Oct 13 close Sign in

Metals & mining

Silvercorp Metals (SVM)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell19 / 100

Sell: 19 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (30%) scores 30 and lifts it; Off the high (−34% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightSVMPointsWeightAdds
Plays in30%304012.0
Off the high−34% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−9% vs 200-day23306.9
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for SVM
FactorSVMPointsWhat it is
Plays in30%30The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+52% · 5 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.5 · buy75The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E95.1×9Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E6.8×95Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.1598P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales4.5×41Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.2×69Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield0.2%6Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+200%92Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+70%91Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin6%38Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity8%35Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.10×83Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−34% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−9% vs 200-day23How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+54%79The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure6/10 · high40The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on SVM

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in30 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureHigh6 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.91×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−9%). Higher than on 37% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about SVM now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved SVM lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 17+8.0% against the S&P/TSX2.2× a normal day

SVM +9.0%, the S&P/TSX +1.1% that session; +3.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on SVM was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for SVM starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +1.1%. The 50 other Metals & mining stocks Be The Puck covers moved +4.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on SVM

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on SVM went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −12.1%Enter above C$15.44 (+8.2%)27% 172/627+18.7% / +20.8%−82.0% / −95.6%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.4%Enter above C$15.66 (+9.7%)29% 34/118+15.5% / +20.8%−78.5% / −95.6%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −12.1%Enter above C$15.78 (+10.6%)27% 88/331+25.1% / +20.8%−64.6% / −95.6%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJun 17, 2026 −14.9%Enter above C$16.36 (+14.6%)28% 31/110+23.7% / +17.3%−40.9% / −95.6%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.4%Enter above C$16.32 (+14.4%)30% 16/54+24.4% / +20.8%−60.2% / −95.6%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.4%Enter above C$15.90 (+11.4%)27% 17/64+26.2% / +20.8%−54.6% / −95.6%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −6.1%Enter above C$15.69 (+9.9%)50% 17/34+28.4% / +20.8%−52.2% / −95.6%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −6.5%Enter above C$15.66 (+9.7%)17% 27/160+23.0% / +20.8%−67.3% / −95.6%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINMar 31, 2025 +158.6%Not on one close48% 12/25+26.3% / +20.8%−61.9% / −95.6%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −6.5%Enter above C$15.66 (+9.7%)16% 18/114+17.6% / +20.8%−69.9% / −95.6%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.4%Enter above C$19.61 (+37.4%)49% 59/121+31.9% / +20.8%−73.7% / −95.6%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −12.1%Enter above C$14.93 (+4.6%)24% 192/785+14.9% / +20.8%−83.2% / −95.6%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −13.6%Enter above C$21.64 (+51.7%)38% 98/259+15.5% / +20.8%−94.0% / −95.6%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINFeb 20, 2025 +171.8%Not on one close32% 8/25+18.9% / +16.6%−68.4% / −95.6%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −6.5%Enter above C$22.06 (+54.6%)40% 44/111+25.4% / +20.8%−69.5% / −95.6%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.4%Not on one close35% 33/95+21.7% / +20.8%−75.2% / −95.6%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −8.6%Enter above C$16.23 (+13.7%)39% 62/161+9.3% / +20.8%−89.4% / −95.6%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −8.6%Not on one close42% 109/259+18.4% / +20.8%−75.4% / −95.6%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −12.1%Enter above C$18.00 (+26.1%)35% 190/537+16.3% / +20.8%−82.7% / −95.6%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$17.74 (+24.3%)40% 82/203+23.0% / +20.8%−78.8% / −95.6%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −6.5%Enter above C$15.61 (+9.4%)40% 193/483+14.5% / +20.8%−93.7% / −95.6%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Not on one close32% 46/145+9.3% / +20.8%−61.6% / −95.6%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$21.16 (+48.3%)34% 56/163+23.8% / +20.8%−82.0% / −95.6%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −13.6%Enter above C$15.53 (+8.8%)35% 123/350+10.9% / +20.8%−87.0% / −95.6%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$17.85 (+25.1%)40% 79/197+26.4% / +20.8%−71.4% / −95.6%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$17.48 (+22.5%)43% 