SAP −4.7%, the S&P/TSX −0.2% that session; −3.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.
- HeadlineMarketWatch · Oct 1, 4:34 pm ETafter that close
Consumer & retail
Saputo (SAP)
Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.
Your signal
Sell36 / 100
Sell: 36 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Off the high (−13% from its 1-year high) scores 56 and lifts it; Plays in (25%) scores 25 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | SAP | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 25% | 25 | 40 | 10.0 |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 56 | 30 | 16.8 |
| Trend | −5% vs 200-day | 29 | 30 | 8.7 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for SAP
| Factor | SAP | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 25% | 25 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +21% · 10 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.4 · buy | 30 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 22.5× | 56 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 16.5× | 48 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 0.51 | 87 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 0.9× | 90 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to book | 2.2× | 70 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 2.1% | 53 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −99% | 3 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +2% | 14 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 3% | 27 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 10% | 43 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.42× | 57 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −13% from its 1-year high | 56 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −5% vs 200-day | 29 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +19% | 54 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 0/10 · low | 100 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on SAP- 25 of the 100 plays hold SAP right now.
- The trend-following, breakout and volume plays mostly say out.
- It closed 5% below its 200-day average and 13% below its 52-week high.
- Crash exposure reads low.
- Analysts' average 12-month target is C$46.70, 21% above the close (10 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in25 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow0 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.95×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−5%). Higher than on 19% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.
The most accurate play in each family
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about SAP now.
Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn SAP: right 18 of 42 · Out since Jan 15, 2026Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn SAP: right 19 of 54 · In since Aug 13, 2026Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn SAP: right 11 of 32 · In since Sep 30, 2025Mean reversionBollinger ReversionIN64% of 53,095 calls rightOn SAP: right 120 of 181 · In since Oct 1, 2026Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn SAP: right 34 of 48 · Out since Mar 3, 2025Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn SAP: right 86 of 161 · In since Sep 16, 2026CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn SAP: right 23 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
SAP, day by day
How to read candlesticksEach candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved SAP lately
Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Two years of calls, week by week
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Every play on SAP
All 100 plays, by family.
Trend following2 of 30 inBreakouts & channels1 of 15 inMomentum7 of 17 inMean reversion8 of 15 inVolume & money flow2 of 9 inCandles & chart patterns1 of 3 inCalendar4 of 11 in
Calls right: how often the play's calls on SAP went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above C$39.28 (+1.6%) | 26% 175/675 | −1.6% / +9.0% | −61.1% / −44.6% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −3.8% | Enter above C$40.63 (+5.1%) | 25% 28/111 | +4.1% / +9.0% | −50.5% / −44.6% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above C$39.87 (+3.1%) | 21% 82/387 | +1.6% / +9.0% | −54.0% / −44.6% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Jul 30, 2026 −6.0% | Enter above C$112.19 (+190.1%) | 16% 23/146 | +3.3% / +9.2% | −19.5% / −44.6% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −2.7% | Enter above C$51.52 (+33.2%) | 26% 19/73 | +5.2% / +9.0% | −42.3% / −44.6% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −2.7% | Enter above C$44.29 (+14.5%) | 31% 28/91 | +5.1% / +9.0% | −38.0% / −44.6% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −1.4% | Enter above C$41.05 (+6.2%) | 39% 13/33 | +8.3% / +9.0% | −35.2% / −44.6% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above