Oct 13 close Sign in

Software & devices

Workday (WDAY)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Hold49 / 100

Hold: 49 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Trend (+19% vs 200-day) scores 89 and lifts it; Off the high (−24% from its 1-year high) scores 19 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightWDAYPointsWeightAdds
Plays in41%414016.4
Off the high−24% from its 1-year high19305.7
Trend+19% vs 200-day893026.7
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for WDAY
FactorWDAYPointsWhat it is
Plays in41%41The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+12% · 37 analysts46How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.3 · buy37The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E37.7×29Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Forward P/E14.1×59Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.7079P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales4.0×47Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Price to book6.3×26Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+130%87Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Revenue growth+13%49Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Profit margin12%54Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Return on equity19%68Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Debt to equity0.46×54Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-31.
Off the high−24% from its 1-year high19How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+19% vs 200-day89How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−21%16The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on WDAY

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in41 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.19×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+19%). Higher than on 82% of days since 2013. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about WDAY now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

WDAY, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved WDAY lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 17+5.0% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day

WDAY +6.1%, the S&P 500 +1.1% that session; +0.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on WDAY was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for WDAY starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.1%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Mon Sep 14+5.1% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day

WDAY +4.6%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; +4.5% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on WDAY was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for WDAY starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved +2.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Fri Sep 4−5.0% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day

WDAY −5.4%, the S&P 500 −0.4% that session; −9.1% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on WDAY was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for WDAY starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.4%. The 33 other Software & devices stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on WDAY

