Semiconductors
In the Nasdaq-100.
Your signal
Buy: 71 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (−4% from its 1-year high) scores 85 and lifts it; Plays in (54%) scores 54 and holds it back.
Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.
| Factor you weight | NVDA | Points | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 54% | 54 | 40 | 21.6 |
| Off the high | −4% from its 1-year high | 85 | 30 | 25.5 |
| Trend | +13% vs 200-day | 78 | 30 | 23.4 |
Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works
| Factor | NVDA | Points | What it is |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plays in | 54% | 54 | The share of the plays you count that hold it now. |
| Analysts' upside | +44% · 59 analysts | 91 | How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price. |
| Analysts' rating | 1.3 · strong buy | 85 | The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0. |
| P/E | 28.9× | 41 | Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Forward P/E | 14.4× | 57 | Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| PEG | 0.48 | 89 | P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Price to sales | 18.2× | 7 | Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Price to book | 24.1× | 5 | Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Dividend yield | 0.1% | 3 | Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Earnings growth | +128% | 87 | Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance. |
| Revenue growth | +83% | 94 | Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Profit margin | 64% | 97 | Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Return on equity | 84% | 97 | Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Debt to equity | 0.15× | 78 | Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: SEC filings to 2026-07-26. |
| Off the high | −4% from its 1-year high | 85 | How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it. |
| Trend | +13% vs 200-day | 78 | How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher. |
| 1-year momentum | +22% | 57 | The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher. |
| Low crash exposure | 4/10 · moderate | 60 | The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure. |
The read
Test a theory on NVDAThis analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.
Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about NVDA now.
A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.
Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.
No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P 500; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured
NVDA −2.9%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session.
Trump discloses Nvidia stock trades as he prepares to honor CEO Huang
Nvidia Earned About Twice as Much as Apple Last Quarter. Its Stock Is Worth Only About 20% More.
NVDA −3.4%, the S&P 500 −0.5% that session; +1.9% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NVDA was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for NVDA starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved −0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved −6.6% on average: much of the move was shared with its group.
NVDA +3.2%, the S&P 500 +0.5% that session; +2.8% against the S&P 500 over five sessions.
No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NVDA was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for NVDA starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P 500 moved +0.5%. The 22 other Semiconductors stocks Be The Puck covers moved +0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.
One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.
All 100 plays, by family.
Calls right: how often the play's calls on NVDA went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.
| Play | Call | Since | Next move | Calls right | Annual return | Worst drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend following | ||||||
| PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $230.06 (+0.7%) | 27% 161/591 | +22.1% / +38.9% | −68.6% / −85.1% |
| Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly | IN | Jul 10, 2026 +8.4% | Exit below $214.05 (−6.3%) | 33% 31/94 | +29.0% / +38.9% | −58.1% / −85.1% |
| Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 +4.2% | Exit below $222.55 (−2.6%) | 22% 77/352 | +29.0% / +38.9% | −62.2% / −85.1% |
| Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 +4.2% | Exit below $223.13 (−2.4%) | 16% 40/253 | +19.5% / +39.8% | −57.4% / −85.1% |
| Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Apr 10, 2026 +21.4% | Exit below $209.36 (−8.4%) | 35% 23/65 | +34.8% / +38.9% | −52.9% / −85.1% |
| Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +2.2% | Exit below $216.91 (−5.1%) | 35% 25/72 | +36.1% / +38.9% | −44.6% / −85.1% |
| 10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end | IN | Apr 30, 2026 +14.8% | Exit below $200.06 (−12.5%) | 54% 13/24 | +39.3% / +38.9% | −54.0% / −85.1% |
| 200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily | IN | Jul 30, 2026 +17.3% | Exit below $202.28 (−11.5%) | 24% 22/90 | +40.2% / +38.9% | −54.7% / −85.1% |
| Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily | IN | Jun 27, 2025 +45.2% | Not on one close | 52% 11/21 | +37.9% / +38.9% | −56.6% / −85.1% |
| Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Jul 30, 2026 +17.3% | Exit below $202.28 (−11.5%) | 27% 17/63 | +37.5% / +38.9% | −48.6% / −85.1% |
| Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +2.2% | Exit below $219.76 (−3.8%) | 38% 50/130 | +28.6% / +38.9% | −62.6% / −85.1% |
| Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.3% | Enter above $229.92 (+0.6%) | 24% 186/765 | +19.1% / +38.9% | −73.1% / −85.1% |
| TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $234.54 (+2.6%) | 33% 92/283 | +12.0% / +38.9% | −83.1% / −85.1% |
| Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily | IN | May 7, 2025 +95.7% | Not on one close | 57% 8/14 | +41.3% / +38.9% | −48.1% / −85.1% |
| Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $201.63 (−11.8%) | 29% 42/144 | +24.2% / +38.9% | −63.8% / −85.1% |
| Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily | IN | Aug 11, 2026 +5.2% | Exit below $212.04 (−7.2%) | 31% 34/108 | +25.6% / +38.9% | −64.1% / −85.1% |
| SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $224.26 (−1.9%) | 36% 60/166 | +22.4% / +38.9% | −77.5% / −85.1% |
| Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily | IN | Sep 25, 2026 +1.5% | Not on one close | 44% 145/328 | +25.4% / +38.9% | −63.7% / −85.1% |
| Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $221.83 (−2.9%) | 36% 191/525 | +23.4% / +38.9% | −57.9% / −85.1% |
| AroonTushar S. Chande · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Exit below $208.93 (−8.6%) | 37% 75/204 | +23.6% / +38.9% | −68.7% / −85.1% |
| Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Enter above $242.96 (+6.3%) | 38% 182/477 | +23.5% / +38.9% | −62.0% / −85.1% |
| ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | Jun 5, 2026 +11.5% | Not on one close | 34% 56/167 | +15.0% / +38.9% | −35.1% / −85.1% |
| MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $196.12 (−14.2%) | 29% 55/192 | +24.8% / +38.9% | −65.3% / −85.1% |
| Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Exit below $224.59 (−1.7%) | 40% 111/278 | +27.8% / +38.9% | −74.6% / −85.1% |
| MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily | IN | Aug 6, 2026 +4.5% | Exit below $66.30 (−71.0%) | 31% 74/236 | +25.9% / +38.9% | −70.7% / −85.1% |
| Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.3% | Not on one close | 35% 91/259 | +15.4% / +38.9% | −65.5% / −85.1% |
| Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $198.01 (−13.4%) | 28% 50/180 | +25.5% / +38.9% | −63.9% / −85.1% |
| DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $127.48 (−44.2%) | 28% 27/96 | +27.6% / +38.9% | −59.6% / −85.1% |
| Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Aug 21, 2026 +6.5% | Not on one close | 35% 72/206 | +11.5% / +38.9% | −47.7% / −85.1% |
| Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Jul 17, 2024 +94.2% | Not on one close | 43% 18/42 | +1.4% / +38.9% | −17.9% / −85.1% |
| Breakouts & channels | ||||||
| Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $212.50 (−7.0%) | 43% 52/120 | +29.3% / +38.9% | −59.4% / −85.1% |
| Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $243.37 (+6.5%) | 32% 49/155 | +18.5% / +38.9% | −55.7% / −85.1% |
| Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $243.37 (+6.5%) | 33% 35/107 | +19.8% / +38.9% | −42.9% / −85.1% |
| Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Aug 12, 2026 +2.1% | Exit below $221.58 (−3.0%) | 30% 31/105 | +24.0% / +38.9% | −34.8% / −85.1% |
| Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily | IN | Jul 8, 2026 +12.1% | Exit below $208.93 (−8.6%) | 36% 45/126 | +25.2% / +38.9% | −59.1% / −85.1% |
| Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $242.23 (+6.0%) | 35% 58/167 | +17.9% / +38.9% | −50.8% / −85.1% |
| Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $240.97 (+5.4%) | 37% 83/223 | +17.1% / +38.9% | −46.4% / −85.1% |
| Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily | IN | Oct 1, 2026 −1.0% | Exit below $225.67 (−1.2%) | 37% 72/196 | +22.2% / +38.9% | −61.2% / −85.1% |
| Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | IN | Aug 27, 2026 +0.3% | Exit below $223.37 (−2.3%) | 37% 62/166 | +29.0% / +38.9% | −66.3% / −85.1% |
| P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $205.80 (−9.9%) | 36% 60/166 | +30.2% / +38.9% | −60.8% / −85.1% |
| Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | IN | Oct 13, 2026 0.0% | Exit below $229.09 (+0.3%) | 27% 93/348 | +24.1% / +38.9% | −57.7% / −85.1% |
| Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.9% | Not on one close | 29% 68/235 | +8.7% / +38.9% | −19.3% / −85.1% |
| TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily | OUT | Jan 12, 2026 +23.9% | Not on one close | 37% 38/102 | +7.3% / +38.9% | −22.9% / −85.1% |
| NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.9% | Enter above $239.08 (+4.6%) | 32% 219/681 | +18.4% / +38.9% | −74.5% / −85.1% |
| Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 19, 2025 +30.4% | Not on one close | 36% 18/50 | +3.8% / +38.9% | −35.0% / −85.1% |
| Momentum | ||||||
| 12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end | IN | Apr 28, 2023 +726.1% | Exit below $209.46 (−8.3%) | 35% 7/20 | +30.3% / +39.2% | −79.6% / −85.1% |
| 12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +45.0% | Not on one close | 44% 8/18 | +26.9% / +39.2% | −83.8% / −85.1% |
| Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end | IN | Aug 31, 2026 +3.6% | Exit below $232.91 (+1.9%) | 35% 8/23 | +29.0% / +39.2% | −82.4% / −85.1% |
| Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily | IN | Sep 15, 2026 +7.7% | Exit below $214.18 (−6.3%) | 16% 30/183 | +14.5% / +38.9% | −57.4% / −85.1% |
| 52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +0.1% | Exit below $203.35 (−11.0%) | 37% 10/27 | +25.6% / +38.9% | −65.0% / −85.1% |
| Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly | IN | Aug 7, 2026 +2.2% | Exit below $221.56 (−3.0%) | 27% 34/124 | +27.7% / +38.9% | −51.6% / −85.1% |
| MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $241.14 (+5.5%) | 33% 145/445 | +15.7% / +38.9% | −57.1% / −85.1% |
| Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.9% | Enter above $230.68 (+0.9%) | 32% 229/707 | +20.2% / +38.9% | −65.8% / −85.1% |
| Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily | IN | Sep 28, 2026 −0.1% | Exit below $211.66 (−7.4%) | 38% 121/320 | +15.4% / +38.9% | −66.3% / −85.1% |
| Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end | IN | Feb 28, 2023 +887.6% | Not on one close | 55% 6/11 | +33.8% / +37.0% | −66.3% / −85.1% |
| CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.9% | Enter above $240.26 (+5.1%) | 26% 176/674 | +9.1% / +38.9% | −50.7% / −85.1% |
| TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily | IN | Sep 29, 2026 +0.6% | Exit below $220.07 (−3.7%) | 39% 107/276 | +20.1% / +38.9% | −56.4% / −85.1% |
| TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily | IN | Aug 5, 2026 +4.4% | Exit below $194.32 (−15.0%) | 28% 53/192 | +24.8% / +38.9% | −65.2% / −85.1% |
| 13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end | IN | Mar 31, 2026 +31.3% | Exit below $217.18 (−5.0%) | 38% 21/56 | +35.9% / +39.2% | −65.3% / −85.1% |
| Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +45.0% | Not on one close | 36% 5/14 | +26.6% / +36.9% | −74.3% / −85.1% |
| Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily | IN | Jun 30, 2025 +45.0% | Not on one close | 36% 8/22 | +24.0% / +39.2% | −83.9% / −85.1% |
| PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Enter above $238.50 (+4.4%) | 31% 109/355 | +13.6% / +38.9% | −61.0% / −85.1% |
| Mean reversion | ||||||
| RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily | OUT | May 21, 2025 +73.8% | Not on one close | 48% 16/33 | +1.7% / +38.9% | −80.7% / −85.1% |
| RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.3% | Sell above $228.65 (+0.1%) | 59% 203/345 | +7.9% / +38.9% | −46.3% / −85.1% |
| Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | IN | Oct 9, 2026 −0.3% | Sell above $239.24 (+4.7%) | 60% 251/415 | +12.8% / +38.9% | −52.2% / −85.1% |
| Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily | OUT | Aug 3, 2026 +10.7% | Buy below $217.18 (−5.0%) | 65% 117/180 | +10.6% / +38.9% | −60.6% / −85.1% |
| Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −3.8% | Not on one close | 61% 94/154 | +8.6% / +38.9% | −69.3% / −85.1% |
| Williams %RLarry Williams · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 +0.6% | Not on one close | 59% 158/266 | +10.5% / +38.9% | −58.7% / −85.1% |
| DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily | OUT | May 6, 2025 +101.8% | Not on one close | 57% 42/74 | +5.1% / +38.9% | −88.5% / −85.1% |
| Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily | IN | Nov 22, 2004 +153,642.6% | Sell above $488.91 (+113.9%) | – | +38.9% / +38.9% | −85.1% / −85.1% |
| ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily | OUT | Jul 22, 2024 +85.5% | Not on one close | 57% 25/44 | +3.3% / +38.9% | −30.9% / −85.1% |
| Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.9% | Not on one close | 48% 151/313 | +16.8% / +38.9% | −60.1% / −85.1% |
| StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily | OUT | Sep 23, 2026 +1.3% | Enter above $229.32 (+0.3%) | 59% 260/440 | +21.7% / +38.9% | −76.3% / −85.1% |
| IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily | OUT | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Buy below $228.52 (0.0%) | 58% 1100/1886 | +19.6% / +38.9% | −46.2% / −85.1% |
| Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily | OUT | Jul 10, 2026 +8.4% | Not on one close | 61% 73/120 | +9.6% / +38.9% | −56.9% / −85.1% |
| Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −3.8% | Enter above $245.70 (+7.5%) | 40% 395/1000 | +20.7% / +38.9% | −65.4% / −85.1% |
| 1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end | OUT | Jul 31, 2026 +14.0% | Buy below $232.99 (+2.0%) | 53% 66/124 | +9.3% / +38.9% | −82.7% / −85.1% |
| Volume & money flow | ||||||
| On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 +4.2% | Not on one close | 25% 182/720 | +20.4% / +38.9% | −70.3% / −85.1% |
| Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Aug 17, 2026 +1.7% | Not on one close | 35% 65/184 | +24.4% / +38.9% | −61.5% / −85.1% |
| Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily | OUT | Oct 7, 2026 −3.8% | Not on one close | 53% 20/38 | +7.2% / +38.9% | −78.2% / −85.1% |
| Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily | IN | Sep 17, 2026 +4.2% | Not on one close | 38% 39/102 | +29.5% / +39.4% | −57.7% / −85.1% |
| Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily | OUT | Oct 9, 2026 −0.3% | Enter above $228.58 (+0.0%) | 30% 200/677 | +23.9% / +38.9% | −59.9% / −85.1% |
| Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily | IN | Sep 22, 2026 −0.2% | Exit below $229.76 (+0.5%) | 32% 114/356 | +22.2% / +38.9% | −63.6% / −85.1% |
| Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily | OUT | Sep 29, 2026 +0.6% | Not on one close | 38% 227/600 | +17.4% / +38.9% | −60.6% / −85.1% |
| Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily | IN | Sep 23, 2026 +1.3% | Not on one close | 34% 21/62 | +36.4% / +39.6% | −57.3% / −85.1% |
| Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily | OUT | Oct 8, 2026 −0.9% | Not on one close | 33% 306/931 | +15.0% / +38.9% | −65.5% / −85.1% |
| Candles & chart patterns | ||||||
| Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily | IN | May 28, 2026 +6.9% | Not on one close | 49% 54/111 | +5.5% / +38.9% | −79.4% / −85.1% |
| HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily | IN | Aug 27, 2026 +0.3% | Exit below $209.00 (−8.5%) | 31% 35/112 | +13.1% / +38.9% | −57.9% / −85.1% |
| Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily | OUT | Aug 7, 2026 +2.2% | Not on one close | 40% 25/62 | +0.6% / +38.9% | −34.9% / −85.1% |