C$40.92 (+5.8%) | 15% 27/179 | +6.1% / +9.0% | −42.5% / −44.6% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −3.0% | Enter above C$98.27 (+154.1%) | 42% 13/31 | +6.3% / +9.0% | −50.0% / −44.6% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above C$43.30 (+12.0%) | 19% 25/129 | +4.6% / +9.0% | −39.7% / −44.6% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −3.8% | Enter above C$41.24 (+6.6%) | 35% 51/147 | +5.1% / +9.0% | −34.3% / −44.6% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above C$39.45 (+2.0%) | 22% 177/819 | −2.6% / +9.0% | −63.0% / −44.6% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$40.44 (+4.6%) | 30% 86/285 | +0.7% / +9.0% | −53.4% / −44.6% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | Jun 16, 2025 +49.1% | Exit below C$15.30 (−60.4%) | 22% 7/32 | +6.3% / +9.0% | −48.4% / −44.6% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 20, 2026 −5.0% | Enter above C$48.70 (+25.9%) | 30% 38/125 | +5.5% / +9.0% | −39.6% / −44.6% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −2.7% | Not on one close | 30% 37/123 | +6.0% / +9.0% | −37.0% / −44.6% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −1.8% | Enter above C$40.37 (+4.4%) | 34% 43/127 | +3.1% / +9.0% | −46.7% / −44.6% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −3.8% | Not on one close | 41% 133/321 | +2.3% / +9.0% | −51.3% / −44.6% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$41.03 (+6.1%) | 36% 210/583 | +1.3% / +9.0% | −46.9% / −44.6% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 15, 2026 −2.3% | Enter above C$41.12 (+6.3%) | 37% 83/227 | +4.5% / +9.0% | −49.7% / −44.6% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$40.30 (+4.2%) | 37% 182/489 | +1.3% / +9.0% | −40.1% / −44.6% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Mar 19, 2026 −7.0% | Not on one close | 27% 43/159 | +1.6% / +9.0% | −34.6% / −44.6% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 −5.2% | Enter above C$44.18 (+14.3%) | 26% 46/175 | +4.4% / +9.0% | −44.0% / −44.6% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −3.8% | Enter above C$40.24 (+4.1%) | 31% 47/153 | +3.1% / +9.0% | −62.3% / −44.6% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −4.4% | Enter above C$69.03 (+78.5%) | 31% 72/231 | +4.3% / +9.0% | −38.0% / −44.6% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 −3.4% | Exit below C$37.63 (−2.7%) | 36% 90/250 | +1.4% / +9.0% | −40.6% / −44.6% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 25, 2026 −4.7% | Enter above C$43.80 (+13.3%) | 26% 35/137 | +3.6% / +9.0% | −38.4% / −44.6% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Aug 18, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above C$49.97 (+29.2%) | 25% 24/97 | +5.1% / +9.0% | −49.0% / −44.6% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 32% 68/210 | +0.0% / +9.0% | −40.9% / −44.6% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jan 15, 2026 −6.9% | Not on one close | 43% 18/42 | +2.3% / +9.0% | −10.1% / −44.6% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −2.7% | Enter above C$41.12 (+6.3%) | 26% 33/125 | +1.7% / +9.0% | −54.5% / −44.6% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Apr 13, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above C$41.12 (+6.3%) | 31% 39/127 | +3.3% / +9.0% | −32.1% / −44.6% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Apr 13, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above C$44.75 (+15.7%) | 30% 27/91 | +2.8% / +9.0% | −42.9% / −44.6% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −2.7% | Enter above C$57.74 (+49.3%) | 37% 32/87 | +4.0% / +9.0% | −42.7% / −44.6% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Apr 13, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above C$44.38 (+14.8%) | 34% 41/119 | +2.4% / +9.0% | −49.5% / −44.6% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jan 6, 2026 −1.4% | Enter above C$41.50 (+7.3%) | 26% 33/128 | +1.4% / +9.0% | −34.6% / −44.6% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −5.5% | Enter above C$41.41 (+7.1%) | 31% 71/229 | +1.4% / +9.0% | −39.2% / −44.6% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$40.80 (+5.5%) | 30% 54/183 | +2.2% / +9.0% | −41.4% / −44.6% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.1% | Enter above C$40.35 (+4.4%) | 31% 50/163 | +1.4% / +9.0% | −52.8% / −44.6% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Aug 13, 2026 −8.9% | Exit below C$37.48 (−3.1%) | 35% 19/54 | +4.3% / +9.0% | −48.9% / −44.6% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$40.04 (+3.5%) | 27% 77/285 | +1.4% / +9.0% | −47.9% / −44.6% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Dec 19, 2025 −4.7% | Not on one close | 30% 41/138 | +1.0% / +9.0% | −18.2% / −44.6% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jun 9, 2026 −6.8% | Not on one close | 32% 60/185 | +0.9% / +9.0% | −32.2% / −44.6% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$40.04 (+3.5%) | 31% 207/671 | −0.9% / +9.0% | −50.1% / −44.6% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 29, 2025 +17.9% | Not on one close | 37% 14/38 | +2.4% / +9.0% | −11.2% / −44.6% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Aug 29, 2025 +15.4% | Exit below C$34.45 (−10.9%) | 31% 10/32 | +4.0% / +9.0% | −50.0% / −44.6% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2025 +16.7% | Not on one close | 34% 11/32 | +2.7% / +9.0% | −65.0% / −44.6% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Aug 29, 2025 +15.4% | Exit below C$38.31 (−0.9%) | 45% 10/22 | +4.9% / +9.0% | −25.0% / −44.6% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Aug 25, 2026 −4.7% | Not on one close | 33% 34/103 | +8.0% / +9.0% | −31.8% / −44.6% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | IN | Aug 29, 2025 +15.4% | Exit below C$37.92 (−1.9%) | 28% 5/18 | +4.1% / +9.0% | −41.7% / −44.6% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Apr 17, 2026 +2.0% | Enter above C$42.13 (+8.9%) | 31% 34/111 | +4.5% / +9.0% | −42.6% / −44.6% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$39.31 (+1.7%) | 31% 148/473 | −0.6% / +9.0% | −50.8% / −44.6% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above C$39.00 (+0.9%) | 29% 230/789 | −2.0% / +9.0% | −59.5% / −44.6% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above C$44.69 (+15.6%) | 38% 127/337 | +2.0% / +9.0% | −42.9% / −44.6% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +42.4% | Not on one close | 20% 5/25 | +4.6% / +9.5% | −59.3% / −44.6% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above C$41.62 (+7.6%) | 29% 173/600 | −1.0% / +9.0% | −31.4% / −44.6% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above C$45.44 (+17.5%) | 34% 94/273 | +1.2% / +9.0% | −44.7% / −44.6% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 26, 2026 −5.2% | Enter above C$44.38 (+14.8%) | 25% 44/173 | +4.7% / +9.0% | −43.2% / −44.6% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above C$39.49 (+2.1%) | 33% 27/83 | +7.5% / +9.0% | −48.3% / −44.6% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2025 +16.7% | Not on one close | 33% 10/30 | +0.1% / +9.6% | −65.0% / −44.6% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2025 +16.7% | Not on one close | 42% 16/38 | +0.4% / +9.0% | −59.5% / −44.6% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$40.17 (+3.9%) | 30% 113/379 | −0.5% / +9.0% | −61.4% / −44.6% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Apr 17, 2026 +2.0% | Not on one close | 71% 29/41 | +7.8% / +9.0% | −29.5% / −44.6% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 16, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 63% 177/280 | +4.1% / +9.0% | −23.4% / −44.6% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 16, 2026 −9.4% | Not on one close | 65% 235/362 | +6.4% / +9.0% | −30.7% / −44.6% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Sell above C$39.41 (+1.9%) | 66% 120/181 | +5.1% / +9.0% | −27.3% / −44.6% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Sep 2, 2026 −4.6% | Not on one close | 69% 101/147 | +5.4% / +9.0% | −24.1% / −44.6% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −0.1% | Not on one close | 66% 186/283 | +8.1% / +9.0% | −35.5% / −44.6% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Jan 31, 2025 +66.7% | Not on one close | 66% 38/58 | +4.2% / +9.0% | −33.8% / −44.6% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +591.1% | Sell above C$98.91 (+155.8%) | – | +9.0% / +9.0% | −44.6% / −44.6% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Jun 15, 2021 +19.4% | Buy below C$30.17 (−22.0%) | 50% 4/8 | +2.2% / +9.0% | −4.1% / −44.6% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 −2.6% | Enter above C$38.84 (+0.4%) | 46% 153/336 | +3.2% / +9.0% | −39.3% / −44.6% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −0.1% | Not on one close | 55% 260/475 | +6.1% / +9.0% | −43.0% / −44.6% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 6, 2026 +2.2% | Buy below C$38.67 (0.0%) | 61% 1017/1668 | +8.0% / +9.0% | −29.8% / −44.6% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | May 20, 2026 −7.0% | Not on one close | 64% 50/78 | +5.0% / +9.0% | −19.7% / −44.6% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 −0.9% | Exit below C$37.88 (−2.0%) | 38% 395/1037 | +0.8% / +9.0% | −47.3% / −44.6% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Sell above C$40.82 (+5.6%) | 58% 76/132 | +5.8% / +9.0% | −37.6% / −44.6% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.3% | Enter above C$38.67 (+0.0%) | 28% 189/681 | +0.0% / +9.0% | −47.9% / −44.6% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Not on one close | 40% 82/205 | +5.2% / +9.0% | −42.6% / −44.6% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Mar 3, 2025 +59.6% | Not on one close | 71% 34/48 | +5.1% / +9.0% | −28.6% / −44.6% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Jul 30, 2026 −6.0% | Not on one close | 34% 