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Industrials & materials

Richelieu Hardware (RCH)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold48 / 100

Hold: 48 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Plays in (55%) scores 55 and lifts it; Trend (−3% vs 200-day) scores 36 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightRCHPointsWeightAdds
Plays in55%554022.0
Off the high−15% from its 1-year high503015.0
Trend−3% vs 200-day363010.8
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for RCH
FactorRCHPointsWhat it is
Plays in55%55The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside––How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating––The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E22.5×56Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E19.7×33Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG0.8576P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales1.0×88Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book2.1×72Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield1.7%45Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth+23%54Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth+13%47Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin4%32Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity10%40Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.35×61Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−15% from its 1-year high50How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−3% vs 200-day36How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+8%42The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure2/10 · low80The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on RCH

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in55 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.97×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−3%). Higher than on 26% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about RCH now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved RCH lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Oct 8+11.1% against the S&P/TSX11.5× a normal day

RCH +11.4%, the S&P/TSX +0.3% that session.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on RCH

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on RCH went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.32 (−4.0%)22% 166/741−4.1% / +9.6%−76.1% / −45.8%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$36.87 (−2.6%)23% 29/126+2.1% / +9.6%−50.8% / −45.8%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.18 (−4.4%)19% 82/435−2.1% / +9.6%−68.7% / −45.8%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTMar 6, 2026 −8.7%Not on one close12% 27/218−1.1% / +9.3%−48.2% / −45.8%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJul 3, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$56.53 (+49.4%)29% 22/77+6.7% / +9.6%−35.6% / −45.8%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTApr 10, 2026 −2.5%Enter above C$42.68 (+12.8%)20% 28/137+0.4% / +9.6%−48.2% / −45.8%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 +6.7%Enter above C$39.00 (+3.0%)27% 10/37+6.3% / +9.6%−49.7% / −45.8%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −2.1%Enter above C$38.91 (+2.8%)15% 25/165+6.6% / +9.6%−50.8% / −45.8%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTJul 7, 2026 −4.2%Not on one close44% 11/25+9.4% / +9.6%−30.3% / −45.8%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTJul 8, 2026 −2.1%Enter above C$86.13 (+127.6%)18% 16/89+8.1% / +9.6%−27.6% / −45.8%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINSep 11, 2026 +7.6%Exit below C$33.52 (−11.4%)28% 44/155−1.3% / +9.6%−62.1% / −45.8%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$35.99 (−4.9%)22% 185/833−3.2% / +9.6%−62.8% / −45.8%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINAug 7, 2026 +4.2%Exit below C$31.53 (−16.7%)35% 93/267+2.2% / +9.6%−51.9% / −45.8%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 +4.0%Enter above C$59.69 (+57.7%)19% 6/31+6.0% / +8.9%−41.3% / −45.8%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below C$33.99 (−10.2%)22% 35/157+0.2% / +9.6%−61.4% / −45.8%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$35.35 (−6.6%)23% 34/151−0.1% / +9.6%−52.8% / −45.8%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.7%Exit below C$34.77 (−8.1%)34% 51/151+1.9% / +9.6%−56.5% / −45.8%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Flips at next check37% 129/350−0.9% / +9.6%−55.6% / −45.8%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.45 (−3.7%)34% 225/657+0.2% / +9.6%−67.6% / −45.8%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.7%Exit below C$34.54 (−8.7%)35% 78/223+3.3% / +9.6%−51.3% / −45.8%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$34.75 (−8.2%)37% 170/457+4.7% / +9.6%−41.6% / −45.8%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTJan 23, 2026 −9.0%Not on one close31% 55/180−0.6% / +9.6%−42.8% / −45.8%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$32.24 (−14.8%)23% 49/217−0.9% / +9.6%−61.8% / −45.8%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 25, 2026 +3.9%Exit below C$36.12 (−4.6%)31% 57/185+1.0% / +9.6%−60.7% / −45.8%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Not on one close27% 69/253−0.3% / +9.6%−49.4% / −45.8%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTAug 18, 2026 +8.1%Enter above C$39.85 (+5.3%)34% 