Oct 13 close Sign in

Industrials & materials

Rocket Lab (RKLB)

In the Nasdaq-100.

Your signal

Sell13 / 100

Sell: 13 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (26%) scores 26 and lifts it; Off the high (−57% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightRKLBPointsWeightAdds
Plays in26%264010.4
Off the high−57% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−21% vs 200-day8302.4
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for RKLB
FactorRKLBPointsWhat it is
Plays in26%26The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+64% · 19 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.6 · buy70The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E––Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales50.0×2Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Price to book11.0×16Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth+53%87Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Profit margin−22%6Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Return on equity−5%12Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Debt to equity0.00×96Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Off the high−57% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−21% vs 200-day8How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−2%30The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure10/10 · very high0The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on RKLB

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in26 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureVery high10 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.79×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−21%). Higher than on 19% of days since 2021. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about RKLB now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

RKLB, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved RKLB lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Sep 24+4.7% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day

RKLB +4.7%, the S&P 500 0.0% that session; −0.2% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on RKLB was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for RKLB starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved 0.0%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Mon Sep 21+6.7% against the S&P 5001.4× a normal day

RKLB +8.2%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; +13.3% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on RKLB was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for RKLB starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Thu Sep 17+5.3% against the S&P 5001.1× a normal day

RKLB +6.5%, the S&P 500 +1.1% that session; +8.3% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on RKLB was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for RKLB starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.1%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.6% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on RKLB

