Oct 13 close Sign in

Healthcare

Pfizer (PFE)

Your signal

Buy72 / 100

Buy: 72 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−2% from its 1-year high) scores 93 and lifts it; Plays in (58%) scores 58 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightPFEPointsWeightAdds
Plays in58%584023.2
Off the high−2% from its 1-year high933027.9
Trend+9% vs 200-day713021.3
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for PFE
FactorPFEPointsWhat it is
Plays in58%58The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+3% · 26 analysts33How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.5 · buy27The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E37.3×30Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Forward P/E9.8×86Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG12.893P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales2.5×63Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Price to book1.9×78Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Dividend yield6.1%95Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Earnings growth−60%9Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Revenue growth−0%10Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Profit margin7%40Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Return on equity5%28Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Debt to equity0.74×40Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-28.
Off the high−2% from its 1-year high93How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+9% vs 200-day71How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum+23%59The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure1/10 · low90The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on PFE

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in58 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureLow1 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.09×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+9%). Higher than on 79% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about PFE now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved PFE lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Oct 7+2.0% against the S&P 5001.5× a normal day

PFE +1.8%, the S&P 500 −0.2% that session; +3.3% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

  • Price target raisedAnalyst rating · Oct 6, 4:08 pm ET

    Scotiabank raised its price target to $33.00 from $30.00, keeping Sector Outperform.

    After price target raises, stocks did better than their index at the first close after the news 55% of the time (2,637 of 4,768 on 215 stocks; median move +0.2%). Low predictability

    PFE after price target raises: ahead of its index at the first close after the news 8 of 13 times (median +1.1%).

Fri Oct 2−1.9% against the S&P 5001.4× a normal day

PFE −1.1%, the S&P 500 +0.7% that session; −2.4% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on PFE