105/245+18.2% / +20.8%−82.0% / −95.6%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$20.38 (+42.8%)34% 53/155+23.8% / +20.8%−77.3% / −95.6%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.4%Enter above C$21.72 (+52.2%)39% 38/97+20.3% / +20.8%−81.2% / −95.6%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −13.6%Not on one close40% 82/205+12.9% / +20.8%−66.0% / −95.6%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 7, 2024 +197.1%Not on one close38% 16/42+1.2% / +20.8%−31.8% / −95.6%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −6.5%Enter above C$17.48 (+22.5%)39% 47/121+15.9% / +20.8%−81.3% / −95.6%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$17.48 (+22.5%)36% 40/112+16.5% / +20.8%−56.6% / −95.6%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$18.91 (+32.5%)32% 29/90+12.4% / +20.8%−60.6% / −95.6%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$18.64 (+30.6%)43% 33/76+19.0% / +20.8%−51.3% / −95.6%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$17.48 (+22.5%)37% 45/121+11.9% / +20.8%−85.5% / −95.6%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −13.7%Enter above C$17.33 (+21.4%)35% 54/153+13.4% / +20.8%−67.8% / −95.6%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −13.7%Enter above C$17.58 (+23.2%)33% 67/205+12.5% / +20.8%−76.9% / −95.6%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$17.36 (+21.7%)41% 75/183+19.9% / +20.8%−70.0% / −95.6%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$16.04 (+12.4%)39% 72/187+9.7% / +20.8%−89.2% / −95.6%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$15.38 (+7.7%)42% 119/283+22.9% / +20.8%−82.9% / −95.6%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −10.4%Enter above C$15.88 (+11.3%)30% 103/341+19.2% / +20.8%−78.5% / −95.6%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −19.4%Not on one close33% 60/180+4.5% / +20.8%−55.2% / −95.6%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 −11.0%Not on one close40% 48/120−0.3% / +20.8%−69.2% / −95.6%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −12.1%Enter above C$15.08 (+5.7%)34% 237/695+13.1% / +20.8%−84.3% / −95.6%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTMar 28, 2025 +158.1%Not on one close35% 12/34+1.6% / +20.8%−38.6% / −95.6%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +148.0%Exit below C$9.41 (−34.1%)40% 10/25+21.0% / +16.5%−75.6% / −95.6%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +148.0%Not on one close47% 9/19+16.1% / +16.5%−74.6% / −95.6%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +148.0%Exit below C$10.46 (−26.7%)44% 12/27+21.2% / +16.5%−79.8% / −95.6%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −10.9%Buy C$15.61–C$16.41 (+9.4%)17% 23/138+9.4% / +20.8%−81.0% / −95.6%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMar 31, 2026 −4.5%Enter above C$20.42 (+43.1%)32% 11/34+4.5% / +20.8%−57.6% / −95.6%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTSep 25, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$16.62 (+16.5%)30% 29/96+22.8% / +20.8%−61.5% / −95.6%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −13.7%Enter above C$16.17 (+13.3%)35% 146/423+12.0% / +20.8%−85.0% / −95.6%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −12.1%Enter above C$15.10 (+5.8%)29% 233/795+14.3% / +20.8%−84.1% / −95.6%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −17.1%Enter above C$21.92 (+53.6%)37% 119/321−2.1% / +20.8%−97.8% / −95.6%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINApr 30, 2024 +230.8%Not on one close41% 11/27+9.3% / +10.8%−90.7% / −95.6%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −17.1%Enter above C$17.99 (+26.1%)32% 170/528+16.2% / +20.8%−68.3% / −95.6%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −16.5%Enter above C$29.99 (+110.2%)40% 111/277+3.1% / +20.8%−96.7% / −95.6%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −10.9%Enter above C$21.41 (+50.1%)34% 56/163+22.8% / +20.8%−80.9% / −95.6%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −6.1%Enter above C$14.29 (+0.1%)44% 33/75+24.4% / +16.5%−65.4% / −95.6%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +148.0%Not on one close44% 8/18+1.2% / +5.5%−79.8% / −95.6%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINJun 30, 2025 +148.0%Not on one close42% 8/19+13.8% / +16.5%−71.7% / −95.6%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −16.5%Enter above C$18.45 (+29.3%)35% 121/347+12.2% / +20.8%−90.5% / −95.6%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 16, 2025 +123.9%Not on one close56% 20/36+2.3% / +20.8%−81.8% / −95.6%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 17, 2026 −16.2%Not on one close64% 159/250+9.5% / +20.8%−31.2% / −95.6%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −10.9%Sell above C$15.02 (+5.3%)62% 177/285+9.8% / +20.8%−44.8% / −95.6%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 22, 2026 −17.8%Buy below C$13.55 (−5.1%)63% 114/182+8.0% / +20.8%−61.1% / −95.6%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −16.2%Not on one close59% 91/154+8.1% / +20.8%−86.3% / −95.6%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −16.2%Not on one close59% 163/275+3.9% / +20.8%−84.8% / −95.6%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJul 13, 2026 +8.8%Not on one close58% 38/65+0.9% / +20.8%−91.5% / −95.6%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINAug 3, 2016 +262.5%Sell above C$37.84 (+165.2%)75% 9/12+18.8% / +20.8%−95.6% / −95.6%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 −19.8%Not on one close72% 39/54+7.9% / +20.8%−22.0% / −95.6%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −16.2%Not on one close47% 149/317+6.8% / +20.8%−75.5% / −95.6%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 