Oct 13 close Sign in

Energy & power

Northland Power (NPI)

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Hold56 / 100

Hold: 56 is between your Sell line (40) and Buy line (60). Off the high (−11% from its 1-year high) scores 64 and lifts it; Plays in (51%) scores 51 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weightNPIPointsWeightAdds
Plays in51%514020.4
Off the high−11% from its 1-year high643019.2
Trend+4% vs 200-day563016.8
Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for NPI
FactorNPIPointsWhat it is
Plays in51%51The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside+20% · 14 analysts58How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating2.1 · buy43The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/Eloss0Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E12.2×76Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG2.5721P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales––Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher.
Price to book1.4×87Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield3.2%75Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth––Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher.
Revenue growth−0%10Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin−6%9Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity−1%15Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity1.50×17Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high−11% from its 1-year high64How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend+4% vs 200-day56How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum−7%25The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure3/10 · moderate70The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on NPI

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in51 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.
Crash exposureModerate3 of 10 on the storm testMayer Multiple1.04×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+4%). Higher than on 51% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about NPI now.

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved NPI lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Tue Sep 29+3.2% against the S&P/TSX1.8× a normal day

NPI +3.1%, the S&P/TSX −0.1% that session; +2.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NPI was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for NPI starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.1%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.5% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Tue Sep 8+3.2% against the S&P/TSX1.8× a normal day

NPI +2.1%, the S&P/TSX −1.1% that session; +3.3% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on NPI was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for NPI starts Oct 1, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.1%. The 58 other Energy & power stocks Be The Puck covers moved +1.0% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on NPI

All 100 plays, by family.

Calls right: how often the play's calls on NPI went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

