Financials

Sprott (SII)

C$163.98 −1.1% on the day·+43.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell21 / 100

Sell: 21 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Trend (−6% vs 200-day) scores 27 and lifts it; Off the high (−27% from its 1-year high) scores 10 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	SII	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	24%	24	40	9.6
Off the high	−27% from its 1-year high	10	30	3.0
Trend	−6% vs 200-day	27	30	8.1

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for SII

Factor	SII	Points	What it is
Plays in	24%	24	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+19% · 6 analysts · capped: below 200-day	50	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.5 · buy	75	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	29.1×	40	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	24.1×	21	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	2.46	23	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	7.4×	22	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	7.5×	23	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	1.3%	38	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+156%	89	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+23%	68	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	26%	77	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	27%	82	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	–	–	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0.
Off the high	−27% from its 1-year high	10	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	−6% vs 200-day	27	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+43%	73	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	5/10 · high	50	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on SII

24 of the 100 plays hold SII right now.
The trend-following, breakout and volume plays mostly say out.
It closed 6% below its 200-day average and 27% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads high: it moves about 1.6× its index and fell about 1.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$194.50, 19% above the close (6 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in24 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureHigh5 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple0.94×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−6%). Higher than on 29% of days since 2009. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about SII now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn SII: right 10 of 26 · Out since Sep 28, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopOUT37% of 36,314 calls rightOn SII: right 47 of 132 · Out since Sep 16, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn SII: right 8 of 31 · In since Feb 29, 2024 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn SII: right 106 of 161 · In since Sep 28, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexIN59% of 13,925 calls rightOn SII: right 33 of 45 · In since Mar 25, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn SII: right 65 of 138 · Out since Aug 28, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn SII: right 28 of 36 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

SII, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved SII lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Oct 1−2.7% against the S&P/TSX1.0× a normal day

SII −2.9%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; −2.8% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

HeadlineTradingView · Oct 1, 6:00 pm ETafter that close
Sprott Focus Trust 10% Owner Purchased Shares Worth Over $1.8M

Wed Sep 23−3.2% against the S&P/TSX1.1× a normal day

SII −4.8%, the S&P/TSX −1.6% that session; −5.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on SII was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for SII starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.6%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.3% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Fri Sep 11+5.3% against the S&P/TSX1.8× a normal day

SII +5.8%, the S&P/TSX +0.5% that session; −0.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on SII was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for SII starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.5%. The 25 other Financials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.9% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Wed Nov 4, 2026 before the open

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 1.56.

Over its last 12 reports, SII's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±2.1% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 6 times.
SII after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 11 of 20 times (median +0.2%).
SII after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 12 of 22 times (median −1.6%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on SII