| Calendar | ||||||
| Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +14.8% | Buys Oct 30 | 49% 21/43 | +17.6% / +38.9% | −65.8% / −85.1% |
| Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Apr 30, 2026 +14.8% | Enter above $242.89 (+6.3%) | 58% 25/43 | +21.1% / +38.9% | −72.6% / −85.1% |
| Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily | OUT | May 1, 2026 +15.4% | Window opens Oct 16 | 51% 22/43 | +17.3% / +38.9% | −61.4% / −85.1% |
| Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | OUT | Jan 5, 2026 +21.8% | Buys Dec 23 | 32% 14/44 | +1.9% / +38.9% | −13.2% / −85.1% |
| Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily | OUT | Oct 5, 2026 −4.3% | Buys Oct 29 | 49% 256/526 | +4.7% / +38.9% | −61.1% / −85.1% |
| Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily | IN | Sep 30, 2026 +0.1% | Sells Jun 30 | 45% 5/11 | +8.4% / +38.9% | −68.2% / −85.1% |
| Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | OUT | Sep 4, 2026 −0.7% | Buys Nov 24 | 46% 183/400 | +1.3% / +38.9% | −34.8% / −85.1% |
| January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end | IN | Dec 30, 2022 +1,468.9% | Not on one close | 25% 5/20 | +19.0% / +38.9% | −62.3% / −85.1% |
| Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily | IN | Oct 12, 2026 +1.0% | Sells Oct 16 | 50% 1151/2284 | +28.4% / +38.9% | −67.5% / −85.1% |
| Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily | OUT | Sep 16, 2026 +6.8% | Buys Oct 27 | 48% 167/348 | +8.5% / +38.9% | −10.7% / −85.1% |
| Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily | IN | Oct 2, 2026 −2.3% | Sells Oct 16 | 49% 265/541 | +10.6% / +38.9% | −77.1% / −85.1% |
| Benchmark | ||||||
| Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark | IN | Jan 3, 2005 | Always in | – | +38.9% | −85.1% |
A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.
Semiconductors · NVIDIA Corporation operates as a data center scale AI infrastructure company in the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Compute & Networking, and Graphics segments. The Compute & Networking segment provides data center accelerated computing and networking platforms and artificial intelligence solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software.
| Size and valuation | ||
| Market cap | $5.5T | What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (last 12 months) | $303B | Total sales. The market values it at 18.2× sales. |
| P/E ratio | 28.9× | Buyers pay $29 for each $1 of the last year's profit. |
| Forward P/E | 14.4× | Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow. |
| Price to book | 24.1× | Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share. |
| Profit and growth | ||
| Profit margin | 63.7% | Keeps 64¢ of each dollar of sales as profit. |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | +83.4% | The last four quarters' sales against the four before. |
| Earnings growth | +127.8% | Same comparison for profit. |
| Return on equity | 84.2% | Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business. |
| Free cash flow | $41.8B | Cash left after running and investing in the business. |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Total equity | $157B | What it owns minus what it owes. |
|---|---|---|
| Total debt | $38.9B | Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest. |
| Cash | $62.5B | Cash and short-term investments on hand. |
| Debt to equity | 0.25× | Comfortable. |
| Interest cover | 547.1× | Interest is easily paid from profit. |
| Wall Street | ||
| Average analyst target | $328.72 | 44% above the close, from 59 analysts (range $180.00 to $515.00). |
|---|---|---|
| Consensus rating | Strong buy | Analysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare. |
| Dividend yield | 0.12% | Yearly dividends as a share of the price. |
P/E, price to sales and book, growth, margin and return on equity from the company's SEC filings for the quarter to 2026-07-26; other company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.
Reports for Be The Puck Members.
Free account
Know the moment the light flips on your stocks.
Follow your stocks and get an email with the analysis the evening a light flips. Member tools are free until January 1, 2027.