PlayCallSinceNext moveCalls rightAnnual returnWorst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +5.3%Exit below C$22.10 (−0.5%)26% 164/624+3.6% / +8.3%−53.2% / −62.1%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weeklyINSep 25, 2026 +1.1%Exit below C$21.72 (−2.2%)24% 26/110+1.5% / +8.3%−58.1% / −62.1%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Exit below C$21.82 (−1.7%)21% 83/390−0.1% / +8.3%−59.8% / −62.1%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · dailyOUTNov 13, 2025 +26.0%Enter above C$64.68 (+191.4%)15% 19/125+1.5% / +8.3%−38.3% / −62.1%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weeklyINOct 2, 2026 −1.8%Exit below C$22.17 (−0.2%)23% 18/78+2.0% / +8.3%−42.6% / −62.1%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weeklyOUTMay 8, 2026 −3.3%Enter above C$22.97 (+3.5%)28% 30/107+2.8% / +8.3%−31.0% / −62.1%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −1.7%Exit below C$21.80 (−1.8%)21% 10/48+3.6% / +8.3%−47.8% / −62.1%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +6.4%Exit below C$21.33 (−3.9%)11% 22/206+0.8% / +8.3%−61.7% / −62.1%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · dailyINApr 8, 2026 −6.8%Exit below C$8.15 (−63.3%)29% 12/42+4.4% / +8.3%−50.5% / −62.1%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · dailyINSep 15, 2026 +5.4%Exit below C$21.33 (−3.9%)9% 13/144+1.9% / +8.3%−51.8% / −62.1%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +1.4%Exit below C$19.91 (−10.3%)34% 46/136+0.6% / +8.3%−50.7% / −62.1%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.6%Enter above C$22.39 (+0.9%)24% 186/781+2.9% / +8.3%−60.4% / −62.1%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +6.4%Exit below C$20.30 (−8.6%)38% 97/253+6.8% / +8.3%−28.0% / −62.1%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · dailyINMar 6, 2026 +6.5%Exit below C$8.78 (−60.5%)12% 4/34+3.7% / +8.3%−54.6% / −62.1%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · dailyINSep 23, 2026 +0.5%Exit below C$20.36 (−8.3%)30% 36/122+2.3% / +8.3%−48.0% / −62.1%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · dailyINSep 25, 2026 +1.1%Exit below C$20.97 (−5.5%)32% 37/114+3.2% / +8.3%−48.4% / −62.1%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$21.39 (−3.7%)37% 51/138+2.5% / +8.3%−48.4% / −62.1%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +0.7%Not on one close44% 122/277+2.1% / +8.3%−46.5% / −62.1%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Exit below C$21.84 (−1.6%)35% 196/563+2.4% / +8.3%−37.5% / −62.1%
AroonTushar S. Chande · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$20.34 (−8.4%)40% 79/198+6.1% / +8.3%−30.4% / −62.1%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.6%Enter above C$23.25 (+4.7%)38% 183/485+4.7% / +8.3%−54.4% / −62.1%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 +5.5%Enter above C$26.72 (+20.3%)37% 63/169+1.9% / +8.3%−39.6% / −62.1%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$19.22 (−13.4%)32% 59/182+2.2% / +8.3%−58.9% / −62.1%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weeklyINSep 18, 2026 +1.4%Exit below C$21.71 (−2.2%)35% 60/170+0.9% / +8.3%−49.6% / −62.1%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$21.37 (−3.7%)30% 70/232+0.4% / +8.3%−53.2% / −62.1%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +4.2%Exit below C$22.02 (−0.8%)36% 83/233+2.6% / +8.3%−47.8% / −62.1%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$19.65 (−11.5%)30% 48/158+0.8% / +8.3%−59.9% / −62.1%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · dailyINSep 24, 2026 +0.7%Exit below C$17.05 (−23.2%)28% 29/102+3.3% / +8.3%−53.9% / −62.1%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −1.9%Exit below C$21.78 (−1.9%)37% 70/187+4.3% / +8.3%−25.2% / −62.1%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTMar 17, 2026 +1.9%Not on one close46% 32/69+1.2% / +8.3%−23.8% / −62.1%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Exit below C$20.85 (−6.1%)33% 41/126+1.9% / +8.3%−44.7% / −62.1%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −1.9%Exit below C$22.00 (−0.9%)26% 37/141−1.1% / +8.3%−57.0% / −62.1%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · dailyINSep 29, 2026 −1.9%Exit below C$21.65 (−2.5%)25% 26/104−0.6% / +8.3%−47.7% / −62.1%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · dailyINOct 1, 2026 −1.9%Exit below C$21.69 (−2.3%)30% 27/90+0.5% / +8.3%−40.1% / −62.1%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Exit below C$20.36 (−8.3%)29% 35/122−1.2% / +8.3%−47.6% / −62.1%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.6%Enter above C$23.39 (+5.4%)33% 45/136+1.5% / +8.3%−30.9% / −62.1%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +1.4%Exit below C$22.21 (+0.0%)37% 80/219+2.6% / +8.3%−33.9% / −62.1%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Exit below C$21.84 (−1.6%)36% 59/166+2.9% / +8.3%−41.1% / −62.1%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyINSep 18, 2026 +1.4%Exit below C$21.66 (−2.4%)41% 63/152+4.9% / +8.3%−47.8% / −62.1%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 +3.5%Enter above C$24.25 (+9.2%)29% 15/51+5.1% / +8.3%−48.4% / −62.1%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Exit below C$21.83 (−1.7%)27% 79/288+1.3% / +8.3%−54.3% / −62.1%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · dailyOUTApr 9, 2026 −6.0%Not on one close28% 35/124+2.0% / +8.3%−9.3% / −62.1%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.2%Not on one close32% 58/182+0.6% / +8.3%−35.3% / −62.1%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · dailyINSep 4, 2026 +6.4%Exit below C$22.16 (−0.2%)33% 214/649+3.6% / +8.3%−41.9% / −62.1%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTApr 16, 2026 −1.5%Not on one close27% 13/48+1.6% / +8.3%−13.2% / −62.1%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-endOUTJul 31, 2026 +2.3%Enter above C$25.68 (+15.7%)19% 7/37+4.9% / +8.4%−51.1% / −62.1%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −1.7%Not on one close31% 12/39+5.2% / +8.4%−58.0% / −62.1%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-endOUTApr 30, 2026 −3.7%Enter above C$28.56 (+28.6%)24% 11/45+3.1% / +8.4%−51.0% / −62.1%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · dailyOUTJul 2, 2026 +3.5%Not on one close17% 28/165−1.4% / +8.3%−48.7% / −62.1%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-endOUTNov 28, 2025 +31.3%Enter above C$23.67 (+6.6%)24% 4/17+4.4% / +8.3%−45.4% / −62.1%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weeklyOUTJun 26, 2026 +1.8%Enter above C$22.91 (+3.2%)30% 40/133+0.9% / +8.3%−47.9% / −62.1%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · dailyOUTOct 9, 2026 −0.4%Enter above C$22.95 (+3.4%)34% 152/452+5.1% / +8.3%−33.7% / −62.1%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.6%Enter