Oct 13 close Sign in

Financials

Trisura Group (TSU)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell33 / 100

Sell: 33 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−17% from its 1-year high) scores 44 and lifts it; Plays in (25%) scores 25 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightTSUPointsWeightAdds
Plays in25%254010.0
Off the high−17% from its 1-year high443013.2
Trend−5% vs 200-day31309.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for TSU
FactorTSUPointsWhat it is
Plays in25%25The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+39% · 9 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating––The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E12.8×88Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E11.7×77Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales0.6×95Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book1.9×76Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+17%45Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+5%24Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin5%34Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity17%62Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.22×73Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−17% from its 1-year high44How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−5% vs 200-day31How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+8%41The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure2/10 · low80The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on TSU

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in25 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.95×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−5%). Higher than on 19% of days since 2018. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about TSU now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved TSU lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Oct 5−1.7% against the S&P/TSX1.1× a normal day

TSU −1.6%, the S&P/TSX +0.0% that session; −2.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

Fri Sep 11+3.1% against the S&P/TSX1.9× a normal day

TSU +3.7%, the S&P/TSX +0.5% that session; +3.9% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TSU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TSU starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.5%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 8+2.2% against the S&P/TSX1.4× a normal day

TSU +1.1%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; +3.5% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TSU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TSU starts Oct 5, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.9% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on TSU

