Oct 13 close Sign in

Healthcare

Sienna Senior Living (SIA)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell26 / 100

Sell: 26 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−17% from its 1-year high) scores 43 and lifts it; Plays in (18%) scores 18 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightSIAPointsWeightAdds
Plays in18%18407.2
Off the high−17% from its 1-year high433012.9
Trend−10% vs 200-day21306.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for SIA
FactorSIAPointsWhat it is
Plays in18%18The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+38% · 11 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.5 · strong buy77The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E36.5×32Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E30.7×11Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG24.620P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales2.0×71Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.2×68Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield4.8%89Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+93%80Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+14%51Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin5%34Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity7%32Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity1.49×17Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−17% from its 1-year high43How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−10% vs 200-day21How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+10%44The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on SIA

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in18 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.90×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−10%). Higher than on 7% of days since 2011. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about SIA now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved SIA lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 23+2.9% against the S&P/TSX2.6× a normal day

SIA +1.3%, the S&P/TSX −1.6% that session; +1.7% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on SIA was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for SIA starts Oct 3, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.6%. The 17 other Healthcare stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.9% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on SIA

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on SIA went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2010. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −4.1%Enter above C$19.90 (+3.0%)27% 122/452+5.1% / +11.6%−36.1% / −53.2%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$21.33 (+10.4%)28% 15/53+11.2% / +10.6%−23.1% / −53.2%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −12.9%Enter above C$20.52 (+6.2%)23% 57/249+8.2% / +11.0%−27.9% / −53.2%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Not on one close19% 15/78+4.9% / +10.8%−15.1% / −53.2%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$29.53 (+52.8%)25% 13/51+10.1% / +10.9%−21.4% / −53.2%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Enter above C$23.18 (+20.0%)28% 21/74+8.1% / +10.8%−14.5% / −53.2%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −6.9%Enter above C$21.47 (+11.1%)33% 9/27+9.1% / +10.7%−25.4% / −53.2%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −8.7%Enter above C$21.56 (+11.6%)12% 14/121+8.6% / +10.7%−34.4% / −53.2%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 −4.7%Not on one close36% 9/25+8.5% / +10.7%−21.8% / −53.2%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −8.7%Enter above C$21.56 (+11.6%)13% 12/89+8.2% / +10.6%−23.0% / −53.2%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTAug 14, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$21.05 (+9.0%)44% 42/95+7.0% / +11.0%−36.6% / −53.2%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −4.3%Enter above C$19.60 (+1.5%)26% 144/556+5.5% / +11.6%−40.7% / −53.2%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 23, 2026 −6.3%Exit below C$19.00 (−1.7%)38% 65/169+4.2% / +10.8%−42.1% / −53.2%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.2%Enter above C$21.49 (+11.2%)35% 6/17+9.5% / +10.7%−21.1% / −53.2%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$29.38 (+52.1%)35% 30/85+9.6% / +11.0%−25.3% / −53.2%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTAug 10, 2026 −10.0%Not on one close28% 20/71+9.6% / +11.3%−31.2% / −53.2%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 −11.6%Enter above C$20.53 (+6.3%)39% 37/96+7.3% / +11.5%−42.7% / −53.2%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTAug 6, 2026 −12.9%Not on one close39% 82/208+5.1% / +11.5%−34.4% / −53.2%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −0.6%Enter above C$21.70 (+12.3%)37% 159/435+8.1% / +11.4%−19.0% / −53.2%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$20.70 (+7.1%)43% 67/156+8.4% / +11.7%−29.9% / −53.2%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −4.0%Enter above C$20.10 (+4.0%)43% 150/347+7.9% / +11.3%−23.0% / −53.2%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Enter above C$20.17 (+4.4%)33% 48/144+0.6% / +11.6%−22.6% / −53.2%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$23.90 (+23.7%)30% 38/127+9.5% / +11.4%−19.1% / −53.2%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Enter above C$20.06 (+3.8%)34% 28/82+8.8% / +11.5%−40.3% / −53.2%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$40.03 (+107.2%)35% 51/145+8.9% / +11.4%−21.4% / −53.2%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.2%Not on one close40% 62/156+6.8% / +10.8%−36.8% / −53.2%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$23.75 (+22.9%)33% 29/88+9.4% / +11.0%−23.8% / −53.2%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTAug 14, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$30.87 (+59.8%)38% 20/53+11.7% / +11.0%−28.1% / −53.2%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −3.0%Not on one close39% 52/132+3.3% / +10.6%−30.7% / −53.2%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 4, 2025 +8.9%Not on one close38% 9/24+1.2% / +11.4%−7.5% / −53.2%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Enter above C$20.70 (+7.1%)43% 33/76+9.8% / +11.5%−27.3% / −53.2%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTMar 20, 2026 −10.6%Enter above C$23.22 (+20.2%)32% 33/102+4.5% / +11.6%−24.1% / −53.2%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTMar 20, 2026 −10.6%Enter above C$23.22 (+20.2%)31% 20/64+8.2% / +11.6%−18.0% / −53.2%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 4, 2026 −11.6%Enter above C$44.41 (+129.9%)34% 24/70+6.7% / +11.0%−17.4% / −53.2%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Not on one close38% 36/96+5.1% / +11.5%−27.2% / −53.2%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 −14.6%Enter above C$21.09 (+9.2%)30% 38/126+0.4% / +11.6%−23.9% / −53.2%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 30, 2026 −14.6%Enter above C$20.90 (+8.2%)31% 58/190+1.8% / +11.5%−24.5% / −53.2%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Enter above C$20.61 (+6.7%)38% 53/140+5.9% / +11.7%−23.7% / −53.2%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Enter above C$20.54 (+6.3%)42% 46/110+9.6% / +11.5%−30.8% / −53.2%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 −6.0%Enter above C$21.11 (+9.2%)32% 10/31+6.3% / +11.2%−44.9% / −53.2%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Enter above C$20.42 (+5.7%)29% 62/214+8.6% / +11.6%−18.0% / −53.2%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −14.4%Not on one close25% 28/110+1.2% / +11.5%−10.1% / −53.2%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTJun 30, 2026 −10.8%Not on one close34% 55/160+2.6% / +11.6%−24.4% / −53.2%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −4.1%Enter above C$20.43 (+5.8%)35% 159/458+5.6% / +11.3%−32.2% / −53.2%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 16, 2025 +9.4%Not on one close26% 10/38+1.8% / +10.8%−12.6% / −53.2%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINDec 29, 2023 +95.0%Exit below C$19.07 (−1.3%)57% 8/14+10.2% / +10.8%−20.1% / −53.2%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINDec 29, 2023 +95.0%Not on one close50% 8/16+7.4% / +10.8%−52.5% / −53.2%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −4.0%Enter above C$21.21 (+9.8%)35% 9/26+6.7% / +10.8%−22.8% / −53.2%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Not on one close22% 19/85+8.7% / +11.0%−17.9% / −53.2%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINDec 29, 2023 +95.0%Exit below C$19.82 (+2.6%)25% 2/8+7.3% / +10.7%−52.5% / −53.2%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJul 24, 2026 −14.8%Enter above C$22.41 (+16.0%)29% 32/111+7.4% / +10.9%−18.6% / −53.2%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −0.6%Enter above C$19.83 (+2.6%)31% 105/335+3.0% / +11.4%−33.2% / −53.2%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −4.3%Enter above C$19.69 (+1.9%)29% 169/576+3.8% / +11.4%−41.8% / −53.2%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$20.32 (+5.2%)35% 84/239+5.1% / +11.8%−25.9% / −53.2%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINNov 30, 2023 +111.3%Not on one close29% 2/7+2.3% / +9.9%−52.5% / −53.2%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTJul 20, 2026 −15.3%Enter above C$21.09 (+9.2%)23% 121/518−0.1% / +11.5%−43.0% / −53.2%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above C$19.90 (+3.0%)36% 74/205+3.6% / +11.0%−27.0% / −53.2%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −10.8%Enter above C$24.05 (+24.5%)32% 39/123+9.1% / +11.0%−19.9% / −53.2%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTAug 31, 2026 −6.9%Enter above C$20.69 (+7.1%)33% 14/43+10.5% / +10.8%−23.9% / −53.2%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINDec 29, 2023 +95.0%Not on one close44% 7/16+5.8% / +9.6%−52.5% / −53.2%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −4.0%Not on one close38% 9/24+6.3% / +10.8%−52.5% / −53.2%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −0.6%Enter above C$19.98 (+3.4%)32% 82/256+2.6% / +10.8%−33.4% / −53.2%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 2, 2026 −5.4%Not on one close61% 20/33+3.3% / +11.4%−48.0% / −53.2%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 19, 2026 −10.6%Not on one close56% 131/234+3.4% / +10.7%−12.3% / −53.2%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 17, 2026 −3.6%Not on one close63% 204/326+4.9% / +10.7%−30.6% / −53.2%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 6, 2026 −0.6%Sell above C$19.93 (+3.2%)60% 73/121+1.1% / +11.5%−48.7% / −53.2%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINAug 5, 2026 −14.4%Not on one close56% 61/109+3.5% / +11.6%−47.2% / −53.2%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −4.1%Enter above C$19.39 (+0.4%)60% 122/202+6.6% / +11.4%−47.2% / −53.2%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINJun 2, 2026 −6.4%Not on one close69% 31/45+7.9% / +11.3%−48.0% / −53.2%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINFeb 7, 2011 +386.6%Sell above C$52.11 (+169.7%)–+10.7% / +10.7%−53.2% / −53.2%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTDec 2, 2021 +91.3%Not on one close50% 4/8−0.1% / +10.8%−38.9% / −53.2%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −4.3%Enter above C$19.71 (+2.0%)45% 