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on RKLB went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2020. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $69.22 (+7.8%)29% 44/154+18.9% / +37.8%−69.9% / −83.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTJul 10, 2026 −20.8%Enter above $78.43 (+22.1%)26% 6/23+21.6% / +33.8%−64.8% / −78.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $71.43 (+11.2%)31% 22/70+66.5% / +39.2%−46.7% / −83.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJun 22, 2026 −36.0%Not on one close32% 8/25+41.0% / +34.7%−45.8% / −76.2%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 10, 2026 −20.8%Enter above $84.12 (+31.0%)29% 6/21+41.9% / +41.5%−53.8% / −83.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 10, 2026 −20.8%Enter above $84.12 (+31.0%)35% 6/17+44.8% / +33.2%−46.3% / −77.7%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 −1.1%Enter above $82.17 (+28.0%)30% 3/10+43.1% / +43.7%−61.0% / −83.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTAug 19, 2026 −15.3%Enter above $81.54 (+27.0%)13% 5/39+39.1% / +32.6%−66.6% / −78.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 −4.9%Not on one close29% 2/7+42.2% / +32.6%−62.1% / −78.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTAug 19, 2026 −15.3%Enter above $81.54 (+27.0%)11% 2/19+47.8% / +35.6%−59.5% / −78.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINSep 25, 2026 −13.2%Exit below $60.93 (−5.1%)45% 14/31+53.4% / +38.3%−59.3% / −83.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $68.66 (+6.9%)25% 50/201+24.5% / +37.6%−68.6% / −83.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINAug 5, 2026 −14.2%Exit below $50.09 (−22.0%)57% 26/46+68.0% / +39.0%−65.4% / −83.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −13.2%Exit below $60.73 (−5.4%)40% 2/5+55.0% / +50.7%−63.3% / −66.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTJun 23, 2026 −32.5%Enter above $105.07 (+63.6%)32% 9/28+36.4% / +41.4%−71.3% / −83.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTJun 24, 2026 −24.8%Enter above $82.90 (+29.1%)29% 8/28+18.7% / +36.1%−74.9% / −83.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINSep 24, 2026 −12.8%Exit below $63.94 (−0.4%)47% 18/38+41.2% / +37.3%−60.8% / −83.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −8.9%Flips at next check40% 28/70+26.2% / +37.3%−56.3% / −83.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −2.3%Enter above $78.05 (+21.5%)32% 51/157+17.6% / +36.8%−69.5% / −83.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −13.2%Exit below $60.51 (−5.8%)50% 22/44+46.9% / +37.4%−51.8% / −83.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −10.7%Enter above $74.92 (+16.7%)44% 56/127+38.6% / +37.1%−61.1% / −83.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 19, 2026 −15.3%Not on one close43% 16/37+28.5% / +37.3%−55.5% / −83.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $73.29 (+14.1%)52% 17/33+71.5% / +38.2%−53.1% / −83.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.8%Enter above $70.94 (+10.5%)40% 37/93+40.8% / +37.3%−69.5% / −83.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.8%Enter above $98.12 (+52.8%)45% 25/56+52.8% / +38.2%−55.2% / −83.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −2.3%Not on one close50% 29/58+32.6% / +39.0%−63.3% / −83.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −2.3%Enter above $75.78 (+18.0%)47% 16/34+74.2% / +39.2%−52.0% / −83.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTJul 6, 2026 −31.0%Enter above $107.38 (+67.2%)25% 6/24+30.8% / +39.2%−72.7% / −83.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +1.1%Exit below $60.51 (−5.8%)40% 17/43+33.5% / +43.2%−53.0% / −83.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJan 30, 2026 −19.8%Not on one close36% 10/28−2.0% / +38.2%−31.6% / −83.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINSep 22, 2026 −10.8%Exit below $61.74 (−3.9%)39% 13/33+38.0% / +37.3%−60.8% / −83.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 3, 2026 −44.0%Enter above $86.83 (+35.2%)38% 12/32+33.2% / +37.3%−42.8% / −83.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTJun 23, 2026 −32.5%Enter above $86.83 (+35.2%)33% 8/24+35.0% / +37.3%−48.0% / −83.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJun 3, 2026 −44.0%Not on one close50% 10/20+57.8% / +39.2%−33.3% / −83.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJun 23, 2026 −32.5%Enter above $75.37 (+17.4%)50% 13/26+37.4% / +37.3%−59.9% / −83.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 −47.5%Enter above $80.04 (+24.6%)40% 16/40+34.4% / +37.6%−45.1% / −83.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $77.40 (+20.5%)36% 26/72+25.6% / +37.4%−41.9% / −83.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $75.06 (+16.9%)48% 25/52+69.3% / +37.4%−46.4% / −83.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 24, 2026 −12.8%Exit below $64.25 (+0.0%)53% 23/43+52.7% / +37.3%−50.5% / −83.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $79.55 (+23.9%)35% 41/117+17.6% / +37.1%−69.5% / −83.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 12, 2026 −2.3%Enter above $70.32 (+9.5%)34% 29/86+43.0% / +37.3%−59.7% / −83.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTJun 1, 2026 −47.5%Not on one close29% 15/52+6.8% / +37.3%−35.0% / −83.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTApr 27, 2026 −22.0%Not on one close40% 16/40+10.9% / +37.6%−26.6% / −83.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $64.56 (+0.5%)32% 59/186+17.4% / +37.4%−77.8% / −83.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close10% 1/10−2.9% / +41.3%−28.9% / −83.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINSep 30, 2024 +560.0%Exit below $65.31 (+1.7%)17% 1/6+22.2% / +34.7%−61.1% / −76.2%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINSep 30, 2024 +560.0%Not on one close17% 1/6+26.3% / +34.7%−61.7% / −76.2%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINSep 30, 2024 +560.0%Exit below $72.61 (+13.1%)50% 3/6+41.6% / +34.7%−61.0% / −76.2%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTDec 19, 2025 −8.9%Not on one close27% 6/22+34.6% / +39.2%−34.7% / −83.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −36.8%Enter above $142.72 (+122.2%)50% 3/6+15.5% / +35.7%−65.2% / −78.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJul 10, 2026 −20.8%Enter above $89.71 (+39.7%)25% 7/28+27.0% / +41.5%−65.7% / −83.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.8%Enter above $76.76 (+19.5%)41% 42/103+30.0% / +38.2%−74.4% / −83.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $69.04 (+7.5%)29% 57/194+17.2% / +38.2%−65.9% / −83.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −5.3%Exit below $69.74 (+8.6%)42% 35/83+29.2% / +37.8%−70.9% / −83.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINAug 30, 2024 +924.2%Not on one close0% 0/3+82.9% / +103.1%−61.0% / −61.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −10.7%Enter above $79.62 (+24.0%)27% 42/156+19.0% / +37.3%−43.0% / −83.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 21, 2026 −8.1%Exit below $54.54 (−15.1%)49% 30/61+41.7% / +39.2%−68.5% / −83.