Healthcare
Your signal
Sell: 14 is at or below your Sell line of 40. Plays in (24%) scores 24 and lifts it; Off the high (−38% from its 1-year high) scores 0 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | NVO | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 24% | 24 | 40 | 9.6 |
| Off the high | −38% from its 1-year high | 0 | 30 | 0.0 |
| Trend | −14% vs 200-day | 16 | 30 | 4.8 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | NVO | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 24% | 24 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +20% · 12 analysts · capped: below 200-day | 50 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 2.7 · hold | 14 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 9.3× | 94 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Forward P/E | 11.2× | 79 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 4.32 | 10 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | – | – | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. |
| Price to book | 5.1× | 32 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Dividend yield | 4.7% | 87 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Earnings growth | −21% | 18 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +2% | 16 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Profit margin | 35% | 89 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Return on equity | 60% | 95 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Debt to equity | 0.63× | 44 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Off the high | −38% from its 1-year high | 0 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | −14% vs 200-day | 16 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | −31% | 9 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 1/10 · low | 90 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on NVOThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about NVO now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
Its biggest move against the S&P 500 in the last 30 sessions, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
NVO −8.0%, the S&P 500 +1.5% that session; −11.5% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NVO was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for NVO starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +1.5%. The 17 other Healthcare stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.8% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on NVO went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above $39.48 (+3.7%) | 25% 154/617 | +2.8% / +15.4% | −56.6% / −74.7% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −11.6% | Enter above $44.78 (+17.7%) | 23% 24/105 | +10.2% / +15.4% | −50.6% / −74.7% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above $41.92 (+10.2%) | 21% 79/371 | +6.7% / +15.4% | −51.2% / −74.7% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | OUT | Sep 20, 2024 −67.8% | Not on one close | 15% 36/241 | +3.7% / +15.4% | −39.3% / −74.7% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −11.6% | Enter above $43.51 (+14.3%) | 17% 14/83 | +11.0% / +15.4% | −36.9% / −74.7% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | OUT | Sep 20, 2024 −67.8% | Enter above $49.36 (+29.7%) | 23% 21/93 | +11.0% / +15.4% | −38.1% / −74.7% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +0.4% | Enter above $43.59 (+14.5%) | 38% 11/29 | +16.3% / +15.4% | −56.2% / −74.7% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −14.6% | Enter above $44.24 (+16.2%) | 14% 22/157 | +13.0% / +15.4% | −43.3% / −74.7% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | OUT | Oct 2, 2026 +2.0% | Enter above $128.09 (+236.6%) | 52% 11/21 | +18.3% / +15.4% | −33.7% / −74.7% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 26, 2024 −67.0% | Not on one close | 16% 18/111 | +13.4% / +15.4% | −33.3% / −74.7% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 −18.4% | Enter above $49.49 (+30.0%) | 31% 45/146 | +7.7% / +15.4% | −53.5% / −74.7% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $38.38 (+0.8%) | 24% 185/761 | +3.4% / +15.4% | −49.0% / −74.7% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Jul 21, 2026 −21.9% | Enter above $37.10 (−2.5%) | 36% 90/253 | +3.7% / +15.4% | −46.8% / −74.7% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | OUT | Nov 7, 2024 −61.8% | Not on one close | 37% 7/19 | +17.6% / +15.0% | −39.4% / −74.7% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | OUT | Aug 5, 2026 −13.4% | Enter above $76.24 (+100.3%) | 23% 32/140 | +7.3% / +15.4% | −41.1% / −74.7% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | OUT | Aug 28, 2026 −16.6% | Not on one close | 27% 30/112 | +11.9% / +15.4% | −43.2% / −74.7% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $39.99 (+5.1%) | 34% 67/199 | +6.4% / +15.4% | −56.1% / −74.7% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −18.6% | Not on one close | 40% 128/324 | +6.6% / +15.4% | −49.1% / −74.7% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −14.6% | Enter above $38.58 (+1.4%) | 32% 209/651 | +0.6% / +15.4% | −49.5% / −74.7% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −11.6% | Enter above $45.40 (+19.3%) | 33% 75/228 | +4.4% / +15.4% | −52.6% / −74.7% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 −0.5% | Exit below $37.21 (−2.2%) | 36% 166/462 | +4.2% / +15.4% | −63.4% / −74.7% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $40.48 (+6.4%) | 29% 44/152 | −0.5% / +15.4% | −36.1% / −74.7% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Aug 5, 2026 −13.4% | Enter above $56.16 (+47.6%) | 23% 44/190 | +5.5% / +15.4% | −48.6% / −74.7% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $38.81 (+2.0%) | 29% 62/217 | +2.1% / +15.4% | −66.5% / −74.7% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above $43.81 (+15.1%) | 30% 71/236 | +6.5% / +15.4% | −49.2% / −74.7% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −16.0% | Enter above $38.68 (+1.6%) | 34% 90/261 | +1.1% / +15.4% | −66.0% / −74.7% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | OUT | Aug 27, 2026 −17.7% | Enter above $54.62 (+43.5%) | 25% 43/170 | +4.9% / +15.4% | −45.8% / −74.7% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −14.6% | Enter above $83.23 (+118.7%) | 27% 25/92 | +11.7% / +15.4% | −41.1% / −74.7% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Jul 24, 2026 −21.0% | Not on one close | 32% 93/292 | +1.3% / +15.4% | −43.7% / −74.7% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Mar 7, 2024 −69.5% | Not on one close | 38% 12/32 | +2.1% / +15.4% | −6.3% / −74.7% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $43.54 (+14.4%) | 31% 38/124 | +8.3% / +15.4% | −41.6% / −74.7% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −20.0% | Enter above $47.27 (+24.2%) | 25% 47/186 | +1.7% / +15.4% | −36.0% / −74.7% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $51.46 (+35.2%) | 23% 24/106 | +6.4% / +15.4% | −34.3% / −74.7% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $114.45 (+200.7%) | 30% 36/120 | +7.0% / +15.4% | −25.9% / −74.7% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −20.0% | Enter above $38.77 (+1.9%) | 38% 47/124 | +5.1% / +15.4% | −47.7% / −74.7% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −20.0% | Enter above $41.94 (+10.2%) | 27% 57/210 | −0.1% / +15.4% | −56.1% / −74.7% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $42.59 (+11.9%) | 27% 65/244 | 0.0% / +15.4% | −54.3% / −74.7% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $43.45 (+14.2%) | 35% 70/200 | +5.5% / +15.4% | −42.0% / −74.7% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Sep 9, 2026 −14.6% | Enter above $39.72 (+4.4%) | 35% 79/225 | +7.3% / +15.4% | −46.5% / −74.7% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Enter above $49.46 (+29.9%) | 35% 22/63 | +11.3% / +15.4% | −54.2% / −74.7% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above $44.40 (+16.7%) | 25% 101/411 | +6.3% / +15.4% | −45.9% / −74.7% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Jul 8, 2026 −21.2% | Not on one close | 28% 92/334 | +2.0% / +15.4% | −29.2% / −74.7% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −18.6% | Not on one close | 32% 27/84 | +3.2% / +15.4% | −19.3% / −74.7% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −1.5% | Exit below $38.05 (0.0%) | 31% 248/798 | +2.2% / +15.4% | −62.4% / −74.7% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Not on one close | 30% 14/46 | +1.2% / +15.4% | −19.1% / −74.7% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −16.0% | Enter above $48.85 (+28.3%) | 43% 9/21 | +17.0% / +15.4% | −41.9% / −74.7% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −16.0% | Not on one close | 52% 14/27 | +15.3% / +15.4% | −46.2% / −74.7% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2024 −65.5% | Enter above $54.31 (+42.7%) | 38% 11/29 | +12.9% / +15.4% | −30.6% / −74.7% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −15.7% | Not on one close | 18% 28/155 | +9.3% / +15.4% | −34.9% / −74.7% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2024 −65.5% | Enter above $57.89 (+52.1%) | 40% 6/15 | +16.5% / +15.4% | −25.4% / −74.7% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −11.6% | Enter above $46.15 (+21.3%) | 27% 31/114 | +9.9% / +15.4% | −37.3% / −74.7% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 −0.3% | Exit below $33.90 (−10.9%) | 32% 142/450 | +3.8% / +15.4% | −49.6% / −74.7% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above $38.60 (+1.4%) | 28% 211/759 | +3.7% / +15.4% | −45.9% / −74.7% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −1.3% | Exit below $31.40 (−17.5%) | 41% 122/300 | +2.2% / +15.4% | −52.7% / −74.7% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +4.9% | Exit below $33.75 (−11.3%) | 44% 4/9 | +13.2% / +15.8% | −63.7% / −74.7% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −18.3% | Enter above $41.99 (+10.3%) | 23% 171/732 | −1.2% / +15.4% | −56.0% / −74.7% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | OUT | Sep 10, 2026 −13.5% | Enter above $38.12 (+0.2%) | 37% 98/267 | +3.8% / +15.4% | −51.9% / −74.7% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | OUT | Aug 5, 2026 −13.4% | Enter above $57.11 (+50.1%) | 24% 44/186 | +5.4% / +15.4% | −48.6% / −74.7% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | OUT | Sep 30, 2026 +0.4% | Enter above $40.27 (+5.8%) | 41% 26/63 | +15.0% / +15.4% | −50.3% / −74.7% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | OUT | Aug 31, 2026 −16.0% | Not on one close | 48% 11/23 | +10.5% / +14.0% | −46.2% / −74.7% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | OUT | Jan 31, 2025 −51.4% | Not on one close | 46% 16/35 | +16.2% / +15.4% | −37.0% / −74.7% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $36.99 (−2.8%) | 35% 113/324 | +4.9% / +15.4% | −47.9% / −74.7% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Sep 24, 2026 −1.5% | Not on one close | 70% 28/40 | +8.7% / +15.4% | −50.8% / −74.7% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 2, 2026 −18.6% | Not on one close | 62% 211/342 | +7.4% / +15.4% | −25.0% / −74.7% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 3, 2026 −19.9% | Not on one close | 66% 285/432 | +12.6% / +15.4% | −27.3% / −74.7% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | IN | Sep 11, 2026 −11.6% | Sell above $38.82 (+2.0%) | 66% 124/189 | +8.6% / +15.4% | −40.4% / −74.7% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | IN | Jul 27, 2026 −22.4% | Not on one close | 62% 96/155 | +6.4% / +15.4% | −56.2% / −74.7% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | IN | Sep 2, 2026 −18.6% | Not on one close | 62% 189/307 | +11.2% / +15.4% | −46.3% / −74.7% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | Apr 13, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 66% 48/73 | +6.4% / +15.4% | −65.8% / −74.7% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +2,143.8% | Sell above $106.94 (+181.0%) | – | +15.4% / +15.4% | −74.7% / −74.7% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Mar 4, 2026 +3.8% | Buy below $36.54 (−4.0%) | 56% 10/18 | +3.0% / +15.4% | −7.5% / −74.7% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 8, 2026 −0.3% | Not on one close | 45% 149/330 | +6.9% / +15.4% | −56.7% / −74.7% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Not on one close | 55% 238/436 | +9.6% / +15.4% | −57.3% / −74.7% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Sell above $38.06 (0.0%) | 54% 879/1613 | +3.4% / +15.4% | −40.1% / −74.7% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Sep 3, 2026 −19.9% | Not on one close | 63% 60/95 | +9.1% / +15.4% | −23.8% / −74.7% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 −0.5% | Exit below $37.18 (−2.3%) | 37% 401/1080 | +7.7% / +15.4% | −47.0% / −74.7% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | IN | Jul 31, 2026 −18.1% | Sell above $38.67 (+1.6%) | 56% 74/133 | +5.8% / +15.4% | −50.7% / −74.7% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −18.3% | Not on one close | 25% 196/797 | −1.0% / +15.4% | −48.6% / −74.7% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 11, 2026 −11.6% | Not on one close | 34% 63/184 | +6.1% / +15.4% | −57.0% / −74.7% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | IN | Aug 6, 2026 −16.1% | Not on one close | 53% 16/30 | +7.0% / +15.4% | −50.8% / −74.7% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | OUT | Sep 22, 2026 −3.4% | Not on one close | 36% 44/121 | +11.4% / +15.5% | −62.6% / −74.7% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Sep 