / +7.5%−49.3% / −76.2%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −2.2%Enter above C$91.31 (+0.2%)53% 228/434+2.2% / +7.5%−64.0% / −76.2%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.0%Buy below C$91.13 (0.0%)58% 1141/1968−0.2% / +7.5%−67.8% / −76.2%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −6.8%Not on one close58% 49/85+4.6% / +7.5%−41.1% / −76.2%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.5%Exit below C$88.94 (−2.4%)39% 413/1047+7.7% / +7.5%−41.5% / −76.2%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −3.1%Buy below C$100.66 (+10.5%)68% 105/155+20.7% / +7.5%−41.1% / −76.2%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Not on one close27% 183/686+3.3% / +7.5%−50.3% / −76.2%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −3.0%Not on one close36% 72/198−2.2% / +7.5%−75.9% / −76.2%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTJun 10, 2026 +0.0%Not on one close69% 35/51+10.8% / +7.5%−46.6% / −76.2%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close33% 50/152+6.5% / +7.8%−64.5% / −76.2%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Enter above C$95.41 (+4.7%)28% 207/736+0.5% / +7.5%−50.5% / −76.2%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Enter above C$128.98 (+41.5%)35% 124/354+3.2% / +7.5%−64.0% / −76.2%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Enter above C$91.13 (+0.0%)39% 222/568+5.5% / +7.5%−47.2% / −76.2%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINAug 27, 2026 −4.3%Not on one close33% 39/118+3.4% / +8.0%−63.1% / −76.2%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −4.2%Buy C$91.06–C$93.46 (−0.1%)37% 315/860+8.4% / +7.5%−41.8% / −76.2%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −2.2%Enter above C$91.69 (+0.6%)59% 91/154+9.1% / +7.5%−52.7% / −76.2%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Not on one close44% 46/104+7.8% / +7.5%−36.3% / −76.2%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 +2.9%Not on one close54% 39/72+1.7% / +7.5%−18.8% / −76.2%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +6.9%Buys Oct 3067% 29/43+8.5% / +7.5%−67.0% / −76.2%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 16, 2026 +3.3%Enter above C$98.85 (+8.5%)70% 30/43+12.3% / +7.5%−65.0% / −76.2%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 24, 2026 +2.8%Window opens Oct 1665% 28/43+9.5% / +7.5%−65.1% / −76.2%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +5.5%Buys Dec 2355% 24/44+2.9% / +7.5%−11.9% / −76.2%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −3.0%Buys Oct 2950% 263/526+1.7% / +7.5%−50.7% / −76.2%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −7.6%Sells Jun 3064% 7/11+4.1% / +7.5%−35.2% / −76.2%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −3.7%Buys Nov 2447% 183/386+2.3% / +7.5%−13.3% / −76.2%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 −0.7%Not on one close35% 7/20+3.6% / +7.5%−54.2% / −76.2%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1651% 1166/2284+7.9% / +7.5%−58.2% / −76.2%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −10.2%Buys Oct 2745% 156/348+1.9% / +7.5%−15.9% / −76.2%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −3.8%Sells Oct 1651% 274/541+2.8% / +7.5%−70.8% / −76.2%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+7.5%−76.2%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureHigh5 of 10 points
  • Market swings1/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Jan 2010

WFG−38%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2020

WFG−63%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Apr 2022 · back to its old high Jul 2022

WFG−24%
TSX−14%
  • Beta1.07Moves about 1.1× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture207%In months the TSX fell, this fell 207% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−32%
  • From 52-week high−12%
  • Debt to equity0.07×
  • Interest cover−60.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Lumber & Wood Production · West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd., a diversified wood products company, engages in manufacturing, selling, marketing, and distributing lumber, engineered wood products, northern bleached softwood kraft pulp, newsprint, paper, wood chips and other residuals. It operates through four segments: Lumber, North America Engineered Wood Products, Pulp & Paper, and Europe Engineered Wood Products. The Lumber segment produces spruce, pine, fir and southern yellow pine lumber, douglas fir, hemlock, wood chips, and other residuals.

Size and valuation
Market capC$7.1BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$5.2BTotal sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E30.2×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book0.9×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−23.0%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth−6.4%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Return on equity−19.3%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−$424MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equity$5.8BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$391MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$74.0MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.07×Comfortable.
Interest cover−60.6×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$107.7018% above the close, from 2 analysts (range C$98.24 to C$117.16).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield1.99%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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