83/242+2.2% / +9.6%−50.9% / −45.8%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$32.69 (−13.6%)25% 40/159+0.3% / +9.6%−59.5% / −45.8%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Exit below C$34.70 (−8.3%)25% 29/114+1.0% / +9.6%−64.1% / −45.8%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 3, 2026 +7.2%Exit below C$34.17 (−9.7%)34% 70/203+2.6% / +9.6%−34.3% / −45.8%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJun 5, 2023 −5.1%Not on one close37% 14/38+2.0% / +9.6%−17.0% / −45.8%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$34.54 (−8.7%)34% 42/125+1.7% / +9.6%−47.8% / −45.8%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.79 (−2.8%)27% 42/155−1.7% / +9.6%−38.8% / −45.8%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.79 (−2.8%)23% 25/107−0.2% / +9.6%−42.2% / −45.8%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMar 6, 2026 −8.7%Enter above C$68.04 (+79.8%)29% 29/100+2.1% / +9.6%−24.2% / −45.8%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTJul 9, 2026 +7.5%Enter above C$39.52 (+4.4%)32% 42/132+1.7% / +9.6%−46.4% / −45.8%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.34 (−4.0%)29% 47/163−2.4% / +9.6%−46.7% / −45.8%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.30 (−4.1%)29% 73/251−2.3% / +9.6%−60.9% / −45.8%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$37.03 (−2.2%)34% 65/193+1.3% / +9.6%−35.9% / −45.8%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 22, 2026 +3.7%Exit below C$34.61 (−8.6%)32% 58/181+0.8% / +9.6%−63.9% / −45.8%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$33.95 (−10.3%)42% 22/52+7.6% / +9.6%−40.7% / −45.8%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.50 (−3.6%)25% 97/385+0.1% / +9.6%−56.6% / −45.8%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTFeb 23, 2026 −12.3%Not on one close28% 45/162+0.4% / +9.6%−25.7% / −45.8%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +5.6%Not on one close39% 57/148+2.3% / +9.6%−19.8% / −45.8%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.13 (−4.5%)27% 205/754−1.0% / +9.6%−66.0% / −45.8%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJun 16, 2025 +11.1%Not on one close32% 14/44+1.5% / +9.6%−17.0% / −45.8%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +4.6%Exit below C$39.39 (+4.1%)35% 9/26+7.1% / +9.2%−39.2% / −45.8%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +4.6%Flips at next check42% 11/26+7.1% / +9.2%−42.5% / −45.8%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTApr 30, 2026 −4.3%Enter above C$43.80 (+15.7%)33% 13/39+6.4% / +9.2%−32.6% / −45.8%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMar 30, 2026 −5.7%Not on one close22% 38/171+4.2% / +9.6%−35.2% / −45.8%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 +6.7%Enter above C$42.37 (+12.0%)35% 6/17+5.7% / +9.6%−36.7% / −45.8%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTApr 10, 2026 −2.5%Enter above C$39.01 (+3.1%)24% 35/148+0.1% / +9.6%−49.5% / −45.8%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$34.46 (−9.0%)35% 148/419+3.4% / +9.6%−58.1% / −45.8%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$36.57 (−3.4%)26% 218/853−4.4% / +9.6%−78.5% / −45.8%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$33.72 (−10.9%)40% 121/301+2.7% / +9.6%−55.0% / −45.8%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJun 30, 2025 +5.6%Exit below C$22.30 (−41.1%)33% 5/15+9.5% / +9.8%−42.1% / −45.8%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$37.04 (−2.2%)27% 159/589−1.1% / +9.6%−54.0% / −45.8%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINAug 7, 2026 +4.2%Exit below C$28.62 (−24.4%)38% 99/259+1.8% / +9.6%−50.9% / −45.8%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$32.11 (−15.2%)23% 48/211−1.0% / +9.6%−61.8% / −45.8%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 +6.7%Enter above C$36.44 (−3.7%)35% 30/85+3.0% / +9.2%−56.9% / −45.8%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINSep 30, 2026 +4.6%Flips at next check40% 8/20+5.7% / +9.6%−42.5% / −45.8%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +4.6%Not on one close55% 21/38+6.5% / +9.2%−38.8% / −45.8%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$32.54 (−14.0%)31% 109/351−0.2% / +9.6%−66.6% / −45.8%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINJul 14, 2026 +5.8%Not on one close66% 27/41+5.9% / +9.6%−28.3% / −45.8%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 +4.0%Not on one close61% 213/347+3.5% / +9.6%−19.8% / −45.8%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 28, 2026 +5.5%Not on one close62% 250/403+4.9% / +9.6%−48.2% / −45.8%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Buy below C$34.28 (−9.4%)67% 120/180+5.8% / +9.6%−48.4% / −45.8%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 +3.9%Not on one close67% 104/155+10.6% / +9.6%−23.9% / −45.8%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Not on one close57% 162/284+4.8% / +9.6%−45.0% / −45.8%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 +3.9%Not on one close74% 55/74+11.4% / +9.6%−28.9% / −45.8%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +638.2%Sell above C$94.04 (+148.5%)–+9.6% / +9.6%−45.8% / −45.8%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTFeb 25, 2025 +5.5%Not on one close42% 5/12+2.3% / +9.6%−15.2% / −45.8%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Not on one close44% 157/355+3.1% / +9.6%−40.1% / −45.8%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Not on one close53% 