Oct 13 close Sign in

Industrials & materials

5N Plus (VNP)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell29 / 100

Sell: 29 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (45%) scores 45 and lifts it; Off the high (−36% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightVNPPointsWeightAdds
Plays in45%454018.0
Off the high−36% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−3% vs 200-day353010.5
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for VNP
FactorVNPPointsWhat it is
Plays in45%45The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+49% · 8 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.5 · buy75The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E32.2×37Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E25.0×17Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.4290P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales4.3×44Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book8.2×22Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+29%57Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+28%73Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin14%57Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity31%85Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.45×55Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−36% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−3% vs 200-day35How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+73%87The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure4/10 · moderate60The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on VNP

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in45 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate4 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.97×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−3%). Higher than on 44% of days since 2008. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about VNP now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved VNP lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Oct 1+6.1% against the S&P/TSX1.8× a normal day

VNP +5.9%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; +4.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on VNP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for VNP starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.2%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.2% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 22+6.1% against the S&P/TSX1.6× a normal day

VNP +7.0%, the S&P/TSX +0.9% that session; +12.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on VNP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for VNP starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.9%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Mon Sep 14−6.1% against the S&P/TSX1.6× a normal day

VNP −6.1%, the S&P/TSX +0.0% that session; −1.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on VNP was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for VNP starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.0%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on VNP