8, 2026 −15.7% | Enter above $39.05 (+2.6%) | 24% 179/745 | −1.0% / +15.4% | −54.5% / −74.7% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | OUT | Sep 1, 2026 −15.6% | Enter above $40.58 (+6.6%) | 32% 126/389 | +2.1% / +15.4% | −51.6% / −74.7% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | IN | Oct 7, 2026 −0.5% | Not on one close | 38% 218/573 | −0.5% / +15.4% | −66.2% / −74.7% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Aug 13, 2026 −17.5% | Not on one close | 24% 26/109 | +11.9% / +15.5% | −40.1% / −74.7% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −1.5% | Not on one close | 35% 344/990 | +2.2% / +15.4% | −54.0% / −74.7% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2026 −20.0% | Not on one close | 56% 34/61 | +11.9% / +15.4% | −59.5% / −74.7% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | OUT | May 14, 2026 −15.8% | Not on one close | 38% 31/82 | +11.0% / +15.4% | −24.2% / −74.7% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jun 17, 2026 −11.4% | Not on one close | 44% 29/66 | +1.2% / +15.4% | −25.9% / −74.7% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 −8.7% | Buys Oct 30 | 63% 27/43 | +14.5% / +15.4% | −56.3% / −74.7% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Oct 6, 2026 +1.4% | Window opens Apr 1 | 61% 27/44 | +12.3% / +15.4% | −71.1% / −74.7% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 18, 2026 −12.9% | Window opens Oct 16 | 60% 26/43 | +13.5% / +15.4% | −64.2% / −74.7% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 −27.5% | Buys Dec 23 | 45% 20/44 | +3.0% / +15.4% | −5.3% / −74.7% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 +1.4% | Buys Oct 29 | 52% 273/526 | +8.0% / +15.4% | −24.2% / −74.7% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +0.4% | Sells Jun 30 | 64% 7/11 | +8.0% / +15.4% | −16.1% / −74.7% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −18.3% | Buys Nov 24 | 48% 192/400 | +1.5% / +15.4% | −15.7% / −74.7% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 −37.9% | Not on one close | 40% 8/20 | +7.8% / +15.4% | −74.7% / −74.7% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 −1.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 1132/2284 | +3.4% / +15.4% | −73.3% / −74.7% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 −8.8% | Buys Oct 27 | 47% 165/348 | +3.9% / +15.4% | −10.2% / −74.7% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 +2.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 53% 287/541 | +13.4% / +15.4% | −45.7% / −74.7% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 3, 2005 | Always in | – | +15.4% | −74.7% |
Nothing on the checklist stands out.
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Drug Manufacturers - General · Novo Nordisk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceutical products. It operates through two segments, Obesity and Diabetes Care, and Rare Disease. The Obesity and Diabetes care segment provides products for diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular, and other emerging therapy areas. The Rare Disease segment offers products in the areas of rare blood disorders, rare endocrine disorders, and hormone replacement therapy.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $168B | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $329B | Total sales. The market values it at 0.5× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 9.3× | Buyers pay $9 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 11.2× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. |
| Price to book | 5.1× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 35.3% | Keeps 35¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +2.1% | Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier. |
| Earnings growth | −20.6% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 59.8% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $37.7B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $194B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $140B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $45.0B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.72× | Moderate. |
| Interest cover | 32.0× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $45.55 | 20% above the close, from 12 analysts (range $39.79 to $61.85). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Hold | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 4.66% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
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