225/428+1.1% / +9.6%−65.5% / −45.8%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Buy below C$37.85 (0.0%)61% 1228/2001+12.1% / +9.6%−41.2% / −45.8%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 28, 2026 −5.2%Not on one close59% 51/87+3.3% / +9.6%−44.6% / −45.8%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$34.87 (−7.9%)37% 407/1097+2.3% / +9.6%−45.7% / −45.8%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 +4.6%Buy below C$36.90 (−2.5%)72% 109/151+16.2% / +9.6%−32.2% / −45.8%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.6%Enter above C$37.85 (+0.0%)30% 183/614+2.5% / +9.6%−52.2% / −45.8%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +9.1%Not on one close37% 93/252−0.2% / +9.6%−51.9% / −45.8%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINMar 23, 2026 −8.8%Not on one close60% 54/90+8.6% / +9.6%−29.5% / −45.8%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTAug 14, 2026 +5.2%Not on one close31% 33/107+1.8% / +9.3%−57.1% / −45.8%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$32.07 (−15.3%)29% 182/623+0.1% / +9.6%−57.4% / −45.8%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$24.85 (−34.3%)33% 140/420+0.9% / +9.6%−56.2% / −45.8%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +5.6%Not on one close38% 191/500+0.9% / +9.6%−56.6% / −45.8%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +6.6%Not on one close42% 39/92+8.0% / +9.3%−40.6% / −45.8%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 +4.5%Not on one close36% 279/779+2.9% / +9.6%−38.6% / −45.8%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 +10.5%Not on one close43% 68/157+2.9% / +9.6%−49.5% / −45.8%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTOct 6, 2026 +7.0%Not on one close25% 26/106+0.7% / +9.6%−37.6% / −45.8%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Exit below C$34.54 (−8.7%)39% 26/67+1.0% / +9.6%−26.8% / −45.8%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −4.3%Buys Oct 3042% 18/43+3.5% / +9.6%−48.2% / −45.8%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 8, 2026 −2.0%Window opens Apr 143% 19/44+4.2% / +9.6%−38.8% / −45.8%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTMay 4, 2026 −1.3%Window opens Oct 1647% 20/43+3.0% / +9.6%−50.6% / −45.8%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −4.4%Buys Dec 2348% 21/44+3.4% / +9.6%−7.0% / −45.8%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +6.1%Buys Oct 2949% 257/526+3.9% / +9.6%−33.6% / −45.8%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 +4.6%Sells Jun 3045% 5/11+2.6% / +9.6%−34.8% / −45.8%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +5.8%Buys Nov 2451% 198/386+4.1% / +9.6%−11.5% / −45.8%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +10.8%Not on one close50% 10/20+5.2% / +9.6%−42.0% / −45.8%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 1150/2284+7.5% / +9.6%−47.5% / −45.8%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +5.1%Buys Oct 2749% 170/348+1.3% / +9.6%−11.5% / −45.8%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +5.2%Sells Oct 1649% 263/541+1.5% / +9.6%−52.1% / −45.8%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+9.6%−45.8%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow2 of 10 points
  • Market swings1/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt0/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It fell about 1.1× as far as its index in past crashes.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Apr 2010

RCH−45%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Jun 2020

RCH−28%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to May 2022 · back to its old high May 2023

RCH−24%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.71Moves about 0.7× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture178%In months the TSX fell, this fell 178% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+0%
  • From 52-week high−15%
  • Debt to equity0.36×
  • Net debt / EBITDA1.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover9.6×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Tools & Accessories · Richelieu Hardware Ltd. manufactures, imports, and distributes specialty hardware and complementary products in Canada and the United States.

Size and valuation
Market capC$2.1BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$2.1BTotal sales. The market values it at 1.0× sales.
P/E ratio22.5×Buyers pay C$23 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E19.7×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book2.1×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin4.5%Keeps 4¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth+12.6%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth+23.3%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity9.8%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$106MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$962MWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$347MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$80.9MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.36×Comfortable.
Interest cover9.6×Interest is easily paid from profit.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$40.758% above the close, from 2 analysts (range C$39.50 to C$42.00).
Consensus ratingHoldAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield1.66%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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