Semiconductors
Your signal
Sell: 33 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Trend (+6% vs 200-day) scores 62 and lifts it; Off the high (−35% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | STHH | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 35% | 35 | 40 | 14.0 |
| Off the high | −35% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | +6% vs 200-day | 62 | 30 | 18.6 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | STHH | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 35% | 35 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | – | – | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | – | – | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | – | – | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. |
| Forward P/E | – | – | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. |
| PEG | – | – | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. |
| Price to sales | – | – | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. |
| Price to book | – | – | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. |
| Dividend yield | – | – | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. |
| Earnings growth | – | – | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. |
| Revenue growth | – | – | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. |
| Profit margin | – | – | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. |
| Return on equity | – | – | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. |
| Debt to equity | – | – | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. |
| Off the high | −35% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +6% vs 200-day | 62 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +83% | 90 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 1/10 · low | 90 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on STHHThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about STHH now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
STHH −6.2%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on STHH was found for this session. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved −3.5% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
STHH +6.4%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; −2.6% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on STHH was found for this session. The S&P 500 moved +0.7%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +2.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.
STHH −6.3%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; −1.1% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on STHH was found for this session. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved −6.4% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on STHH went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2025. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $10.89 (+5.8%) | 29% 9/31 | +64.7% / +58.6% | −19.7% / −39.1% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −1.7% | Enter above $11.89 (+15.6%) | 100% 1/1 | +149.4% / +140.9% | −33.8% / −39.1% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Enter above $10.86 (+5.5%) | 27% 3/11 | +89.6% / +80.4% | −22.5% / −39.1% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Jul 15, 2026 −23.8% | Not on one close | 100% 1/1 | +256.2% / +107.7% | −15.0% / −39.1% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Enter above $11.25 (+9.3%) | 25% 1/4 | +89.6% / +157.5% | −41.6% / −39.1% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Enter above $11.25 (+9.3%) | 33% 1/3 | +104.3% / +150.0% | −41.6% / −39.1% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Jan 30, 2026 +91.3% | Exit below $9.91 (−3.7%) | – | +142.2% / +142.2% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Jan 20, 2026 +94.5% | Exit below $9.70 (−5.7%) | – | +132.6% / +132.6% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Feb 6, 2026 +78.2% | Not on one close | 0% 0/1 | +121.9% / +132.6% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Feb 18, 2026 +57.3% | Exit below $9.70 (−5.7%) | – | +105.9% / +105.9% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −2.6% | Exit below $8.47 (−17.6%) | 40% 2/5 | +124.1% / +87.1% | −19.9% / −39.1% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $11.28 (+9.7%) | 23% 12/52 | +23.4% / +69.2% | −34.3% / −39.1% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | IN | Aug 26, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $6.59 (−36.0%) | 43% 3/7 | +140.6% / +137.8% | −14.3% / −39.1% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Jun 15, 2026 −33.5% | Not on one close | – | – / – | – / – |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $11.30 (+9.8%) | 40% 2/5 | +88.1% / +85.8% | −31.9% / −39.1% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Jul 23, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $12.28 (+19.4%) | 25% 1/4 | +65.6% / +76.9% | −31.4% / −39.1% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $11.22 (+9.0%) | 53% 8/15 | +92.7% / +76.5% | −23.5% / −39.1% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | IN | Oct 5, 2026 −13.2% | Not on one close | 50% 6/12 | +76.8% / +76.5% | −28.5% / −39.1% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above $10.57 (+2.8%) | 28% 12/43 | +32.5% / +73.9% | −34.2% / −39.1% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Sep 23, 2026 −3.3% | Exit below $9.61 (−6.6%) | 50% 4/8 | +81.3% / +63.9% | −25.3% / −39.1% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Enter above $11.87 (+15.4%) | 30% 10/33 | +62.7% / +93.1% | −25.6% / −39.1% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −24.4% | Not on one close | 33% 3/9 | +40.8% / +62.0% | −19.6% / −39.1% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −4.2% | Exit below $9.59 (−6.7%) | 33% 2/6 | +61.6% / +52.0% | −28.1% / −39.1% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Enter above $11.23 (+9.2%) | 26% 6/23 | +30.2% / +76.5% | −37.5% / −39.1% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 −2.6% | Exit below $5.64 (−45.1%) | 25% 2/8 | +72.1% / +52.0% | −30.1% / −39.1% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −2.2% | Not on one close | 75% 3/4 | +120.6% / +137.8% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 −5.3% | Exit below $10.09 (−1.9%) | 40% 2/5 | +96.4% / +80.4% | −24.3% / −39.1% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above $11.57 (+12.5%) | 17% 1/6 | +60.2% / +80.4% | −37.6% / −39.1% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $10.29 (+0.0%) | 21% 3/14 | +13.1% / +132.4% | −17.4% / −39.1% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 1, 2025 +79.9% | Not on one close | – | +3.8% / +52.0% | 0.0% / −39.1% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $9.61 (−6.6%) | 50% 4/8 | +76.9% / +76.5% | −24.8% / −39.1% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 2, 2026 −24.4% | Enter above $12.07 (+17.3%) | 25% 3/12 | +46.6% / +56.8% | −23.1% / −39.1% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 16, 2026 −17.9% | Enter above $12.07 (+17.3%) | 10% 1/10 | +21.5% / +56.8% | −34.3% / −39.1% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $12.01 (+16.7%) | 20% 2/10 | +48.4% / +80.4% | −22.2% / −39.1% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 +7.0% | Not on one close | 40% 4/10 | +69.1% / +76.5% | −24.2% / −39.1% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $11.82 (+14.9%) | 31% 5/16 | +49.4% / +69.2% | −22.1% / −39.1% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above $12.16 (+18.2%) | 25% 5/20 | +39.6% / +74.0% | −26.6% / −39.1% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $12.01 (+16.7%) | 25% 5/20 | +38.3% / +76.7% | −36.1% / −39.1% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $11.33 (+10.1%) | 48% 10/21 | +53.8% / +76.5% | −27.8% / −39.1% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −4.9% | Exit below $9.56 (−7.1%) | 27% 3/11 | +48.0% / +75.9% | −37.0% / −39.1% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $11.30 (+9.8%) | 27% 9/33 | +52.1% / +63.2% | −25.8% / −39.1% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Not on one close | 29% 9/31 | +45.0% / +76.5% | −19.2% / −39.1% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Mar 2, 2026 +57.3% | Not on one close | 25% 1/4 | −3.0% / +69.2% | −16.8% / −39.1% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Enter above $10.92 (+6.2%) | 29% 20/69 | +45.2% / +90.1% | −37.3% / −39.1% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jan 20, 2026 +94.5% | Not on one close | 0% 0/2 | +2.6% / +121.8% | −7.7% / −39.1% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Apr 30, 2026 −4.1% | Exit below $5.00 (−51.4%) | – | – / – | – / – |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Apr 30, 2026 −4.1% | Not on one close | – | – / – | – / – |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Apr 30, 2026 −4.1% | Exit below $5.56 (−45.9%) | – | – / – | – / – |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jun 2, 2026 −33.8% | Not on one close | 50% 1/2 | +160.8% / +81.8% | −9.2% / −39.1% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above $15.00 (+45.8%) | 100% 1/1 | +128.1% / +116.5% | −38.0% / −39.1% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Aug 14, 2026 −5.1% | Enter above $12.21 (+18.7%) | 17% 1/6 | +55.9% / +82.3% | −38.0% / −39.1% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −2.2% | Enter above $11.84 (+15.1%) | 42% 10/24 | +52.3% / +52.0% | −22.4% / −39.1% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $10.88 (+5.8%) | 26% 10/38 | +40.8% / +52.0% | −31.5% / −39.1% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Aug 12, 2026 −5.4% | Exit below $9.03 (−12.2%) | 50% 7/14 | +81.4% / +60.2% | −14.3% / −39.1% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | – | – – | Not enough history | – | – / – | – / – |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Enter above $12.18 (+18.4%) | 24% 13/54 | +21.9% / +76.5% | −26.6% / −39.1% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Aug 17, 2026 −7.5% | Exit below $5.78 (−43.8%) | 50% 5/10 | +54.3% / +80.4% | −20.5% / −39.1% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −4.2% | Exit below $9.46 (−8.0%) | 40% 2/5 | +101.9% / +80.4% | −23.5% / −39.1% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 +3.0% | Exit below $10.13 (−1.6%) | 50% 1/2 | – / – | – / – |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | – | – – | Not enough history | – | – / – | – / – |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Apr 30, 2026 −4.1% | Not on one close | – | – / – | – / – |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Sep 2, 2026 +1.5% | Exit below $10.48 (+1.9%) | 45% 5/11 | +116.4% / +137.8% | −19.3% / −39.1% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jan 8, 2026 +87.6% | Not on one close | 50% 1/2 | +11.6% / +75.4% | −29.3% / −39.1% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Sell above $10.62 (+3.2%) | 75% 12/16 | +25.2% / +132.6% | −9.7% / −39.1% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Sell above $12.01 (+16.7%) | 67% 12/18 | +21.3% / +132.6% | −25.7% / −39.1% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −7.5% | Buy below $9.53 (−7.3%) | 25% 2/8 | −7.0% / +74.0% | −25.7% / −39.1% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Buy $10.90–$11.05 (+5.9%) | 50% 3/6 | −10.7% / +76.6% | −32.7% / −39.1% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above $10.52 (+2.2%) | 67% 12/18 | +55.5% / +73.9% | −34.6% / −39.1% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Dec 8, 2025 +103.2% | Not on one close | 75% 3/4 | +15.3% / +86.4% | −13.9% / −39.1% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Jan 20, 2026 +94.5% | Sell above $23.44 (+127.8%) | – | +132.6% / +132.6% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Nov 6, 2025 +120.7% | Buy below $7.32 (−28.8%) | – | +3.7% / +137.8% | 0.0% / −39.1% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −5.4% | Not on one close | 46% 11/24 | +78.5% / +69.2% | −41.4% / −39.1% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 24, 2026 −2.0% | Enter above $10.66 (+3.7%) | 57% 16/28 | +82.8% / +69.2% | −38.0% / −39.1% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Buy below $10.29 (0.0%) | 53% 79/149 | +24.6% / +93.2% | −29.3% / −39.1% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 21, 2026 −1.4% | Not on one close | 0% 0/2 | −19.5% / +132.6% | −27.1% / −39.1% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −11.3% | Enter above $12.60 (+22.5%) | 27% 21/77 | +5.4% / +52.0% | −37.2% / −39.1% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −5.6% | Buy below $11.11 (+8.0%) | 67% 4/6 | +11.8% / +72.8% | −14.2% / −39.1% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 −2.2% | Not on one close | 31% 11/35 | +45.1% / +74.0% | −35.5% / −39.1% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 18, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 43% 6/14 | +72.4% / +76.5% | −28.4% / −39.1% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Dec 8, 2025 +103.2% | Not on one close | 50% 1/2 | +8.1% / +75.4% | −11.5% / −39.1% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Apr 10, 2026 +33.6% | Exit below $8.09 (−21.4%) | – | +71.6% / +71.6% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −11.3% | Enter above $11.40 (+10.8%) | 36% 12/33 | +86.5% / +62.1% | −27.1% / −39.1% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $14.90 (+44.8%) | 42% 8/19 | +61.8% / +74.0% | −24.9% / −39.1% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −4.9% | Not on one close | 44% 16/36 | +46.6% / +76.5% | −35.2% / −39.1% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Apr 16, 2026 +27.3% | Not on one close | – | – / – | – / – |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −4.8% | Not on one close | 34% 18/53 | +4.5% / +95.6% | −51.7% / −39.1% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Mar 26, 2026 +57.4% | Not on one close | 25% 1/4 | +3.0% / +87.0% | −29.3% / −39.1% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Sep 14, 2026 +7.0% | Not on one close | 25% 2/8 | −7.0% / +75.9% | −35.9% / −39.1% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Mar 31, 2026 +50.6% | Not on one close | 25% 1/4 | +8.6% / +79.6% | −5.0% / −39.1% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −4.1% | Buys Oct 30 | 67% 2/3 | +93.7% / +93.2% | −13.8% / −39.1% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | May 12, 2026 −8.5% | Enter above $12.40 (+20.6%) | 100% 2/2 | +75.6% / +52.0% | −29.3% / −39.1% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 19, 2026 −14.5% | Window opens Oct 16 | 100% 2/2 | +83.9% / +52.0% | −29.3% / −39.1% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +92.9% | Buys Dec 23 | 50% 1/2 | +7.6% / +93.2% | −0.8% / −39.1% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −13.2% | Buys Oct 29 | 56% 20/36 | +67.8% / +93.2% | −11.0% / −39.1% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −5.6% | Sells Jun 30 | 0% 0/1 | −0.1% / +93.2% | −14.3% / −39.1% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −0.8% | Buys Nov 24 | 47% 14/30 | +5.1% / +93.2% | −4.1% / −39.1% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 31, 2025 +104.1% | Not on one close | – | +133.8% / +133.8% | −39.1% / −39.1% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −2.2% | Sells Oct 16 | 48% 76/159 | +23.1% / +93.2% | −47.2% / −39.1% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +6.1% | Buys Oct 27 | 46% 11/24 | +7.2% / +93.2% | −4.4% / −39.1% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −12.2% | Sells Oct 16 | 37% 14/38 | +16.7% / +93.2% | −30.4% / −39.1% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Apr 3, 2025 | Always in | – | +86.8% | −39.1% |
No balance-sheet data for this name, so debt is not scored.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
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