Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
All 18 factors for PCAR
Factor
PCAR
Points
What it is
Plays in
29%
29
The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside
+25% · 16 analysts · capped: below 200-day
50
How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating
2.2 · buy
39
The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E
22.7×
55
Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Forward P/E
15.1×
52
Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG
0.83
77
P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Earnings growth
−18%
19
Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
Revenue growth
−11%
4
Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-06-30.
How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend
−10% vs 200-day
22
How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
It closed 10% below its 200-day average and 22% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low.
Analysts' average 12-month target is $135.06, 25% above the close (16 analysts).
This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Plays in29 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
What moved PCAR lately
Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
Thu Oct 8+3.1% against the S&P 5002.1× a normal day
PCAR +2.6%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session.
▼Price target cutAnalyst rating · Oct 8, 10:29 am ET
Wells Fargo cut its price target to $122 from $157, keeping Equal-Weight.
After price target cuts, stocks did worse than their index at the first close after the news 53% of the time (1,291 of 2,458 on 197 stocks; median move −0.1%). This time the stock went the other way. Low predictability
PCAR after price target cuts: behind its index at the first close after the news 10 of 18 times (median −0.1%).
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on PCAR went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
Financial crisisOct 2007 to Mar 2009 · back to its old high Nov 2010
PCAR−62%
S&P 500−57%
COVID crashFeb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020
PCAR−33%
S&P 500−34%
2022 bear marketJan 2022 to Jul 2022 · back to its old high Jul 2022
PCAR−10%
S&P 500−25%
Beta0.75Moves about 0.8× as much as the S&P 500 week to week.
Downside capture126%In months the S&P 500 fell, this fell 126% as much on average.
Two-year change+8%
From 52-week high−22%
Debt to equity0.77×
Net debt / EBITDA1.9×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods; and diesel engine products.
Size and valuation
Market cap
$56.8B
What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)
$27.8B
Total sales. The market values it at 2.0× sales.
P/E ratio
22.7×
Buyers pay $23 for each $1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E
15.1×
Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book
2.8×
Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin
9.0%
Keeps 9¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth
−10.6%
The last four quarters' sales against the four before.
Earnings growth
−18.4%
Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity
12.3%
Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow
$1.9B
Cash left after running and investing in the business.
Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash
$8.7B
Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity
0.77×
Moderate.
Wall Street
Average analyst target
$135.06
25% above the close, from 16 analysts (range $107.00 to $162.00).
Consensus rating
Buy
Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield
2.54%
Yearly dividends as a share of the price.
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-06-30; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.