Oct 13 close Sign in

Metals & mining

Americas Gold and Silver (USA)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell10 / 100

Sell: 10 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (23%) scores 23 and lifts it; Off the high (−58% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightUSAPointsWeightAdds
Plays in23%23409.2
Off the high−58% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−29% vs 200-day4301.2
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for USA
FactorUSAPointsWhat it is
Plays in23%23The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside––How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.3 · strong buy83The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E12.8×70Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales7.5×22Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book4.6×35Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+72%91Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin−26%5Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity−27%7Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.20×75Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−58% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−29% vs 200-day4How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−1%33The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure10/10 · very high0The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on USA

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in23 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureVery high10 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.71×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−29%). Higher than on 22% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about USA now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved USA lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 17+9.5% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

USA +10.6%, the S&P/TSX +1.1% that session; +6.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on USA was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for USA starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.1%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on USA

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on USA went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.2%Enter above C$6.45 (+12.4%)26% 159/608−1.6% / −7.6%−85.4% / −99.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −17.8%Enter above C$7.03 (+22.5%)27% 26/96+12.7% / −7.6%−77.9% / −99.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.2%Enter above C$6.71 (+16.9%)22% 84/390+2.7% / −7.6%−76.3% / −99.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTMar 13, 2026 −43.2%Not on one close16% 26/158+1.3% / −7.6%−80.6% / −99.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 5, 2026 −16.1%Enter above C$22.68 (+295.1%)24% 21/86+6.8% / −7.6%−84.9% / −99.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 5, 2026 −16.1%Enter above C$8.51 (+48.3%)25% 18/72+10.2% / −7.6%−73.2% / −99.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −14.5%Enter above C$8.09 (+40.9%)45% 18/40+8.1% / −7.6%−87.9% / −99.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJun 18, 2026 −24.4%Enter above C$8.10 (+41.2%)13% 22/170+3.9% / −7.6%−94.0% / −99.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 −7.7%Not on one close45% 17/38+1.8% / −7.6%−97.0% / −99.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJun 18, 2026 −24.4%Enter above C$18.42 (+220.9%)22% 13/60+12.9% / −7.6%−66.6% / −99.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −8.9%Enter above C$8.46 (+47.4%)38% 53/141+7.9% / −7.6%−80.1% / −99.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.2%Enter above C$6.42 (+11.9%)23% 183/808−10.5% / −7.6%−98.1% / −99.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −14.1%Enter above C$9.33 (+62.5%)36% 85/236−2.8% / −7.6%−92.3% / −99.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$7.10 (+23.7%)38% 9/24+7.8% / −6.5%−74.8% / −99.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −13.2%Enter above C$10.95 (+90.8%)26% 35/134+3.0% / −7.6%−70.5% / −99.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.0%Not on one close33% 36/110+7.2% / −7.6%−70.8% / −99.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −12.0%Enter above C$6.92 (+20.6%)36% 54/148−4.9% / −7.6%−96.3% / −99.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −10.5%Not on one close36% 91/256+6.1% / −7.6%−74.8% / −99.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.2%Enter above C$7.90 (+37.6%)35% 183/526+6.0% / −7.6%−90.2% / −99.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −14.1%Enter above C$7.57 (+31.9%)39% 87/224+8.4% / −7.6%−86.0% / −99.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.0%Enter above C$6.55 (+14.1%)39% 161/410+4.3% / −7.6%−89.7% / −99.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −18.6%Not on one close36% 59/162+11.7% / −7.6%−73.6% / −99.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −13.2%Enter above C$9.40 (+63.8%)33% 55/168+10.5% / −7.6%−71.3% / −99.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −17.8%Enter above C$6.47 (+12.7%)34% 128/373+9.7% / −7.6%−81.8% / −99.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −14.1%Buy C$8.17–C$21.49 (+42.3%)31% 65/210+10.4% / −7.6%−83.3% / −99.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −18.6%Enter above C$7.42 (+29.3%)35% 81/230−14.6% / −7.6%−99.7% / −99.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −13.2%Enter above C$9.07 (+58.1%)31% 55/178+6.4% / −7.6%−76.8% / −99.