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $72.85 (+13.4%)50% 16/32+70.6% / +39.2%−53.1% / −83.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −7.8%Exit below $69.36 (+8.0%)19% 3/16+27.9% / +34.7%−61.0% / −76.2%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINSep 30, 2024 +560.0%Not on one close0% 0/2+93.8% / +155.3%−61.0% / −61.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINSep 30, 2024 +560.0%Not on one close33% 1/3+39.9% / +34.7%−61.0% / −76.2%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $70.61 (+10.0%)41% 30/73+49.8% / +39.0%−72.9% / −83.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINJul 30, 2026 −0.7%Not on one close64% 7/11+9.0% / +37.1%−65.0% / −83.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −7.9%Not on one close64% 36/56+5.5% / +32.6%−37.9% / −78.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 −2.5%Not on one close64% 49/76+9.7% / +32.6%−59.3% / −78.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 8, 2026 −7.0%Buy below $63.09 (−1.8%)55% 22/40−5.3% / +37.4%−61.2% / −83.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −13.2%Enter above $65.99 (+2.8%)55% 21/38+8.5% / +37.4%−78.2% / −83.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −0.5%Enter above $66.12 (+3.0%)54% 37/68−13.0% / +36.8%−70.9% / −83.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 −13.2%Not on one close61% 11/18+22.1% / +37.4%−40.0% / −83.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINFeb 11, 2025 +127.6%Sell above $197.09 (+206.9%)67% 4/6+25.6% / +32.6%−78.3% / −78.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTJun 29, 2026 −34.5%Not on one close71% 10/14+5.4% / +39.0%−18.6% / −83.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 −8.9%Enter above $69.80 (+8.7%)43% 33/76+6.7% / +37.6%−72.5% / −83.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 18, 2026 −0.5%Enter above $66.02 (+2.8%)47% 54/114+1.9% / +37.6%−78.7% / −83.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.8%Buy below $64.22 (0.0%)56% 312/553+31.1% / +38.0%−44.3% / −83.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 −22.5%Not on one close50% 11/22+2.4% / +32.6%−48.9% / −78.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −10.7%Enter above $71.35 (+11.1%)35% 96/272+12.3% / +38.2%−66.9% / −83.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −7.8%Buy below $71.08 (+10.7%)73% 27/37+28.4% / +37.4%−51.2% / −83.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Not on one close29% 44/152+59.7% / +37.4%−59.8% / −83.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −3.0%Not on one close42% 21/50+14.0% / +37.3%−74.2% / −83.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINSep 3, 2026 +0.6%Not on one close67% 10/15+27.3% / +37.1%−69.1% / −83.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTJun 3, 2024 +1,383.1%Not on one close50% 2/4+6.1% / +34.7%−8.4% / −76.2%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −6.1%Enter above $67.46 (+5.0%)32% 51/157+29.0% / +37.4%−58.9% / −83.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $84.57 (+31.7%)38% 36/96+36.8% / +37.4%−54.5% / −83.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTSep 29, 2026 −7.9%Not on one close31% 51/162+12.4% / +37.3%−74.5% / −83.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −5.8%Not on one close20% 4/20+53.5% / +39.5%−65.2% / −72.7%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −10.7%Not on one close36% 79/217+18.9% / +40.6%−59.6% / −83.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +1.8%Not on one close50% 16/32+10.0% / +37.4%−76.5% / −83.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINSep 17, 2026 −5.3%Exit below $60.51 (−5.8%)53% 10/19+69.3% / +37.6%−48.5% / −83.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 29, 2026 +9.6%Not on one close40% 8/20−4.4% / +37.3%−28.0% / −83.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −22.2%Buys Oct 3036% 4/11+2.2% / +38.0%−73.8% / −83.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 −18.3%Enter above $78.48 (+22.2%)25% 3/12−4.0% / +38.2%−66.7% / −83.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 29, 2026 −16.6%Window opens Oct 1636% 4/11−2.5% / +38.2%−72.6% / −83.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −17.8%Buys Dec 2350% 6/12+9.1% / +38.0%−12.2% / −83.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −12.1%Buys Oct 2951% 71/140+7.0% / +38.0%−48.5% / −83.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −7.8%Sells Jun 3067% 2/3+8.2% / +38.0%−36.8% / −83.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −0.1%Buys Nov 2452% 60/115+15.9% / +38.0%−8.2% / −83.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +1,603.4%Not on one close50% 2/4+55.9% / +37.4%−61.0% / −83.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −2.3%Sells Oct 1650% 308/613+20.9% / +38.0%−70.5% / −83.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +0.8%Buys Oct 2747% 44/94+2.7% / +38.0%−19.1% / −83.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −13.1%Sells Oct 1648% 70/145+5.9% / +38.0%−60.8% / −83.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINNov 24, 2020Always in–+38.0%−83.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureVery high10 of 10 points
  • Market swings3/3
  • Past crashes2/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up2/2
  • It moves about 2.5× its index.
  • It fell about 2.7× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.
  • It is up 562% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jun 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2024

RKLB−70%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta2.51Moves about 2.5× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture159%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 159% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+562%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
  • From 52-week high−57%
  • Debt to equity0.08×
  • Interest cover−7.5×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Aerospace & Defense · Rocket Lab Corporation, a space company, provides launch services and space systems solutions in the United States, Canada, Japan, and internationally. The company operates through launch services and space systems segments.

Size and valuation
Market cap$41.1BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$769MTotal sales. The market values it at 53.4× sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E1,090.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book11.0×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−21.5%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth+52.5%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Return on equity−4.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−$252MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equity$1.7BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$134MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$2.3BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.08×Comfortable.
Interest cover−7.5×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$105.0564% above the close, from 19 analysts (range $64.00 to $150.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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