Energy & power

Parex Resources (PXT)

C$28.40 +4.3% on the day·+67.8% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy74 / 100

Buy: 74 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Trend (+18% vs 200-day) scores 88 and lifts it; Plays in (56%) scores 56 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	PXT	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	56%	56	40	22.4
Off the high	−5% from its 1-year high	84	30	25.2
Trend	+18% vs 200-day	88	30	26.4

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for PXT

Factor	PXT	Points	What it is
Plays in	56%	56	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+11% · 7 analysts	45	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	2.3 · buy	36	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	3.5×	99	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	4.7×	98	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	–	–	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales	1.8×	73	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	0.8×	96	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	5.7%	93	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+822%	99	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+87%	95	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	55%	95	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	27%	82	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.35×	61	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−5% from its 1-year high	84	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+18% vs 200-day	88	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+68%	84	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	2/10 · low	80	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on PXT

56 of the 100 plays hold PXT right now.
The momentum plays mostly say in.
It closed 18% above its 200-day average and 5% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low: it fell about 1.2× as far as its index in past crashes and is up 148% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$31.64, 11% above the close (7 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in56 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow2 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.18×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+18%). Higher than on 73% of days since 2012. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about PXT now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn PXT: right 21 of 32 · Out since Apr 29, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn PXT: right 39 of 110 · In since Jul 23, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn PXT: right 9 of 19 · In since Aug 29, 2025 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn PXT: right 77 of 127 · Out since Oct 8, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn PXT: right 18 of 28 · Out since Jul 27, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn PXT: right 55 of 102 · Out since Jul 15, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn PXT: right 18 of 29 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

PXT, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved PXT lately

Its 2 biggest moves against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Fri Oct 9−5.0% against the S&P/TSX2.0× a normal day

PXT −3.5%, the S&P/TSX +1.5% that session.

HeadlineInvesting.com · Oct 9, 3:42 pm ET
Top five Canadian energy stocks for inflation protection: high yields and strong returns
Headlinewww.marketscreener.com · Oct 8, 6:00 pm ET
Parex Resources Announces Production Update and Timing of Q3 2026 Results

Mon Sep 21−5.3% against the S&P/TSX2.1× a normal day

PXT −4.7%, the S&P/TSX +0.6% that session; −5.6% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on PXT was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for PXT starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved +0.6%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.1% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Fri Nov 6, 2026 before the open

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 0.95.

Over its last 12 reports, PXT's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±4.6% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 8 times.
PXT after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 16 of 21 times (median +2.6%).
PXT after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 11 of 22 times (median −0.1%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on PXT

