Energy & power

Vermilion Energy (VET)

C$17.43 +3.1% on the day·+70.8% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy63 / 100

Buy: 63 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+13% vs 200-day) scores 79 and lifts it; Plays in (50%) scores 50 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	VET	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	50%	50	40	20.0
Off the high	−11% from its 1-year high	64	30	19.2
Trend	+13% vs 200-day	79	30	23.7

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Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for VET

Factor	VET	Points	What it is
Plays in	50%	50	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+19% · 11 analysts	56	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	2.3 · buy	36	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	loss	0	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	16.1×	50	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	–	–	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales	1.4×	79	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	1.2×	90	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	3.2%	73	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	–	–	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth	+23%	68	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	−24%	6	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	−19%	8	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.63×	44	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−11% from its 1-year high	64	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+13% vs 200-day	79	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+71%	86	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	4/10 · moderate	60	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on VET

50 of the 100 plays hold VET right now.
The breakout plays mostly say out.
It closed 13% above its 200-day average and 11% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads moderate: it operating profit doesn't cover its interest.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$20.82, 19% above the close (11 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in50 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureModerate4 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.13×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+13%). Higher than on 72% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about VET now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn VET: right 14 of 36 · Out since Apr 15, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn VET: right 52 of 127 · Out since Sep 22, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn VET: right 11 of 18 · In since Feb 27, 2026 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn VET: right 110 of 174 · Out since Oct 9, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn VET: right 22 of 34 · Out since Jul 24, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn VET: right 73 of 130 · In since Apr 16, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn VET: right 22 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

VET, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved VET lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Sep 21−5.0% against the S&P/TSX1.5× a normal day

VET −4.5%, the S&P/TSX +0.6% that session; −6.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on VET was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for VET starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.6%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Wed Sep 16−5.6% against the S&P/TSX1.7× a normal day

VET −5.8%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −14.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on VET was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for VET starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 1+4.4% against the S&P/TSX1.3× a normal day

VET +3.2%, the S&P/TSX −1.2% that session; +1.5% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on VET was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for VET starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.2%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on VET

