Industrials & materials

Methanex (MX)

C$89.82 +1.3% on the day·+80.8% in a year·close Oct 13, 2026

Listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange; prices in Canadian dollars. All 218 TSX stocks.

Your signal

Buy83 / 100

Buy: 83 is at or above your Buy line of 60. Off the high (at its 1-year high) scores 99 and lifts it; Plays in (68%) scores 68 and holds it back.

Every factor in this score has a tested record: each was checked month by month since 2011 on numbers public at the time.

Factor you weight	MX	Points	Weight	Adds
Plays in	68%	68	40	27.2
Off the high	at its 1-year high	99	30	29.7
Trend	+18% vs 200-day	88	30	26.4

Email me when it flips

Your signal is the one call Be The Puck makes on a stock, and you set it: weight the plays, analysts, P/E, growth, debt, trend and more, and move the Buy and Sell lines. Every page follows your choice. How the score works

All 18 factors for MX

Factor	MX	Points	What it is
Plays in	68%	68	The share of the plays you count that hold it now.
Analysts' upside	–	–	How far analysts' average 12-month target sits above the price (3+ analysts). −20% scores 0, +50% full marks; at most 50 while the price is below its 200-day average, since targets lag a falling price.
Analysts' rating	–	–	The analysts' average recommendation: strong buy scores 100, hold or worse 0.
P/E	64.2×	13	Price over the last four quarters' earnings per share. Lower ranks higher; a loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Forward P/E	10.1×	85	Price over next year's expected earnings. Lower ranks higher; an expected loss scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
PEG	0.20	96	P/E divided by expected earnings growth. Lower ranks higher; around 1 is often read as fair for the growth. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to sales	1.1×	84	Market value over the last 12 months' revenue. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Price to book	1.9×	78	Price over book value (assets minus debts) per share. Lower ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Dividend yield	1.2%	34	Dividends over the last year as a share of the price. Higher ranks higher; no dividend scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Earnings growth	+165%	90	Earnings per share over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Revenue growth	+75%	92	Revenue over the last four quarters against the four before (the latest quarter on a year earlier where filings aren't available). Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Profit margin	2%	26	Net profit as a share of revenue. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Return on equity	6%	31	Profit as a share of shareholders' equity. Higher ranks higher. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Debt to equity	1.09×	27	Debt against shareholders' equity. Lower ranks higher; negative equity scores 0. Source: Yahoo Finance.
Off the high	at its 1-year high	99	How far the price sits below its highest close of the last year: 100 points at the high, none at 30% or more below. The exit rule: a stock that keeps falling loses points whatever else it has going for it.
Trend	+18% vs 200-day	88	How far the price sits above its 200-day average. Higher ranks higher.
1-year momentum	+81%	90	The price change over the last 12 months. Higher ranks higher.
Low crash exposure	5/10 · high	50	The storm test: 100 for no exposure, 10 points off per point of exposure.

The read

Test a theory on MX

68 of the 100 plays hold MX right now.
The trend-following, breakout and momentum plays mostly say in; the mean-reversion plays mostly say out.
It closed 18% above its 200-day average and at a 52-week high.
Crash exposure reads high: it fell about 1.6× as far as its index in past crashes and operating profit covers interest only 1.9×.

This analysis does not constitute trading advice. Please meet with an advisor or independently review sources before making any decision. New to this? Start with the basics.

Plays in68 / 100Every play Be The Puck tests, in 7 families.

Crash exposureHigh5 of 10 on the storm test Mayer Multiple1.18×Price ÷ its 200-day average (+18%). Higher than on 75% of days since 2005. Above 2.4 is Mayer's overheated zone.

The most accurate play in each family

Each family's play whose calls went the right way most often, tested on 351 stocks since 2005, and what it says about MX now.

