Metals & mining

Taseko Mines (TKO)

C$12.16 −3.6% on the day·+97.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy66 / 100

Buy: 66 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+17% vs 200-day) scores 85 and lifts it; Plays in (50%) scores 50 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	TKO	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	50%	50	40	20.0
Off the high	−10% from its 1-year high	68	30	20.4
Trend	+17% vs 200-day	85	30	25.5

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for TKO

Factor	TKO	Points	What it is
Plays in	50%	50	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+19% · 8 analysts	55	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.2 · strong buy	88	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	405.3×	1	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	10.8×	80	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	0.34	92	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	4.5×	40	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	5.2×	31	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	none	0	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	−13%	21	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+185%	99	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	2%	23	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	2%	21	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.89×	33	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−10% from its 1-year high	68	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+17% vs 200-day	85	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+97%	92	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	9/10 · very high	10	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on TKO

50 of the 100 plays hold TKO right now.
The trend-following plays mostly say in; the breakout plays mostly say out.
It closed 17% above its 200-day average and 10% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads very high: it moves about 2.6× its index and fell about 2.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$14.44, 19% above the close (8 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in50 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureVery high9 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.17×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+17%). Higher than on 68% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about TKO now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn TKO: right 20 of 44 · Out since Mar 6, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn TKO: right 112 of 318 · Out since Oct 8, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn TKO: right 12 of 25 · In since Jul 31, 2025 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn TKO: right 104 of 169 · Out since May 28, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn TKO: right 32 of 58 · Out since Jun 10, 2025 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn TKO: right 76 of 151 · Out since Aug 28, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn TKO: right 25 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

TKO, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved TKO lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 10−8.8% against the S&P/TSX2.0× a normal day

TKO −9.9%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; −8.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on TKO was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for TKO starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved −4.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on TKO