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following1 of 30 in Breakouts & channels0 of 15 in Momentum6 of 17 in Mean reversion10 of 15 in Volume & money flow2 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on SII went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2008. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −7.1%	Enter above C$170.02 (+3.7%)	23% 129/561	−1.4% / +9.4%	−86.0% / −78.7%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −0.7%	Enter above C$169.87 (+3.6%)	20% 22/109	+3.5% / +11.1%	−73.3% / −78.7%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$170.86 (+4.2%)	18% 62/349	+2.5% / +11.8%	−87.1% / −78.7%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Jun 17, 2026 −9.8%	Enter above C$332.61 (+102.8%)	15% 17/110	+2.4% / +12.6%	−52.3% / −78.7%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above C$314.21 (+91.6%)	26% 14/53	+5.4% / +10.9%	−65.9% / −78.7%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above C$180.24 (+9.9%)	19% 13/70	+6.3% / +13.0%	−53.2% / −78.7%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$177.09 (+8.0%)	20% 9/44	+2.8% / +11.7%	−62.2% / −78.7%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$174.91 (+6.7%)	10% 22/211	+0.6% / +11.1%	−73.6% / −78.7%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 +14.2%	Enter above C$312.54 (+90.6%)	21% 7/33	+2.7% / +11.1%	−67.4% / −78.7%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$174.91 (+6.7%)	10% 13/124	+1.4% / +12.7%	−68.1% / −78.7%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 −0.7%	Enter above C$199.28 (+21.5%)	33% 39/117	+9.2% / +14.1%	−75.9% / −78.7%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −7.1%	Enter above C$169.42 (+3.3%)	22% 147/665	+3.1% / +9.5%	−86.2% / −78.7%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −5.6%	Enter above C$224.24 (+36.7%)	33% 73/222	+3.4% / +11.6%	−65.7% / −78.7%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jan 18, 2024 +267.2%	Not on one close	23% 8/35	+6.1% / +12.8%	−67.0% / −78.7%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −0.5%	Enter above C$201.05 (+22.6%)	32% 33/103	+10.4% / +12.1%	−64.9% / −78.7%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −0.5%	Not on one close	33% 32/98	+9.9% / +13.7%	−73.6% / −78.7%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 −0.5%	Enter above C$180.52 (+10.1%)	34% 43/126	+5.3% / +8.3%	−80.9% / −78.7%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 29, 2026 −3.8%	Not on one close	45% 108/240	+11.3% / +8.3%	−56.0% / −78.7%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −7.1%	Enter above C$190.68 (+16.3%)	39% 176/446	+13.1% / +8.7%	−50.7% / −78.7%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$187.49 (+14.3%)	40% 73/184	+9.9% / +8.8%	−56.5% / −78.7%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$171.35 (+4.5%)	40% 147/370	+6.9% / +7.9%	−61.3% / −78.7%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Not on one close	40% 51/128	+9.9% / +9.4%	−49.5% / −78.7%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$200.83 (+22.5%)	30% 47/158	+9.1% / +13.7%	−72.0% / −78.7%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above C$171.78 (+4.8%)	38% 80/211	+9.6% / +8.3%	−60.7% / −78.7%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$406.70 (+148.0%)	32% 59/184	+6.9% / +13.7%	−69.8% / −78.7%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −6.1%	Enter above C$187.49 (+14.3%)	39% 69/178	+4.4% / +11.6%	−66.2% / −78.7%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$195.67 (+19.3%)	28% 42/148	+7.3% / +11.8%	−73.5% / −78.7%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.2%	Enter above C$184.46 (+12.5%)	29% 24/84	+5.1% / +11.8%	−73.1% / −78.7%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −8.3%	Not on one close	44% 62/142	+10.3% / +11.3%	−34.9% / −78.7%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Not on one close	38% 10/26	+1.4% / +13.7%	−24.1% / −78.7%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$187.49 (+14.3%)	39% 38/98	+11.7% / +8.3%	−62.4% / −78.7%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	May 14, 2026 −11.7%	Enter above C$187.49 (+14.3%)	28% 27/98	+5.8% / +14.4%	−52.2% / −78.7%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 −7.5%	Enter above C$192.94 (+17.7%)	35% 21/60	+12.9% / +14.4%	−35.5% / −78.7%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Mar 19, 2026 −12.3%	Enter above C$190.13 (+15.9%)	29% 21/72	+2.2% / +11.8%	−51.6% / −78.7%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Not on one close	38% 38/100	+5.5% / +8.3%	−44.4% / −78.7%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −6.1%	Enter above C$185.62 (+13.2%)	43% 47/110	+9.0% / +9.5%	−47.3% / −78.7%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −6.1%	Enter above C$185.59 (+13.2%)	38% 62/164	+9.1% / +8.2%	−56.2% / −78.7%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$185.44 (+13.1%)	43% 66/154	+8.5% / +8.6%	−67.0% / −78.7%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Enter above C$179.41 (+9.4%)	38% 52/136	+9.8% / +8.3%	−53.3% / −78.7%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −5.6%	