Oct 13 close Sign in

Energy & power

Tourmaline Oil (TOU)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy70 / 100

Buy: 70 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−5% from its 1-year high) scores 84 and lifts it; Trend (+5% vs 200-day) scores 61 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightTOUPointsWeightAdds
Plays in65%654026.0
Off the high−5% from its 1-year high843025.2
Trend+5% vs 200-day613018.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for TOU
FactorTOUPointsWhat it is
Plays in65%65The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+8% · 22 analysts40How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.4 · buy31The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E70.1×12Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E13.9×61Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.3293P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales5.3×35Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book1.6×84Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield3.3%76Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth−65%7Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+15%53Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin8%42Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity2%22Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.08×84Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−5% from its 1-year high84How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+5% vs 200-day61How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+13%49The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure0/10 · low100The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on TOU

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in65 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow0 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.05×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+5%). Higher than on 57% of days since 2011. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about TOU now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved TOU lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 16−4.7% against the S&P/TSX2.7× a normal day

TOU −5.0%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −8.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TOU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TOU starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 15+3.4% against the S&P/TSX2.0× a normal day

TOU +3.0%, the S&P/TSX −0.3% that session; −4.1% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TOU was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TOU starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on TOU

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on TOU went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2010. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$62.23 (−4.5%)29% 130/452+5.7% / +9.9%−54.6% / −87.7%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$61.27 (−6.0%)29% 22/76+9.1% / +7.8%−50.4% / −87.7%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$61.78 (−5.2%)25% 60/237+10.1% / +9.7%−47.9% / −87.7%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTDec 4, 2024 +11.2%Enter above C$136.96 (+110.1%)23% 18/78+9.4% / +9.1%−27.5% / −87.7%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 +7.1%Enter above C$71.10 (+9.1%)20% 10/49+7.1% / +7.4%−45.1% / −87.7%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTApr 10, 2026 +8.2%Enter above C$67.64 (+3.8%)24% 10/42+14.0% / +8.8%−29.9% / −87.7%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +7.0%Enter above C$62.40 (−4.3%)30% 8/27+10.6% / +7.8%−50.1% / −87.7%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$61.83 (−5.2%)14% 16/118+10.5% / +8.1%−48.4% / −87.7%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 +10.3%Enter above C$96.18 (+47.5%)33% 7/21+9.9% / +8.1%−51.9% / −87.7%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$61.83 (−5.2%)13% 9/68+12.1% / +8.2%−51.1% / −87.7%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINAug 21, 2026 +5.5%Exit below C$59.50 (−8.7%)33% 35/1060.0% / +9.6%−71.7% / −87.7%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$62.56 (−4.0%)27% 149/554+6.1% / +9.7%−62.4% / −87.7%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$56.17 (−13.8%)28% 57/203−1.6% / +8.1%−81.9% / −87.7%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINAug 26, 2026 +5.6%Exit below C$46.46 (−28.7%)24% 6/25+11.0% / +10.3%−48.5% / −87.7%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.6%Exit below C$57.18 (−12.3%)26% 24/92+6.1% / +9.0%−50.3% / −87.7%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +3.1%Exit below C$61.77 (−5.2%)28% 26/94+8.3% / +9.7%−44.4% / −87.7%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$60.08 (−7.8%)36% 45/126+3.8% / +10.7%−71.2% / −87.7%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close33% 76/227−1.3% / +10.7%−68.4% / −87.7%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.6%Exit below C$57.10 (−12.4%)36% 137/381+8.9% / +10.9%−51.9% / −87.7%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$59.02 (−9.5%)37% 54/146+6.1% / +10.5%−75.3% / −87.7%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$61.05 (−6.3%)40% 136/337+9.0% / +10.9%−56.6% / −87.7%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMay 7, 2026 +2.1%Not on one close34% 40/117+2.9% / +10.6%−53.9% / −87.7%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$55.21 (−15.3%)32% 37/114+10.0% / +9.9%−53.5% / −87.7%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINAug 21, 2026 +5.5%Exit below C$61.37 (−5.9%)32% 