Oct 13 close Sign in

Energy & power

NexGen Energy (NXE)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Sell10 / 100

Sell: 10 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (18%) scores 18 and lifts it; Off the high (−36% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightNXEPointsWeightAdds
Plays in18%18407.2
Off the high−36% from its 1-year high0300.0
Trend−20% vs 200-day10303.0
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for NXE
FactorNXEPointsWhat it is
Plays in18%18The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+77% · 16 analysts · capped: below 200-day50How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating1.6 · buy72The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/Eloss expected0Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG––P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth.
Price to sales––Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher.
Price to book4.4×37Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yieldnone0Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth––Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Profit margin0%17Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity−18%8Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity0.34×62Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−36% from its 1-year high0How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend−20% vs 200-day10How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−2%30The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure7/10 · very high30The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on NXE

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in18 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureVery high7 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple0.80×Price ÷ its 200-day average (−20%). Higher than on 6% of days since 2015. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about NXE now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved NXE lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Thu Oct 8−4.0% against the S&P/TSX1.6× a normal day

NXE −3.7%, the S&P/TSX +0.3% that session.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NXE was found for this session. Headlines that day were commentary or previews rather than news. The S&P/TSX moved +0.3%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Mon Sep 21+4.8% against the S&P/TSX1.7× a normal day

NXE +5.4%, the S&P/TSX +0.6% that session; −0.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

  • Initiated at BuyAnalyst rating · Sep 21, 8:15 am ET

    JP Morgan started coverage at Overweight. Target 14.00.

    After new coverage at Buy, stocks did better than their index at the first close after the news 66% of the time (413 of 628 on 158 stocks; median move +0.7%). High predictability