Enter above C$190.13 (+15.9%)	36% 47/132	+7.7% / +9.4%	−73.7% / −78.7%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 −6.5%	Enter above C$176.53 (+7.7%)	26% 74/280	+3.7% / +9.5%	−79.8% / −78.7%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −11.2%	Not on one close	34% 50/146	+0.9% / +8.3%	−37.5% / −78.7%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −10.0%	Not on one close	37% 44/120	−0.7% / +9.5%	−54.0% / −78.7%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$166.62 (+1.6%)	35% 199/562	+2.7% / +7.6%	−79.3% / −78.7%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −6.1%	Not on one close	29% 7/24	−0.3% / +11.5%	−29.4% / −78.7%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Apr 30, 2024 +219.1%	Exit below C$117.80 (−28.2%)	29% 9/31	+3.2% / +12.8%	−85.4% / −78.7%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Feb 29, 2024 +245.6%	Not on one close	26% 8/31	+4.2% / +12.8%	−78.3% / −78.7%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2024 +190.5%	Exit below C$130.99 (−20.1%)	21% 7/33	+4.8% / +12.8%	−74.9% / −78.7%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 0.0%	Buy C$167.29–C$188.58 (+2.0%)	16% 21/134	+4.2% / +11.8%	−66.6% / −78.7%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −7.0%	Enter above C$213.23 (+30.0%)	36% 8/22	+8.3% / +13.9%	−51.3% / −78.7%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 −8.3%	Enter above C$177.26 (+8.1%)	22% 18/82	+6.0% / +12.0%	−60.2% / −78.7%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −7.3%	Enter above C$179.02 (+9.2%)	34% 122/355	+6.8% / +13.7%	−50.6% / −78.7%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −7.1%	Enter above C$168.07 (+2.5%)	26% 176/668	+2.3% / +13.7%	−78.5% / −78.7%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Sep 9, 2026 −8.7%	Enter above C$247.90 (+51.2%)	40% 103/256	+7.0% / +14.2%	−49.4% / −78.7%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jan 31, 2024 +267.5%	Not on one close	30% 7/23	+9.5% / +14.0%	−79.9% / −78.7%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Aug 31, 2026 −10.0%	Enter above C$188.19 (+14.8%)	34% 143/422	+9.8% / +8.3%	−52.2% / −78.7%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 11, 2026 −11.3%	Enter above C$301.85 (+84.1%)	39% 86/221	+6.9% / +11.8%	−47.9% / −78.7%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$202.06 (+23.2%)	31% 48/153	+8.9% / +11.8%	−71.8% / −78.7%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 −3.4%	Enter above C$160.08 (−2.4%)	25% 18/71	+4.6% / +12.8%	−71.3% / −78.7%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Feb 29, 2024 +245.6%	Not on one close	15% 4/26	+0.5% / +8.2%	−78.1% / −78.5%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Mar 28, 2024 +244.6%	Not on one close	29% 10/35	−0.2% / +12.8%	−78.9% / −78.7%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 10, 2026 −6.1%	Enter above C$196.95 (+20.1%)	33% 93/286	+4.4% / +11.6%	−55.6% / −78.7%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Dec 8, 2023 +295.1%	Not on one close	71% 24/34	+3.1% / +8.7%	−65.7% / −78.7%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −8.5%	Not on one close	61% 116/190	+2.0% / +11.1%	−43.8% / −78.7%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 −11.6%	Not on one close	61% 154/254	+2.7% / +11.1%	−58.3% / −78.7%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	IN	Sep 28, 2026 −3.6%	Sell above C$171.26 (+4.4%)	66% 106/161	+2.8% / +8.2%	−54.2% / −78.7%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 −0.9%	Not on one close	54% 63/117	−4.5% / +8.7%	−86.3% / −78.7%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −3.5%	Not on one close	56% 130/231	−0.1% / +8.7%	−77.6% / −78.7%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	IN	Mar 24, 2026 −12.6%	Not on one close	64% 38/59	+3.5% / +7.6%	−69.9% / −78.7%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	May 11, 2009 +499.5%	Sell above C$422.77 (+157.8%)	–	+11.1% / +11.1%	−78.7% / −78.7%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Mar 25, 2026 −14.3%	Not on one close	61% 17/28	+2.5% / +11.6%	−14.9% / −78.7%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 11, 2026 −11.3%	Not on one close	45% 121/267	+2.0% / +9.5%	−72.3% / −78.7%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 −3.5%	Not on one close	49% 180/365	+1.0% / +9.5%	−87.5% / −78.7%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sell above C$163.98 (0.0%)	57% 892/1552	+8.5% / +7.5%	−53.4% / −78.7%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Aug 5, 2026 +1.6%	Not on one close	58% 35/60	+0.6% / +11.1%	−49.7% / −78.7%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 −1.1%	Exit below C$162.57 (−0.9%)	36% 314/878	+4.6% / +13.7%	−70.4% / −78.7%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −3.4%	Sell above C$173.19 (+5.6%)	58% 62/106	+1.3% / +8.8%	−62.3% / −78.7%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$163.98 (+0.0%)	30% 149/504	+6.1% / +8.2%	−68.2% / −78.7%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Aug 24, 2026 −12.4%	Exit below C$163.98 (0.0%)	34% 55/163	+1.6% / +8.3%	