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on PFE went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.3%Exit below $28.04 (−1.2%)26% 162/615+0.9% / +5.0%−53.7% / −59.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINAug 7, 2026 +6.0%Exit below $26.31 (−7.2%)24% 29/123−0.8% / +5.0%−65.2% / −59.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINJul 27, 2026 +15.0%Exit below $27.52 (−3.0%)25% 89/357+1.9% / +5.0%−51.2% / −59.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyINSep 25, 2026 −1.0%Exit below $27.80 (−2.0%)19% 20/105+1.4% / +5.0%−30.5% / −59.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINAug 7, 2026 +6.0%Exit below $26.17 (−7.7%)21% 16/75+2.4% / +5.0%−35.0% / −59.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyINAug 21, 2026 +1.1%Exit below $28.05 (−1.1%)27% 24/89−1.4% / +5.0%−52.4% / −59.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −0.3%Exit below $26.29 (−7.3%)26% 11/43+2.1% / +5.0%−46.6% / −59.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINJul 31, 2026 +13.4%Exit below $25.96 (−8.5%)16% 30/185+2.8% / +5.0%−45.7% / −59.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINAug 27, 2026 +1.2%Not on one close27% 10/37+2.0% / +5.0%−47.9% / −59.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINJul 31, 2026 +13.4%Exit below $25.96 (−8.5%)16% 18/115+3.0% / +5.0%−41.4% / −59.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.3%Enter above $28.84 (+1.7%)35% 53/150+0.3% / +5.0%−62.4% / −59.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −0.1%Exit below $28.31 (−0.2%)26% 200/759+2.2% / +5.0%−60.2% / −59.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 +2.6%Enter above $31.85 (+12.3%)33% 90/269+1.3% / +5.0%−56.4% / −59.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINAug 4, 2026 +11.6%Not on one close21% 7/33+3.5% / +5.0%−35.5% / −59.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINAug 5, 2026 +9.9%Exit below $25.83 (−9.0%)30% 41/135+2.0% / +5.0%−51.5% / −59.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINAug 4, 2026 +11.6%Exit below $26.21 (−7.6%)28% 37/133+1.2% / +5.0%−52.6% / −59.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINAug 4, 2026 +11.6%Exit below $27.28 (−3.9%)38% 55/145+3.2% / +5.0%−52.9% / −59.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +2.0%Not on one close42% 125/300+1.4% / +5.0%−45.0% / −59.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.3%Exit below $28.68 (+1.1%)38% 216/567+2.5% / +5.0%−39.3% / −59.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 24, 2026 −0.1%Enter above $28.95 (+2.0%)37% 82/224+2.3% / +5.0%−49.9% / −59.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below $27.15 (−4.3%)40% 200/503+5.1% / +5.0%−51.1% / −59.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.3%Exit below $27.80 (−2.0%)37% 51/137+3.7% / +5.0%−30.3% / −59.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINJul 28, 2026 +12.4%Exit below $26.50 (−6.6%)32% 56/177+3.1% / +5.0%−51.6% / −59.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINJul 31, 2026 +13.4%Exit below $27.52 (−3.0%)43% 69/159+6.0% / +5.0%−39.1% / −59.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +2.0%Enter above $28.17 (−0.7%)35% 79/228+2.8% / +5.0%−51.2% / −59.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 +2.6%Not on one close38% 89/234+2.1% / +5.0%−42.9% / −59.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINJul 28, 2026 +12.4%Exit below $26.30 (−7.3%)29% 39/133+1.6% / +5.0%−53.0% / −59.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINAug 5, 2026 +9.9%Exit below $18.93 (−33.3%)31% 33/107+0.7% / +5.0%−54.3% / −59.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 +2.3%Not on one close34% 73/212+2.3% / +5.0%−27.3% / −59.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyINSep 21, 2026 +2.3%Sell above $29.21 (+3.0%)42% 18/43+2.2% / +5.0%−11.1% / −59.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINJul 28, 2026 +12.4%Exit below $27.12 (−4.4%)38% 48/127+4.2% / +5.0%−46.6% / −59.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Enter above $29.21 (+3.0%)32% 38/120+2.6% / +5.0%−35.1% / −59.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINAug 6, 2026 +8.3%Exit below $27.12 (−4.4%)34% 29/85+2.3% / +5.0%−33.5% / −59.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Enter above $29.02 (+2.3%)32% 26/80+3.7% / +5.0%−37.2% / −59.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINJul 28, 2026 +12.4%Exit below $27.25 (−3.9%)31% 33/107−2.9% / +5.0%−55.3% / −59.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 +2.6%Enter above $29.29 (+3.2%)34% 46/134+2.6% / +5.0%−28.6% / −59.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 +2.1%Enter above $29.04 (+2.4%)36% 74/204+3.2% / +5.0%−22.7% / −59.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +3.3%Enter above $28.72 (+1.2%)39% 68/174+4.9% / +5.0%−26.4% / −59.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Enter above $28.96 (+2.1%)36% 59/164+3.4% / +5.0%−49.5% / −59.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyINAug 19, 2026 +0.5%Exit below $22.85 (−19.5%)32% 15/47+2.5% / +5.0%−44.2% / −59.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Enter above $28.47 (+0.4%)31% 90/294+3.6% / +5.0%−41.8% / −59.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 27, 2026 +1.2%Not on one close24% 43/176+0.5% / +5.0%−24.8% / −59.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 +7.8%Not on one close30% 41/138+1.2% / +5.0%−27.6% / −59.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.3%Exit below $28.28 (−0.3%)34% 222/661−0.1% / +5.0%−66.2% / −59.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTFeb 20, 2026 +10.1%Not on one close33% 10/30+2.3% / +5.0%−13.0% / −59.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINJan 30, 2026 +11.0%Exit below $23.89 (−15.8%)26% 7/27+5.1% / +5.5%−31.6% / −59.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINFeb 27, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close29% 9/31+3.9% / +5.5%−35.2% / −59.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endINAug 31, 2026 −0.3%Exit below $26.56 (−6.4%)24% 5/21+2.0% / +5.5%−36.0% / −59.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINAug 21, 2026 +1.1%Exit below $26.23 (−7.5%)21% 30/145+2.6% / +5.0%−38.5% / −59.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endINNov 28, 2025 +15.9%Exit below $24.67 (−13.1%)40% 6/15+4.6% / +5.0%−28.1% / −59.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyINAug 21, 2026 +1.1%Exit below $27.18 (−4.2%)29% 33/115−0.9% / +5.0%−43.0% / −59.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 1, 2026 +0.9%Enter above $28.46 (+0.3%)36% 152/424+3.3% / +5.0%−37.9% / −59.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.3%Exit below $28.11 (−0.9%)31% 231/735+1.4% / +5.0%−54.1% / −59.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −0.3%Enter above $30.66 (+8.1%)37% 117/314+1.1% / +5.0%−50.7% / −59.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINNov 28, 2025 +15.9%Not on one close50% 6/12+7.0% / +5.2%−46.7% / −59.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −0.3%Enter above $28.80 (+1.5%)29% 180/612−0.2% / +5.0%−37.2% / −59.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +2.1%Enter above $33.79 (+19.1%)40% 112/277+1.1% / +5.0%−51.9% / −59.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINJul 28, 2026 +12.4%Exit below $26.46 (−6.7%)33% 56/171+3.2% / +5.0%−55.5% / −59.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINJul 31, 2026 +13.4%Exit below $27.08 (−4.5%)32% 29/91+2.3% / +5.5%−40.8% / −59.