60/190+1.8% / +10.5%−69.7% / −87.7%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.6%Exit below C$19.70 (−69.8%)32% 50/158+6.8% / +9.9%−71.7% / −87.7%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Not on one close32% 61/191−3.2% / +8.1%−82.6% / −87.7%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$55.59 (−14.7%)29% 31/107+8.3% / +9.7%−46.1% / −87.7%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.6%Exit below C$53.99 (−17.2%)33% 22/66+10.0% / +9.7%−49.6% / −87.7%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 +7.1%Not on one close32% 50/156−2.3% / +7.5%−50.2% / −87.7%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJan 31, 2025 +6.2%Not on one close44% 16/36+1.9% / +9.9%−31.0% / −87.7%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$59.02 (−9.5%)39% 36/93+4.4% / +10.7%−69.8% / −87.7%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$62.31 (−4.4%)29% 30/103+0.0% / +9.7%−52.4% / −87.7%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTApr 1, 2026 +3.8%Enter above C$65.35 (+0.2%)33% 23/70+0.8% / +9.7%−52.9% / −87.7%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +2.0%Exit below C$60.36 (−7.4%)31% 22/71+1.6% / +9.7%−44.2% / −87.7%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINJul 8, 2026 +5.7%Exit below C$58.54 (−10.2%)34% 29/85+7.1% / +10.7%−64.1% / −87.7%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 +7.1%Enter above C$65.25 (+0.1%)29% 35/121−0.7% / +9.7%−51.8% / −87.7%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$61.64 (−5.4%)33% 52/159+2.5% / +10.7%−53.6% / −87.7%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +2.0%Exit below C$61.05 (−6.4%)32% 48/148+3.7% / +10.6%−66.4% / −87.7%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINAug 20, 2026 +5.7%Exit below C$60.67 (−6.9%)37% 47/128+7.6% / +10.7%−60.0% / −87.7%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$57.95 (−11.1%)41% 33/80+8.2% / +9.2%−60.1% / −87.7%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$60.71 (−6.9%)27% 71/262+6.5% / +10.6%−56.4% / −87.7%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTSep 3, 2026 +3.8%Not on one close25% 34/136−0.3% / +10.7%−23.7% / −87.7%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +2.0%Exit below C$49.14 (−24.6%)34% 31/91+1.1% / +9.7%−28.6% / −87.7%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$63.02 (−3.3%)35% 174/499+6.4% / +10.9%−62.7% / −87.7%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close44% 14/32+4.7% / +8.7%−18.0% / −87.7%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +6.1%Exit below C$61.73 (−5.3%)41% 9/22+8.0% / +8.6%−44.6% / −87.7%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close54% 13/24+10.7% / +8.6%−50.9% / −87.7%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTApr 30, 2025 +14.0%Enter above C$68.64 (+5.3%)53% 8/15+10.5% / +8.6%−33.7% / −87.7%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +4.2%Exit below C$61.52 (−5.6%)22% 24/108+13.4% / +9.8%−38.9% / −87.7%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINMar 31, 2026 −0.5%Exit below C$58.15 (−10.8%)38% 5/13+8.7% / +8.3%−42.9% / −87.7%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTApr 10, 2026 +8.2%Enter above C$64.22 (−1.5%)39% 24/61+13.4% / +8.8%−31.8% / −87.7%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$58.22 (−10.7%)32% 106/327+1.4% / +9.9%−66.5% / −87.7%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$62.64 (−3.9%)32% 172/531+8.1% / +9.9%−59.2% / −87.7%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$50.99 (−21.8%)39% 88/227+3.1% / +10.0%−73.9% / −87.7%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINApr 30, 2020 +612.4%Exit below C$46.68 (−28.4%)42% 5/12+12.1% / +8.6%−67.5% / −87.7%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$62.54 (−4.1%)31% 129/414+2.9% / +10.7%−50.3% / −87.7%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +4.2%Exit below C$45.70 (−29.9%)34% 72/209−1.6% / +9.7%−78.7% / −87.7%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$55.09 (−15.5%)31% 35/113+9.6% / +9.7%−53.4% / −87.7%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +7.0%Enter above C$61.32 (−5.9%)37% 19/52+11.1% / +8.6%−54.3% / −87.7%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close55% 12/22+11.8% / +7.3%−50.9% / −87.7%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINJul 31, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close50% 14/28+5.7% / +8.6%−35.6% / −87.7%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$56.69 (−13.0%)35% 84/243+1.6% / +8.1%−68.3% / −87.7%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 19, 2025 +11.1%Not on one close58% 15/26+2.1% / +11.0%−65.7% / −87.7%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 +2.9%Not on one close59% 106/179+2.6% / +8.1%−29.1% / −87.7%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 +2.3%Not on one close61% 133/219+5.9% / +8.1%−26.4% / −87.7%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Buy below C$58.33 (−10.5%)62% 79/128+0.8% / +10.7%−64.1% / −87.7%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +6.6%Sell C$60.07–C$63.98 (−1.9%)68% 81/119+13.9% / +11.0%−53.3% / −87.7%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +4.2%Not on one close63% 136/216+7.6% / +10.9%−76.6% / −87.7%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 +5.0%Not on one close68% 42/62+8.4% / +10.9%−51.0% / −87.7%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINSep 9, 2011 +221.2%Sell above C$149.44 (+129.2%)–+8.1% / +8.1%−87.7% / −87.7%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTOct 1, 2025 +10.2%Buy below C$40.20 (−38.3%)50% 11/22+1.7% / +8.1%−12.1% / −87.7%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +5.4%Exit below C$62.33 (−4.4%)53% 130/245+13.2% / +9.7%−55.9% / −87.7%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +5.4%Exit below C$64.45 (−1.1%)63% 195/309+9.1% / +9.7%−70.3% / −87.7%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 +7.0%Buy below C$65.19 (0.0%)57% 797/1402−4.4% / +10.9%−75.5% / −87.