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following22 of 30 in Breakouts & channels4 of 15 in Momentum9 of 17 in Mean reversion5 of 15 in Volume & money flow4 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on TKO went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$12.30 (+1.2%)	24% 162/682	+0.5% / +8.8%	−83.0% / −95.5%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Aug 7, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$11.02 (−9.4%)	23% 28/120	+10.5% / +8.8%	−60.5% / −95.5%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Exit below C$11.86 (−2.5%)	18% 77/419	+3.9% / +8.8%	−81.1% / −95.5%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Exit below C$12.10 (−0.5%)	14% 22/153	+3.7% / +9.4%	−66.4% / −95.5%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 7, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$10.55 (−13.2%)	24% 19/79	+10.9% / +8.8%	−68.7% / −95.5%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 7, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$10.55 (−13.2%)	20% 19/93	+10.3% / +8.8%	−73.6% / −95.5%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2025 +277.6%	Exit below C$10.66 (−12.3%)	34% 15/44	+15.6% / +8.8%	−82.6% / −95.5%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	May 26, 2025 +300.0%	Exit below C$10.44 (−14.2%)	14% 24/177	+11.3% / +8.8%	−80.7% / −95.5%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Jun 12, 2025 +206.3%	Not on one close	24% 10/41	+8.8% / +8.8%	−85.0% / −95.5%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Jun 2, 2025 +269.6%	Exit below C$10.44 (−14.2%)	15% 17/117	+12.6% / +8.8%	−78.7% / −95.5%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	IN	Aug 7, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$12.28 (+1.0%)	36% 53/149	+14.0% / +8.8%	−79.4% / −95.5%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Exit below C$12.09 (−0.6%)	20% 165/821	−5.4% / +8.8%	−93.8% / −95.5%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 3, 2026 +4.7%	Enter above C$14.06 (+15.6%)	37% 91/244	−1.0% / +8.8%	−90.7% / −95.5%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jan 30, 2024 +487.4%	Not on one close	53% 9/17	+22.3% / +10.0%	−54.1% / −95.5%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	IN	Sep 21, 2026 +0.2%	Exit below C$10.69 (−12.0%)	29% 35/120	+15.0% / +8.8%	−64.9% / −95.5%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Aug 4, 2026 +10.4%	Exit below C$11.13 (−8.5%)	23% 30/131	+9.8% / +8.8%	−75.2% / −95.5%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −7.5%	Exit below C$10.88 (−10.5%)	35% 56/158	+5.8% / +8.8%	−81.8% / −95.5%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	IN	Sep 28, 2026 −2.4%	Flips at next check	40% 121/305	+12.7% / +8.8%	−64.7% / −95.5%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$13.33 (+9.6%)	36% 216/606	+8.3% / +8.8%	−77.4% / −95.5%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −3.0%	Exit below C$10.51 (−13.6%)	35% 77/223	+7.7% / +8.8%	−70.6% / −95.5%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.1%	Enter above C$12.96 (+6.6%)	39% 174/450	+5.3% / +8.8%	−84.4% / −95.5%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +9.5%	Not on one close	34% 59/172	+7.3% / +8.8%	−63.6% / −95.5%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 21, 2026 +0.2%	Exit below C$10.89 (−10.4%)	26% 50/195	+6.8% / +8.8%	−80.0% / −95.5%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	IN	Sep 18, 2026 +0.5%	Exit below C$12.25 (+0.7%)	34% 123/362	+1.8% / +8.8%	−78.0% / −95.5%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 −4.5%	Exit below C$7.78 (−36.0%)	28% 68/247	+5.2% / +8.8%	−73.5% / −95.5%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +3.1%	Not on one close	39% 94/240	+5.5% / +8.8%	−87.3% / −95.5%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Sep 18, 2026 +0.5%	Exit below C$10.89 (−10.5%)	25% 47/189	+6.8% / +8.8%	−75.4% / −95.5%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Jul 14, 2026 +8.8%	Exit below C$5.56 (−54.3%)	27% 28/102	+12.2% / +8.8%	−73.3% / −95.5%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 +5.6%	Not on one close	35% 74/210	+0.6% / +8.8%	−64.2% / −95.5%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 6, 2026 +24.2%	Not on one close	45% 20/44	+4.8% / +8.8%	−19.5% / −95.5%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +9.5%	Enter above C$13.19 (+8.5%)	39% 42/107	+14.2% / +8.8%	−63.6% / −95.5%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +9.5%	Enter above C$13.19 (+8.5%)	32% 36/113	+6.2% / +8.8%	−67.3% / −95.5%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 +9.5%	Enter above C$13.60 (+11.8%)	34% 28/83	+11.7% / +8.8%	−60.4% / −95.5%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 +5.6%	Enter above C$13.44 (+10.5%)	33% 28/86	+8.9% / +8.8%	−66.9% / −95.5%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	IN	Jun 2, 2026 +5.8%	Exit below C$10.51 (−13.6%)	38% 44/115	+10.7% / +8.8%	−85.7% / −95.5%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +2.3%	Enter above C$14.01 (+15.2%)	30% 49/162	+5.0% / +8.8%	−72.5% / −95.5%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 1, 2026 +3.5%	Enter above C$13.38 (+10.0%)	33% 74/226	+1.2% / +8.8%	−73.5% / −95.5%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 +5.6%	Enter above C$13.14 (+8.1%)	37% 70/188	+9.1% / +8.8%	−70.5% / −95.5%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 22, 2026 −7.5%	Exit below C$11.05 (−9.1%)	32% 68/211	−3.8% / +8.8%	−93.6% / −95.5%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +3.1%	Enter above C$13.12 (+7.9%)	35% 112/318	+2.8% / +8.8%	−79.7% / −95.5%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −4.7%	Exit below C$11.52 (−5.2%)	28% 96/341	+7.5% / +8.8%	−74.8% / −95.5%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Aug 26, 2026 −5.1%	Not on one close	29% 59/202	−0.4% / +8.8%	−72.7% / −95.5%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Feb 2, 2026 +15.3%	Not on one close	48% 60/126	+14.7% / +8.8%	−30.2% / −95.5%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Exit below C$12.02 (−1.2%)	29% 176/611	−0.7% / +8.8%	−91.2% / −95.5%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 16, 2025 +114.1%	Not on one close	50% 21/42	+3.6% / +8.8%	−32.4% / −95.5%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +182.8%	Exit below C$6.58 (−45.9%)	52% 14/27	+13.5% / +9.5%	−69.6% / −95.5%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2025 +186.1%	Not on one close	48% 12/25	+11.4% / +9.5%	−71.7% / −95.5%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +182.8%	Exit below C$7.32 (−39.8%)	48% 11/23	+18.1% / +9.5%	