Consumer & retail

North West Company (NWC)

C$54.89 +0.1% on the day·+24.4% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy78 / 100

Buy: 78 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−1% from its 1-year high) scores 98 and lifts it; Trend (+8% vs 200-day) scores 67 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	NWC	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	71%	71	40	28.4
Off the high	−1% from its 1-year high	98	30	29.4
Trend	+8% vs 200-day	67	30	20.1

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for NWC

Factor	NWC	Points	What it is
Plays in	71%	71	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	+12% · 4 analysts	45	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	1.2 · strong buy	88	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	18.8×	67	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	14.6×	56	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	2.00	32	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	1.0×	89	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	3.1×	47	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	3.1%	71	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+3%	32	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+5%	25	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	5%	36	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	18%	65	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	0.55×	48	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	−1% from its 1-year high	98	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+8% vs 200-day	67	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+24%	61	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	0/10 · low	100	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on NWC

71 of the 100 plays hold NWC right now.
The trend-following, breakout, momentum and volume plays mostly say in; the mean-reversion plays mostly say out.
It closed 8% above its 200-day average and 1% below its 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads low.
Analysts' average 12-month target is C$61.25, 12% above the close (4 analysts).

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in71 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureLow0 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.08×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+8%). Higher than on 64% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about NWC now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn NWC: right 21 of 48 · Out since Mar 18, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn NWC: right 19 of 50 · In since Sep 9, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn NWC: right 15 of 32 · In since Jun 30, 2026 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn NWC: right 124 of 184 · Out since Sep 3, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn NWC: right 35 of 48 · Out since Nov 24, 2025 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchIN50% of 38,976 calls rightOn NWC: right 62 of 144 · In since Oct 6, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn NWC: right 25 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

NWC, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved NWC lately

Its biggest move against the S&P/TSX in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Wed Sep 9+8.4% against the S&P/TSX6.7× a normal day

NWC +7.8%, the S&P/TSX −0.6% that session; +7.4% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

Small beatEarnings report · Sep 8, 6:00 pm ET
NWC reported earnings per share of 0.84 against 0.82 expected: a 1.8% beat.
After small beats, stocks did better than their index at the first close after the news 51% of the time (1,404 of 2,760 on 305 stocks; median move +0.1%). Low predictability
NWC after small beats: ahead of its index at the first close after the news 3 of 6 times (median −0.2%).