115/254+7.8% / +11.6%−44.0% / −53.2%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −4.1%Enter above C$19.39 (+0.4%)53% 173/328+3.1% / +11.6%−56.7% / −53.2%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −4.0%Buy below C$19.32 (0.0%)55% 698/1279+0.3% / +11.4%−44.8% / −53.2%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINAug 10, 2026 −10.0%Sell above C$20.47 (+5.9%)59% 44/75+3.0% / +10.7%−17.5% / −53.2%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −4.0%Enter above C$19.37 (+0.3%)37% 297/801+5.2% / +11.4%−48.1% / −53.2%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −6.9%Sell above C$20.54 (+6.3%)49% 49/99+1.7% / +11.6%−48.0% / −53.2%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −0.6%Not on one close25% 137/540+3.3% / +11.5%−24.8% / −53.2%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 −0.6%Not on one close44% 65/148+8.8% / +11.5%−23.7% / −53.2%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINJun 3, 2026 −6.7%Not on one close61% 25/41+6.1% / +11.4%−48.2% / −53.2%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −7.3%Not on one close25% 14/57+7.6% / +10.8%−53.2% / −53.2%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −3.0%Enter above C$19.71 (+2.0%)27% 149/546+4.2% / +11.6%−25.8% / −53.2%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.2%Enter above C$23.10 (+19.5%)35% 94/266+6.3% / +11.5%−25.9% / −53.2%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −3.4%Not on one close35% 141/404+3.2% / +11.5%−40.0% / −53.2%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 −11.4%Not on one close33% 27/82+6.0% / +10.8%−33.2% / −53.2%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −3.0%Not on one close36% 232/648+4.8% / +10.9%−36.2% / −53.2%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTJul 20, 2026 −15.3%Not on one close41% 56/136+5.6% / +11.1%−35.2% / −53.2%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTJul 31, 2026 −12.7%Not on one close48% 27/56+10.8% / +11.3%−26.7% / −53.2%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJan 2, 2025 +34.8%Not on one close21% 5/24+1.3% / +11.6%−5.9% / −53.2%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −15.9%Buys Oct 3061% 20/33+9.0% / +11.4%−52.1% / −53.2%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 22, 2026 −12.5%Enter above C$19.75 (+2.2%)56% 18/32+8.9% / +11.4%−52.1% / −53.2%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 23, 2026 −12.8%Window opens Oct 1650% 16/32+8.0% / +11.4%−52.4% / −53.2%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −5.4%Buys Dec 2350% 16/32+2.8% / +11.4%−4.1% / −53.2%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.2%Buys Oct 2945% 178/396+0.7% / +11.4%−42.4% / −53.2%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −4.0%Sells Jun 3056% 5/9+4.1% / +11.4%−17.0% / −53.2%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −6.1%Buys Nov 2451% 148/290+3.0% / +11.4%−6.3% / −53.2%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +123.6%Not on one close42% 5/12+9.5% / +10.6%−20.1% / −53.2%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1651% 880/1719+7.1% / +11.4%−43.7% / −53.2%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −2.2%Buys Oct 2742% 111/262+1.5% / +11.4%−13.1% / −53.2%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −3.4%Sells Oct 1647% 190/407+4.3% / +11.4%−49.2% / −53.2%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINApr 20, 2010Always in–+11.4%−53.2%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt2/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It fell about 1.4× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It carries 2.0× as much debt as equity.
  • It operating profit covers interest only 2.5×.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2024

SIA−52%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · back to its old high Feb 2024

SIA−19%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.59Moves about 0.6× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture46%In months the TSX fell, this fell 46% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+30%
  • From 52-week high−17%
  • Debt to equity1.98×
  • Net debt / EBITDA6.6×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover2.5×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Medical Care Facilities · Sienna Senior Living Inc. provides senior living services in Canada. It operates through Retirement and Long-Term Care (LTC) segments. The company offers independent living, independent supportive and assisted living, memory care, and long-term and continuing care services.

Size and valuation
Market capC$2.1BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$1.1BTotal sales. The market values it at 2.0× sales.
P/E ratio36.5×Buyers pay C$36 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E30.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book2.2×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin4.8%Keeps 5¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+13.7%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+93.2%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity6.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$2.4MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$720MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$1.4BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$221MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity1.98×Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover2.5×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$26.5738% above the close, from 11 analysts (range C$24.25 to C$28.50).
Consensus ratingStrong buyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield4.85%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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