Trend followingHoly GrailOUT42% of 12,813 calls rightOn MX: right 33 of 56 · Out since Mar 2, 2026 Breakouts & channelsP&F Double TopIN37% of 36,314 calls rightOn MX: right 55 of 134 · In since Aug 18, 2026 Momentum12-1 MomentumIN44% of 8,156 calls rightOn MX: right 12 of 40 · In since Feb 27, 2026 Mean reversionBollinger ReversionOUT64% of 53,095 calls rightOn MX: right 98 of 158 · Out since Jul 13, 2026 Volume & money flowMoney Flow IndexOUT59% of 13,925 calls rightOn MX: right 27 of 49 · Out since Sep 17, 2026 Candles & chart patternsEngulfing SwitchOUT50% of 38,976 calls rightOn MX: right 67 of 132 · Out since Aug 19, 2026 CalendarHalloween IndicatorOUT54% of 12,345 calls rightOn MX: right 27 of 43 · Out since Apr 30, 2026

A call is right when the stock rose after an in call or fell after an out call. Trend plays are built to take many small losses for a few big wins, so their hit rates run lower; being right often isn't the same as making the most money. How we test a play.

MX, day by day

How to read candlesticks

Each candle is one trading day: the box spans the open and close, the thin line the day's high and low. Hollow boxes closed up, filled boxes closed down. Toggle the averages to see the trend the plays read. Dots above the candles mark news and company filings: hover or tap one to see the story and how the stock moved from the last close before it, against the market on the same days.

What moved MX lately

No session in the last 30 moved it twice a normal day against the S&P/TSX; these were its largest, the news read on each, and how reliably that kind of news has moved stocks before. How it's measured

Mon Oct 5+3.8% against the S&P/TSX1.4× a normal day

MX +3.8%, the S&P/TSX +0.0% that session; +5.9% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

HeadlineAD HOC NEWS · Oct 4, 8:41 pm ET
Wall Street Zen upgrades Methanex stock to strong-buy
HeadlineGuruFocus · Oct 5, 8:01 pm ETafter that close
Methanex Corp (MEOH) Shares Surge 3.8% -- What GF Score of 71 Te
HeadlineMoomoo · Oct 5, 4:12 pm ETafter that close
Methanex Price Target Raised to $74.00/Share From $71.00 by UBS

Wed Sep 23+4.3% against the S&P/TSX1.4× a normal day

MX +2.7%, the S&P/TSX −1.6% that session; +6.0% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on MX was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for MX starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −1.6%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −0.7% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Wed Sep 9+4.0% against the S&P/TSX1.3× a normal day

MX +3.4%, the S&P/TSX −0.6% that session; +9.2% against the S&P/TSX over five sessions.

No earnings report, rating change, 8-K filing or news story on MX was found for this session. Be The Puck's headline archive for MX starts Oct 2, so news stories from that day aren't in it. The S&P/TSX moved −0.6%. The 52 other Industrials & materials stocks Be The Puck covers moved −1.4% on average, so most of the move was its own.

Next earnings report

Thu Oct 29, 2026 after the close

From Yahoo Finance's calendar; dates can move. Analysts expect earnings per share of 2.82.

Over its last 12 reports, MX's typical move against the S&P/TSX at the first close after the report was ±2.8% (median size, either way); it finished ahead of the index 9 times.
MX after beats of 5% or more: ahead of its index at the first close after the report 15 of 23 times (median +1.6%).
MX after misses of any size: behind its index at the first close after the report 14 of 20 times (median −1.8%).
Across all covered stocks, beats of 5% or more were followed by a gain against the index 64% of the time and misses by a drop 62% of the time.

Whether a report beats is only known once it is out, so these say how the stock has reacted, not which way it will go.

Two years of calls, week by week

InOutShare of plays in

One row per play, grouped by family. When most rows turn green at once, the trend is broad. When they split, the plays disagree and the stock is usually chopping sideways.

Every play on MX

All 100 plays, by family.