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.0%Enter above C$11.14 (+94.0%)31% 30/98+6.4% / −7.6%−73.6% / −99.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −17.8%Not on one close40% 68/168+8.4% / −7.6%−69.1% / −99.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTMar 18, 2026 −36.1%Not on one close47% 18/38−1.1% / −7.6%−55.9% / −99.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −14.1%Enter above C$7.48 (+30.3%)40% 41/102+2.6% / −7.6%−84.8% / −99.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTFeb 5, 2026 −36.6%Enter above C$7.55 (+31.5%)30% 32/108+1.4% / −7.6%−68.2% / −99.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTMar 18, 2026 −36.1%Enter above C$8.14 (+41.8%)33% 23/70+5.9% / −7.6%−73.7% / −99.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMar 12, 2026 −47.6%Enter above C$21.24 (+270.1%)29% 22/76+1.0% / −7.6%−77.3% / −99.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −17.8%Not on one close39% 41/106+3.8% / −7.6%−82.0% / −99.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −18.0%Enter above C$7.55 (+31.6%)30% 44/146−3.5% / −7.6%−82.1% / −99.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −18.0%Enter above C$7.53 (+31.3%)35% 70/200+2.8% / −7.6%−76.8% / −99.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −14.1%Enter above C$7.42 (+29.3%)39% 69/178+2.7% / −7.6%−82.6% / −99.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −14.1%Enter above C$6.81 (+18.6%)29% 60/206−14.1% / −7.6%−99.4% / −99.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −17.8%Enter above C$6.43 (+12.1%)39% 125/322+13.8% / −7.6%−82.6% / −99.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −14.1%Enter above C$6.65 (+15.9%)27% 91/338−3.6% / −7.6%−95.5% / −99.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 −16.6%Not on one close24% 40/164−5.5% / −7.6%−82.5% / −99.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −28.9%Not on one close30% 42/138−5.5% / −7.6%−79.1% / −99.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.0%Enter above C$6.37 (+11.0%)32% 185/586+2.1% / −7.6%−83.8% / −99.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 29, 2025 +79.4%Not on one close42% 17/40+4.5% / −7.6%−32.0% / −99.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINOct 31, 2024 +258.8%Exit below C$5.79 (+0.8%)48% 10/21+8.4% / −5.6%−79.7% / −99.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINOct 31, 2024 +258.8%Not on one close35% 8/23+2.2% / −5.6%−95.7% / −99.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINOct 31, 2024 +258.8%Exit below C$6.43 (+12.1%)42% 8/19+10.0% / −5.6%−76.2% / −99.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJan 22, 2026 −51.0%Not on one close24% 18/76+1.7% / −7.6%−88.9% / −99.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −20.9%Enter above C$13.03 (+127.1%)31% 5/160.0% / −7.6%−64.5% / −99.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTApr 24, 2026 −28.2%Enter above C$7.52 (+30.9%)26% 25/96+10.3% / −7.6%−72.8% / −99.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −18.0%Enter above C$6.83 (+18.9%)33% 140/428−2.8% / −7.6%−95.8% / −99.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.2%Enter above C$6.28 (+9.4%)29% 216/752−3.2% / −7.6%−92.8% / −99.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −22.7%Enter above C$9.38 (+63.5%)31% 106/344−11.8% / −7.6%−99.4% / −99.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJul 31, 2024 +575.3%Not on one close50% 10/20+5.2% / −7.1%−95.7% / −99.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −23.9%Enter above C$7.78 (+35.5%)29% 143/490+10.0% / −7.6%−57.8% / −99.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 −22.2%Enter above C$12.87 (+124.2%)35% 92/266−7.6% / −7.6%−97.9% / −99.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −13.2%Enter above C$9.53 (+65.9%)35% 56/162+9.8% / −7.6%−73.9% / −99.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −8.0%Enter above C$6.11 (+6.4%)36% 28/78+10.2% / −5.6%−79.2% / −99.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINOct 31, 2024 +258.8%Not on one close27% 6/22−2.9% / −10.5%−95.7% / −99.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINFeb 28, 2025 +237.6%Not on one close43% 9/21+2.3% / −5.6%−85.6% / −99.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 −22.2%Enter above C$7.68 (+33.8%)30% 101/332−7.2% / −7.6%−97.4% / −99.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINMar 23, 2026 −29.0%Not on one close44% 14/32−17.3% / −7.6%−99.0% / −99.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 25, 2026 −31.8%Not on one close53% 111/210+2.5% / −7.6%−69.2% / −99.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJun 15, 2026 −28.7%Not on one close61% 182/300+4.1% / −7.6%−81.2% / −99.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 −22.6%Buy below C$5.48 (−4.5%)64% 112/176−2.0% / −7.6%−94.4% / −99.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 16, 2026 −10.5%Not on one close59% 88/148−13.3% / −7.6%−99.5% / −99.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 2, 2026 −23.3%Not on one close63% 181/288−9.2% / −7.6%−98.1% / −99.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −9.0%Not on one close59% 37/63−9.8% / −7.6%−97.4% / −99.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINMar 3, 2026 −53.3%Sell above C$19.58 (+241.2%)83% 5/6−6.3% / −7.6%−99.0% / −99.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTFeb 3, 2026 −44.9%Not on one close61% 33/54+1.9% / −7.6%−58.6% / −99.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 8, 2026 −19.7%Not on one close48% 162/335−9.9% / −7.6%−99.3% / −99.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −7.7%Not on one close53% 226/430−18.8% / −7.6%−99.5% / −99.