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on TSU went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2017. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$41.31 (+0.0%)28% 68/245+15.9% / +22.8%−48.9% / −40.1%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 −1.1%Enter above C$42.41 (+2.7%)31% 14/45+15.7% / +24.6%−41.5% / −40.1%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$41.76 (+1.1%)25% 34/136+16.5% / +24.5%−45.5% / −40.1%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −6.7%Not on one close20% 9/46+16.1% / +25.4%−29.5% / −40.1%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 10, 2026 −5.4%Enter above C$54.08 (+30.9%)20% 7/35+17.3% / +24.7%−35.9% / −40.1%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTApr 24, 2026 −9.1%Enter above C$46.91 (+13.6%)15% 6/40+15.1% / +24.9%−32.2% / −40.1%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −0.9%Enter above C$42.78 (+3.6%)29% 5/17+19.1% / +24.2%−45.2% / −40.1%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −2.7%Enter above C$43.29 (+4.8%)15% 11/73+19.9% / +24.8%−34.3% / −40.1%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTAug 21, 2026 +1.0%Enter above C$151.48 (+266.8%)27% 3/11+17.0% / +24.8%−51.3% / −40.1%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −2.7%Enter above C$43.29 (+4.8%)15% 8/52+18.3% / +24.6%−34.3% / −40.1%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$42.43 (+2.7%)35% 18/52+19.3% / +24.5%−31.6% / −40.1%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$41.65 (+0.8%)27% 82/304+14.7% / +23.1%−44.1% / −40.1%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$42.26 (+2.3%)39% 33/84+24.1% / +25.7%−29.3% / −40.1%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$49.76 (+20.5%)14% 3/21+14.6% / +26.7%−58.5% / −40.1%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 −2.4%Enter above C$48.68 (+17.9%)26% 15/58+13.8% / +24.4%−41.1% / −40.1%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −0.9%Not on one close31% 15/48+12.4% / +23.8%−48.0% / −40.1%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTJul 23, 2026 −2.0%Enter above C$42.89 (+3.9%)34% 23/67+10.9% / +21.9%−51.0% / −40.1%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +1.2%Not on one close38% 44/117+16.1% / +21.9%−22.8% / −40.1%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$43.41 (+5.1%)38% 84/223+19.1% / +21.6%−44.5% / −40.1%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$43.87 (+6.2%)35% 28/81+20.8% / +22.1%−40.1% / −40.1%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$41.32 (+0.0%)35% 69/199+6.1% / +21.8%−60.1% / −40.1%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 21, 2026 −4.9%Not on one close28% 17/61+14.8% / +22.1%−21.8% / −40.1%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$44.84 (+8.6%)27% 21/78+13.5% / +23.6%−39.5% / −40.1%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$42.39 (+2.6%)30% 31/105+6.5% / +21.8%−55.6% / −40.1%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$42.66 (+3.3%)32% 31/97+16.7% / +23.6%−47.5% / −40.1%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −0.5%Enter above C$41.32 (+0.0%)35% 27/78+18.4% / +25.7%−41.2% / −40.1%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −1.1%Enter above C$44.57 (+7.9%)31% 21/68+13.6% / +24.5%−40.4% / −40.1%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −0.9%Enter above C$49.47 (+19.8%)27% 14/52+13.9% / +24.5%−41.8% / −40.1%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −1.1%Not on one close40% 24/60+22.7% / +24.9%−23.2% / −40.1%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 30, 2025 −2.9%Not on one close29% 7/24−0.3% / +23.6%−27.6% / −40.1%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTAug 10, 2026 +1.5%Enter above C$43.37 (+5.0%)42% 17/40+22.1% / +21.9%−33.8% / −40.1%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −6.7%Enter above C$43.37 (+5.0%)38% 21/56+14.2% / +23.6%−30.6% / −40.1%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTFeb 20, 2026 −11.3%Enter above C$44.50 (+7.7%)35% 12/34+15.9% / +23.6%−30.1% / −40.1%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTFeb 23, 2026 −8.8%Enter above C$64.31 (+55.7%)32% 12/38+14.8% / +24.5%−30.4% / −40.1%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTMar 6, 2026 −6.9%Enter above C$44.50 (+7.7%)29% 11/38+12.4% / +21.9%−44.9% / −40.1%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJul 10, 2026 −5.4%Enter above C$43.26 (+4.7%)26% 17/66+10.4% / +23.1%−31.3% / −40.1%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$43.37 (+5.0%)36% 32/90+11.9% / +21.9%−33.3% / −40.1%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +1.3%Enter above C$43.25 (+4.7%)39% 31/80+13.6% / +21.8%−57.8% / −40.1%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −3.9%Enter above C$42.55 (+3.0%)34% 24/71+14.8% / +21.9%−49.7% / −40.1%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTMar 9, 2026 −6.7%Enter above C$43.92 (+6.3%)39% 15/38+19.6% / +24.4%−34.6% / −40.1%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.8%Enter above C$42.19 (+2.2%)26% 36/140+11.1% / +22.6%−48.7% / −40.1%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 −9.6%Not on one close26% 19/74+3.6% / +21.9%−12.3% / −40.1%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJun 22, 2026 −1.5%Not on one close44% 24/54+8.9% / +23.1%−15.5% / −40.1%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$40.42 (−2.1%)35% 96/272+19.0% / +22.0%−42.3% / −40.1%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 30, 2025 −2.9%Not on one close28% 5/18+2.4% / +25.3%−8.4% / −40.1%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −0.6%Exit below C$40.08 (−3.0%)13% 2/15+14.1% / +26.3%−57.2% / −40.1%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJul 31, 2026 −0.9%Not on one close23% 3/13+15.5% / +26.3%−61.6% / −40.1%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTApr 30, 2026 −6.1%Enter above C$44.56 (+7.9%)33% 4/12+22.2% / +26.3%−42.9% / −40.1%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −1.6%Not on one close20% 13/66+3.3% / +24.5%−53.7% / −40.1%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMay 29, 2026 +0.9%Enter above C$47.14 (+14.1%)30% 3/10+16.4% / +24.9%−42.0% / −40.1%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTMay 1, 2026 −8.0%Enter above C$44.32 (+7.3%)21% 12/58+12.2% / +24.7%−41.0% / −40.1%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −1.1%Enter above C$41.31 (+0.0%)42% 71/169+14.6% / +23.6%−48.1% / −40.1%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$40.65 (−1.6%)29% 90/307+10.8% / +23.6%−44.8% / −40.1%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 +0.4%Enter above C$46.49 (+12.6%)42% 46/110+16.9% / +23.7%−43.2% / −40.1%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINNov 28, 2025 +1.4%Exit below C$25.72 (−37.7%)22% 2/9−3.3% / +26.9%−42.7% / −40.1%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −1.6%Enter above C$43.27 (+4.8%)37% 77/208+14.4% / +21.9%−37.7% / −40.1%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +1.2%Enter above C$48.59 (+17.6%)42% 40/95+18.1% / +24.5%−40.9% / −40.1%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$44.98 (+8.9%)27% 20/74+12.4% / +24.5%−40.5% / −40.1%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −0.9%Enter above C$41.17 (−0.3%)38% 12/32+26.5% / +26.3%−31.6% / −40.1%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINJul 31, 2026 −0.9%Not on one close25% 3/12−1.0% / +11.5%−61.6% / −40.1%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close33% 2/6+22.4% / +26.3%−40.1% / −40.1%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$42.12 (+2.0%)42% 42/100+23.7% / +25.7%−41.9% / −40.1%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 8, 2025 −6.6%Not on one close81% 13/16+10.6% / +21.6%−24.0% / −40.1%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 −5.9%Not on one close61% 75/122+6.5% / +24.8%−25.5% / −40.1%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 −5.9%Not on one close64% 97/152+10.9% / +24.8%−23.5% / −40.1%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 13, 2026 −3.4%Buy below C$39.62 (−4.1%)63% 43/68+1.9% / +21.9%−30.0% / −40.1%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINJul 24, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close62% 38/61+5.4% / +21.6%−40.1% / −40.1%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Not on one close63% 67/107+8.2% / +21.6%−43.1% / −40.1%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTJun 16, 2026 −3.1%Not on one close63% 19/30+9.5% / +22.1%−44.7% / −40.1%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINJul 19, 2018 +511.9%Sell above C$104.63 (+153.3%)–+24.8% / +24.8%−40.1% / −40.1%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTJan 14, 2025 +17.3%Not on one close33% 2/6+4.4% / +25.7%−2.9% / −40.1%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close46% 58/127+8.0% / +23.1%−42.4% / −40.1%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −1.1%Exit below C$41.11 (−0.5%)53% 90/171+16.0% / +23.1%−35.0% / −40.1%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +1.3%Buy below C$41.30 (0.0%)58% 477/822+5.9% / +22.4%−46.3% / −40.1%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJun 5, 2026 −2.4%Not on one close58% 22/38+9.1% / +24.8%−32.2% / −40.1%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close37% 167/451+10.9% / +23.6%−44.3% / −40.1%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINJul 31, 2026 −0.9%Sell above C$41.62 (+0.8%)56% 27/48+7.3% / +22.8%−48.2% / −40.1%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +1.3%Not on one close32% 87/272+15.4% / +21.9%−34.7% / −40.1%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −0.5%Enter above C$41.30 (+0.0%)39% 35/90+12.5% / +21.9%−42.1% / −40.1%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINApr 8, 2026 −9.6%Not on one close56% 15/27+3.2% / +21.6%−38.8% / −40.1%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTDec 18, 2024 +4.1%Not on one close36% 20/55+6.5% / +25.6%−23.1% / −40.1%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$41.04 (−0.6%)29% 77/267+6.6% / +22.1%−55.5% / −40.1%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 +0.8%Enter above C$45.47 (+10.1%)36% 54/151+14.5% / +21.9%−45.0% / −40.1%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$41.30 (0.0%)35% 73/207+16.0% / +21.9%−38.0% / −40.1%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTMay 7, 2026 −4.3%Not on one close35% 11/31+21.6% / +25.6%−36.0% / −40.1%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell C$39.80–C$41.04 (−0.6%)35% 116/328+8.4% / +23.8%−37.9% / −40.1%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINAug 21, 2026 +1.0%Exit below C$40.76 (−1.3%)49% 28/57+7.3% / +22.1%−31.4% / −40.1%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$40.23 (−2.6%)26% 12/47+7.2% / +22.2%−60.9% / −40.1%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 5, 2026 −2.4%Not on one close50% 8/16+4.4% / +21.8%−3.9% / −40.1%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −6.1%Buys Oct 3039% 7/18+6.2% / +22.4%−50.7% / −40.1%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Window opens Apr 132% 6/19+4.7% / +23.6%−53.4% / −40.1%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −6.7%Window opens Oct 1629% 5/17+8.5% / +23.6%−46.1% / −40.1%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −7.5%Buys Dec 2350% 9/18+3.7% / +22.4%−4.2% / −40.1%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +1.3%Buys Oct 2952% 112/216+12.2% / +22.4%−21.3% / −40.1%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +1.2%Sells Jun 3040% 2/5+4.5% / +22.4%−37.3% / −40.1%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −1.4%Buys Nov 2455% 91/166+8.8% / +22.4%−4.4% / −40.1%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 −8.8%Not on one close17% 1/6+3.5% / +23.6%−43.3% / −40.1%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1653% 502/941+28.8% / +22.4%−33.8% / −40.1%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −2.6%Buys Oct 2755% 78/142+6.4% / +22.4%−5.3% / −40.1%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −0.4%Sells Oct 1644% 99/223+2.3% / +22.4%−46.9% / −40.1%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINOct 3, 2017Always in–+22.6%−40.1%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow2 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It fell about 1.8× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jun 2020

TSU−31%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Mar 2022 · back to its old high Feb 2026

TSU−39%
TSX−14%
  • Beta1.03Moves about 1.0× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−34%In months the TSX fell, this fell -34% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change−6%
  • From 52-week high−17%
  • Debt to equity0.24×
  • Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
  • Interest cover38.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Insurance - Specialty · Trisura Group Ltd., a specialty insurance company, operates in the surety, warranty, corporate insurance, and program and fronting businesses in Canada and the United States. The company operates in two segments: Trisura Specialty and Trisura US Programs.

Size and valuation
Market capC$1.9BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$3.2BTotal sales. The market values it at 0.6× sales.
P/E ratio12.8×Buyers pay C$13 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E11.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book1.9×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin4.8%Keeps 5¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+4.7%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+17.1%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity16.9%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−C$88.8MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$925MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$222MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$687MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.24×Comfortable.
Interest cover38.6×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$57.3939% above the close, from 9 analysts (range C$51.00 to C$60.00).

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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