−76.7% / −78.7%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	IN	Mar 25, 2026 −14.3%	Not on one close	73% 33/45	+5.2% / +8.7%	−65.6% / −78.7%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$165.81 (+1.1%)	36% 40/110	+0.3% / +12.9%	−75.3% / −78.7%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$166.52 (+1.5%)	27% 144/540	+2.8% / +9.2%	−70.3% / −78.7%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −5.6%	Enter above C$204.94 (+25.0%)	40% 118/296	+11.5% / +8.2%	−43.8% / −78.7%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$163.98 (+0.0%)	38% 159/420	+4.1% / +8.3%	−69.4% / −78.7%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	OUT	Jul 13, 2026 +11.6%	Not on one close	31% 27/88	+4.0% / +13.6%	−69.9% / −78.7%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 −7.1%	Not on one close	35% 238/673	+5.1% / +11.3%	−74.8% / −78.7%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Aug 28, 2026 −11.2%	Enter above C$168.30 (+2.6%)	47% 65/138	+2.0% / +7.8%	−72.3% / −78.7%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Aug 5, 2026 +1.6%	Exit below C$143.29 (−12.6%)	39% 26/67	+2.1% / +7.7%	−66.6% / −78.7%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jul 22, 2026 +7.7%	Not on one close	41% 22/54	−0.6% / +8.7%	−26.0% / −78.7%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 −7.0%	Buys Oct 30	78% 28/36	+16.3% / +7.5%	−65.5% / −78.7%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 −7.5%	Enter above C$167.24 (+2.0%)	75% 27/36	+15.7% / +13.7%	−51.0% / −78.7%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 21, 2026 −7.5%	Window opens Oct 16	74% 26/35	+15.4% / +13.7%	−57.7% / −78.7%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +13.4%	Buys Dec 23	67% 24/36	+7.3% / +7.5%	−5.2% / −78.7%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 −0.9%	Buys Oct 29	52% 227/438	+4.1% / +7.5%	−49.9% / −78.7%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 −3.4%	Sells Jun 30	44% 4/9	+3.1% / +7.5%	−41.2% / −78.7%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 −8.5%	Buys Nov 24	57% 185/322	+6.4% / +7.5%	−11.8% / −78.7%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +296.8%	Not on one close	25% 4/16	+2.9% / +11.5%	−74.5% / −78.7%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	50% 945/1901	+0.2% / +7.5%	−70.6% / −78.7%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −5.6%	Buys Oct 27	50% 146/290	+3.5% / +7.5%	−11.8% / −78.7%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 −0.7%	Sells Oct 16	47% 214/451	−0.6% / +7.5%	−73.0% / −78.7%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jul 24, 2008	Always in	–	+7.7%	−78.7%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureHigh5 of 10 points

Market swings2/3
Past crashes1/2
Debt0/3
Run-up2/2

It moves about 1.6× its index.
It fell about 1.3× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 178% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

SII−36%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Jan 2023

SII−25%

TSX−14%

Beta1.60Moves about 1.6× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture16%In months the TSX fell, this fell 16% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+178%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−27%
Debt to equity0.07×
Net debt / EBITDANet cashHolds more cash than debt.
Interest cover74.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Asset Management · Sprott Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides asset management, portfolio management, wealth management, fund management, and administrative and consulting services to its clients. It offers mutual funds, hedge funds, and offshore funds, along with managed accounts. Further, the firm also provides broker-dealer activities. Sprott Inc. was formed on February 13, 2008, and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$4.2B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$400M	Total sales.
P/E ratio	29.1×	Buyers pay C$29 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	24.1×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	7.5×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	26.4%	Keeps 26¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+23.1%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+155.7%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	27.3%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$211M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$367M	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$0	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$190M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.00×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	74.9×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$194.50	19% above the close, from 6 analysts (range C$175.00 to C$215.00).
Consensus rating	Strong buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	1.34%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

SII: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Financials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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