2, 2026 −19.4%Not on one close52% 216/418+3.9% / +20.8%−93.4% / −95.6%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell above C$14.27 (0.0%)56% 1121/2013+13.5% / +20.8%−91.0% / −95.6%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINSep 15, 2026 −10.0%Sell above C$16.68 (+16.9%)60% 44/73+8.1% / +20.8%−58.2% / −95.6%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.5%Exit below C$14.33 (+0.4%)37% 400/1091+15.1% / +20.8%−79.7% / −95.6%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −6.1%Sell above C$15.50 (+8.6%)50% 61/121−3.4% / +20.8%−93.9% / −95.6%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −13.6%Not on one close28% 179/635+27.5% / +20.8%−75.6% / −95.6%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.5%Not on one close43% 89/206+12.9% / +20.8%−88.5% / −95.6%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close61% 31/51+7.6% / +20.8%−85.7% / −95.6%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −4.4%Exit below C$14.23 (−0.3%)41% 46/113+7.7% / +20.6%−80.6% / −95.6%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −12.1%Enter above C$15.07 (+5.6%)28% 191/675+21.6% / +20.8%−78.2% / −95.6%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −15.0%Enter above C$21.87 (+53.3%)39% 141/361+17.3% / +20.8%−83.8% / −95.6%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −4.4%Exit below C$14.27 (0.0%)35% 205/582+13.9% / +20.8%−83.9% / −95.6%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINJun 3, 2025 +150.9%Not on one close35% 34/98+15.6% / +19.7%−89.3% / −95.6%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.5%Not on one close36% 316/888+10.7% / +20.8%−91.0% / −95.6%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.5%Not on one close48% 81/168+3.5% / +20.8%−91.8% / −95.6%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 +7.3%Not on one close39% 35/90+2.4% / +20.8%−62.5% / −95.6%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 +3.7%Not on one close51% 38/74+2.7% / +20.8%−44.3% / −95.6%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −12.5%Buys Oct 3058% 25/43+20.2% / +20.8%−85.3% / −95.6%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 23, 2026 −14.2%Enter above C$14.83 (+3.9%)58% 25/43+20.9% / +20.8%−84.1% / −95.6%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 −11.6%Window opens Oct 1656% 24/43+17.5% / +20.8%−91.0% / −95.6%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +18.3%Buys Dec 2361% 27/44+7.1% / +20.8%−19.0% / −95.6%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −5.0%Buys Oct 2952% 276/526+8.3% / +20.8%−80.5% / −95.6%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −6.1%Sells Jun 3045% 5/11+2.6% / +20.8%−63.6% / −95.6%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −17.1%Buys Nov 2450% 193/386+2.2% / +20.8%−32.6% / −95.6%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +266.6%Not on one close55% 11/20+14.8% / +20.8%−85.7% / −95.6%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 1137/2284+9.7% / +20.8%−88.3% / −95.6%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −8.6%Buys Oct 2754% 188/348+9.4% / +20.8%−24.0% / −95.6%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −5.4%Sells Oct 1650% 270/541+15.3% / +20.8%−89.0% / −95.6%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+20.8%−95.6%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureHigh6 of 10 points
  • Market swings3/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up1/2
  • It moves about 2.8× its index.
  • It fell about 2.0× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It is up 116% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Nov 2008 · back to its old high Nov 2009

SVM−83%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Mar 2020

SVM−48%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Feb 2023

SVM−41%
TSX−14%
  • Beta2.81Moves about 2.8× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture238%In months the TSX fell, this fell 238% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+116%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−34%
  • Debt to equity0.13×
  • Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
  • Interest cover7.4×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Silver · Silvercorp Metals Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, explores, develops, and mines mineral properties in China. It explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc metals. The company was formerly known as SKN Resources Ltd. and changed its name to Silvercorp Metals Inc. in May 2005. Silvercorp Metals Inc. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market capC$3.2BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$495MTotal sales.
P/E ratio95.1×Buyers pay C$95 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E6.8×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book2.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin6.3%Keeps 6¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+70.5%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+200.0%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity8.1%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$33.0MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$941MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$118MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$387MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.13×Comfortable.
Interest cover7.4×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$21.6652% above the close, from 5 analysts (range C$20.95 to C$22.53).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield0.24%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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