Trend following27 of 30 in Breakouts & channels11 of 15 in Momentum14 of 17 in Mean reversion4 of 15 in Volume & money flow6 of 9 in Candles & chart patterns1 of 3 in Calendar5 of 11 in

Calls right: how often the play's calls on MX went the right way since 2005. Record columns: play / buy and hold, annual return and worst drawdown since 2005. Click a column to sort.Sort with the menu above the list.

Play	Call	Since	Next move	Calls right	Annual return	Worst drawdown
Trend following
PB EMABitcoin Playboy · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$85.41 (−4.9%)	26% 156/598	+11.9% / +9.3%	−49.2% / −86.1%
Bull Market Support BandBenjamin Cowen · weekly	IN	Aug 21, 2026 +8.7%	Exit below C$78.67 (−12.4%)	32% 34/106	+8.4% / +9.3%	−59.0% / −86.1%
Ripster EMA CloudRipster · daily	IN	Aug 14, 2026 +15.7%	Exit below C$82.81 (−7.8%)	20% 78/390	+7.2% / +9.3%	−56.1% / −86.1%
Trend TemplateMark Minervini · daily	IN	Sep 15, 2026 +0.5%	Exit below C$82.12 (−8.6%)	16% 27/168	+1.7% / +9.3%	−41.0% / −86.1%
Stage AnalysisStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 14, 2026 +15.7%	Exit below C$80.12 (−10.8%)	17% 12/70	+6.2% / +9.3%	−52.4% / −86.1%
Stage 2 + Mansfield RSStan Weinstein · weekly	IN	Aug 14, 2026 +15.7%	Exit below C$80.12 (−10.8%)	19% 19/102	+3.2% / +9.3%	−45.9% / −86.1%
10-Month SMAMeb Faber · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +15.6%	Exit below C$76.90 (−14.4%)	33% 16/48	+7.5% / +9.3%	−57.1% / −86.1%
200-Day RulePaul Tudor Jones · daily	IN	Jul 8, 2026 +30.1%	Exit below C$76.03 (−15.4%)	13% 24/182	+6.2% / +9.3%	−63.8% / −86.1%
Golden CrossMarket tradition · daily	IN	Oct 29, 2025 +91.9%	Not on one close	28% 9/32	+4.4% / +9.3%	−73.6% / −86.1%
Granville 200-DayJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Jul 8, 2026 +30.1%	Exit below C$76.03 (−15.4%)	12% 17/146	+0.2% / +9.3%	−68.7% / −86.1%
Hull Moving AverageAlan Hull · weekly	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +15.6%	Exit below C$81.77 (−9.0%)	44% 55/126	+16.5% / +9.3%	−44.5% / −86.1%
Kaufman Adaptive MAPerry J. Kaufman · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$86.30 (−3.9%)	26% 200/770	+4.3% / +9.3%	−59.6% / −86.1%
TEMA CrossoverPatrick G. Mulloy · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Exit below C$86.59 (−3.6%)	36% 92/256	+7.6% / +9.3%	−46.6% / −86.1%
Seykota 15/150Ed Seykota · daily	IN	Dec 24, 2025 +64.9%	Not on one close	31% 8/26	+6.6% / +9.0%	−54.2% / −86.1%
Guppy Multiple MAsDaryl Guppy · daily	IN	Aug 17, 2026 +13.4%	Exit below C$69.75 (−22.3%)	33% 43/130	+10.4% / +9.3%	−47.6% / −86.1%
Ichimoku CloudGoichi Hosoda · daily	IN	Aug 10, 2026 +17.1%	Exit below C$73.15 (−18.6%)	31% 37/118	+8.5% / +9.3%	−53.1% / −86.1%
SupertrendOlivier Seban · daily	IN	Sep 1, 2026 +7.9%	Exit below C$81.31 (−9.5%)	42% 64/152	+13.1% / +9.3%	−48.2% / −86.1%
Williams AlligatorBill Williams · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Not on one close	49% 148/304	+14.7% / +9.3%	−33.8% / −86.1%