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on WDAY went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2012. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −1.8%Enter above $188.35 (+1.3%)26% 104/407−1.2% / +9.5%−66.6% / −63.4%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINJul 17, 2026 +28.5%Exit below $165.87 (−10.8%)22% 16/72+2.0% / +7.4%−63.6% / −63.4%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINJul 24, 2026 +37.4%Exit below $183.09 (−1.6%)24% 61/250−0.8% / +8.3%−57.0% / −63.4%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTFeb 27, 2025 −28.6%Not on one close15% 18/117+0.9% / +6.6%−46.2% / −63.4%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINAug 28, 2026 −9.1%Exit below $152.35 (−18.1%)32% 13/40+3.7% / +8.1%−66.1% / −63.4%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 −1.8%Enter above $186.54 (+0.3%)24% 14/59+1.8% / +6.6%−63.6% / −63.4%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −5.8%Exit below $153.17 (−17.7%)23% 7/30+2.1% / +7.7%−73.8% / −63.4%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINAug 4, 2026 +8.6%Exit below $155.87 (−16.2%)13% 18/134−0.8% / +7.4%−70.0% / −63.4%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINSep 1, 2026 −6.2%Not on one close32% 7/22+2.6% / +7.4%−59.1% / −63.4%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJun 11, 2025 −26.0%Not on one close14% 13/91+1.0% / +7.5%−64.0% / −63.4%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 −1.8%Enter above $224.42 (+20.6%)33% 32/96+0.9% / +9.2%−57.3% / −63.4%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $187.63 (+0.9%)23% 122/523−1.3% / +9.9%−63.7% / −63.4%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −5.8%Enter above $257.15 (+38.2%)34% 57/167+5.0% / +8.0%−60.1% / −63.4%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINAug 28, 2026 −9.1%Exit below $59.78 (−67.9%)19% 5/26−1.2% / +6.6%−60.5% / −63.4%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINJul 10, 2026 +33.9%Exit below $174.72 (−6.1%)24% 22/91+0.7% / +8.7%−54.9% / −63.4%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINJul 27, 2026 +26.1%Exit below $170.50 (−8.3%)29% 23/79+0.4% / +9.9%−63.5% / −63.4%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINJul 6, 2026 +34.8%Exit below $177.10 (−4.8%)30% 32/108+0.3% / +10.4%−66.9% / −63.4%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −1.4%Not on one close39% 84/214+1.0% / +10.4%−56.9% / −63.4%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Enter above $199.43 (+7.2%)31% 126/401−4.6% / +10.1%−80.9% / −63.4%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 −3.1%Enter above $201.00 (+8.1%)37% 55/149+2.3% / +9.6%−50.6% / −63.4%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −0.4%Exit below $183.84 (−1.2%)42% 125/295+8.4% / +10.1%−50.4% / −63.4%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINAug 14, 2026 −6.4%Exit below $181.28 (−2.6%)28% 23/83−4.5% / +9.8%−51.8% / −63.4%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.0%Enter above $193.19 (+3.9%)28% 37/131+0.3% / +9.9%−57.5% / −63.4%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 −4.0%Exit below $186.11 (+0.1%)36% 66/185−1.5% / +10.4%−69.5% / −63.4%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −3.3%Enter above $270.91 (+45.6%)31% 50/159−1.7% / +9.9%−60.7% / −63.4%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINJul 29, 2026 +10.7%Not on one close31% 46/150−5.9% / +8.0%−76.4% / −63.4%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINJul 7, 2026 +29.5%Not on one close34% 37/109+3.9% / +8.3%−49.9% / −63.4%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINJul 10, 2026 +33.9%Exit below $98.33 (−47.1%)29% 17/58+3.0% / +8.3%−60.8% / −63.4%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −5.0%Not on one close32% 42/130+1.6% / +8.7%−42.3% / −63.4%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.0%Not on one close29% 4/14+1.4% / +9.9%−7.6% / −63.4%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINJul 28, 2026 +16.5%Exit below $181.47 (−2.4%)30% 28/93+0.8% / +10.4%−53.4% / −63.4%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −0.1%Enter above $227.49 (+22.3%)25% 26/102−5.8% / +9.7%−70.4% / −63.4%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINJul 28, 2026 +16.5%Exit below $181.47 (−2.4%)20% 17/85−9.8% / +9.7%−85.0% / −63.4%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINAug 10, 2026 +1.0%Exit below $185.74 (−0.1%)25% 17/67−4.3% / +8.3%−61.6% / −63.4%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJun 22, 2026 +64.6%Enter above $227.49 (+22.3%)20% 16/80−7.5% / +10.4%−76.0% / −63.4%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −0.1%Enter above $205.69 (+10.6%)27% 28/102−4.0% / +9.9%−56.6% / −63.4%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −0.1%Enter above $196.99 (+5.9%)30% 41/138−2.0% / +10.4%−59.8% / −63.4%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −5.0%Enter above $199.28 (+7.1%)38% 46/122+4.9% / +10.1%−43.9% / −63.4%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −0.4%Enter above $202.88 (+9.1%)34% 38/112+6.0% / +10.4%−48.6% / −63.4%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −0.1%Enter above $197.81 (+6.3%)36% 28/78+6.0% / +9.9%−45.1% / −63.4%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −0.1%Enter above $200.23 (+7.6%)30% 61/203+0.7% / +9.7%−62.0% / −63.4%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 17, 2026 −2.7%Not on one close27% 29/108−2.4% / +10.4%−33.9% / −63.4%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJun 10, 2026 +35.3%Enter above $214.54 (+15.3%)39% 41/106+2.4% / +9.9%−23.9% / −63.4%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −1.4%Enter above $192.07 (+3.3%)36% 153/430+1.8% / +10.0%−53.4% / −63.4%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 20, 2023 −16.3%Enter above $196.99 (+5.9%)50% 12/24+3.7% / +7.7%−20.2% / −63.4%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTJul 31, 2025 −18.9%Enter above $248.78 (+33.7%)24% 4/17+1.6% / +7.2%−62.4% / −63.4%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 −13.7%Not on one close48% 10/21+4.4% / +7.2%−66.0% / −63.4%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTJun 30, 2025 −22.5%Enter above $276.62 (+48.7%)30% 7/23+2.9% / +7.2%−50.2% / −63.4%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 13, 2026 −9.9%Not on one close24% 21/87+5.4% / +8.4%−35.0% / −63.4%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTApr 30, 2024 −24.0%Enter above $225.79 (+21.4%)29% 5/17+0.1% / +6.4%−48.0% / −63.4%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyINJul 31, 2026 +16.0%Exit below $161.97 (−12.9%)23% 19/82+1.8% / +8.8%−61.7% / −63.4%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 25, 2026 −4.3%Enter above $194.83 (+4.7%)32% 93/290−0.8% / +9.9%−68.2% / −63.4%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −1.2%Exit below $185.33 (−0.4%)31% 150/483+0.8% / +9.9%−62.6% / −63.4%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −2.5%Enter above $219.98 (+18.3%)39% 79/203+5.7% / +9.6%−60.9% / −63.4%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −5.8%Exit below $145.61 (−21.7%)40% 6/15+2.7% / +5.7%−55.3% / −63.4%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −5.0%Enter above $196.99 (+5.9%)27% 105/388−5.4% / +10.4%−64.7% / −63.4%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −9.1%Enter above $274.05 (+47.3%)43% 67/155+9.8% / +8.3%−56.7% / −63.4%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.0%Enter above $193.79 (+4.2%)29% 