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on VNP went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2007. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +15.9%Exit below C$29.97 (−2.0%)23% 124/528+9.9% / +5.4%−72.1% / −92.7%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTJul 17, 2026 −6.8%Enter above C$33.18 (+8.5%)29% 26/90+11.8% / +11.3%−65.1% / −90.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$29.69 (−2.9%)20% 63/308+13.3% / +5.6%−60.2% / −92.5%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −24.0%Not on one close20% 23/116+12.6% / +11.3%−42.8% / −90.3%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 −6.1%Enter above C$34.40 (+12.5%)44% 16/36+21.4% / +7.8%−47.6% / −90.3%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 −6.1%Enter above C$34.40 (+12.5%)35% 18/52+16.6% / +12.0%−52.3% / −90.3%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 +19.9%Enter above C$32.57 (+6.5%)39% 11/28+16.2% / +10.4%−61.6% / −90.3%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$31.55 (+3.2%)15% 16/106+15.1% / +11.3%−62.2% / −90.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTSep 17, 2026 +19.9%Not on one close50% 12/24+14.1% / +11.3%−49.9% / −90.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$31.55 (+3.2%)17% 12/72+11.9% / +10.9%−49.1% / −90.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINSep 25, 2026 +2.3%Exit below C$19.54 (−36.1%)33% 39/118+13.7% / +5.9%−57.7% / −92.5%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −3.1%Enter above C$31.59 (+3.3%)24% 165/675+3.6% / +5.7%−86.0% / −92.7%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 3, 2026 +22.7%Exit below C$9.38 (−69.3%)35% 73/207+5.4% / +6.6%−83.0% / −90.4%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINApr 30, 2025 +360.5%Not on one close48% 10/21+14.9% / +10.7%−53.9% / −90.3%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINOct 7, 2026 −3.1%Exit below C$27.06 (−11.5%)34% 32/95+18.0% / +5.1%−44.1% / −92.5%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTJul 13, 2026 −19.9%Enter above C$33.65 (+10.0%)32% 32/101+10.8% / +5.1%−61.8% / −92.7%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$29.48 (−3.6%)34% 36/106+12.8% / +8.8%−72.6% / −92.7%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −4.8%Not on one close43% 103/241+15.5% / +8.8%−59.3% / −92.7%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +15.9%Exit below C$28.21 (−7.8%)37% 186/508+10.2% / +8.1%−70.9% / −92.7%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +5.0%Exit below C$24.37 (−20.3%)48% 85/178+21.7% / +7.9%−82.5% / −92.7%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$33.72 (+10.3%)38% 142/375+3.9% / +8.8%−79.5% / −92.7%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$33.48 (+9.5%)30% 44/146+1.7% / +7.8%−66.9% / −92.7%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +2.3%Exit below C$20.02 (−34.5%)30% 44/148+14.3% / +6.8%−66.5% / −92.7%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$31.47 (+2.9%)32% 85/262+2.9% / +8.9%−89.3% / −92.7%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$8.16 (−73.3%)34% 63/188+13.6% / +6.8%−63.8% / −92.7%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +10.5%Not on one close37% 65/175+7.1% / +6.6%−81.7% / −90.4%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +2.3%Exit below C$22.46 (−26.5%)31% 41/131+17.3% / +5.6%−60.2% / −92.5%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTJul 17, 2026 −6.8%Enter above C$30.93 (+1.2%)35% 29/83+13.9% / +5.6%−62.1% / −92.5%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +19.9%Exit below C$24.37 (−20.3%)37% 65/175+1.4% / +8.1%−76.0% / −90.3%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 9, 2026 −20.8%Not on one close31% 13/42−1.6% / +6.8%−50.0% / −92.7%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$24.37 (−20.3%)38% 31/81+15.9% / +8.8%−72.4% / −92.7%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 9, 2026 −20.8%Enter above C$35.06 (+14.6%)32% 31/98+8.1% / +5.7%−49.7% / −92.7%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 10, 2026 −16.9%Enter above C$35.06 (+14.6%)35% 22/62+10.0% / +5.7%−48.9% / −92.7%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJun 9, 2026 −20.8%Enter above C$86.13 (+181.7%)38% 19/50+17.6% / +5.6%−40.1% / −92.5%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 −15.9%Not on one close34% 33/98+5.2% / +8.8%−78.9% / −92.7%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −0.4%Exit below C$30.03 (−1.8%)33% 39/118+2.2% / +5.7%−75.8% / −92.7%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +10.5%Exit below C$29.88 (−2.3%)36% 62/171+9.4% / +8.8%−56.7% / −92.7%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$29.84 (−2.4%)32% 49/153+12.1% / +8.3%−55.3% / −92.7%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$28.99 (−5.2%)40% 52/131+20.5% / +8.8%−67.7% / −92.7%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Exit below C$24.25 (−20.7%)36% 76/212+3.4% / +6.8%−89.3% / −92.7%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$30.45 (−0.4%)28% 74/261+11.7% / +7.9%−62.5% / −92.7%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −3.1%Not on one close29% 36/124+1.4% / +8.8%−47.5% / −92.7%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −3.1%Not on one close38% 50/130+4.0% / +5.7%−45.6% / −92.7%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −5.7%Enter above C$33.89 (+10.8%)35% 188/543+6.0% / +7.6%−92.1% / −92.7%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTNov 6, 2024 +350.4%Not on one close67% 8/12+1.8% / +5.8%−15.1% / −91.2%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINNov 30, 2022 +919.3%Exit below C$20.80 (−32.0%)30% 7/23+8.8% / +10.5%−73.3% / −90.3%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINNov 30, 2022 +919.3%Not on one close33% 7/21+8.6% / +10.5%−77.4% / −90.3%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINApr 30, 2025 +360.5%Exit below C$23.13 (−24.4%)30% 8/27+6.5% / +10.5%−65.4% / −90.3%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJul 16, 2026 −8.4%Not on one close21% 24/116+6.9% / +5.6%−60.3% / −92.5%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −6.1%Enter above C$45.27 (+48.0%)38% 9/24+6.4% / +11.6%−63.5% / −90.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJul 17, 2026 −6.8%Enter above C$35.89 (+17.4%)34% 26/77+15.0% / +5.1%−59.1% / −91.7%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +19.7%Exit below C$30.92 (+1.1%)31% 122/391−2.5% / +6.8%−94.7% / −92.7%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +1.1%Enter above C$31.68 (+3.6%)26% 175/672+2.5% / +6.8%−91.7% / −92.7%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 9, 2026 +20.6%Exit below C$19.12 (−37.5%)37% 96/257−0.8% / +6.3%−92.8% / −92.7%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINOct 31, 2022 +1,195.8%Not on one close60% 6/10+17.5% / +10.3%−79.5% / −90.3%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −3.1%Enter above C$33.94 (+11.0%)34% 129/384+14.3% / +8.8%−50.1% / −92.7%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 11, 2026 +14.1%Not on one close38% 78/203+5.7% / +5.6%−86.2% / −92.5%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +2.3%Exit below C$19.39 (−36.6%)30% 43/143+13.9% / +5.6%−59.9% / −92.5%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Exit below C$30.19 (−1.3%)42% 27/65+17.3% / +10.5%−59.0% / −90.3%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINNov 30, 2022 +919.3%Not on one close42% 8/19+10.9% / +9.6%−77.4% / −90.