Vortex IndicatorEtienne Botes & Douglas Siepman · daily	IN	Oct 7, 2026 +4.1%	Exit below C$75.26 (−16.2%)	34% 180/526	+5.2% / +9.3%	−60.6% / −86.1%
AroonTushar S. Chande · daily	IN	Aug 20, 2026 +11.1%	Exit below C$79.91 (−11.0%)	41% 81/196	+15.1% / +9.3%	−49.9% / −86.1%
Parabolic SARJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$83.43 (−7.1%)	39% 190/490	+8.0% / +9.3%	−54.2% / −86.1%
ADX TrendJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +8.0%	Enter above C$100.14 (+11.5%)	40% 63/159	+9.6% / +9.3%	−49.7% / −86.1%
MACD Zero LineGerald Appel · daily	IN	Jul 21, 2026 +15.9%	Exit below C$67.78 (−24.5%)	31% 59/188	+12.0% / +9.3%	−49.3% / −86.1%
Zweig 4% ModelMartin Zweig · weekly	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.3%	Exit below C$85.13 (−5.2%)	41% 107/258	+13.6% / +9.3%	−61.5% / −86.1%
MAMA/FAMA CrossJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Jul 15, 2026 +18.1%	Not on one close	34% 82/238	+8.1% / +9.3%	−50.8% / −86.1%
Schaff Trend CycleDoug Schaff · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Not on one close	35% 79/226	+7.2% / +9.3%	−56.1% / −86.1%
Zero Lag EC CrossJohn F. Ehlers & Ric Way · daily	IN	Jul 21, 2026 +15.9%	Exit below C$68.20 (−24.1%)	34% 61/180	+14.0% / +9.3%	−47.5% / −86.1%
DP Trend ModelCarl Swenlin & Erin Swenlin · daily	IN	Aug 17, 2026 +13.4%	Exit below C$39.15 (−56.4%)	29% 30/104	+7.6% / +9.3%	−58.4% / −86.1%
Elder Triple ScreenAlexander Elder · daily	OUT	Sep 25, 2026 +7.8%	Not on one close	38% 78/204	+8.7% / +9.3%	−51.9% / −86.1%
Holy GrailLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Mar 2, 2026 +26.3%	Not on one close	59% 33/56	+4.8% / +9.3%	−17.9% / −86.1%
Breakouts & channels
Four-Week RuleRichard Donchian · daily	IN	Jul 22, 2026 +13.3%	Exit below C$81.02 (−9.8%)	44% 52/118	+11.6% / +9.3%	−51.5% / −86.1%
Turtle System 1Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.7%	Exit below C$81.10 (−9.7%)	35% 45/130	+8.8% / +9.3%	−41.7% / −86.1%
Turtle System 2Richard Dennis & William Eckhardt · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.7%	Exit below C$81.02 (−9.8%)	41% 35/86	+11.6% / +9.3%	−38.0% / −86.1%
Clenow TrendAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Aug 21, 2026 +8.7%	Exit below C$80.67 (−10.2%)	41% 34/82	+11.0% / +9.3%	−28.7% / −86.1%
Darvas BoxNicolas Darvas · daily	IN	Jul 21, 2026 +15.9%	Exit below C$81.02 (−9.8%)	38% 48/127	+7.3% / +9.3%	−51.6% / −86.1%
Keltner ChannelChester W. Keltner & Linda Bradford Raschke · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +9.0%	Enter above C$91.08 (+1.4%)	37% 58/156	+6.4% / +9.3%	−36.3% / −86.1%
Bollinger BreakoutJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Sep 21, 2026 +9.0%	Enter above C$90.10 (+0.3%)	32% 71/223	+3.9% / +9.3%	−47.0% / −86.1%
Chandelier ExitChuck LeBeau · daily	IN	Aug 21, 2026 +8.7%	Exit below C$82.38 (−8.3%)	37% 72/196	+8.6% / +9.3%	−60.9% / −86.1%
Wilder Volatility SystemJ. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	IN	Jul 13, 2026 +24.8%	Exit below C$81.87 (−8.9%)	38% 68/178	+10.6% / +9.3%	−55.0% / −86.1%