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following20 of 30 in Breakouts & channels5 of 15 in Momentum13 of 17 in Mean reversion6 of 15 in Volume & money flow6 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on PXT went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2012. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$27.50 (−3.2%)	25% 105/417	+8.9% / +13.0%	−51.0% / −61.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Aug 14, 2026 +8.5%	Exit below C$25.46 (−10.4%)	29% 21/72	+10.1% / +15.8%	−54.2% / −61.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +2.5%	Exit below C$26.90 (−5.3%)	25% 53/209	+13.2% / +15.4%	−41.8% / −61.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	IN	Aug 6, 2026 +18.0%	Exit below C$27.21 (−4.2%)	14% 16/115	+6.6% / +15.4%	−48.1% / −61.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Jul 24, 2026 +22.0%	Exit below C$25.58 (−9.9%)	27% 15/55	+8.8% / +16.2%	−49.9% / −61.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Jul 24, 2026 +22.0%	Exit below C$25.58 (−9.9%)	30% 22/73	+7.1% / +15.1%	−49.0% / −61.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	May 30, 2025 +134.1%	Exit below C$24.16 (−14.9%)	34% 10/29	+12.4% / +17.0%	−58.6% / −61.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Jul 8, 2026 +30.7%	Exit below C$24.06 (−15.3%)	20% 19/97	+11.4% / +17.1%	−45.3% / −61.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Jun 25, 2025 +120.1%	Not on one close	30% 7/23	+2.6% / +17.1%	−71.5% / −61.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Jul 8, 2026 +30.7%	Exit below C$24.06 (−15.3%)	20% 14/69	+8.1% / +15.7%	−56.0% / −61.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +4.3%	Enter above C$30.17 (+6.2%)	45% 37/83	+17.6% / +14.7%	−44.8% / −61.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$27.56 (−3.0%)	24% 120/507	+7.8% / +13.3%	−55.6% / −61.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +0.1%	Enter above C$32.63 (+14.9%)	36% 59/163	+7.5% / +16.9%	−59.9% / −61.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Jul 29, 2025 +104.2%	Not on one close	24% 6/25	+6.5% / +18.1%	−62.2% / −61.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	IN	Aug 11, 2026 +12.2%	Exit below C$24.93 (−12.2%)	31% 28/89	+9.7% / +17.3%	−51.4% / −61.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Aug 10, 2026 +12.9%	Exit below C$24.70 (−13.0%)	38% 28/73	+12.2% / +16.0%	−47.2% / −61.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 +7.4%	Enter above C$29.23 (+2.9%)	41% 41/100	+13.7% / +12.7%	−40.2% / −61.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 +6.0%	Not on one close	45% 90/200	+9.5% / +12.7%	−52.0% / −61.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$25.43 (−10.5%)	34% 131/384	+3.5% / +11.3%	−64.1% / −61.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +5.9%	Enter above C$29.96 (+5.5%)	37% 46/124	+12.7% / +12.8%	−57.6% / −61.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.7%	Exit below C$26.41 (−7.0%)	37% 119/324	+1.1% / +11.2%	−62.6% / −61.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 +6.0%	Not on one close	36% 35/98	+6.6% / +12.8%	−31.5% / −61.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.7%	Exit below C$26.21 (−7.7%)	29% 35/121	+13.8% / +14.6%	−53.6% / −61.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 +6.0%	Enter above C$27.85 (−1.9%)	39% 72/184	+10.3% / +12.9%	−58.7% / −61.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$24.96 (−12.1%)	30% 44/147	+14.5% / +14.6%	−46.8% / −61.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +0.1%	Enter above C$28.92 (+1.8%)	35% 54/155	+10.6% / +16.9%	−66.8% / −61.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +3.2%	Exit below C$25.71 (−9.5%)	35% 38/109	+17.2% / +15.4%	−42.3% / −61.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Aug 12, 2026 +9.9%	Exit below C$17.15 (−39.6%)	30% 23/77	+9.4% / +15.4%	−63.9% / −61.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +0.1%	Not on one close	37% 46/124	+9.5% / +16.5%	−38.5% / −61.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Apr 29, 2026 +1.3%	Not on one close	66% 21/32	+4.0% / +14.6%	−8.4% / −61.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Aug 10, 2026 +12.9%	Exit below C$26.25 (−7.6%)	41% 34/83	+12.8% / +12.7%	−50.9% / −61.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above C$29.96 (+5.5%)	34% 31/90	+6.3% / +14.5%	−50.0% / −61.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Aug 18, 2026 +3.2%	Exit below C$26.25 (−7.6%)	37% 24/65	+7.6% / +14.5%	−53.3% / −61.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above C$29.82 (+5.0%)	38% 23/60	+6.8% / +15.4%	−48.5% / −61.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.7%	Exit below C$26.33 (−7.3%)	39% 31/79	+11.7% / +12.7%	−45.1% / −61.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above C$29.92 (+5.3%)	38% 38/100	+7.8% / +13.3%	−36.9% / −61.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above C$28.93 (+1.9%)	39% 56/144	+8.6% / +12.7%	−41.8% / −61.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above C$29.82 (+5.0%)	41% 45/110	+17.5% / +12.9%	−34.5% / −61.