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on NWC

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following26 of 30 in Breakouts & channels13 of 15 in Momentum15 of 17 in Mean reversion4 of 15 in Volume & money flow7 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns2 of 3 in Calendar4 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on NWC went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 +12.2%	Exit below C$53.38 (−2.7%)	23% 162/714	−1.2% / +13.9%	−65.1% / −47.3%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +7.1%	Exit below C$50.52 (−8.0%)	25% 32/126	+2.7% / +13.9%	−45.7% / −47.3%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$51.89 (−5.5%)	20% 89/440	−0.9% / +13.9%	−70.1% / −47.3%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	OUT	Jun 9, 2025 +6.0%	Enter above C$56.49 (+2.9%)	10% 20/191	−2.8% / +13.9%	−69.4% / −47.3%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Jul 24, 2026 +9.2%	Enter above C$51.19 (−6.7%)	20% 18/91	+3.6% / +13.9%	−34.6% / −47.3%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	OUT	Apr 17, 2026 +8.9%	Enter above C$54.89 (0.0%)	18% 22/123	+0.1% / +13.9%	−48.8% / −47.3%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.1%	Exit below C$50.98 (−7.1%)	28% 13/46	+7.4% / +13.9%	−30.8% / −47.3%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$50.82 (−7.4%)	13% 26/198	+4.6% / +13.9%	−46.5% / −47.3%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +0.9%	Exit below C$42.45 (−22.7%)	31% 10/32	+7.3% / +13.9%	−28.7% / −47.3%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$50.82 (−7.4%)	13% 20/152	+5.2% / +13.9%	−39.0% / −47.3%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +7.1%	Exit below C$45.73 (−16.7%)	34% 51/152	+1.4% / +13.9%	−52.0% / −47.3%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$54.07 (−1.5%)	21% 183/884	−0.2% / +13.9%	−63.1% / −47.3%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 +12.7%	Exit below C$50.08 (−8.8%)	37% 94/256	+6.3% / +13.9%	−33.8% / −47.3%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Nov 20, 2025 +17.8%	Not on one close	24% 8/34	+7.9% / +13.7%	−44.1% / −47.3%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +7.1%	Exit below C$44.23 (−19.4%)	24% 37/154	−0.1% / +13.9%	−60.8% / −47.3%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$49.08 (−10.6%)	23% 33/146	+1.8% / +13.9%	−54.8% / −47.3%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$52.56 (−4.3%)	35% 49/140	+4.0% / +13.9%	−52.8% / −47.3%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 +5.4%	Not on one close	37% 118/320	+1.8% / +13.9%	−42.3% / −47.3%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	IN	Sep 4, 2026 +12.0%	Exit below C$49.57 (−9.7%)	34% 213/624	+1.7% / +13.9%	−48.6% / −47.3%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$48.53 (−11.6%)	35% 87/250	+0.7% / +13.9%	−50.0% / −47.3%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 +12.2%	Exit below C$54.56 (−0.6%)	36% 173/487	+1.2% / +13.9%	−51.1% / −47.3%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 +6.3%	Exit below C$52.51 (−4.3%)	27% 48/178	−1.9% / +13.9%	−58.9% / −47.3%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$40.82 (−25.6%)	26% 54/206	+1.3% / +13.9%	−51.6% / −47.3%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +7.1%	Exit below C$52.66 (−4.1%)	36% 57/160	+5.7% / +13.9%	−30.4% / −47.3%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 10, 2026 +6.0%	Not on one close	27% 67/244	+0.8% / +13.9%	−52.9% / −47.3%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Jun 25, 2026 +11.4%	Not on one close	32% 76/234	+3.5% / +13.9%	−33.2% / −47.3%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$42.04 (−23.4%)	27% 46/168	+2.1% / +13.9%	−56.7% / −47.3%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Sep 11, 2026 +7.1%	Exit below C$26.56 (−51.6%)	21% 30/140	+0.4% / +13.9%	−57.1% / −47.3%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$48.53 (−11.6%)	32% 63/196	+2.7% / +13.9%	−28.4% / −47.3%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 18, 2026 +3.6%	Not on one close	44% 21/48	+1.8% / +13.9%	−12.7% / −47.3%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$51.26 (−6.6%)	32% 43/136	+1.3% / +13.9%	−54.1% / −47.3%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$53.66 (−2.2%)	27% 46/168	−0.4% / +13.9%	−54.6% / −47.3%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$51.26 (−6.6%)	27% 30/110	−0.4% / +13.9%	−63.6% / −47.3%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +3.6%	Exit below C$52.28 (−4.8%)	27% 29/106	+1.5% / +13.9%	−50.5% / −47.3%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$50.74 (−7.6%)	31% 38/122	+1.3% / +13.9%	−55.3% / −47.3%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$53.46 (−2.6%)	28% 42/150	−1.1% / +13.9%	−61.1% / −47.3%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$53.56 (−2.4%)	31% 76/246	−0.1% / +13.9%	−44.3% / −47.3%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$52.90 (−3.6%)	34% 64/191	+2.8% / +13.9%	−49.5% / −47.3%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$52.61 (−4.1%)	