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 +5.7%Not on one close61% 39/64+4.2% / +8.1%−33.0% / −87.7%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +6.6%Exit below C$63.08 (−3.2%)40% 292/731+10.8% / +9.9%−50.8% / −87.7%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINAug 31, 2026 +4.1%Sell above C$62.13 (−4.7%)58% 54/93+5.2% / +10.6%−65.9% / −87.7%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +2.0%Not on one close27% 143/527−0.5% / +10.7%−80.0% / −87.7%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 +5.4%Not on one close41% 60/148+5.2% / +10.7%−72.8% / −87.7%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTJan 30, 2026 +3.6%Not on one close53% 18/34+1.8% / +11.0%−77.4% / −87.7%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINApr 23, 2026 +9.6%Exit below C$62.84 (−3.6%)38% 38/99+6.0% / +8.7%−58.5% / −87.7%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Exit below C$62.28 (−4.5%)31% 156/508+6.4% / +10.6%−57.1% / −87.7%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Exit below C$47.86 (−26.6%)35% 95/269+4.6% / +10.7%−63.6% / −87.7%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close36% 157/441−1.5% / +10.7%−83.1% / −87.7%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 +5.5%Not on one close34% 22/65+10.1% / +8.8%−45.7% / −87.7%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Not on one close34% 229/676−2.0% / +9.2%−84.3% / −87.7%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTFeb 25, 2026 +7.1%Not on one close52% 44/84+0.1% / +10.9%−77.2% / −87.7%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINAug 10, 2026 +9.3%Exit below C$58.54 (−10.2%)41% 30/73+7.8% / +10.9%−59.9% / −87.7%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 28, 2025 +10.3%Not on one close31% 8/26+0.5% / +10.7%−18.0% / −87.7%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +0.7%Buys Oct 3055% 17/31+9.3% / +10.9%−56.9% / −87.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Window opens Apr 142% 14/33+3.7% / +9.9%−64.8% / −87.7%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +10.8%Window opens Oct 1647% 15/32+2.7% / +9.9%−56.9% / −87.7%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +11.1%Buys Dec 2353% 17/32+3.6% / +10.9%−12.2% / −87.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Buys Oct 2947% 179/382+1.2% / +10.9%−53.4% / −87.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +7.0%Sells Jun 3025% 2/8+0.6% / +10.9%−53.2% / −87.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +4.7%Buys Nov 2449% 139/283+1.4% / +10.9%−9.9% / −87.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +20.1%Not on one close50% 6/12+2.3% / +10.6%−69.3% / −87.7%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1651% 848/1657+12.5% / +10.9%−72.8% / −87.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +7.6%Buys Oct 2750% 127/252+3.7% / +10.9%−9.7% / −87.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Sells Oct 1651% 200/393+3.8% / +10.9%−73.7% / −87.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINNov 23, 2010Always in–+10.8%−87.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow0 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2

Nothing on the checklist stands out.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

TOU−46%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jan 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2022

TOU3%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.26Moves about 0.3× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture25%In months the TSX fell, this fell 25% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+9%
  • From 52-week high−5%
  • Debt to equity0.09×
  • Net debt / EBITDA0.6×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover5.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Oil & Gas E&P · Tourmaline Oil Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas properties in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. The company holds interests in properties located in the Alberta Deep Basin, Northeast British Columbia Montney, and the Peace River High Triassic oil complex. Tourmaline Oil Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market capC$25.3BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$4.8BTotal sales. The market values it at 5.3× sales.
P/E ratio70.1×Buyers pay C$70 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E13.9×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book1.6×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin7.9%Keeps 8¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+14.9%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth−65.2%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity2.3%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−C$1.0BBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$15.4BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$1.3BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Debt to equity0.09×Comfortable.
Interest cover5.9×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$70.488% above the close, from 22 analysts (range C$49.00 to C$83.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield3.28%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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