P&F Double TopA.W. Cohen & Thomas J. Dorsey · daily	IN	Aug 18, 2026 +12.7%	Exit below C$79.55 (−11.4%)	41% 55/134	+13.1% / +9.3%	−54.0% / −86.1%
Chande Kroll StopTushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Aug 13, 2026 +19.3%	Exit below C$82.94 (−7.7%)	28% 99/356	+6.9% / +9.3%	−51.9% / −86.1%
Acceleration BandsPrice Headley · daily	OUT	Jul 27, 2026 +17.6%	Not on one close	28% 51/182	+0.6% / +9.3%	−32.8% / −86.1%
TTM SqueezeJohn F. Carter · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.3%	Exit below C$75.94 (−15.5%)	34% 44/130	+1.3% / +9.3%	−30.9% / −86.1%
NR7 BreakoutToby Crabel · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$85.94 (−4.3%)	35% 242/686	+10.5% / +9.3%	−44.2% / −86.1%
Bollinger SqueezeJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jan 28, 2025 +31.2%	Not on one close	39% 20/51	+3.5% / +9.3%	−22.1% / −86.1%
Momentum
12-Month MomentumMoskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +31.8%	Exit below C$56.41 (−37.2%)	36% 13/36	+1.3% / +9.6%	−60.4% / −86.1%
12-1 MomentumNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Sheridan Titman · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +31.8%	Not on one close	30% 12/40	−2.5% / +9.6%	−75.9% / −86.1%
Dual MomentumGary Antonacci · month-end	IN	Mar 31, 2026 +9.0%	Exit below C$62.72 (−30.2%)	28% 13/46	+0.2% / +9.6%	−67.0% / −86.1%
Stocks on the MoveAndreas F. Clenow · daily	IN	Sep 16, 2026 +4.3%	Exit below C$79.04 (−12.0%)	23% 32/140	+9.4% / +9.3%	−47.0% / −86.1%
52-Week HighThomas J. George & Chuan-Yang Hwang · month-end	OUT	Jun 30, 2026 +37.5%	Enter above C$85.51 (−4.8%)	19% 6/31	−1.8% / +9.3%	−71.4% / −86.1%
Levy Relative StrengthRobert A. Levy · weekly	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +7.7%	Exit below C$82.74 (−7.9%)	26% 29/112	+8.4% / +9.3%	−46.8% / −86.1%
MACD Signal CrossGerald Appel · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Exit below C$83.34 (−7.2%)	34% 148/436	+8.1% / +9.3%	−49.0% / −86.1%
Elder ImpulseAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$86.35 (−3.9%)	31% 227/734	+7.6% / +9.3%	−61.3% / −86.1%
Know Sure ThingMartin J. Pring · daily	OUT	Sep 22, 2026 +10.4%	Enter above C$89.05 (−0.9%)	37% 113/306	+6.4% / +9.3%	−53.0% / −86.1%
Coppock CurveEdwin S. C. Coppock · month-end	IN	Dec 31, 2025 +66.6%	Not on one close	64% 7/11	+15.6% / +8.9%	−51.8% / −86.1%
CCI +100Donald R. Lambert · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Exit below C$87.31 (−2.8%)	26% 167/636	−2.3% / +9.3%	−76.9% / −86.1%
TRIX Signal CrossJack K. Hutson · daily	OUT	Sep 23, 2026 +7.5%	Enter above C$88.44 (−1.5%)	40% 107/270	+9.6% / +9.3%	−46.1% / −86.1%
TSI Zero LineWilliam Blau · daily	IN	Jul 21, 2026 +15.9%	Exit below C$67.22 (−25.2%)	33% 60/182	+13.0% / +9.3%	−49.3% / −86.1%
13612W MomentumWouter J. Keller & Jan Willem Keuning · month-end	IN	Jul 31, 2026 +15.6%	Exit below C$80.42 (−10.5%)	40% 33/83	+11.7% / +9.6%	−44.1% / −86.1%