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following17 of 30 in Breakouts & channels1 of 15 in Momentum11 of 17 in Mean reversion10 of 15 in Volume & money flow5 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on VET went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.83 (−3.5%)	30% 185/620	+6.3% / +4.7%	−69.2% / −95.3%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +5.3%	Exit below C$15.71 (−9.9%)	30% 32/106	+8.9% / +4.7%	−53.5% / −95.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.65 (−4.5%)	26% 89/344	+6.3% / +4.7%	−56.8% / −95.3%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.89 (−3.1%)	18% 28/152	+4.6% / +4.7%	−42.8% / −95.3%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 14, 2026 +11.6%	Exit below C$16.12 (−7.5%)	37% 20/54	+14.2% / +4.7%	−41.0% / −95.3%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 14, 2026 +11.6%	Exit below C$16.12 (−7.5%)	28% 19/68	+11.8% / +4.7%	−35.7% / −95.3%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +5.3%	Exit below C$15.84 (−9.1%)	40% 12/30	+15.0% / +4.7%	−43.5% / −95.3%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Jul 21, 2026 +21.9%	Exit below C$15.41 (−11.6%)	19% 26/136	+12.2% / +4.7%	−51.9% / −95.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Oct 30, 2025 +74.0%	Not on one close	38% 10/26	+13.6% / +4.7%	−53.2% / −95.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Jul 21, 2026 +21.9%	Exit below C$15.41 (−11.6%)	20% 17/86	+13.2% / +4.7%	−41.3% / −95.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 +4.6%	Enter above C$18.85 (+8.1%)	34% 51/148	+4.6% / +4.7%	−62.0% / −95.3%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.78 (−3.7%)	27% 215/782	+6.8% / +4.7%	−70.1% / −95.3%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 17, 2026 −1.6%	Enter above C$20.70 (+18.8%)	36% 92/256	+6.8% / +4.7%	−70.2% / −95.3%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Nov 20, 2025 +42.3%	Not on one close	31% 8/26	+8.3% / +4.2%	−56.1% / −95.3%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +8.8%	Enter above C$17.04 (−2.2%)	24% 33/139	+3.5% / +4.7%	−62.2% / −95.3%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Jul 30, 2026 +8.9%	Exit below C$15.32 (−12.1%)	28% 32/114	+7.1% / +4.7%	−66.0% / −95.3%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$17.86 (+2.5%)	39% 61/156	+6.7% / +4.7%	−75.4% / −95.3%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +3.9%	Not on one close	39% 118/305	+2.6% / +4.7%	−57.6% / −95.3%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +3.1%	Exit below C$15.49 (−11.1%)	34% 187/544	+4.7% / +4.7%	−70.5% / −95.3%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 +5.8%	Enter above C$19.02 (+9.1%)	37% 79/214	+6.7% / +4.7%	−60.4% / −95.3%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.02 (−8.1%)	42% 199/472	+6.7% / +4.7%	−65.7% / −95.3%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Not on one close	32% 45/140	−0.3% / +4.7%	−67.1% / −95.3%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +6.5%	Enter above C$17.30 (−0.8%)	30% 57/187	+6.5% / +4.7%	−51.3% / −95.3%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 +6.2%	Enter above C$17.07 (−2.1%)	33% 87/261	−0.8% / +4.7%	−77.0% / −95.3%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 +5.8%	Enter above C$17.32 (−0.6%)	32% 73/227	+5.6% / +4.7%	−57.1% / −95.3%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$17.51 (+0.5%)	38% 93/244	+5.3% / +4.7%	−62.7% / −95.3%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$16.69 (−4.3%)	32% 54/168	+6.6% / +4.7%	−50.9% / −95.3%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Aug 4, 2026 +13.2%	Exit below C$13.12 (−24.8%)	27% 29/108	+4.9% / +4.7%	−63.2% / −95.3%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −0.5%	Not on one close	35% 76/218	+4.9% / +4.7%	−57.6% / −95.3%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Apr 15, 2026 +5.1%	Not on one close	39% 14/36	+0.2% / +4.7%	−15.9% / −95.3%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 +6.5%	Enter above C$18.97 (+8.8%)	37% 48/129	+6.0% / +4.7%	−60.3% / −95.3%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$19.02 (+9.1%)	32% 45/140	+3.6% / +4.7%	−49.1% / −95.3%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 +6.5%	Enter above C$19.02 (+9.1%)	32% 30/95	+1.9% / +4.7%	−56.4% / −95.3%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$18.72 (+7.4%)	24% 23/94	+3.0% / +4.7%	−51.8% / −95.3%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +8.8%	Not on one close	39% 41/104	+3.3% / +4.7%	−50.3% / −95.3%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −0.5%	Enter above C$18.16 (+4.2%)	27% 45/164	−0.7% / +4.7%	−69.3% / −95.3%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above C$17.85 (+2.4%)	32% 67/210	+6.4% / +4.7%	−48.1% / −95.3%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$18.72 (+7.4%)	35% 66/186	+7.8% / +4.7%	−49.0% / −95.3%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$17.69 (+1.5%)	34% 64/190	+3.1% / +4.7%	