−58.0% / −95.5%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 +28.5%	Not on one close	22% 29/129	+7.9% / +8.8%	−71.3% / −95.5%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Mar 31, 2026 +35.0%	Enter above C$12.77 (+5.0%)	65% 13/20	+12.5% / +8.8%	−44.7% / −95.5%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	IN	Aug 7, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$11.14 (−8.4%)	27% 30/110	+19.0% / +8.8%	−65.8% / −95.5%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.1%	Enter above C$12.99 (+6.8%)	35% 147/420	+7.0% / +8.8%	−78.3% / −95.5%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$12.30 (+1.2%)	24% 193/788	−1.8% / +8.8%	−85.9% / −95.5%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +3.1%	Enter above C$12.96 (+6.6%)	38% 116/304	+0.3% / +8.8%	−87.8% / −95.5%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jan 31, 2023 +413.1%	Not on one close	25% 5/20	+6.1% / +9.0%	−93.8% / −95.5%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +2.3%	Enter above C$13.14 (+8.1%)	27% 137/502	+4.5% / +8.8%	−72.4% / −95.5%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$13.79 (+13.4%)	37% 98/268	+0.6% / +8.8%	−85.5% / −95.5%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Sep 21, 2026 +0.2%	Exit below C$10.83 (−11.0%)	26% 50/191	+6.9% / +8.8%	−77.3% / −95.5%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2025 +182.8%	Exit below C$10.95 (−9.9%)	32% 25/79	+13.6% / +9.5%	−83.1% / −95.5%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2025 +186.1%	Not on one close	41% 9/22	+7.6% / +7.2%	−82.1% / −95.5%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Jul 31, 2025 +186.1%	Not on one close	41% 11/27	+4.1% / +9.5%	−78.6% / −95.5%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.1%	Enter above C$13.38 (+10.1%)	36% 117/326	+5.6% / +8.8%	−80.2% / −95.5%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Mar 23, 2026 +49.0%	Not on one close	65% 28/43	+4.6% / +8.8%	−92.4% / −95.5%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Buy C$10.44–C$10.56 (−13.2%)	60% 136/226	+5.9% / +8.8%	−44.7% / −95.5%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +3.1%	Sell above C$12.67 (+4.2%)	63% 197/315	+3.3% / +8.8%	−85.0% / −95.5%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	May 28, 2026 +21.8%	Buy below C$11.25 (−7.5%)	62% 104/169	+2.4% / +8.8%	−76.8% / −95.5%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −0.3%	Not on one close	61% 95/157	−1.1% / +8.8%	−94.9% / −95.5%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 −3.8%	Not on one close	60% 176/291	+2.8% / +8.8%	−90.7% / −95.5%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Apr 13, 2026 +18.8%	Not on one close	51% 25/49	−7.9% / +8.8%	−96.3% / −95.5%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Sep 21, 2020 +660.0%	Sell above C$25.22 (+107.4%)	83% 10/12	+10.2% / +8.8%	−95.4% / −95.5%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Apr 9, 2025 +337.4%	Not on one close	61% 34/56	+1.5% / +8.8%	−32.5% / −95.5%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −4.5%	Enter above C$12.41 (+2.0%)	42% 142/335	−1.9% / +8.8%	−96.5% / −95.5%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Not on one close	56% 239/430	+9.1% / +8.8%	−89.9% / −95.5%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −4.7%	Buy below C$12.16 (0.0%)	59% 1174/2004	+27.3% / +8.8%	−59.9% / −95.5%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −7.5%	Not on one close	64% 45/70	+11.2% / +8.8%	−69.3% / −95.5%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −3.6%	Exit below C$12.23 (+0.6%)	38% 409/1071	+10.9% / +8.8%	−78.5% / −95.5%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −3.2%	Buy below C$12.89 (+6.0%)	64% 81/126	+2.9% / +8.8%	−91.7% / −95.5%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.1%	Not on one close	29% 177/618	+7.0% / +8.8%	−83.7% / −95.5%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 +9.8%	Not on one close	37% 79/211	+1.8% / +8.8%	−89.9% / −95.5%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Jun 10, 2025 +198.8%	Not on one close	55% 32/58	−1.5% / +8.8%	−97.2% / −95.5%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	May 25, 2026 +25.9%	Not on one close	41% 45/111	+2.6% / +9.2%	−74.0% / −95.5%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$12.36 (+1.7%)	26% 166/638	+3.7% / +8.8%	−81.8% / −95.5%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$13.17 (+8.3%)	32% 124/392	−2.2% / +8.8%	−87.1% / −95.5%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 +9.5%	Exit below C$12.16 (0.0%)	31% 165/535	−7.7% / +8.8%	−97.3% / −95.5%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +3.8%	Not on one close	29% 28/98	+7.0% / +9.5%	−79.4% / −95.5%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +0.1%	Not on one close	34% 299/874	−2.2% / +8.8%	−96.5% / −95.5%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −4.9%	Enter above C$12.50 (+2.8%)	50% 76/151	+2.1% / +8.8%	−90.9% / −95.5%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Sep 17, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$10.51 (−13.6%)	34% 22/65	+14.2% / +8.8%	−80.0% / −95.5%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 19, 2025 +247.4%	Not on one close	50% 28/56	+1.4% / +8.8%	−32.8% / −95.5%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +24.8%	Buys Oct 30	58% 25/43	+21.4% / +8.8%	−78.8% / −95.5%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −4.7%	Window opens Apr 1	62% 28/45	+18.7% / +8.8%	−81.9% / −95.5%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 28, 2026 +23.1%	Window opens Oct 16	52% 23/44	+14.5% / +8.8%	−81.7% / −95.5%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +46.5%	Buys Dec 23	59% 26/44	+8.2% / +8.8%	−17.9% / −95.5%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −4.0%	Buys Oct 29	49% 259/526	+10.2% / +8.8%	−69.6% / −95.5%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −3.8%	Sells Jun 30	27% 3/11	−2.6% / +8.8%	−84.3% / −95.5%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +4.0%	Buys Nov 24	51% 197/386	+6.6% / +8.8%	−21.6% / −95.5%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +514.1%	Not on one close	45% 9/20	+6.5% / +8.8%	−90.3% / −95.5%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	48% 1097/2284	+3.6% / +8.8%	−89.6% / −95.5%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +9.5%	Buys Oct 27	50% 173/348	+2.7% / +8.8%	−34.7% / −95.5%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −4.7%	Sells Oct 16	47% 253/541	+2.4% / +8.8%	−92.5% / −95.5%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+8.8%	−95.5%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureVery high9 of 10 points