Market-State MomentumMichael J. Cooper, Roberto C. Gutierrez Jr. & Allaudeen Hameed · month-end	IN	Feb 27, 2026 +31.8%	Not on one close	28% 10/36	−3.3% / +7.9%	−75.9% / −86.1%
Frog in the PanZhi Da, Umit G. Gurun & Mitch Warachka · daily	IN	Aug 31, 2026 +10.4%	Not on one close	30% 15/50	−5.0% / +9.6%	−77.9% / −86.1%
PMO Signal CrossCarl Swenlin · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.3%	Exit below C$84.45 (−6.0%)	33% 106/326	+7.0% / +9.3%	−49.1% / −86.1%
Mean reversion
RSI 30/70J. Welles Wilder Jr. · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +4.3%	Not on one close	45% 17/38	+0.8% / +9.3%	−87.9% / −86.1%
RSI(2) PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Sep 24, 2026 +6.3%	Buy C$76.03–C$81.05 (−9.8%)	60% 165/274	+3.0% / +9.3%	−35.0% / −86.1%
Double 7sLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Buy C$76.03–C$86.28 (−3.9%)	64% 229/360	+6.8% / +9.3%	−37.0% / −86.1%
Bollinger ReversionJohn Bollinger · daily	OUT	Jul 13, 2026 +24.8%	Buy below C$80.13 (−10.8%)	62% 98/158	−4.6% / +9.3%	−86.0% / −86.1%
Stochastic 20/80George C. Lane · daily	OUT	Jul 17, 2026 +17.4%	Not on one close	61% 96/158	−3.9% / +9.3%	−82.1% / −86.1%
Williams %RLarry Williams · daily	OUT	Oct 7, 2026 +4.1%	Not on one close	61% 167/272	+0.7% / +9.3%	−85.0% / −86.1%
DeMark 9-CountTom DeMark · daily	OUT	Jul 20, 2026 +17.1%	Not on one close	53% 38/72	+2.7% / +9.3%	−77.2% / −86.1%
Mayer MultipleTrace Mayer · daily	IN	Nov 22, 2004 +642.3%	Sell above C$183.77 (+104.6%)	–	+9.3% / +9.3%	−86.1% / −86.1%
ConnorsRSI PullbackLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez & Matt Radtke · daily	OUT	Oct 22, 2025 +87.1%	Buy below C$52.48 (−41.6%)	53% 18/34	+1.4% / +9.3%	−45.1% / −86.1%
Laguerre RSIJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Sep 28, 2026 +6.0%	Exit below C$85.62 (−4.7%)	45% 138/309	−2.3% / +9.3%	−85.5% / −86.1%
StochRSI 20/80Tushar S. Chande & Stanley Kroll · daily	IN	Sep 23, 2026 +7.5%	Exit below C$89.05 (−0.9%)	55% 238/436	+3.2% / +9.3%	−83.4% / −86.1%
IBS ReversionAlexander S. Pagonidis · daily	OUT	Oct 1, 2026 +8.0%	Buy below C$89.82 (0.0%)	57% 1098/1914	+4.1% / +9.3%	−58.8% / −86.1%
Connors %bLarry Connors & Cesar Alvarez · daily	OUT	Jul 14, 2026 +18.5%	Not on one close	51% 37/72	+3.0% / +9.3%	−44.8% / −86.1%
Fisher TransformJohn F. Ehlers · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$86.65 (−3.5%)	38% 398/1050	+7.0% / +9.3%	−63.0% / −86.1%
1-Month ReversalNarasimhan Jegadeesh & Bruce N. Lehmann · month-end	OUT	Jul 31, 2026 +15.6%	Buy below C$85.16 (−5.2%)	56% 68/122	−4.0% / +9.3%	−86.7% / −86.1%
Volume & money flow
On-Balance VolumeJoseph E. Granville · daily	IN	Oct 9, 2026 +1.3%	Not on one close	30% 204/676	+11.7% / +9.3%	−60.7% / −86.1%
Chaikin Money FlowMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Not on one close	40% 86/214	+8.9% / +9.3%	−62.5% / −86.1%
Money Flow IndexGene Quong & Avrum Soudack · daily	OUT	Sep 17, 2026 +5.2%	Not on one close	55% 27/49	+5.8% / +9.3%	−63.6% / −86.1%