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above C$29.73 (+4.7%)	44% 47/108	+16.3% / +12.7%	−43.2% / −61.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Jul 23, 2026 +19.9%	Exit below C$26.24 (−7.6%)	35% 39/110	+8.2% / +11.4%	−66.7% / −61.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Enter above C$28.85 (+1.6%)	25% 62/250	+8.9% / +13.0%	−53.7% / −61.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Sep 2, 2026 −0.1%	Not on one close	29% 40/138	+0.4% / +12.7%	−22.7% / −61.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Aug 26, 2026 +5.9%	Not on one close	41% 35/86	+4.5% / +13.3%	−23.0% / −61.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +2.5%	Exit below C$27.90 (−1.8%)	33% 149/453	+5.3% / +11.3%	−49.5% / −61.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +5.1%	Not on one close	44% 15/34	+8.3% / +16.7%	−15.3% / −61.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +78.8%	Exit below C$17.46 (−38.5%)	48% 10/21	+6.8% / +15.4%	−67.5% / −61.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +78.8%	Not on one close	47% 9/19	+5.0% / +15.4%	−66.2% / −61.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +78.8%	Exit below C$19.42 (−31.6%)	32% 8/25	+1.6% / +15.4%	−72.8% / −61.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 −0.1%	Exit below C$25.37 (−10.7%)	19% 18/97	+6.5% / +15.2%	−68.8% / −61.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	IN	Aug 31, 2026 +0.9%	Exit below C$25.35 (−10.7%)	26% 6/23	+3.2% / +15.1%	−68.9% / −61.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	IN	Aug 21, 2026 +2.4%	Exit below C$26.54 (−6.6%)	32% 19/59	+12.3% / +16.3%	−38.9% / −61.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$27.10 (−4.6%)	31% 97/317	−2.4% / +14.6%	−70.0% / −61.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$27.54 (−3.0%)	29% 143/491	+11.8% / +14.6%	−42.8% / −61.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +0.1%	Enter above C$31.94 (+12.5%)	38% 77/205	+5.2% / +13.2%	−58.5% / −61.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	May 30, 2025 +134.1%	Not on one close	44% 4/9	+11.0% / +14.7%	−60.2% / −61.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −0.1%	Enter above C$28.44 (+0.2%)	28% 112/404	+2.7% / +12.7%	−47.6% / −61.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 14, 2026 −1.6%	Enter above C$37.54 (+32.2%)	37% 67/183	+7.6% / +15.4%	−59.8% / −61.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +0.7%	Exit below C$26.24 (−7.6%)	31% 35/113	+15.3% / +15.4%	−53.1% / −61.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +18.6%	Exit below C$25.40 (−10.6%)	41% 23/56	+11.6% / +15.4%	−57.1% / −61.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +78.8%	Not on one close	50% 9/18	+3.6% / +15.7%	−60.2% / −61.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Aug 29, 2025 +78.8%	Not on one close	34% 10/29	+0.1% / +15.4%	−77.4% / −61.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	OUT	Sep 17, 2026 −0.4%	Enter above C$29.29 (+3.1%)	33% 74/227	+6.6% / +16.9%	−57.2% / −61.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Aug 24, 2026 +4.7%	Not on one close	72% 23/32	+9.7% / +11.4%	−56.0% / −61.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +2.5%	Not on one close	63% 118/188	+4.0% / +17.1%	−46.0% / −61.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +4.0%	Buy C$24.06–C$27.23 (−4.1%)	63% 139/222	+7.0% / +17.1%	−45.3% / −61.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.7%	Buy below C$25.86 (−9.0%)	61% 77/127	+0.5% / +12.7%	−64.1% / −61.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +2.5%	Not on one close	63% 65/103	+0.9% / +12.8%	−64.1% / −61.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +2.5%	Exit below C$28.39 (0.0%)	65% 123/189	+5.3% / +11.3%	−64.2% / −61.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Aug 13, 2026 +10.8%	Not on one close	55% 24/44	+0.6% / +11.4%	−58.3% / −61.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 7, 2012 +791.9%	Sell above C$58.15 (+104.7%)	–	+17.1% / +17.1%	−61.0% / −61.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Oct 6, 2025 +63.9%	Not on one close	50% 9/18	+2.0% / +16.9%	−21.1% / −61.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +4.3%	Not on one close	46% 94/206	+0.6% / +13.3%	−63.8% / −61.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +4.3%	Not on one close	56% 171/304	+9.1% / +13.3%	−64.6% / −61.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +0.7%	Buy below C$28.40 (0.0%)	57% 735/1299	+5.4% / +11.8%	−40.1% / −61.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 +5.7%	Sell above C$28.24 (−0.6%)	53% 25/47	−3.4% / +17.1%	−70.6% / −61.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +4.0%	Exit below C$26.70 (−6.0%)	37% 255/681	+10.7% / +14.6%	−48.0% / −61.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +6.4%	Sell above C$27.22 (−4.2%)	49% 39/80	−2.0% / +12.8%	−65.9% / −61.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +4.0%	Not on one close	29% 133/463	+7.7% / +12.7%	−45.7% / −61.