−70.8% / −95.3%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 +6.5%	Enter above C$19.12 (+9.7%)	41% 52/127	+9.4% / +4.7%	−61.7% / −95.3%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$17.44 (+0.1%)	28% 98/345	+6.5% / +4.7%	−61.7% / −95.3%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Sep 3, 2026 −2.2%	Not on one close	23% 43/188	−2.2% / +4.7%	−51.6% / −95.3%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Feb 6, 2026 +28.2%	Not on one close	34% 48/140	−1.1% / +4.7%	−48.3% / −95.3%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.71 (−4.1%)	34% 239/712	+5.3% / +4.7%	−66.0% / −95.3%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.1%	Not on one close	29% 12/42	+1.1% / +4.7%	−24.5% / −95.3%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +21.9%	Exit below C$10.50 (−39.8%)	56% 10/18	+10.6% / +4.3%	−57.3% / −95.3%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +21.9%	Not on one close	61% 11/18	+11.6% / +4.3%	−55.6% / −95.3%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +21.9%	Exit below C$11.67 (−33.0%)	44% 14/32	+9.7% / +4.3%	−53.7% / −95.3%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 −2.2%	Exit below C$15.70 (−9.9%)	18% 31/170	+3.7% / +4.7%	−48.2% / −95.3%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	May 29, 2026 +16.4%	Enter above C$18.54 (+6.4%)	53% 8/15	+10.7% / +4.7%	−50.0% / −95.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +4.6%	Exit below C$16.53 (−5.2%)	28% 30/106	+10.1% / +4.7%	−48.5% / −95.3%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$16.23 (−6.9%)	38% 159/421	+8.8% / +4.7%	−71.7% / −95.3%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.83 (−3.5%)	32% 243/770	+0.6% / +4.7%	−77.5% / −95.3%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 −2.2%	Enter above C$18.87 (+8.3%)	38% 113/298	+4.9% / +4.7%	−74.8% / −95.3%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2025 +60.6%	Not on one close	65% 11/17	+12.9% / +2.4%	−60.9% / −95.3%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above C$17.44 (+0.0%)	30% 177/590	+4.1% / +4.7%	−49.5% / −95.3%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above C$24.21 (+38.9%)	39% 103/266	+3.3% / +4.7%	−76.2% / −95.3%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +6.5%	Enter above C$17.39 (−0.2%)	29% 53/185	+5.3% / +4.7%	−51.8% / −95.3%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +5.3%	Exit below C$15.93 (−8.6%)	42% 33/78	+9.2% / +4.3%	−49.9% / −95.3%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +21.9%	Not on one close	61% 11/18	+7.4% / +1.9%	−55.6% / −95.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +21.9%	Not on one close	40% 8/20	+4.9% / +4.3%	−55.6% / −95.3%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.1%	Enter above C$18.05 (+3.6%)	36% 114/314	+5.6% / +4.7%	−73.9% / −95.3%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Jun 30, 2026 +32.3%	Not on one close	51% 18/35	−0.7% / +4.7%	−92.9% / −95.3%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +5.6%	Not on one close	58% 173/300	+3.9% / +4.7%	−25.4% / −95.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +4.2%	Buy C$15.41–C$16.46 (−5.6%)	61% 215/352	+6.0% / +4.7%	−41.2% / −95.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +3.1%	Buy below C$15.65 (−10.2%)	63% 110/174	−2.1% / +4.7%	−91.7% / −95.3%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +3.9%	Not on one close	67% 107/159	+2.0% / +4.7%	−92.7% / −95.3%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +3.9%	Exit below C$17.18 (−1.4%)	65% 182/280	−1.9% / +4.7%	−90.9% / −95.3%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Jun 17, 2026 +22.4%	Not on one close	56% 45/81	+3.0% / +4.7%	−90.6% / −95.3%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +190.3%	Sell above C$37.24 (+113.7%)	–	+4.7% / +4.7%	−95.3% / −95.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Oct 23, 2025 +69.7%	Not on one close	57% 23/40	+0.6% / +4.7%	−65.4% / −95.3%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +4.6%	Exit below C$17.10 (−1.9%)	49% 152/313	−1.4% / +4.7%	−88.1% / −95.3%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 +5.6%	Exit below C$17.18 (−1.5%)	59% 249/422	−0.1% / +4.7%	−89.6% / −95.3%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +8.8%	Buy below C$17.43 (0.0%)	56% 987/1778	−8.4% / +4.7%	−94.2% / −95.3%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 +5.8%	Sell above C$17.36 (−0.4%)	62% 54/87	+8.2% / +4.7%	−34.6% / −95.