Negative Volume IndexNorman Fosback & Paul Dysart · daily	IN	Aug 10, 2026 +17.1%	Not on one close	34% 60/174	−2.4% / +9.4%	−90.0% / −86.1%
Force IndexAlexander Elder · daily	IN	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Exit below C$86.46 (−3.7%)	26% 193/734	+4.2% / +9.3%	−69.6% / −86.1%
Buff AveragesBuff Dormeier · daily	IN	Oct 8, 2026 +1.8%	Exit below C$70.23 (−21.8%)	33% 113/346	+6.8% / +9.3%	−53.2% / −86.1%
Chaikin OscillatorMarc Chaikin · daily	OUT	Oct 9, 2026 +1.3%	Enter above C$89.82 (+0.0%)	33% 205/622	+0.9% / +9.3%	−74.5% / −86.1%
Volume Flow IndicatorMarkos Katsanos · daily	IN	Jan 2, 2026 +62.1%	Not on one close	39% 35/90	+7.4% / +9.4%	−57.0% / −86.1%
Klinger OscillatorStephen J. Klinger · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +3.8%	Not on one close	34% 322/936	−3.1% / +9.3%	−79.6% / −86.1%
Candles & chart patterns
Engulfing SwitchSteve Nison & Thomas N. Bulkowski · daily	OUT	Aug 19, 2026 +15.4%	Not on one close	51% 67/132	+10.3% / +9.3%	−60.2% / −86.1%
HikkakeDaniel L. Chesler · daily	IN	Sep 9, 2026 +4.7%	Exit below C$79.91 (−11.0%)	35% 41/118	+8.9% / +9.3%	−57.2% / −86.1%
Turtle Soup Plus OneLinda Bradford Raschke & Larry Connors · daily	OUT	Jun 15, 2026 +14.7%	Not on one close	53% 32/60	+3.1% / +9.3%	−20.7% / −86.1%
Calendar
Halloween IndicatorSven Bouman & Ben Jacobsen & Yale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Apr 30, 2026 +1.7%	Buys Oct 30	63% 27/43	+9.2% / +9.3%	−77.3% / −86.1%
Best Six + MACDYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Oct 6, 2026 +3.8%	Window opens Apr 1	59% 26/44	+10.3% / +9.3%	−77.8% / −86.1%
Seasonal TimingSy Harding · daily	OUT	Apr 20, 2026 +19.6%	Window opens Oct 16	63% 27/43	+11.9% / +9.3%	−73.7% / −86.1%
Santa Claus RallyYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	OUT	Jan 5, 2026 +53.5%	Buys Dec 23	48% 21/44	+2.8% / +9.3%	−12.3% / −86.1%
Turn of the MonthJosef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt & Robert A. Ariel · daily	OUT	Oct 5, 2026 +3.8%	Buys Oct 29	49% 259/526	+6.1% / +9.3%	−51.4% / −86.1%
Presidential Sweet SpotYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · daily	IN	Sep 30, 2026 +7.6%	Sells Jun 30	27% 3/11	+0.9% / +9.3%	−49.2% / −86.1%
Pre-HolidayRobert A. Ariel & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	OUT	Sep 4, 2026 +11.0%	Buys Nov 24	49% 190/386	+4.6% / +9.3%	−10.0% / −86.1%
January BarometerYale Hirsch & Jeffrey Hirsch · month-end	IN	Dec 30, 2022 +86.7%	Not on one close	45% 9/20	+4.1% / +9.3%	−73.3% / −86.1%
Weekend EffectKenneth French & Josef Lakonishok & Seymour Smidt · daily	IN	Oct 13, 2026 0.0%	Sells Oct 16	51% 1154/2284	+8.0% / +9.3%	−79.1% / −86.1%
Pre-FOMC DriftDavid Lucca & Emanuel Moench · daily	OUT	Sep 16, 2026 +4.3%	Buys Oct 27	49% 171/348	+2.4% / +9.3%	−14.8% / −86.1%
Lunar CycleKathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu · daily	IN	Oct 2, 2026 +7.7%	Sells Oct 16	49% 266/541	−0.2% / +9.3%	−82.4% / −86.1%
Benchmark
Buy & HoldJohn C. Bogle · benchmark	IN	Jan 4, 2005	Always in	–	+9.3%	−86.1%