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on NXE

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on NXE went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2014. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$13.06 (+8.2%)24% 93/381+4.6% / +31.1%−78.5% / −81.0%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$13.89 (+15.1%)29% 16/55+18.9% / +30.5%−69.5% / −81.0%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −14.8%Enter above C$13.54 (+12.2%)19% 44/237+6.8% / +32.8%−83.3% / −81.0%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTJun 3, 2026 −23.7%Not on one close17% 15/89+9.1% / +28.1%−45.9% / −81.0%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 5, 2026 −15.9%Enter above C$27.24 (+125.7%)33% 11/33+21.7% / +32.4%−61.1% / −81.0%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTJun 5, 2026 −15.9%Enter above C$15.92 (+31.9%)22% 10/45+15.6% / +26.8%−49.7% / −81.0%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endOUTJun 30, 2026 −9.4%Enter above C$15.25 (+26.3%)42% 8/19+27.0% / +31.6%−51.8% / −81.0%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −16.4%Enter above C$15.12 (+25.3%)9% 11/119+11.7% / +32.1%−72.8% / −81.0%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyOUTJul 17, 2026 −2.3%Not on one close26% 5/19+9.0% / +32.1%−76.6% / −81.0%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −16.4%Enter above C$15.12 (+25.3%)15% 11/75+20.5% / +31.9%−60.5% / −81.0%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyOUTSep 18, 2026 −7.7%Enter above C$15.74 (+30.4%)38% 28/73+22.9% / +32.8%−72.9% / −81.0%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTSep 23, 2026 −11.2%Enter above C$13.37 (+10.8%)21% 103/483−8.9% / +30.0%−90.1% / −81.0%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$15.47 (+28.2%)34% 49/143+6.0% / +35.8%−74.3% / −81.0%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyOUTOct 2, 2026 −5.9%Enter above C$17.94 (+48.6%)22% 5/23+17.0% / +29.3%−68.3% / −81.0%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$21.02 (+74.2%)29% 20/68+18.6% / +34.2%−63.4% / −81.0%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −8.4%Not on one close28% 19/68+14.0% / +35.1%−73.3% / −81.0%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −8.4%Enter above C$13.75 (+13.9%)28% 25/89+6.4% / +35.9%−70.0% / −81.0%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −8.2%Not on one close45% 82/184+18.4% / +35.9%−66.1% / −81.0%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$15.33 (+27.0%)34% 108/314+14.1% / +35.9%−65.6% / −81.0%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −14.8%Enter above C$15.13 (+25.4%)42% 49/117+23.2% / +33.0%−69.5% / −81.0%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.1%Enter above C$13.70 (+13.5%)33% 94/282−4.2% / +35.6%−82.2% / −81.0%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMar 16, 2026 −24.8%Not on one close36% 27/74+17.2% / +33.3%−57.7% / −81.0%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −8.4%Enter above C$17.43 (+44.4%)30% 31/104+20.9% / +32.7%−73.2% / −81.0%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$13.01 (+7.8%)32% 71/221+6.3% / +35.2%−72.6% / −81.0%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −8.4%Enter above C$40.22 (+233.2%)28% 38/136+9.1% / +32.7%−75.5% / −81.0%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −12.5%Enter above C$13.84 (+14.7%)32% 44/138+7.5% / +35.8%−75.3% / −81.0%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −8.4%Enter above C$17.02 (+41.0%)31% 29/94+17.7% / +32.8%−74.1% / −81.0%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 15, 2026 −8.2%Enter above C$21.83 (+80.8%)36% 19/53+22.4% / +32.8%−71.1% / −81.0%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Not on one close29% 31/108+6.9% / +33.6%−57.7% / −81.0%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTMay 19, 2026 −16.8%Not on one close18% 4/22−2.4% / +32.7%−38.0% / −81.0%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$14.15 (+17.2%)36% 24/66+17.4% / +35.9%−71.0% / −81.0%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTFeb 4, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$14.90 (+23.5%)30% 21/70+11.2% / +33.7%−71.2% / −81.0%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyOUTMar 19, 2026 −22.8%Enter above C$15.87 (+31.5%)33% 16/48+15.5% / +33.7%−73.2% / −81.0%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTFeb 4, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$35.57 (+194.7%)29% 16/56+3.9% / +32.8%−70.9% / −81.0%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Not on one close41% 27/66+15.9% / +35.9%−63.8% / −81.0%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTFeb 4, 2026 −24.0%Enter above C$14.69 (+21.7%)32% 25/79+7.3% / +30.0%−48.5% / −81.0%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −16.4%Enter above C$14.09 (+16.7%)34% 42/124+10.1% / +35.2%−63.5% / −81.0%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyOUTSep 1, 2026 −12.5%Enter above C$14.07 (+16.6%)35% 38/108+13.0% / +35.2%−74.0% / −81.0%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$13.72 (+13.7%)34% 37/110+9.0% / +35.9%−77.3% / −81.0%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$13.93 (+15.4%)36% 54/150+21.2% / +35.9%−75.1% / −81.0%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$13.61 (+12.8%)25% 49/195+9.4% / +32.6%−74.8% / −81.0%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTAug 13, 2026 −16.5%Not on one close25% 25/102+0.7% / +35.9%−33.2% / −81.0%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTAug 19, 2026 −17.0%Not on one close24% 18/74−7.0% / +30.0%−75.7% / −81.0%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$13.38 (+10.9%)31% 118/380+3.8% / +36.6%−80.0% / −81.0%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 28, 2026 −26.6%Not on one close15% 3/20+0.1% / +35.5%−37.4% / −81.0%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endINAug 29, 2025 +11.7%Exit below C$14.22 (+17.8%)58% 7/12+27.3% / +29.5%−51.6% / −81.0%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +29.8%Flips at next check58% 7/12+28.8% / +29.5%−49.5% / −81.0%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −6.9%Enter above C$15.81 (+31.0%)47% 9/19+22.8% / +29.5%−51.6% / −81.0%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTMay 15, 2026 −22.1%Not on one close14% 9/64−0.8% / +32.8%−66.6% / −81.0%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTMay 29, 2026 −24.1%Enter above C$17.90 (+48.3%)42% 5/12+22.0% / +27.5%−43.2% / −81.0%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTMay 15, 2026 −22.1%Enter above C$14.98 (+24.1%)23% 14/62+19.1% / +34.0%−56.7% / −81.0%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.1%Enter above C$13.12 (+8.7%)34% 83/242+7.6% / +32.7%−64.1% / −81.0%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$12.81 (+6.1%)27% 123/464−5.3% / +32.7%−91.6% / −81.0%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyOUTSep 2, 2026 −14.5%Enter above C$13.80 (+14.3%)36% 61/168+7.3% / +32.5%−64.9% / −81.0%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +29.8%Not on one close44% 4/9+14.7% / +17.7%−53.5% / −81.0%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTAug 28, 2026 −16.4%Enter above C$14.41 (+19.4%)26% 86/326−3.8% / +35.9%−81.1% / −81.0%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −18.9%Enter above C$17.58 (+45.6%)36% 51/143+4.8% / +32.8%−76.1% / −81.0%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyOUTSep 14, 2026 −8.4%Enter above C$17.63 (+46.0%)31% 31/99+21.0% / +32.8%−72.7% / −81.0%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −6.9%Enter above C$13.31 (+10.3%)39% 13/33+27.5% / +29.5%−56.8% / −81.0%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endINJul 31, 2025 +29.8%Flips at next check50% 6/12+14.6% / +15.3%−43.1% / −77.