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −4.7%Buy below C$5.74 (0.0%)57% 1217/2150+56.0% / −7.6%−55.2% / −99.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTApr 16, 2026 −35.0%Not on one close58% 36/62+3.5% / −7.6%−74.2% / −99.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −7.7%Exit below C$6.00 (+4.6%)37% 383/1024+11.5% / −7.6%−82.0% / −99.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −8.0%Sell above C$6.37 (+10.9%)59% 80/136−6.4% / −7.6%−98.6% / −99.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 18, 2026 −20.6%Not on one close27% 156/581−4.5% / −7.6%−88.9% / −99.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −19.7%Not on one close34% 76/226−12.2% / −7.6%−98.6% / −99.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINApr 1, 2026 −26.3%Not on one close55% 39/71−11.5% / −7.6%−97.7% / −99.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINMay 21, 2026 −27.2%Not on one close32% 31/97−3.7% / −7.8%−96.5% / −99.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −10.0%Enter above C$6.32 (+10.1%)27% 149/554−3.6% / −7.6%−94.1% / −99.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −18.6%Enter above C$9.63 (+67.8%)31% 125/402−5.4% / −7.6%−95.5% / −99.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −16.2%Not on one close30% 164/540−20.8% / −7.6%−99.8% / −99.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINSep 21, 2026 −18.9%Not on one close38% 40/105+9.8% / −7.3%−93.4% / −99.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −13.2%Buy C$5.84–C$6.36 (+1.7%)32% 268/828−3.3% / −7.6%−93.5% / −99.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTJul 24, 2026 +2.5%Enter above C$6.03 (+5.1%)49% 54/110−8.5% / −7.6%−91.9% / −99.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTJun 5, 2026 −16.1%Not on one close45% 21/47+6.0% / −7.6%−70.6% / −99.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 16, 2026 +9.3%Not on one close44% 15/34−0.1% / −7.6%−35.4% / −99.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −26.2%Buys Oct 3049% 21/43+5.0% / −7.6%−93.3% / −99.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 −25.9%Enter above C$6.24 (+8.8%)49% 21/43+1.0% / −7.6%−94.1% / −99.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTMay 20, 2026 −25.0%Window opens Oct 1647% 20/43−2.8% / −7.6%−96.2% / −99.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −19.4%Buys Dec 2364% 28/44+11.2% / −7.6%−21.9% / −99.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −9.0%Buys Oct 2952% 274/526+18.0% / −7.6%−60.5% / −99.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −8.0%Sells Jun 3045% 5/11+2.7% / −7.6%−62.4% / −99.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −22.7%Buys Nov 2449% 189/386+9.6% / −7.6%−14.1% / −99.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +198.2%Not on one close45% 9/20+1.3% / −7.6%−97.1% / −99.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1645% 1038/2284−6.4% / −7.6%−97.0% / −99.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −10.5%Buys Oct 2749% 169/348+4.6% / −7.6%−26.9% / −99.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −8.9%Sells Oct 1649% 265/541+2.7% / −7.6%−90.1% / −99.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–−7.6%−99.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureVery high10 of 10 points
  • Market swings3/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up2/2
  • It moves about 2.9× its index.
  • It fell about 2.2× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.
  • It is up 317% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Dec 2008 · back to its old high Apr 2011

USA−87%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jul 2020

USA−52%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Jun 2025

USA−49%
TSX−14%
  • Beta2.85Moves about 2.9× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture374%In months the TSX fell, this fell 374% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+317%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−58%
  • Debt to equity0.27×
  • Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
  • Interest cover−14.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · Americas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in the Americas. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and other by-products. The company was formerly known as Americas Silver Corporation and changed its name to Americas Gold and Silver Corporation in September 2019. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market capC$1.9BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$182MTotal sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E12.8×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book4.6×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−26.3%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth+72.1%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Return on equity−27.1%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−$81.6MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equity$222MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$58.7MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$88.9MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.27×Comfortable.
Interest cover−14.6×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$12.62120% above the close, from 8 analysts (range C$8.50 to C$15.00).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Read more

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

Email meTest a theory

Free account

Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.

Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.