If the market cracks: the storm test

How the storm test works

ExposureHigh5 of 10 points

Market swings0/3
Past crashes2/2
Debt3/3
Run-up0/2

It fell about 1.6× as far as its index in past crashes.
It operating profit covers interest only 1.9×.

Past crashes, peak to low

Financial crisis Oct 2007 to Feb 2009 · back to its old high Jan 2010

MX−71%

TSX−47%

COVID crash Feb 2020 to Mar 2020 · back to its old high Nov 2020

MX−68%

TSX−37%

2022 bear market Jan 2022 to Sep 2022 · back to its old high Nov 2022

MX−20%

TSX−14%

Beta0.91Moves about 0.9× as much as the TSX week to week.
Downside capture99%In months the TSX fell, this fell 99% as much on average.
Two-year change+60%Run-ups of 100%+ crashed 40% or more within two years about half the time (Greenwood, Shleifer & You).
From 52-week high−0%
Debt to equity1.28×
Net debt / EBITDA2.5×Years of operating cash earnings it would take to pay off its debt.
Interest cover1.9×

A crash marks every stock down; debt decides which companies come through. The storm test scores both halves: how hard the stock swings with the market, and how much debt it carries into a downturn. It describes fragility; it does not predict a crash.

The business behind the price

How to judge these numbers

Chemicals · Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex Corporation was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Size and valuation
Market cap	C$6.9B	What the whole company is worth at today's price: share price × shares outstanding.
Revenue (last 12 months)	$4.3B	Total sales.
P/E ratio	64.2×	Buyers pay C$64 for each C$1 of the last year's profit.
Forward P/E	10.1×	Price against analysts' estimate of next year's profit. Lower than the P/E means profit is expected to grow.
Price to book	1.9×	Price against the company's net assets (its equity) per share.

Profit and growth
Profit margin	2.1%	Keeps 2¢ of each dollar of sales as profit.
Revenue growth	+75.2%	Last quarter's sales against the same quarter a year earlier.
Earnings growth	+164.7%	Same comparison for profit.
Return on equity	6.1%	Yearly profit as a share of shareholders' money in the business.
Free cash flow	$709M	Cash left after running and investing in the business.

Balance sheet
Total equity	$2.4B	What it owns minus what it owes.
Total debt	$3.1B	Loans and bonds it has to pay back, with interest.
Cash	$383M	Cash and short-term investments on hand.
Debt to equity	1.28×	Moderate.
Interest cover	1.9×	Operating profit divided by interest. Under 2× means one bad year could make the interest hard to pay.

Wall Street
Dividend yield	1.18%	Yearly dividends as a share of the price.

Company figures from Yahoo Finance, fetched Oct 14, 2026. Analyst targets are opinions, not forecasts Be The Puck checks.

Reports for Be The Puck Members.

MX: the briefWhat the plays, the levels and the business say, in plain English. Rebuilt nightly.Members Industrials & materials: what the plays sayEvery covered name in the sector, side by side.Members Debt decides who survives a crashThe storm test on every covered stock.Members Is this a bubble?The gauges in October 2026, and what history says about timing.Members

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