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Sep 18, 2026 +0.1%	Not on one close	44% 52/119	+11.4% / +12.7%	−55.6% / −61.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Jul 27, 2026 +24.7%	Not on one close	64% 18/28	+6.8% / +11.4%	−56.0% / −61.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Mar 6, 2025 +159.4%	Not on one close	33% 18/55	+7.0% / +15.3%	−55.4% / −61.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$27.72 (−2.4%)	28% 132/473	+7.3% / +12.6%	−51.0% / −61.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$26.38 (−7.1%)	32% 79/245	+6.9% / +12.7%	−64.5% / −61.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +4.3%	Enter above C$28.40 (+0.0%)	36% 154/425	+2.6% / +12.7%	−69.0% / −61.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Jun 6, 2025 +114.0%	Not on one close	34% 19/56	+8.5% / +15.3%	−60.7% / −61.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$28.25 (−0.5%)	33% 198/598	−5.4% / +15.7%	−80.7% / −61.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Jul 15, 2026 +23.9%	Not on one close	54% 55/102	+6.6% / +11.3%	−60.2% / −61.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Jul 8, 2026 +30.7%	Exit below C$20.12 (−29.2%)	35% 23/65	+5.5% / +11.5%	−54.9% / −61.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Feb 12, 2025 +135.0%	Not on one close	37% 11/30	−0.5% / +12.9%	−15.2% / −61.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +2.1%	Buys Oct 30	62% 18/29	+16.0% / +11.8%	−60.2% / −61.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +3.2%	Window opens Apr 1	62% 18/29	+16.6% / +14.6%	−60.2% / −61.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 20, 2026 +12.3%	Window opens Oct 16	54% 15/28	+12.3% / +14.6%	−60.2% / −61.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +67.2%	Buys Dec 23	64% 18/28	+5.4% / +11.8%	−10.8% / −61.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +4.0%	Buys Oct 29	56% 198/354	+15.2% / +11.8%	−35.5% / −61.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +6.4%	Sells Jun 30	14% 1/7	+2.4% / +11.8%	−52.0% / −61.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +0.1%	Buys Nov 24	51% 133/262	+4.1% / +11.8%	−13.4% / −61.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +89.2%	Not on one close	50% 6/12	+9.3% / +15.1%	−58.8% / −61.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	51% 790/1535	+17.3% / +11.8%	−63.5% / −61.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 −0.1%	Buys Oct 27	50% 117/233	+4.8% / +11.8%	−12.6% / −61.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +5.5%	Sells Oct 16	48% 175/364	+4.7% / +11.8%	−64.6% / −61.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 24, 2012	Always in	–	+12.0%	−61.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow2 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes1/2
Debt0/3
Run-up1/2

It fell about 1.2× as far as its index in past crashes.
It is up 148% in two years, a run-up size that crashed about half the time in history.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Feb 2021

PXT−54%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Oct 2022

PXT−13%

TSX−14%

Beta0.46Moves about 0.5× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture−103%In months the TSX fell, this fell -103% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+148%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−5%
Debt to equity0.42×
Net debt / EBITDA1.2×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover76.0×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Oil & Gas E&P · Parex Resources Inc. engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of oil and natural gas in Colombia. Its principal land holdings and exploration blocks are located in the Llanos Basin, Magdalena Basin, and Putumayo Basin. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$2.7B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$1.0B	Total sales.
P/E ratio	3.5×	Buyers pay C$3 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	4.7×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book	0.8×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	55.0%	Keeps 55¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+86.7%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+822.0%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	27.0%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$264M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$2.0B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$815M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$219M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.42×	Comfortable.
Interest cover	76.0×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$31.64	11% above the close, from 7 analysts (range C$29.00 to C$37.00).
Consensus rating	Buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	5.66%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

PXT: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Energy & power: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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