35/121+0.3% / +8.3%−52.9% / −63.4%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +16.0%Exit below $175.18 (−5.8%)34% 20/58+0.5% / +7.2%−68.9% / −63.4%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 −13.7%Not on one close50% 9/18+6.4% / +7.9%−40.9% / −63.4%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTNov 28, 2025 −13.7%Not on one close40% 10/25+2.5% / +7.2%−70.7% / −63.4%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 31, 2026 −5.8%Enter above $221.09 (+18.9%)33% 70/211+0.7% / +8.0%−68.2% / −63.4%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJun 2, 2026 +24.9%Not on one close54% 14/26+3.1% / +10.2%−54.6% / −63.4%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −4.2%Buy $155.87–$181.46 (−2.5%)53% 84/158+2.8% / +7.4%−21.1% / −63.4%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −0.4%Sell above $188.25 (+1.2%)60% 124/207+4.0% / +7.4%−46.6% / −63.4%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +45.4%Buy below $181.50 (−2.4%)65% 82/126+4.1% / +10.4%−46.3% / −63.4%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 14, 2026 −4.2%Not on one close62% 63/102+5.2% / +10.4%−66.7% / −63.4%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 14, 2026 −4.2%Not on one close59% 108/183+6.1% / +10.1%−54.0% / −63.4%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTJul 9, 2026 +34.5%Not on one close76% 41/54+9.2% / +9.1%−47.0% / −63.4%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINAug 1, 2013 +167.1%Sell above $376.73 (+102.5%)–+7.4% / +7.4%−63.4% / −63.4%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTApr 13, 2026 +55.1%Not on one close62% 16/26+4.3% / +8.0%−9.5% / −63.4%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −6.7%Not on one close45% 93/207−3.1% / +9.9%−73.3% / −63.4%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINAug 19, 2026 −6.2%Not on one close53% 149/283+3.8% / +9.9%−52.4% / −63.4%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.3%Sell above $186.02 (0.0%)55% 609/1103−0.9% / +9.6%−57.8% / −63.4%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +0.2%Sell above $193.54 (+4.0%)51% 29/57+4.6% / +7.4%−35.7% / −63.4%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −0.3%Exit below $188.49 (+1.3%)34% 237/692−2.6% / +9.9%−70.3% / −63.4%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −2.3%Sell above $194.30 (+4.5%)58% 53/91+9.9% / +10.0%−64.0% / −63.4%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −4.0%Not on one close24% 121/496−2.7% / +10.4%−77.1% / −63.4%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −5.0%Not on one close36% 51/143+2.4% / +10.4%−52.1% / −63.4%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINJan 23, 2026 −1.7%Not on one close74% 23/31+13.5% / +10.2%−48.2% / −63.4%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −2.5%Not on one close35% 34/97+2.5% / +6.8%−59.9% / −63.4%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $186.79 (+0.4%)26% 105/409−1.8% / +9.8%−71.1% / −63.4%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 0.0%Enter above $205.49 (+10.5%)32% 78/240−0.7% / +10.4%−67.1% / −63.4%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −0.3%Not on one close34% 135/400+1.5% / +10.4%−52.9% / −63.4%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −2.3%Not on one close36% 20/56+7.4% / +7.1%−48.8% / −63.4%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close32% 197/608−3.0% / +8.5%−71.0% / −63.4%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −1.6%Not on one close57% 55/97+2.0% / +9.2%−56.3% / −63.4%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −6.7%Exit below $183.61 (−1.3%)38% 24/63+8.7% / +9.4%−35.0% / −63.4%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTFeb 9, 2026 +20.4%Not on one close45% 28/62+2.5% / +10.3%−18.8% / −63.4%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +52.0%Buys Oct 3050% 14/28+2.0% / +9.6%−62.6% / −63.4%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 8, 2026 +56.1%Enter above $186.71 (+0.4%)50% 14/28+4.3% / +9.9%−59.8% / −63.4%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTMay 13, 2026 +59.7%Window opens Oct 1643% 12/28+0.8% / +9.9%−65.3% / −63.4%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −11.0%Buys Dec 2336% 10/28−0.2% / +9.6%−17.7% / −63.4%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.6%Buys Oct 2947% 159/336−0.5% / +9.6%−56.7% / −63.4%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −2.3%Sells Jun 3057% 4/7+6.1% / +9.6%−32.3% / −63.4%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −5.0%Buys Nov 2445% 118/260−1.2% / +9.6%−39.2% / −63.4%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +11.2%Not on one close33% 4/12+9.8% / +9.6%−63.4% / −63.4%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −1.2%Sells Oct 1653% 769/1461+13.9% / +9.6%−61.5% / −63.4%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −0.9%Buys Oct 2746% 102/222+2.7% / +9.6%−11.3% / −63.4%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.1%Sells Oct 1650% 173/346+3.4% / +9.6%−57.5% / −63.4%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINOct 12, 2012Always in–+10.1%−63.4%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings1/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It fell about 1.6× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2020

WDAY−42%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jun 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2023

WDAY−48%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta1.08Moves about 1.1× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture143%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 143% as much on average.
  • Two-year change−23%
  • From 52-week high−24%
  • Debt to equity0.48×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.2×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover9.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Software - Application · Workday, Inc. provides enterprise cloud applications in the United States and internationally. The company offers a suite of financial management applications to maintain accounting information; manage financial processes, such as payables and receivables; identify real-time financial, operational, and management insights; perform financial consolidation; reduce time-to-close; promote internal control and auditability; and achieve consistency across finance operations.

Size and valuation
Market cap$44.8BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$10.2BTotal sales. The market values it at 4.4× sales.
P/E ratio37.7×Buyers pay $38 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E14.1×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book6.3×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin12.3%Keeps 12¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+13.3%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth+129.8%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity19.4%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$3.0BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$7.8BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$3.8BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$3.4BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.48×Comfortable.
Interest cover9.9×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$208.0812% above the close, from 37 analysts (range $92.00 to $275.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-07-31; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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