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINFeb 27, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close33% 8/24+5.3% / +5.1%−31.3% / −59.0%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINFeb 27, 2026 +6.1%Not on one close41% 12/29+3.7% / +5.5%−39.1% / −59.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +2.1%Enter above $29.57 (+4.2%)36% 117/322+3.0% / +5.0%−48.5% / −59.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTAug 11, 2026 +6.6%Not on one close67% 29/43+4.2% / +5.0%−49.8% / −59.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +1.3%Buy $25.96–$27.46 (−3.2%)56% 155/276+0.9% / +5.0%−26.4% / −59.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 +0.3%Buy $25.96–$27.50 (−3.1%)61% 214/348+3.0% / +5.0%−39.5% / −59.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTJul 15, 2026 +16.3%Buy below $27.16 (−4.3%)64% 128/201+6.7% / +5.0%−31.3% / −59.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −0.5%Not on one close66% 112/169+5.3% / +5.0%−41.5% / −59.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINOct 6, 2026 +3.2%Not on one close56% 153/272+0.9% / +5.0%−54.6% / −59.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyINMay 4, 2026 +11.6%Not on one close60% 47/78+2.8% / +5.0%−45.2% / −59.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +180.3%Sell above $62.74 (+121.2%)–+5.0% / +5.0%−59.0% / −59.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTDec 23, 2020 +1.7%Not on one close38% 3/8+1.9% / +5.0%−7.6% / −59.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.3%Not on one close44% 139/318+1.2% / +5.0%−43.5% / −59.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +1.3%Not on one close52% 222/426+0.4% / +5.0%−56.2% / −59.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +2.1%Buy below $28.37 (0.0%)58% 1059/1839+0.9% / +5.0%−46.4% / −59.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 27, 2026 +10.1%Not on one close50% 37/74+1.5% / +5.0%−28.7% / −59.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.3%Exit below $27.04 (−4.7%)40% 413/1043+5.1% / +5.0%−41.9% / −59.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 +13.4%Buy below $29.10 (+2.6%)52% 62/119+2.6% / +5.0%−44.6% / −59.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Enter above $28.37 (+0.0%)26% 230/868−0.8% / +5.0%−54.1% / −59.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINAug 5, 2026 +9.9%Not on one close41% 72/176+3.5% / +5.0%−32.3% / −59.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTAug 12, 2026 +7.8%Not on one close59% 23/39+4.0% / +5.0%−41.8% / −59.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTMay 28, 2026 +10.4%Not on one close34% 27/79+3.0% / +5.0%−38.5% / −59.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.3%Exit below $28.28 (−0.3%)29% 210/713+2.8% / +5.0%−51.9% / −59.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Exit below $27.67 (−2.5%)34% 124/363+2.9% / +5.0%−43.4% / −59.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +2.6%Not on one close35% 221/631−4.3% / +5.0%−70.8% / −59.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyINOct 2, 2025 +12.1%Not on one close27% 33/124+1.5% / +5.2%−43.6% / −59.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 +2.1%Not on one close34% 352/1036+0.1% / +5.0%−59.3% / −59.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyINOct 9, 2026 +0.3%Not on one close53% 65/122+3.2% / +5.0%−38.0% / −59.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyINAug 4, 2026 +11.6%Exit below $24.55 (−13.5%)42% 31/74+4.9% / +5.0%−41.4% / −59.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTApr 29, 2026 +11.7%Not on one close45% 25/56+1.7% / +5.0%−10.0% / −59.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 +9.9%Buys Oct 3058% 25/43+3.8% / +5.0%−50.5% / −59.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −0.1%Window opens Apr 157% 25/44+3.3% / +5.0%−52.8% / −59.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +6.6%Window opens Oct 1649% 21/43+2.6% / +5.0%−52.8% / −59.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +18.5%Buys Dec 2352% 23/44+2.2% / +5.0%−11.3% / −59.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 +3.5%Buys Oct 2950% 265/526+3.5% / +5.0%−21.6% / −59.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −0.5%Sells Jun 3045% 5/11+2.0% / +5.0%−32.4% / −59.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −0.3%Buys Nov 2448% 193/400+0.8% / +5.0%−16.5% / −59.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 −30.7%Not on one close45% 9/20+1.2% / +5.0%−63.8% / −59.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 12, 2026 −0.1%Sells Oct 1651% 1174/2284+1.0% / +5.0%−62.3% / −59.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +3.3%Buys Oct 2745% 158/348+1.3% / +5.0%−10.2% / −59.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 +2.1%Sells Oct 1654% 293/541+5.4% / +5.0%−41.0% / −59.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 3, 2005Always in–+5.0%−59.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureLow1 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt1/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It operating profit covers interest only 3.8×.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high May 2011

PFE−50%
S&P 500−57%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

PFE−21%
S&P 500−34%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Oct 2022 · never got back

PFE−25%
S&P 500−25%
  • Beta0.37Moves about 0.4× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
  • Downside capture69%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 69% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+11%
  • From 52-week high−2%
  • Debt to equity0.73×
  • Net debt / EBITDA2.0×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover3.8×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Drug Manufacturers - General · Pfizer Inc. discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells biopharmaceutical products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Biopharma, PC1, and Pfizer Ignite.

Size and valuation
Market cap$162BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)$63.7BTotal sales. The market values it at 2.5× sales.
P/E ratio37.3×Buyers pay $37 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E9.8×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book1.9×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin6.8%Keeps 7¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth−0.2%The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth−59.6%Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity5.1%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow$12.5BCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equity$86.5BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt$63.5BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash$11.7BCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.73×Moderate.
Interest cover3.8×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst target$29.263% above the close, from 26 analysts (range $25.00 to $36.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield6.06%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-28; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Read more

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

Email meTest a theory

Free account

Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.

Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.