34% 57/166	+5.5% / +13.9%	−39.9% / −47.3%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$47.54 (−13.4%)	38% 19/50	+7.8% / +13.9%	−42.3% / −47.3%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$53.05 (−3.4%)	25% 79/320	+2.0% / +13.9%	−58.5% / −47.3%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.1%	Not on one close	19% 32/166	−1.2% / +13.9%	−33.3% / −47.3%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	OUT	Oct 2, 2026 +1.4%	Not on one close	40% 73/184	+1.5% / +13.9%	−18.7% / −47.3%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 +12.2%	Exit below C$51.99 (−5.3%)	31% 216/698	+2.2% / +13.9%	−42.0% / −47.3%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$53.56 (−2.4%)	18% 7/39	+1.1% / +13.9%	−16.4% / −47.3%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.1%	Exit below C$45.69 (−16.8%)	38% 16/42	+6.0% / +13.6%	−45.9% / −47.3%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2026 +12.0%	Not on one close	47% 15/32	+8.5% / +13.6%	−38.6% / −47.3%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.1%	Exit below C$50.80 (−7.4%)	35% 16/46	+3.8% / +13.6%	−50.6% / −47.3%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 +5.0%	Exit below C$50.49 (−8.0%)	21% 34/162	+2.5% / +13.9%	−39.0% / −47.3%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +0.4%	Exit below C$46.95 (−14.5%)	28% 5/18	+6.8% / +13.9%	−34.1% / −47.3%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	IN	Sep 25, 2026 +3.1%	Exit below C$52.50 (−4.3%)	27% 35/132	+1.9% / +13.9%	−48.5% / −47.3%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 +12.2%	Exit below C$54.93 (+0.1%)	34% 145/431	+4.3% / +13.9%	−39.9% / −47.3%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 +12.2%	Exit below C$54.07 (−1.5%)	28% 237/834	+2.0% / +13.9%	−53.7% / −47.3%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	IN	Sep 4, 2026 +12.0%	Exit below C$54.48 (−0.7%)	42% 125/296	+7.6% / +13.9%	−28.3% / −47.3%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2020 +135.3%	Exit below C$31.68 (−42.3%)	20% 1/5	+10.3% / +12.8%	−24.9% / −47.3%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$55.42 (+1.0%)	26% 160/624	−0.1% / +13.9%	−49.5% / −47.3%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$46.88 (−14.6%)	40% 104/262	+6.1% / +13.9%	−27.2% / −47.3%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$40.20 (−26.8%)	25% 50/202	+1.1% / +13.9%	−54.7% / −47.3%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.1%	Exit below C$52.66 (−4.1%)	30% 27/90	+6.0% / +13.6%	−33.2% / −47.3%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Jun 30, 2026 +12.0%	Not on one close	41% 13/32	+3.7% / +11.6%	−38.6% / −47.3%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +9.6%	Not on one close	41% 15/37	+6.4% / +13.6%	−39.8% / −47.3%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	IN	Sep 4, 2026 +12.0%	Exit below C$52.38 (−4.6%)	33% 109/328	+4.3% / +13.9%	−27.4% / −47.3%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Aug 20, 2025 +10.6%	Not on one close	57% 17/30	+6.5% / +13.9%	−46.4% / −47.3%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Aug 13, 2026 +11.5%	Not on one close	62% 216/348	+6.4% / +13.9%	−13.3% / −47.3%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Aug 26, 2026 +12.1%	Not on one close	64% 297/467	+8.1% / +13.9%	−27.8% / −47.3%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 3, 2026 +12.2%	Buy below C$50.94 (−7.2%)	67% 124/184	+8.6% / +13.9%	−39.3% / −47.3%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +1.1%	Not on one close	66% 93/140	+10.8% / +13.9%	−46.2% / −47.3%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	OUT	Sep 8, 2026 +12.7%	Not on one close	60% 177/294	+9.1% / +13.9%	−39.5% / −47.3%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Sep 28, 2026 +1.8%	Not on one close	69% 55/80	+12.4% / +13.9%	−36.5% / −47.3%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +1,667.3%	Sell above C$122.83 (+123.8%)	–	+13.9% / +13.9%	−47.3% / −47.3%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Mar 27, 2019 +158.8%	Not on one close	50% 8/16	+2.5% / +13.9%	−4.9% / −47.3%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Aug 26, 2026 +12.1%	Exit below C$54.28 (−1.1%)	47% 163/345	+7.8% / +13.9%	−27.9% / −47.3%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	OUT	Aug 27, 2026 +13.2%	Not on one close	60% 273/452	+11.1% / +13.9%	−39.5% / −47.3%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +0.1%	Sell above C$54.89 (0.0%)	58% 1025/1763	+7.0% / +13.9%	−26.7% / −47.3%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	May 20, 2026 +7.9%	Not on one close	64% 72/112	+7.2% / +13.9%	−20.1% / −47.3%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 −0.6%	Exit below C$55.33 (+0.8%)	37% 387/1049	+4.0% / +13.9%	−60.1% / −47.3%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Sep 30, 2026 +0.1%	Buy below C$55.93 (+1.9%)	57% 76/133	+10.1% / +13.9%	−27.6% / −47.3%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Sep 3, 2026 +12.2%	Not on one close	29% 202/699	+10.2% / +13.9%	−27.8% / −47.3%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Not