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINFeb 29, 2024 +595.0%Not on one close27% 4/15+7.8% / +10.5%−62.9% / −90.3%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +17.8%Exit below C$23.42 (−23.4%)35% 85/243+5.1% / +6.6%−72.3% / −90.4%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −5.7%Not on one close47% 15/32−8.5% / +8.0%−93.0% / −92.7%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close60% 123/206+2.5% / +11.3%−30.4% / −90.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 +17.8%Not on one close60% 157/262+2.2% / +11.3%−55.8% / −90.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 +14.1%Buy below C$24.50 (−19.9%)65% 101/156−1.9% / +8.8%−87.1% / −92.7%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +5.0%Not on one close57% 69/120−7.0% / +8.9%−94.3% / −92.7%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +21.5%Not on one close57% 119/208−1.1% / +8.1%−86.9% / −92.7%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Not on one close52% 30/58−5.5% / +6.8%−89.5% / −92.7%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINOct 7, 2008 +552.0%Sell above C$76.26 (+149.4%)–+11.3% / +11.3%−90.3% / −90.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTJun 2, 2026 −31.9%Not on one close62% 21/34+4.1% / +6.6%−19.4% / −90.4%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +1.1%Not on one close47% 133/282+2.3% / +5.7%−92.0% / −92.7%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +21.5%Enter above C$31.01 (+1.4%)57% 208/364+4.4% / +5.7%−72.9% / −92.7%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +1.1%Buy below C$30.58 (0.0%)55% 835/1512+1.7% / +8.0%−76.3% / −92.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +10.5%Not on one close45% 25/56−3.7% / +11.3%−69.5% / −90.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −3.1%Enter above C$35.52 (+16.2%)37% 327/8920.0% / +6.8%−93.4% / −92.7%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Buy below C$30.93 (+1.1%)59% 65/110−1.6% / +7.8%−93.7% / −92.7%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +15.9%Not on one close29% 138/479+9.6% / +8.8%−85.3% / −92.7%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −0.4%Not on one close44% 76/172+12.9% / +8.8%−78.4% / −92.7%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Not on one close54% 38/70−2.9% / +8.0%−93.1% / −92.7%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 +3.2%Enter above C$34.53 (+12.9%)34% 43/125+5.1% / +11.2%−89.4% / −90.3%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +15.9%Exit below C$29.65 (−3.0%)32% 144/446+10.1% / +7.7%−74.8% / −92.7%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +15.9%Exit below C$24.73 (−19.1%)33% 109/328+6.6% / +8.8%−81.2% / −92.7%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −5.7%Enter above C$30.58 (+0.0%)39% 153/394+7.6% / +8.8%−82.6% / −92.7%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.3%Not on one close39% 24/61+12.6% / +9.8%−65.7% / −90.3%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −3.1%Not on one close38% 240/640+2.4% / +6.1%−90.9% / −92.5%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 +1.3%Not on one close57% 75/132+11.8% / +7.7%−73.3% / −92.7%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINSep 28, 2026 −0.4%Exit below C$28.60 (−6.5%)30% 22/73−0.5% / +8.2%−81.3% / −92.7%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 +2.7%Not on one close50% 21/42+2.4% / +8.6%−39.2% / −92.7%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −6.7%Buys Oct 3057% 21/37+14.6% / +8.0%−70.7% / −92.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 16, 2026 −9.2%Enter above C$34.44 (+12.6%)61% 23/38+18.8% / +6.8%−73.4% / −92.7%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 −12.1%Window opens Oct 1655% 21/38+13.7% / +6.8%−75.7% / −92.7%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +64.4%Buys Dec 2368% 25/37+8.0% / +8.0%−19.0% / −92.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −8.0%Buys Oct 2951% 229/452+9.7% / +8.0%−59.7% / −92.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +0.9%Sells Jun 3044% 4/9+1.2% / +8.0%−71.7% / −92.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +19.7%Buys Nov 2450% 167/336+7.2% / +8.0%−14.9% / −92.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +950.9%Not on one close44% 8/18+10.0% / +6.8%−84.6% / −92.7%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1647% 919/1963−2.5% / +8.0%−96.0% / −92.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +24.3%Buys Oct 2746% 137/298−1.9% / +8.0%−51.4% / −92.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −7.6%Sells Oct 1652% 244/465+11.3% / +8.0%−72.9% / −92.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINDec 20, 2007Always in–+9.5%−92.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate4 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up2/2
  • It fell about 2.6× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It is up 349% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Nov 2020

VNP−50%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to May 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2022

VNP−55%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.82Moves about 0.8× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−183%In months the TSX fell, this fell -183% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+349%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−36%
  • Debt to equity0.54×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover7.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Specialty Chemicals · 5N Plus Inc. produces and sells specialty semiconductors and performance materials in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers semiconductor compounds, semiconductor wafers, metals, epitaxial semiconductor substrates, ultra-high purity metals, space solar cells, and assemblies. The company also provides active pharmaceutical ingredients, specialized chemicals, commercial grade metals, alloys, engineered powders, and recycling services.

Size and valuation
Market capC$2.8BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$447MTotal sales.
P/E ratio32.2×Buyers pay C$32 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E25.0×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book8.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin14.1%Keeps 14¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+28.4%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+28.7%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity30.9%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$95.0MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$199MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$107MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$55.4MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.54×Moderate.
Interest cover7.9×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$45.7149% above the close, from 8 analysts (range C$37.18 to C$57.07).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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