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 1, 2026 +5.6%	Exit below C$16.29 (−6.5%)	39% 402/1038	+11.2% / +4.7%	−60.2% / −95.3%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +7.7%	Sell above C$16.52 (−5.2%)	61% 78/128	+2.3% / +4.7%	−91.8% / −95.3%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Not on one close	28% 215/774	−1.7% / +4.7%	−80.2% / −95.3%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.1%	Not on one close	43% 81/189	+6.9% / +4.7%	−48.0% / −95.3%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Jul 24, 2026 +10.5%	Not on one close	65% 22/34	−0.6% / +4.7%	−93.3% / −95.3%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	OUT	Feb 5, 2026 +34.4%	Enter above C$21.35 (+22.5%)	32% 53/165	−1.7% / +4.7%	−78.6% / −95.3%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Exit below C$16.37 (−6.1%)	29% 210/722	+4.0% / +4.7%	−70.7% / −95.3%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +4.2%	Enter above C$15.59 (−10.6%)	36% 130/360	+6.6% / +4.7%	−68.4% / −95.3%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$17.43 (0.0%)	38% 223/585	+2.8% / +4.7%	−71.4% / −95.3%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Jan 20, 2026 +46.3%	Not on one close	37% 41/112	+6.1% / +4.7%	−72.9% / −95.3%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +5.9%	Not on one close	38% 370/967	+9.0% / +4.7%	−76.3% / −95.3%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	IN	Apr 16, 2026 +3.7%	Exit below C$17.01 (−2.4%)	56% 73/130	−3.6% / +4.7%	−91.3% / −95.3%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 +8.8%	Not on one close	40% 37/93	+12.4% / +4.7%	−62.9% / −95.3%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +3.3%	Not on one close	43% 32/74	+2.9% / +4.7%	−21.8% / −95.3%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −3.4%	Buys Oct 30	51% 22/43	+6.2% / +4.7%	−88.4% / −95.3%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +5.6%	Window opens Apr 1	57% 25/44	+7.1% / +4.7%	−88.4% / −95.3%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 20, 2026 +11.0%	Window opens Oct 16	53% 23/43	+4.0% / +4.7%	−89.0% / −95.3%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +59.3%	Buys Dec 23	55% 24/44	+4.4% / +4.7%	−16.3% / −95.3%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +4.2%	Buys Oct 29	49% 259/526	+0.6% / +4.7%	−60.2% / −95.3%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +7.7%	Sells Jun 30	27% 3/11	−1.3% / +4.7%	−69.2% / −95.3%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −1.2%	Buys Nov 24	51% 196/386	+4.0% / +4.7%	−9.7% / −95.3%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 −17.4%	Not on one close	55% 11/20	0.0% / +4.7%	−82.2% / −95.3%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	52% 1179/2284	+7.3% / +4.7%	−87.1% / −95.3%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −1.1%	Buys Oct 27	48% 166/348	+4.6% / +4.7%	−9.0% / −95.3%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +4.6%	Sells Oct 16	50% 269/541	+2.6% / +4.7%	−77.6% / −95.3%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+4.7%	−95.3%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureModerate4 of 10 points

Market swings1/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt3/3
Run-up0/2

It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Feb 2009 · back to its old high May 2009

VET−38%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jan 2022

VET−87%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jan 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2022

VET1%

TSX−14%

Beta0.47Moves about 0.5× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture216%In months the TSX fell, this fell 216% as much on average.
Two-year change+34%
From 52-week high−11%
Debt to equity0.61×
Net debt / EBITDA1.3×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover−1.4×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Oil & Gas E&P · Vermilion Energy Inc., engages in petroleum and natural gas, focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and optimization of producing properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. Its properties are located in the West Pembina region of West Central Alberta, Canada; southwest Bordeaux and Paris Basin in France; the Netherlands; Germany; Ireland; Croatia; Slovakia; Hungary; and Australia. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$2.7B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	C$1.8B	Total sales. The market values it at 1.4× sales.
P/E ratio	n/a	Lost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E	16.1×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book	1.2×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	−24.3%	Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth	+23.1%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Return on equity	−18.5%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	C$872M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	C$2.2B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	C$1.4B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	C$81.8M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.61×	Moderate.
Interest cover	−1.4×	Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$20.82	19% above the close, from 11 analysts (range C$17.00 to C$27.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	3.19%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

VET: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Energy & power: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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