Market swings2/3
Past crashes2/2
Debt3/3
Run-up2/2

It moves about 2.6× its index.
It fell about 2.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
It operating profit covers interest only 0.4×.
It is up 249% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Dec 2008 · back to its old high Apr 2010

TKO−88%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020

TKO−46%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Mar 2024

TKO−55%

TSX−14%

Beta2.60Moves about 2.6× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture27%In months the TSX fell, this fell 27% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+249%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−10%
Debt to equity0.98×
Net debt / EBITDA2.1×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover0.4×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Copper · Trekor Metals Limited, a mining company, acquires and develops mineral properties. It explores for copper, molybdenum, gold, niobium, and silver deposits. The company's principal assets consist of 100% owned the Gibraltar mine located in south-central British Columbia; and the Florence Copper project in Arizona. The company was formerly known as Taseko Mines Limited and changed its name Trekor Metals Limited in June 2026. Trekor Metals Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$4.5B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	C$985M	Total sales. The market values it at 4.5× sales.
P/E ratio	405.3×	Buyers pay C$405 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	10.8×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	5.2×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	1.6%	Keeps 2¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+184.8%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	−13.3%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	2.2%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	−C$104M	Burning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.

Balance sheet
Total equity	C$779M	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	C$765M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	C$187M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.98×	Moderate.
Interest cover	0.4×	Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$14.44	19% above the close, from 8 analysts (range C$13.50 to C$16.00).
Consensus rating	Strong buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

TKO: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Metals & mining: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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