above C$22.41 (+1.0%)30% 232/769+2.9% / +8.3%−52.7% / −62.1%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · dailyINSep 14, 2026 +5.3%Exit below C$21.96 (−1.1%)34% 112/327+3.6% / +8.3%−48.3% / −62.1%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-endINMay 30, 2025 +14.8%Exit below C$10.55 (−52.5%)24% 5/21+6.3% / +7.8%−60.9% / −62.1%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.6%Enter above C$22.96 (+3.4%)31% 191/624+0.9% / +8.3%−38.3% / −62.1%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +5.5%Exit below C$19.14 (−13.8%)36% 98/275+3.2% / +8.3%−48.3% / −62.1%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · dailyINSep 17, 2026 +1.9%Exit below C$19.05 (−14.2%)34% 60/174+2.8% / +8.3%−58.7% / −62.1%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-endINSep 30, 2026 −1.7%Exit below C$22.54 (+1.5%)28% 22/78+4.4% / +8.4%−53.6% / −62.1%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −1.7%Not on one close26% 9/34+3.1% / +8.7%−58.0% / −62.1%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · dailyOUTSep 30, 2026 −1.7%Not on one close33% 11/33+6.2% / +8.4%−56.4% / −62.1%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · dailyINSep 8, 2026 +4.2%Exit below C$21.83 (−1.7%)32% 115/361+4.5% / +8.3%−37.1% / −62.1%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · dailyOUTMar 4, 2026 +6.3%Not on one close64% 27/42+6.8% / +8.3%−54.0% / −62.1%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTAug 7, 2026 +3.0%Not on one close58% 163/280+0.0% / +8.3%−37.6% / −62.1%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyINOct 7, 2026 +0.6%Sell above C$23.19 (+4.5%)65% 252/389+3.2% / +8.3%−35.2% / −62.1%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · dailyOUTSep 8, 2026 +4.2%Buy below C$21.33 (−3.9%)68% 134/196+6.9% / +8.3%−32.3% / −62.1%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · dailyOUTSep 25, 2026 +1.1%Not on one close60% 85/141+3.0% / +8.3%−39.8% / −62.1%
Williams %RLarry Williams · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 +5.5%Not on one close64% 170/265+8.4% / +8.3%−30.6% / −62.1%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · dailyOUTJan 6, 2026 +24.4%Not on one close57% 33/58+4.7% / +8.3%−59.6% / −62.1%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · dailyINNov 22, 2004 +525.2%Sell above C$51.55 (+132.2%)–+8.3% / +8.3%−62.1% / −62.1%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · dailyOUTOct 23, 2023 +26.7%Buy below C$19.82 (−10.7%)57% 8/14+2.3% / +8.3%−6.4% / −62.1%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Not on one close42% 141/335+3.2% / +8.3%−45.6% / −62.1%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · dailyOUTSep 10, 2026 +5.5%Enter above C$22.38 (+0.8%)58% 253/437+7.3% / +8.3%−37.3% / −62.1%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +0.2%Buy below C$22.20 (0.0%)58% 954/1658+4.2% / +8.3%−44.5% / −62.1%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · dailyOUTSep 9, 2026 +3.3%Not on one close56% 45/80+5.0% / +8.3%−27.3% / −62.1%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.2%Enter above C$23.44 (+5.6%)39% 403/1021+3.1% / +8.3%−39.7% / −62.1%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-endOUTSep 30, 2026 −1.7%Buy below C$23.04 (+3.8%)60% 85/141+6.7% / +8.3%−53.6% / −62.1%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +0.2%Exit below C$22.20 (0.0%)26% 216/843−4.8% / +8.3%−76.3% / −62.1%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · dailyINSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Not on one close38% 75/197+1.6% / +8.3%−52.7% / −62.1%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · dailyOUTMar 3, 2026 +5.0%Not on one close52% 23/44+4.5% / +8.3%−43.5% / −62.1%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · dailyINNov 1, 2023 +27.4%Not on one close39% 39/100+7.3% / +8.4%−42.1% / −62.1%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · dailyINOct 8, 2026 +0.2%Exit below C$22.11 (−0.4%)29% 196/681+3.2% / +8.3%−46.4% / −62.1%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · dailyINSep 10, 2026 +5.5%Exit below C$22.61 (+1.8%)35% 128/367+2.8% / +8.3%−40.2% / −62.1%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +0.2%Not on one close33% 176/532−0.1% / +8.3%−40.8% / −62.1%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · dailyOUTOct 8, 2026 +0.2%Not on one close29% 33/113+4.1% / +8.4%−51.2% / −62.1%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · dailyOUTOct 7, 2026 +0.6%Not on one close37% 339/924+5.2% / +8.3%−43.7% / −62.1%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · dailyOUTSep 21, 2026 +2.2%Enter above C$22.29 (+0.4%)44% 65/147+1.9% / +8.3%−43.7% / −62.1%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · dailyOUTJul 16, 2026 +5.2%Enter above C$22.42 (+1.0%)43% 39/91+5.3% / +8.3%−31.3% / −62.1%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · dailyOUTJul 27, 2026 +3.5%Not on one close33% 12/36+1.5% / +8.3%−6.8% / −62.1%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 30, 2026 −3.7%Buys Oct 3049% 21/43+5.2% / +8.3%−50.9% / −62.1%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTApr 10, 2026 −5.8%Enter above C$23.30 (+4.9%)47% 20/43+4.4% / +8.3%−57.9% / −62.1%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · dailyOUTApr 20, 2026 +1.4%Window opens Oct 1658% 25/43+5.4% / +8.3%−54.5% / −62.1%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyOUTJan 5, 2026 +25.8%Buys Dec 2357% 25/44+2.6% / +8.3%−7.6% / −62.1%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · dailyOUTOct 5, 2026 −1.2%Buys Oct 2948% 252/526+1.3% / +8.3%−28.5% / −62.1%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · dailyINSep 30, 2026 −1.7%Sells Jun 3027% 3/11+0.5% / +8.3%−35.3% / −62.1%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyOUTSep 4, 2026 +6.4%Buys Nov 2448% 185/386+2.4% / +8.3%−6.9% / −62.1%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-endINDec 30, 2022 −28.3%Not on one close40% 8/20+2.2% / +8.3%−55.2% / −62.1%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · dailyINOct 13, 2026 0.0%Sells Oct 1650% 1139/2284+2.1% / +8.3%−66.7% / −62.1%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · dailyOUTSep 16, 2026 +2.5%Buys Oct 2747% 164/348+2.6% / +8.3%−13.0% / −62.1%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · dailyINOct 2, 2026 −1.8%Sells Oct 1651% 275/541+4.5% / +8.3%−55.5% / −62.1%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmarkINJan 4, 2005Always in–+8.3%−62.1%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works
ExposureModerate3 of 10 points
  • Market swings0/3
  • Past crashes0/2
  • Debt3/3
  • Run-up0/2
  • It carries 1.7× as much debt as equity.
  • It operating profit covers interest only 0.5×.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Oct 2008 · back to its old high Oct 2008