61/181 | +5.3% / +9.2% | −43.3% / −44.6% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.3% | Enter above C$39.47 (+2.1%) | 26% 190/735 | −1.6% / +9.0% | −63.0% / −44.6% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Oct 1, 2026 +1.5% | Enter above C$42.04 (+8.7%) | 33% 124/373 | +2.4% / +9.0% | −51.3% / −44.6% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 −3.3% | Not on one close | 30% 173/577 | −1.9% / +9.0% | −62.7% / −44.6% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Apr 21, 2025 +51.1% | Not on one close | 31% 34/110 | +7.3% / +9.3% | −52.2% / −44.6% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 +0.4% | Not on one close | 33% 305/919 | −2.9% / +9.0% | −64.8% / −44.6% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | Sep 16, 2026 −3.2% | Not on one close | 53% 86/161 | +7.0% / +9.0% | −34.6% / −44.6% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 −4.7% | Not on one close | 31% 30/96 | +2.1% / +9.0% | −32.8% / −44.6% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 5, 2026 −0.7% | Not on one close | 40% 27/68 | +1.8% / +9.0% | −17.2% / −44.6% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −5.0% | Buys Oct 30 | 53% 23/43 | +7.2% / +9.0% | −33.2% / −44.6% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 13, 2026 −4.5% | Enter above C$38.64 (−0.1%) | 56% 24/43 | +7.2% / +9.0% | −29.5% / −44.6% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | Apr 20, 2026 +1.5% | Window opens Oct 16 | 56% 24/43 | +6.5% / +9.0% | −30.4% / −44.6% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −3.2% | Buys Dec 23 | 57% 25/44 | +2.1% / +9.0% | −5.5% / −44.6% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +1.0% | Buys Oct 29 | 49% 256/526 | +0.9% / +9.0% | −34.9% / −44.6% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 −3.3% | Sells Jun 30 | 36% 4/11 | +3.1% / +9.0% | −22.2% / −44.6% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −3.1% | Buys Nov 24 | 49% 189/386 | +2.8% / +9.0% | −6.9% / −44.6% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +26.4% | Not on one close | 50% 10/20 | +4.2% / +9.0% | −39.6% / −44.6% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 52% 1186/2284 | +5.5% / +9.0% | −49.0% / −44.6% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −3.2% | Buys Oct 27 | 45% 155/348 | +0.9% / +9.0% | −10.7% / −44.6% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −0.1% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 272/541 | +1.1% / +9.0% | −38.6% / −44.6% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 4, 2005 | Always in | – | +9.0% | −44.6% |
If the market cracks: the storm test
How the storm test worksExposureLow0 of 10 points
- Market swings0/3
- Past crashes0/2
- Debt0/3
- Run-up0/2
Nothing on the checklist stands out.
- Beta0.45Moves about 0.4× as much as the TSX week to week.
- Downside capture−109%In months the TSX fell, this fell -109% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
- Two-year change+41%
- From 52-week high−13%
- Debt to equity0.44×
- Net debt / EBITDA1.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
- Interest cover9.2×
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
The business behind the price
How to judge these numbersPackaged Foods · Saputo Inc. produces, markets, and distributes dairy products in Canada, the United States, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company offers mozzarella and cheddar; specialty cheeses, such as ricotta, provolone, parmesan, goat cheese, feta, havarti, snacking, romano, string, blue, and soft and processed cheeses; and brie, camembert, brick, colby, farmer, munster, monterey jack, and fresh curd.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | C$15.3B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | C$17.6B | Total sales. The market values it at 0.9× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 22.5× | Buyers pay C$22 for each C$1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 16.5× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 2.2× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 2.9% | Keeps 3¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +1.5% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | −98.7% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 10.4% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | C$1.2B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | C$6.8B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | C$3.0B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | C$488M | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.44× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 9.2× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | C$46.70 | 21% above the close, from 10 analysts (range C$41.00 to C$53.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 2.09% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Read more
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