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyINFeb 27, 2026 −30.6%Not on one close31% 4/13+7.5% / +29.5%−50.6% / −81.0%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 −14.8%Enter above C$14.07 (+16.6%)30% 54/181+9.1% / +35.8%−68.5% / −81.0%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMay 29, 2025 +41.2%Not on one close56% 10/18+8.2% / +35.7%−69.3% / −81.0%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTMay 25, 2026 −19.3%Not on one close61% 97/158+16.0% / +32.1%−20.3% / −81.0%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJul 22, 2026 −9.3%Not on one close61% 120/197+18.9% / +32.1%−47.2% / −81.0%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sell above C$13.00 (+7.7%)77% 84/109+25.1% / +35.2%−40.3% / −81.0%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyINSep 16, 2026 −8.1%Not on one close68% 62/91+22.5% / +35.5%−69.1% / −81.0%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyINSep 3, 2026 −18.1%Not on one close59% 85/143+19.7% / +35.9%−62.1% / −81.0%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTSep 4, 2025 +15.1%Not on one close62% 16/26+15.8% / +36.7%−74.3% / −81.0%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINJun 9, 2016 +326.5%Sell above C$36.54 (+202.7%)88% 7/8+32.3% / +32.1%−81.0% / −81.0%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTMar 11, 2025 +76.5%Not on one close50% 8/16+1.3% / +35.8%−17.4% / −81.0%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 22, 2026 −14.2%Not on one close44% 82/187+2.0% / +30.0%−83.0% / −81.0%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINOct 9, 2026 −3.5%Not on one close52% 136/263+7.4% / +30.0%−68.6% / −81.0%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTSep 28, 2026 −5.3%Buy below C$12.07 (0.0%)53% 570/1076+10.5% / +33.9%−45.1% / −81.0%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTJun 2, 2026 −29.7%Not on one close63% 29/46+11.8% / +32.1%−34.2% / −81.0%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.1%Enter above C$12.64 (+4.7%)34% 201/600−0.2% / +32.7%−77.8% / −81.0%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −6.9%Sell above C$13.23 (+9.6%)59% 37/63+5.3% / +30.2%−70.8% / −81.0%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.1%Not on one close26% 93/363+4.1% / +35.2%−78.0% / −81.0%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTJun 26, 2026 −12.5%Not on one close31% 32/102+12.9% / +35.9%−75.2% / −81.0%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyINJul 10, 2026 −11.9%Not on one close52% 14/27+3.5% / +35.7%−66.3% / −81.0%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$12.15 (+0.6%)37% 14/38−0.5% / +28.0%−45.8% / −81.0%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$13.41 (+11.1%)24% 92/377−1.5% / +32.5%−85.8% / −81.0%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Enter above C$17.59 (+45.7%)32% 71/224+13.7% / +35.2%−64.0% / −81.0%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTAug 26, 2026 −21.5%Not on one close32% 110/346+6.3% / +35.9%−81.6% / −81.0%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTJun 26, 2026 −12.5%Not on one close25% 13/51+10.8% / +26.9%−65.8% / −81.0%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 −2.1%Not on one close31% 148/470−4.1% / +34.4%−82.0% / −81.0%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTApr 21, 2026 −27.5%Enter above C$12.17 (+0.8%)52% 43/82+9.1% / +35.9%−53.9% / −81.0%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTSep 11, 2026 −11.4%Not on one close41% 18/44+26.1% / +35.3%−53.9% / −81.0%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTOct 13, 2026 0.0%Not on one close43% 12/28+2.0% / +35.2%−12.7% / −81.0%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −29.2%Buys Oct 3054% 13/24+25.9% / +33.9%−72.6% / −81.0%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINOct 5, 2026 −6.7%Window opens Apr 156% 14/25+25.7% / +32.7%−75.5% / −81.0%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 29, 2026 −25.0%Window opens Oct 1650% 12/24+24.4% / +32.7%−75.8% / −81.0%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 −18.1%Buys Dec 2350% 12/24+7.4% / +33.9%−8.3% / −81.0%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −6.7%Buys Oct 2954% 160/294+30.7% / +33.9%−37.1% / −81.0%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −6.9%Sells Jun 3029% 2/7+5.9% / +33.9%−43.3% / −81.0%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 −18.9%Buys Nov 2455% 120/219+9.0% / +33.9%−7.6% / −81.0%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 +101.5%Not on one close20% 2/10+1.2% / +34.3%−74.3% / −81.0%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1651% 649/1281+34.9% / +33.9%−64.8% / −81.0%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 −8.1%Buys Oct 2744% 85/194+1.9% / +33.9%−39.1% / −81.0%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −5.9%Sells Oct 1649% 148/304+20.3% / +33.9%−70.8% / −81.0%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJul 2, 2014Always in–+34.2%−81.0%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureVery high7 of 10 points
  • Market swings3/3
  • Past crashes1/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It moves about 2.0× its index.
  • It fell about 1.2× as far as its index in past crashes.
  • It operating profit doesn't cover its interest.

Past crashes, peak to low

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

NXE−45%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jun 2022 · back to its old high Jul 2022

NXE−18%
TSX−14%
  • Beta2.03Moves about 2.0× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture410%In months the TSX fell, this fell 410% as much on average.
  • Two-year change+24%
  • From 52-week high−36%
  • Debt to equity0.34×
  • Interest cover−5.3×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Uranium · NexGen Energy Ltd., an exploration and development stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of uranium properties in Canada. The company holds a 100% interest in the Rook I project that consists of 32 contiguous mineral claims totaling an area of approximately 35,065 hectares located in the southwestern Athabasca Basin of Saskatchewan. NexGen Energy Ltd. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market capC$8.1BWhat the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Price to book4.4×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin0.0%Spends more than it brings in.
Return on equity−17.7%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow−C$298MBurning cash: needs savings or new money to keep going.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$1.8BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$619MLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$970MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity0.34×Comfortable.
Interest cover−5.3×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$21.4277% above the close, from 16 analysts (range C$18.00 to C$30.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Read more

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

Email meTest a theory

Free account

Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.

Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.