on one close	36% 76/211	+5.6% / +13.9%	−48.1% / −47.3%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Nov 24, 2025 +17.3%	Not on one close	73% 35/48	+8.0% / +13.9%	−36.5% / −47.3%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Dec 11, 2025 +17.9%	Not on one close	25% 37/148	+5.1% / +13.9%	−43.7% / −47.3%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.5%	Exit below C$53.69 (−2.2%)	28% 206/741	+1.9% / +13.9%	−44.3% / −47.3%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	IN	Sep 8, 2026 +12.7%	Exit below C$48.50 (−11.6%)	33% 136/412	+3.1% / +13.9%	−53.1% / −47.3%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Enter above C$54.89 (+0.0%)	34% 199/586	+2.6% / +13.9%	−61.8% / −47.3%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Sep 24, 2026 +3.6%	Not on one close	31% 38/122	+4.4% / +13.9%	−28.3% / −47.3%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Sep 21, 2026 +5.4%	Not on one close	35% 321/905	+3.3% / +13.9%	−46.1% / −47.3%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +1.4%	Not on one close	43% 62/144	+1.7% / +13.9%	−53.0% / −47.3%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Jun 24, 2026 +11.5%	Exit below C$47.22 (−14.0%)	31% 30/97	+2.7% / +13.9%	−29.1% / −47.3%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	May 4, 2026 +11.2%	Not on one close	37% 20/54	+1.7% / +13.9%	−7.3% / −47.3%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +9.6%	Buys Oct 30	58% 25/43	+8.9% / +13.9%	−47.8% / −47.3%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 7, 2026 +7.6%	Enter above C$55.82 (+1.7%)	58% 25/43	+8.7% / +13.9%	−47.4% / −47.3%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 20, 2026 +7.3%	Window opens Oct 16	65% 28/43	+9.1% / +13.9%	−44.0% / −47.3%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +15.0%	Buys Dec 23	41% 18/44	+2.2% / +13.9%	−9.7% / −47.3%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +2.0%	Buys Oct 29	48% 253/526	+1.1% / +13.9%	−44.4% / −47.3%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +0.1%	Sells Jun 30	45% 5/11	+3.6% / +13.9%	−27.1% / −47.3%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +12.0%	Buys Nov 24	52% 202/386	+4.1% / +13.9%	−13.5% / −47.3%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +76.6%	Not on one close	45% 9/20	+8.2% / +13.9%	−30.6% / −47.3%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	51% 1154/2284	+11.6% / +13.9%	−40.1% / −47.3%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +5.4%	Buys Oct 27	43% 151/348	+0.9% / +13.9%	−16.1% / −47.3%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +1.4%	Sells Oct 16	51% 276/541	+12.2% / +13.9%	−35.9% / −47.3%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+13.9%	−47.3%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureLow0 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes0/2
Debt0/3
Run-up0/2

Nothing on the checklist stands out.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Sep 2009

NWC−29%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Apr 2020

NWC−40%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Sep 2022

NWC−5%

TSX−14%

Beta-0.01Moves about -0.0× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture−215%In months the TSX fell, this fell -215% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
Two-year change+11%
From 52-week high−1%
Debt to equity0.59×
Net debt / EBITDA1.2×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover11.8×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Grocery Stores · The North West Company Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail of food and everyday products and services in northern Canada, rural Alaska, the South Pacific, and the Caribbean.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$2.6B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	C$2.6B	Total sales. The market values it at 1.0× sales.
P/E ratio	18.8×	Buyers pay C$19 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	14.6×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	3.1×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	5.4%	Keeps 5¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+5.4%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+2.7%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	17.9%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	C$105M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	C$799M	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	C$475M	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	C$102M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	0.59×	Moderate.
Interest cover	11.8×	Interest is easily paid from profit.

Wall Street
Average analyst target	C$61.25	12% above the close, from 4 analysts (range C$59.00 to C$63.00).
Consensus rating	Strong buy	Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield	3.06%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

NWC: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Consumer & retail: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

Another stock

Email me Test a theory