NPI−17%
TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high May 2020

NPI−35%
TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Jan 2022 · back to its old high Feb 2022

NPI−7%
TSX−14%
  • Beta0.77Moves about 0.8× as much as the TSX week to week.
  • Downside capture−81%In months the TSX fell, this fell -81% as much on average (it often rose anyway).
  • Two-year change+15%
  • From 52-week high−11%
  • Debt to equity1.68×
  • Net debt / EBITDA3.9×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
  • Interest cover0.5×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Utilities - Renewable · Northland Power Inc. operates as a power producer in Canada, the Netherlands, Germany, Colombia, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company produces electricity from renewable resources, such as offshore and onshore wind; solar; natural gas; and battery energy storage for sale under power purchase agreements and other revenue arrangements.

Size and valuation
Market cap–What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)C$2.6BTotal sales.
P/E ration/aLost money over the last year, so there is no profit to divide by.
Forward P/E12.2×Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit.
Price to book1.4×Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.
Profit and growth
Profit margin−5.5%Spends more than it brings in.
Revenue growth−0.5%Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Return on equity−1.3%Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flowC$872MCash left after running and investing in the business.
Balance sheet
Total equityC$4.1BWhat it owns minus what it owes.
Total debtC$6.8BLoans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
CashC$679MCash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity1.68×Above about 1.5× is heavily borrowed; above 3× is fragile in a downturn.
Interest cover0.5×Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.
Wall Street
Average analyst targetC$26.7120% above the close, from 14 analysts (range C$21.00 to C$43.00).
Consensus ratingBuyAnalysts' average recommendation. Ratings lean positive: sell ratings are rare.
Dividend yield3.23%Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

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